This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.90
1.31
0.69
0.93
1.14
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
0.14
0.60
0.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
1.26
1.13
1.64
1.00
0.92
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.0%
Under 1.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
32.6%
@ 2.82-0.6%
Under 2.5
67.4%
@ 1.40+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.5%
Under 3.5
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.4%
No
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.4%
0-0
14.7%
1-1 ✓
14.0%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.3%
Fuenlabrada goals ↓
Tenerife goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
9.0%
3.9%
1.0%
0.2%
1
15%
14%
4.9%
1.2%
0.2%
2
10%
7.9%
3.0%
0.8%
0.1%
3
4.3%
3.3%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.3%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fuenlabrada goals (down), columns = Tenerife goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Espanyol
1.95
Mallorca
1.95
Leganes
1.74
Almeria
1.74
Girona
1.69
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Sporting Gijon
1.55
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.33
Fuenlabrada
1.29
Mirandes
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Tenerife
1.24
Oviedo
1.24
Alcorcon
1.17
FC Cartagena
1.17
Zaragoza
1.14
Lugo
1.12
Sabadell
1.10
Logrones
1.05
Castellón
0.98
Albacete
0.90
Fuenlabrada is 0.05 points better than Tenerife in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Espanyol
1.69
Almeria
1.45
Mallorca
1.29
Rayo Vallecano
1.24
Leganes
1.21
Girona
1.12
Las Palmas
1.10
Fuenlabrada
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Oviedo
1.07
FC Cartagena
1.05
Sabadell
0.95
Lugo
0.90
Mirandes
0.90
Sporting Gijon
0.88
Malaga
0.88
Tenerife
0.86
Castellón
0.83
Zaragoza
0.81
Alcorcon
0.76
Albacete
0.71
Logrones
0.67
Fuenlabrada is 0.21 goals better than Tenerife in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting Gijon
0.67
Espanyol
0.67
Mallorca
0.67
Leganes
0.76
Tenerife
0.86
Girona
0.86
Alcorcon
0.93
Rayo Vallecano
0.95
Almeria
0.95
Mirandes
0.98
Zaragoza
1.02
Fuenlabrada
1.10
Oviedo
1.10
Malaga
1.12
Sabadell
1.14
Ponferradina
1.19
FC Cartagena
1.24
Logrones
1.26
Las Palmas
1.26
Lugo
1.26
Albacete
1.26
Castellón
1.29
Fuenlabrada is 0.24 goals worse than Tenerife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
F
Fuenlabrada
For 3.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.8 · Against 16.6 · Total 34.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tenerife
For 3.2 · Against 4.6 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 13.2 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
F
Fuenlabrada
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
7.3
9.0
6.4
6.4
6.5
33.1
32.2
33.9
vs Stronger (28)
8.5
7.7
9.1
6.6
6.8
6.4
33.4
31.5
35.1
vs Similar (22)
7.8
6.8
8.9
6.2
5.9
6.6
32.6
32.9
32.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
36%
28%
44%
90%
88%
92%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
64%
72%
56%
10%
12%
8%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
8.5
8.0
5.7
5.2
6.3
29.6
28.7
30.5
vs Stronger (12)
8.8
8.0
9.8
5.7
5.3
6.2
32.3
31.6
33.4
vs Similar (38)
8.1
8.6
7.5
5.7
5.1
6.4
28.7
27.7
29.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
28%
35%
21%
76%
69%
83%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
72%
65%
79%
24%
31%
17%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Castellón
9.9
Logrones
9.6
Lugo
9.6
Sabadell
9.4
Mirandes
9.4
Mallorca
9.3
Zaragoza
9.2
Albacete
8.9
Malaga
8.9
Rayo Vallecano
8.8
Espanyol
8.8
Almeria
8.8
Oviedo
8.7
Alcorcon
8.7
Las Palmas
8.6
Leganes
8.5
Sporting Gijon
8.4
FC Cartagena
8.3
Tenerife
8.2
Ponferradina
8.2
Fuenlabrada
8.2
Girona
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Las Palmas
6.5
Fuenlabrada
6.4
FC Cartagena
6.4
Albacete
6.3
Leganes
6.0
Rayo Vallecano
6.0
Ponferradina
5.9
Alcorcon
5.9
Girona
5.9
Oviedo
5.8
Tenerife
5.7
Lugo
5.7
Mallorca
5.6
Almeria
5.5
Malaga
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Zaragoza
5.1
Logrones
5.0
Mirandes
5.0
Espanyol
4.9
Castellón
4.7
Sabadell
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Logrones
33.4
Oviedo
33.3
Rayo Vallecano
33.1
Fuenlabrada
33.1
Albacete
32.8
Alcorcon
32.5
Ponferradina
32.2
FC Cartagena
32.2
Girona
31.9
Almeria
31.7
Las Palmas
31.3
Malaga
30.9
Sporting Gijon
30.5
Leganes
29.6
Tenerife
29.6
Lugo
29.5
Mirandes
29.2
Mallorca
28.2
Zaragoza
27.9
Espanyol
27.8
Sabadell
27.3
Castellón
26.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
22.9%
Under 9.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
84.7%
Under 3.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.8%
Under 21.5
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
F
Fuenlabrada
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.37
0.33
0.33
0.13
0.40
vs Stronger (17)
0.18
0.24
0.17
0.17
0.18
0.27
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.54
0.44
0.44
0.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.30
0.75
0.12
0.43
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.00
0.40
0.00
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.39
0.91
0.18
0.42
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fuenlabrada over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
F
Fuenlabrada
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.80
0.40
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
0.65
0.67
0.33
0.36
0.82
vs Similar (13)
1.00
0.38
0.89
0.44
1.25
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.56
0.56
0.50
0.64
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.14
0.20
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.74
0.73
0.82
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fuenlabrada over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fuenlabrada over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tenerife · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enric Gallego67%
Jesús Álvarez33%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Álvarez67%
David Rodríguez Ramos67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Gil67%
Anes Krdzalic33%
Dani Martín0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Enric Gallego67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →