PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Fylde vs Forest Green Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 2-0
F
Fylde
Vs
34%
27%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Forest Green
Forest Green
England: National League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The encounter between Fylde and Forest Green is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win at 38 %. Home win stands at 35 %, a draw 27 %. The expected total goals is 2.9, yet the most likely total is 2, a 25 % chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.9 % probability, distinct from the total-goals expectation. Fylde, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Forest Green, on the road against a similar side, averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 at 99.1 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3 % with a 6 % edge, Under 6.5 at 97.3 % with a 3 % edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.6 % with a 5 % edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.4 % with a 6 % edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.7 % with a 3 % edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.4 % with a 5 % edge, and Away under 3.5 goals at 93.8 % with a 4 % edge. Both sides have recently come off defeats, adding to the uncertainty.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Forest Green, was expected to win with a 39% chance, but Fylde defied expectations to secure a 2-0 home victory. The model’s call was therefore wrong. Fylde’s recent form, highlighted by a win, proved decisive, while Forest Green’s form, after two straight defeats, did not translate into a win. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2%, Under 6.5 at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.6%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.3%, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.7%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 93.8%. The match remained low-scoring, with Fylde’s two goals proving enough to overturn the prediction.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fylde win✓ Hit
33.8%
Avg Implied 33.7% · @ 2.72
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.83
Unibet
2.80
Betano
2.77
William Hil
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.67
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.88
Betano
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Dafabet
3.75
Bet365
3.70
Forest Green win✗ Miss
38.7%
Avg Implied 41.3% · @ 2.22
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.28
Betano
2.25
Unibet
2.23

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

F
Fylde

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D34L03L41W22D13L22D21W23LH·HAL18/04A·ROC21/04A·TAM26/04H·BAR05/05H·BAM13/09H·DAR27/09A·DAR30/09H·WEA08/08A·TAM15/08A·WOK22/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.801.401.671.001.93
vs Stronger (2)1.502.502.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (7)1.431.711.801.400.502.50
vs Weaker (21)1.101.761.111.781.081.75
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Forest Green) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Forest GreenForest Green

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L42W40W11D31W12L50W00D32W03LA·TAM25/03A·EAS28/03H·BRA03/04A·TRU06/04H·BRA11/04A·HAR18/04H·MOR25/04A·BOR29/04H·HAL08/08H·BOR22/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.302.201.331.131.27
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.003.000.500.50
vs Similar (19)1.841.372.441.441.301.30
vs Weaker (8)1.751.122.200.801.001.67
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
@ 1.13-3.7%
Under 1.5
21.5%
@ 5.20+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Under
Pinnacle
5.72
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
Superbet
5.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.48-9.1%
Under 2.5
46.3%
@ 2.48+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.65
Betfair
2.60
10Bet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.4%
@ 2.21-10.8%
Under 3.5
68.6%
@ 1.61+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.26
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.3%
@ 1.42-6.6%
No
41.7%
@ 2.62+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
No
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.70
BetVictor
2.70
1xBet
2.66
Bet365
2.62

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 7.07+6.8%
1-2
8.7%@ 8.23+3.4%
2-1
8.0%@ 9.28+3.3%
0-1
7.5%@ 10.83+3.5%
0-0
7.1%@ 15.53+4.3%
1-0
6.9%@ 12.25+3.3%
0-2
6.4%@ 12.87+3.0%
2-2
5.9%@ 9.87+1.5%
Fylde goals ↓
Forest Green goals →
01234
07.1%7.5%6.4%3.1%1.1%
16.9%13%8.7%4.2%1.6%
25.5%8.0%5.9%2.9%1.1%
32.5%3.6%2.7%1.3%0.5%
40.8%1.2%0.9%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fylde goals (down), columns = Forest Green goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Fylde is 0.37 points worse than Forest Green in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Fylde is 0.29 goals worse than Forest Green in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.74).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Fylde is 0.35 goals worse than Forest Green in terms of goals conceded per game (1.46 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fylde or Draw✓ Hit
61.3%
Avg Implied 58.8% · @ 1.57
Edge
+2.5%
34%
27%
39%
covers Fylde + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.62
William Hil
1.60
BetVictor
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Fylde or Forest Green✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied 75.2% · @ 1.22
Edge
-2.6%
34%
27%
39%
covers Fylde + Forest Green
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Draw or Forest Green✗ Miss
66.2%
Avg Implied 66.1% · @ 1.39
Edge
+0.1%
34%
27%
39%
covers Draw + Forest Green
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fylde over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.3%
@ 1.19-3.1%
Under
25.7%
@ 4.09+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.20
1xBet
4.15
Superbet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.08
Fylde over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.4%
@ 2.01-6.6%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.71+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
Unibet
2.05
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Fylde over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.7%
@ 4.16-6.6%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.19+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Fylde over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 9.30-5.2%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.05+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.70
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Forest Green over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
76.9%
@ 1.16-3.1%
Under
23.1%
@ 4.65+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.20
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.60
Forest Green over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.1%
@ 1.78-8.9%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.93+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.95
BetVictor
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Forest Green over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.3%
@ 3.45-8.6%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.27+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.59
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Under
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Forest Green over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 7.88-5.7%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.06+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.40
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Fylde, so a minus line means Fylde give that many goals of a start and Forest Green receive them. At -1, Fylde must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fylde win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fylde)Actual: Draw
Fylde -2
5.6%
@ 9.78-3.4%
Draw -2
10.1%
@ 7.01-2.5%
Forest Green +2
84.2%
@ 1.13+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.60
Marathonbet
6.50
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.10
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Fylde)Actual: Fylde
Fylde -1
15.8%
@ 4.93-2.0%
Draw -1
18.1%
@ 4.52-1.4%
Forest Green +1
66.2%
@ 1.40+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.80
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
Handicap +1 (Fylde)Actual: Fylde
Fylde +1
61.3%
@ 1.56+5.4%
Draw +1
19.6%
@ 4.09-1.7%
Forest Green -1
19.1%
@ 3.81-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
Unibet
1.50
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Unibet
3.40
Away
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.40
Handicap +2 (Fylde)Actual: Fylde
Fylde +2
80.9%
@ 1.20+6.1%
Draw +2
11.8%
@ 6.38-2.3%
Forest Green -2
7.3%
@ 8.12-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Superbet
6.10
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Superbet
7.70

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

F
Fylde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D32W02L20W00D02L00D21W10WH·HAL18/04A·ROC21/04A·TAM26/04H·BAR05/05H·BAM13/09H·DAR27/09A·DAR30/09H·WEA08/08A·TAM15/08A·WOK22/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.530.670.670.93
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (7)0.430.710.600.600.001.00
vs Weaker (21)0.710.810.560.780.830.83
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Forest Green) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Forest GreenForest Green

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L10W00D10W02L20W00D01L02LA·TAM25/03A·EAS28/03H·BRA03/04A·TRU06/04H·BRA11/04A·HAR18/04H·MOR25/04A·BOR29/04H·HAL08/08H·BOR22/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.601.000.470.67
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (19)0.531.000.441.220.600.80
vs Weaker (8)0.750.501.000.400.330.67
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.9%
@ 1.23-3.9%
Under 0.5
29.1%
@ 3.67+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Under
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.80
BetVictor
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.9%
@ 2.15-7.2%
Under 1.5
64.1%
@ 1.63+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.21
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Under
William Hil
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Betfair
1.65
Superbet
1.64
BetVictor
1.63
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 4.72-6.0%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.15+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
4.80
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Under
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.14

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fylde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.2%
@ 1.86-7.6%
Under
57.8%
@ 1.84+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
Superbet
1.85
Unibet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Fylde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 5.25-7.4%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.12+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
Betano
5.30
Superbet
5.15
1xBet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Fylde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 13.62-5.2%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Forest Green over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.3%
@ 1.73-3.2%
Under
49.7%
@ 1.99+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Unibet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
1xBet
2.06
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Forest Green over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 4.53-3.5%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.16+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
Superbet
4.55
Betano
4.50
1xBet
4.30
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Forest Green over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 12.00-4.4%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.02+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

F
Fylde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D02L01L21W22D11D22D00D13LH·HAL18/04A·ROC21/04A·TAM26/04H·BAR05/05H·BAM13/09H·DAR27/09A·DAR30/09H·WEA08/08A·TAM15/08A·WOK22/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.000.871.000.331.00
vs Stronger (2)1.501.502.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (7)1.001.001.200.800.501.50
vs Weaker (21)0.380.950.561.000.250.92
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Forest Green) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Forest GreenForest Green

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W30W11D21W10W30W00D31W01LA·TAM25/03A·EAS28/03H·BRA03/04A·TRU06/04H·BRA11/04A·HAR18/04H·MOR25/04A·BOR29/04H·HAL08/08H·BOR22/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.471.600.330.670.60
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.001.000.500.50
vs Similar (19)1.320.372.000.220.700.50
vs Weaker (8)1.000.621.200.400.671.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.9%
@ 1.13-3.2%
Under 0.5
21.1%
@ 5.18+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.30
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.15
Superbet
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.0%
@ 1.69-10.6%
Under 1.5
56.0%
@ 2.03+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.71
William Hil
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Under
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.6%
@ 3.08-8.4%
Under 2.5
78.4%
@ 1.32+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
William Hil
3.00
Under
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fylde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.0%
@ 1.59-6.2%
Under
48.0%
@ 2.21+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.26
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.12
Fylde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
15.8%
@ 3.80-8.5%
Under
84.2%
@ 1.22+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.95
Superbet
3.85
Betano
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
Fylde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 9.25-6.4%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.04+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Forest Green over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
61.6%
@ 1.53+1.0%
Under
38.4%
@ 2.36-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.63
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.47
Superbet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.09
Forest Green over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.9%
@ 3.30-7.1%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.28+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.34
Betano
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Forest Green over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 8.37-5.8%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.04+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.00
1xBet
8.70
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+2.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.2%1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
---+5.2%✓ Hit
Under 6.597.5%1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+5.1%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals96.6%1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
---+4.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.3%1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
---+6.4%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.1%1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-+5.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals94.7%1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
--+5.8%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals93.8%1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.03
+5.7%✓ Hit
Under 5.593.3%1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
+7.0%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.8%1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-+7.4%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals86.4%1.15
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
+6.0%✓ Hit
Under 4.584.4%1.23
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+9.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals84.3%1.19
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
+6.6%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap84.2%1.13
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-+5.9%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals84.2%1.22
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
-+8.5%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals83.1%1.16
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
-+3.5%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals81.7%1.27
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
+8.6%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap80.9%1.20
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-+6.1%✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.2%--------
Away under 1.5 2H goals79.1%1.28
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
-+7.1%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals78.9%1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.10
-3.2%✓ Hit
Over 1.578.5%1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
-3.7%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals78.4%1.32
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
+8.4%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals76.9%1.16
Marathonbet
1.20
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.14
-3.1%✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards75.5%--------
Home over 0.5 goals74.3%1.19
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
-3.1%✓ Hit
Home or Away72.5%1.22
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
-2.6%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals70.9%1.23
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.24
-3.9%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
FYL wins
0
Draws
1
FG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Fylde vs Forest Green · H/A from FYL
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/25HFYL Vs Forest Green3-0
10/09/24AForest Green Vs FYL3-0

F
Fylde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26AWoking Vs FYL3-2
15/08/26ATamworth Vs FYL1-2
08/08/26HFYL Vs Wealdstone2-2
30/09/25ADarlington 1883 Vs FYL3-1
27/09/25HFYL Vs Darlington 18832-2
13/09/25HFYL Vs Bamber Bridge4-1
05/05/25HFYL Vs Barnet0-3
26/04/25ATamworth Vs FYL4-3
21/04/25ARochdale Vs FYL0-0
18/04/25HFYL Vs Halifax0-1

Forest GreenForest Green

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26HFG Vs Boreham Wood0-3
08/08/26HFG Vs Halifax3-2
29/04/26ABoreham Wood Vs FG0-0
25/04/26HFG Vs Morecambe5-0
18/04/26AHartlepool Vs FG2-1
11/04/26HFG Vs Braintree Town3-1
06/04/26ATruro Vs FG1-1
03/04/26HFG Vs Brackley Town4-0
28/03/26AEastleigh Vs FG2-4
25/03/26ATamworth Vs FG1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

F
Fylde
England: National League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL0.88
HomeLLWDD1.15
AwayDLLWL0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%31%17%
AVG goals3.043.352.71
Over 1.5 %84%92%75%
Over 2.5 %62%73%50%
Over 3.5 %32%38%25%
Scored1.161.580.71
Conceded1.881.772.00
BTTS54%65%42%
Clean Sheet12%19%4%
Corners---
Cards4.073.914.24
Forest Green
Forest Green
England: National League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.70
HomeWWWWL2.12
AwayLWDLD1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%64%32%
AVG goals2.983.162.80
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %34%40%28%
Scored1.762.081.44
Conceded1.221.081.36
BTTS64%64%64%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners8.00-8.00
Cards4.174.094.25

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SuttonSutton512
80%
2.4
73+4
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.6
54%
2YeovilYeovil511
60%
2.2
105+5
3.0
100%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.0
47%
3Boreham WoodBoreham Wood410
75%
2.5
115+6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.2
58%
4HarrogateHarrogate510
60%
2.0
139+4
4.4
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.61.8
-
5
F
Fylde
510
60%
2.0
117+4
3.6
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.4
-
6SouthendSouthend510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.2
52%
7EastleighEastleigh510
60%
2.0
75+2
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.0
41%
8
K
Kidderminster
48
50%
2.0
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.8
-
9AldershotAldershot58
40%
1.6
64+2
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
54%
10Boston UtdBoston Utd46
50%
1.5
43+1
1.8
50%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.00.8
-
11HalifaxHalifax56
40%
1.2
99+0
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
48%
12HartlepoolHartlepool56
40%
1.2
44+0
1.6
40%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.80.8
47%
13AltrinchamAltrincham56
40%
1.2
57-2
2.4
60%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
52%
14CarlisleCarlisle35
33%
1.7
64+2
3.3
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.3
49%
15WealdstoneWealdstone45
25%
1.2
66+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
57%
16ScunthorpeScunthorpe54
20%
0.8
810-2
3.6
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.0
49%
17WokingWoking44
25%
1.0
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
50%
18GatesheadGateshead53
20%
0.6
48-4
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
50%
19Forest GreenForest Green43
25%
0.8
49-5
3.2
100%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.2
53%
20BarrowBarrow42
0%
0.5
47-3
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.8
-
21TamworthTamworth41
0%
0.2
712-5
4.8
100%
100%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.83.0
38%
22SolihullSolihull50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
48%
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

← all matches