Gagauziya-Oguzsport vs Făleşti Result & Analysis

Date: 02/12/2023

Time: 11:00

Final 3-2

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

42%

27%

31%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Făleşti

Moldova: Liga 1

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gagauziya-Oguzsport win✓ Hit

42.5%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✗ Miss

26.7%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Făleşti win✗ Miss

30.8%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.6

Avg scored

1.9

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.00	1.08	1.67	1.00	2.33	1.17
vs Stronger (3)	1.33	1.67	1.50	2.00	1.00	1.00
vs Similar (7)	2.14	1.00	1.67	0.33	2.50	1.50
vs Weaker (2)	2.50	0.50	2.00	1.00	3.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	33% (+11pp vs league)

This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Făleşti

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.8

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

1.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.33	2.77	1.19	2.62	1.50	2.93
vs Stronger (4)	0.75	2.25	1.00	1.50	0.50	3.00
vs Similar (21)	1.38	2.90	1.00	3.00	1.80	2.80
vs Weaker (5)	1.60	2.60	2.00	2.00	1.00	3.50
Clean sheet %	17% (-5pp vs league)

This opponent (Gagauziya-Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

80.1%

Under 1.5

19.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

56.0%

Under 2.5

44.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

33.6%

Under 3.5

66.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

59.8%

40.2%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.5%

2-1

9.1%

1-2

7.6%

1-0

7.4%

2-0

6.8%

0-0

6.5%

2-2

6.0%

0-1

6.0%

Gagauziya-Oguzsport goals ↓

	Făleşti goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	6.0%	4.8%	2.1%	0.7%
1	7.4%	13%	7.6%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.8%	9.1%	6.0%	2.7%	0.9%
3	3.6%	4.8%	3.2%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.4%	1.9%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gagauziya-Oguzsport goals (down), columns = Făleşti goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Saxan

2.33

Sheriff II

2.32

Victoria Bardar

2.27

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

2.20

FCM Ungheni

1.57

Olimp Comrat

1.45

Speranis Nisporeni

1.45

Speranța Drochia

1.40

Iskra

1.36

Văsieni

1.33

Făleşti

1.23

Real Succes

0.36

Dinamo-Auto

0.05

Gagauziya-Oguzsport is 0.97 points better than Făleşti in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Victoria Bardar

3.07

Sheriff II

3.00

Saxan

2.93

Văsieni

2.53

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

2.20

FCM Ungheni

1.71

Olimp Comrat

1.64

Speranis Nisporeni

1.64

Făleşti

1.59

Iskra

1.55

Real Succes

1.14

Speranța Drochia

0.93

Dinamo-Auto

0.27

Gagauziya-Oguzsport is 0.61 goals better than Făleşti in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 1.59).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Sheriff II

0.68

Saxan

0.93

Speranța Drochia

1.00

Victoria Bardar

1.13

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

1.20

Olimp Comrat

1.45

Speranis Nisporeni

1.55

Iskra

1.91

Văsieni

2.00

FCM Ungheni

2.14

Făleşti

2.23

Real Succes

2.77

Dinamo-Auto

3.77

Gagauziya-Oguzsport is 1.03 goals better than Făleşti in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 2.23).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

no recent games

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	0% (-22pp vs league)

This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Făleşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

0.2

Avg conceded

1.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.22	1.56	0.25	1.50	0.20	1.60
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (7)	0.29	1.43	0.33	1.67	0.25	1.25
vs Weaker (2)	0.00	2.00	0.00	1.00	0.00	3.00
Clean sheet %	33% (+11pp vs league)

This opponent (Gagauziya-Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 0.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 1.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 2.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Făleşti over/under 0.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Făleşti over/under 1.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Făleşti over/under 2.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

no recent games

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	0% (-22pp vs league)

This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Făleşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.0

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

3.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.78	3.22	0.50	3.00	1.00	3.40
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (7)	0.86	3.29	0.33	3.33	1.25	3.25
vs Weaker (2)	0.50	3.00	1.00	2.00	0.00	4.00
Clean sheet %	0% (-22pp vs league)

This opponent (Gagauziya-Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 0.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 1.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 2.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Făleşti over/under 0.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Făleşti over/under 1.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Făleşti over/under 2.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	80.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (2)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FU (2)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings

GAG wins

Draws

FĂL wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gagauziya-Oguzsport vs Făleşti · H/A from GAG

Date	H/A	Game	Score
20/10/23	A	Făleşti Vs GAG	1-2
01/09/23	H	GAG Vs Făleşti	3-0

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
24/11/23	A	Speranis Nisporeni Vs GAG	2-4
11/11/23	H	GAG Vs Saxan	0-1
04/11/23	A	Olimp Comrat Vs GAG	0-2
27/10/23	H	GAG Vs Real Succes	2-1
20/10/23	A	Făleşti Vs GAG	1-2
06/10/23	H	GAG Vs Speranis Nisporeni	2-1
30/09/23	A	Saxan Vs GAG	1-1
22/09/23	H	GAG Vs Olimp Comrat	0-0
15/09/23	A	Real Succes Vs GAG	0-3
01/09/23	H	GAG Vs Făleşti	3-0

Făleşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
24/11/23	H	FĂL Vs Real Succes	2-5
10/11/23	H	FĂL Vs Olimp Comrat	0-1
04/11/23	H	FĂL Vs Speranis Nisporeni	0-0
28/10/23	A	Saxan Vs FĂL	2-0
20/10/23	H	FĂL Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport	1-2
07/10/23	A	Real Succes Vs FĂL	0-3
29/09/23	A	Olimp Comrat Vs FĂL	2-3
22/09/23	A	Speranis Nisporeni Vs FĂL	0-1
16/09/23	H	FĂL Vs Saxan	1-2
01/09/23	A	Gagauziya-Oguzsport Vs FĂL	3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Moldova: Liga 1

Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWWLW	2.00
Home	WDWWL	1.83
Away	WDWWW	2.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	58%	50%	67%
AVG goals	3.08	2.67	3.50
Over 1.5 %	83%	67%	100%
Over 2.5 %	67%	67%	67%
Over 3.5 %	25%	17%	33%
Scored	2.00	1.67	2.33
Conceded	1.08	1.00	1.17
BTTS	58%	50%	67%
Clean Sheet	33%	33%	33%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Făleşti

Moldova: Liga 1

Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLDLL	1.06
Home	LLDLL	0.82
Away	LWWWL	1.31

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	33%	24%	44%
AVG goals	4.09	3.82	4.38
Over 1.5 %	88%	82%	94%
Over 2.5 %	79%	76%	81%
Over 3.5 %	58%	47%	69%
Scored	1.42	1.18	1.69
Conceded	2.67	2.65	2.69
BTTS	70%	76%	62%
Clean Sheet	15%	12%	19%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Sheriff II	22	51	73%	2.3	66	15	+51	3.7	73%	59%	45%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.0	0.7	-
2	Saxan	15	35	67%	2.3	44	14	+30	3.9	87%	60%	47%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.9	0.9	-
3	Victoria Bardar	15	34	73%	2.3	46	17	+29	4.2	80%	67%	47%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	3.1	1.1	-
4	Gagauziya-Oguzsport	15	33	67%	2.2	33	18	+15	3.4	87%	73%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.2	-
5	Olimp Comrat	22	32	41%	1.5	36	32	+4	3.1	91%	68%	36%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	1.5	-
6	Speranis Nisporeni	22	32	41%	1.5	36	34	+2	3.2	73%	68%	41%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	1.5	-
7	Iskra	22	30	41%	1.4	34	42	-8	3.5	82%	68%	41%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.9	-
8	Făleşti	22	27	36%	1.2	35	49	-14	3.8	77%	73%	36%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	2.2	-
9	Speranța Drochia	15	21	40%	1.4	14	15	-1	1.9	53%	47%	13%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	1.0	-
10	Văsieni	15	20	40%	1.3	38	30	+8	4.5	87%	80%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.5	2.0	-
11	FCM Ungheni	7	11	43%	1.6	12	15	-3	3.9	100%	100%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.7	2.1	-
12	Real Succes	22	8	9%	0.4	25	61	-36	3.9	95%	91%	41%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	2.8	-
13	Dinamo-Auto	22	1	0%	0.0	6	83	-77	4.0	91%	91%	41%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.3	3.8	-

Moldova: Liga 1 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

← all matches

Gagauziya-Oguzsport vs Făleşti Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Făleşti

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Făleşti

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Făleşti

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Gagauziya-Oguzsport

Făleşti

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature