The encounter between Fylde and Forest Green is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win at 38 %. Home win stands at 35 %, a draw 27 %. The expected total goals is 2.9, yet the most likely total is 2, a 25 % chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.9 % probability, distinct from the total-goals expectation. Fylde, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Forest Green, on the road against a similar side, averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 at 99.1 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3 % with a 6 % edge, Under 6.5 at 97.3 % with a 3 % edge, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.6 % with a 5 % edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.4 % with a 6 % edge, Home under 3.5 goals at 94.7 % with a 3 % edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.4 % with a 5 % edge, and Away under 3.5 goals at 93.8 % with a 4 % edge. Both sides have recently come off defeats, adding to the uncertainty.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Forest Green, was expected to win with a 39% chance, but Fylde defied expectations to secure a 2-0 home victory. The model’s call was therefore wrong. Fylde’s recent form, highlighted by a win, proved decisive, while Forest Green’s form, after two straight defeats, did not translate into a win. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2%, Under 6.5 at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.6%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.3%, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.7%, and Away under 3.5 goals at 93.8%. The match remained low-scoring, with Fylde’s two goals proving enough to overturn the prediction.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Fylde win✓ Hit
33.8%
Avg Implied 33.7% · @ 2.72
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.83
Unibet
2.80
Betano
2.77
William Hil
2.75
10Bet
2.75
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.67
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.88
Betano
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Dafabet
3.75
Bet365
3.70
Forest Green win✗ Miss
38.7%
Avg Implied 41.3% · @ 2.22
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.28
Betano
2.25
Unibet
2.23
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
F
Fylde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.80
1.40
1.67
1.00
1.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.50
2.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (7)
1.43
1.71
1.80
1.40
0.50
2.50
vs Weaker (21)
1.10
1.76
1.11
1.78
1.08
1.75
Clean sheet %
10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Forest Green) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forest Green
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.30
2.20
1.33
1.13
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.00
3.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (19)
1.84
1.37
2.44
1.44
1.30
1.30
vs Weaker (8)
1.75
1.12
2.20
0.80
1.00
1.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
@ 1.13-3.7%
Under 1.5
21.5%
@ 5.20+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Under
Pinnacle
5.72
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
Superbet
5.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.48-9.1%
Under 2.5
46.3%
@ 2.48+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.48
Superbet
1.48
Under
Pinnacle
2.65
Betfair
2.60
10Bet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.4%
@ 2.21-10.8%
Under 3.5
68.6%
@ 1.61+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.26
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.62
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.3%
@ 1.42-6.6%
No
41.7%
@ 2.62+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.41
No
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.70
BetVictor
2.70
1xBet
2.66
Bet365
2.62
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 7.07+6.8%
1-2
8.7%@ 8.23+3.4%
2-1
8.0%@ 9.28+3.3%
0-1
7.5%@ 10.83+3.5%
0-0
7.1%@ 15.53+4.3%
1-0
6.9%@ 12.25+3.3%
0-2
6.4%@ 12.87+3.0%
2-2
5.9%@ 9.87+1.5%
Fylde goals ↓
Forest Green goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
7.5%
6.4%
3.1%
1.1%
1
6.9%
13%
8.7%
4.2%
1.6%
2
5.5%
8.0%
5.9%
2.9%
1.1%
3
2.5%
3.6%
2.7%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Fylde goals (down), columns = Forest Green goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Fylde is 0.37 points worse than Forest Green in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Fylde is 0.29 goals worse than Forest Green in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Fylde is 0.35 goals worse than Forest Green in terms of goals conceded per game (1.46 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Fylde or Draw✓ Hit
61.3%
Avg Implied 58.8% · @ 1.57
Edge
+2.5%
34%
27%
39%
covers Fylde + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.62
William Hil
1.60
BetVictor
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Fylde or Forest Green✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied 75.2% · @ 1.22
Edge
-2.6%
34%
27%
39%
covers Fylde + Forest Green
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
Draw or Forest Green✗ Miss
66.2%
Avg Implied 66.1% · @ 1.39
Edge
+0.1%
34%
27%
39%
covers Draw + Forest Green
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Fylde over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.3%
@ 1.19-3.1%
Under
25.7%
@ 4.09+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.20
1xBet
4.15
Superbet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.08
Fylde over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.4%
@ 2.01-6.6%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.71+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
Unibet
2.05
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Fylde over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.7%
@ 4.16-6.6%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.19+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Fylde over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 9.30-5.2%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.05+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.70
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Forest Green over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
76.9%
@ 1.16-3.1%
Under
23.1%
@ 4.65+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.20
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.90
BetVictor
4.80
Superbet
4.60
Forest Green over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.1%
@ 1.78-8.9%
Under
56.9%
@ 1.93+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
2.00
Betano
1.95
BetVictor
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Forest Green over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.3%
@ 3.45-8.6%
Under
81.7%
@ 1.27+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.59
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Under
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Forest Green over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 7.88-5.7%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.06+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.40
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Fylde, so a minus line means Fylde give that many goals of a start and Forest Green receive them. At -1, Fylde must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Fylde win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Fylde)Actual: Draw
Fylde -2
5.6%
@ 9.78-3.4%
Draw -2
10.1%
@ 7.01-2.5%
Forest Green +2
84.2%
@ 1.13+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.60
Marathonbet
6.50
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.10
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Fylde)Actual: Fylde
Fylde -1
15.8%
@ 4.93-2.0%
Draw -1
18.1%
@ 4.52-1.4%
Forest Green +1
66.2%
@ 1.40+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.80
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
Handicap +1 (Fylde)Actual: Fylde
Fylde +1
61.3%
@ 1.56+5.4%
Draw +1
19.6%
@ 4.09-1.7%
Forest Green -1
19.1%
@ 3.81-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
Unibet
1.50
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Unibet
3.40
Away
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.40
Handicap +2 (Fylde)Actual: Fylde
Fylde +2
80.9%
@ 1.20+6.1%
Draw +2
11.8%
@ 6.38-2.3%
Forest Green -2
7.3%
@ 8.12-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Superbet
6.10
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.80
Superbet
7.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
F
Fylde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.53
0.67
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.71
0.60
0.60
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.71
0.81
0.56
0.78
0.83
0.83
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Forest Green) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forest Green
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.60
1.00
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.53
1.00
0.44
1.22
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (8)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.9%
@ 1.23-3.9%
Under 0.5
29.1%
@ 3.67+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Under
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
3.80
BetVictor
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.9%
@ 2.15-7.2%
Under 1.5
64.1%
@ 1.63+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.21
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.16
1xBet
2.16
Under
William Hil
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Betfair
1.65
Superbet
1.64
BetVictor
1.63
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 4.72-6.0%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.15+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
4.80
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Under
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Fylde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.2%
@ 1.86-7.6%
Under
57.8%
@ 1.84+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.90
Superbet
1.85
Unibet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Fylde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 5.25-7.4%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.12+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
Betano
5.30
Superbet
5.15
1xBet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
Fylde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 13.62-5.2%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Forest Green over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.3%
@ 1.73-3.2%
Under
49.7%
@ 1.99+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Unibet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
1xBet
2.06
Pinnacle
2.06
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Forest Green over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.9%
@ 4.53-3.5%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.16+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
Superbet
4.55
Betano
4.50
1xBet
4.30
Under
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
Forest Green over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 12.00-4.4%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.02+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
F
Fylde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.00
0.87
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.50
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (7)
1.00
1.00
1.20
0.80
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (21)
0.38
0.95
0.56
1.00
0.25
0.92
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Forest Green) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Forest Green
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.47
1.60
0.33
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (19)
1.32
0.37
2.00
0.22
0.70
0.50
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.62
1.20
0.40
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Fylde) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.9%
@ 1.13-3.2%
Under 0.5
21.1%
@ 5.18+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.30
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.15
Superbet
5.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.0%
@ 1.69-10.6%
Under 1.5
56.0%
@ 2.03+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.71
William Hil
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Under
Betano
2.15
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.6%
@ 3.08-8.4%
Under 2.5
78.4%
@ 1.32+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
William Hil
3.00
Under
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Fylde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.0%
@ 1.59-6.2%
Under
48.0%
@ 2.21+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.26
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.12
Fylde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
15.8%
@ 3.80-8.5%
Under
84.2%
@ 1.22+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.95
Superbet
3.85
Betano
3.70
1xBet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
Fylde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.7%
@ 9.25-6.4%
Under
96.3%
@ 1.04+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Forest Green over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
61.6%
@ 1.53+1.0%
Under
38.4%
@ 2.36-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.63
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.47
Superbet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.09
Forest Green over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.9%
@ 3.30-7.1%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.28+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.34
Betano
3.20
1xBet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Forest Green over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.3%
@ 8.37-5.8%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.04+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.00
1xBet
8.70
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.3%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.1%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.7%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.8%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.03
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.3%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.15
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.4%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.3%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.2%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+5.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.2%
1.22
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+8.5%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
83.1%
1.16
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.7%
1.27
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
80.9%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.28
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.9%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.14
1xBet
1.10
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.5%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Superbet
1.13
-3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.32
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.33
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
76.9%
1.16
Marathonbet
1.20
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.14
-3.1%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
74.3%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
-3.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.5%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.22
-2.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.9%
1.23
Betano
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Superbet
1.24
-3.9%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →