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Gagauziya-Oguzsport vs Speranța Drochia Result & Analysis

Date: 03/05/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 7-0
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
Vs
54%
24%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Speranța Drochia
Speranța Drochia
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gagauziya-Oguzsport win✓ Hit
54.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia win✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W42W11D30W12L30W23L12L12L11DA·REA09/12H·OLI16/12H·SPA08/03A·SAX16/03H·FLO30/03A·SPE06/04H·VIC12/04A·SPA17/04H·SAX20/04A·FLO27/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.261.831.502.181.00
vs Stronger (5)1.601.401.332.002.000.50
vs Similar (10)2.401.402.331.332.501.50
vs Weaker (8)1.751.001.331.332.000.80
Clean sheet %26% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranța Drochia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D21W02L03L11D03L12L01L03L15LA·VĂS08/12H·VIC16/12H·SAX08/03A·FLO17/03H·VIC30/03H·GAG06/04A·SPA13/04A·SAX16/04H·FLO20/04A·VIC27/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.730.671.470.872.00
vs Stronger (16)0.561.940.601.500.502.67
vs Similar (11)1.181.361.001.001.291.57
vs Weaker (3)0.332.000.003.000.501.50
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagauziya-Oguzsport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.4%
Under 1.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.7%
Under 2.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.3%
Under 3.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.8%
No
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
0-0
5.6%
Gagauziya-Oguzsport goals ↓
Speranța Drochia goals →
01234
05.6%4.3%3.1%1.2%0.4%
17.7%11%6.0%2.3%0.7%
28.4%9.8%5.7%2.2%0.6%
35.4%6.3%3.7%1.4%0.4%
42.6%3.0%1.8%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gagauziya-Oguzsport goals (down), columns = Speranța Drochia goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Victoria Bardar
2.38
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.17
Petrocub
2.17
Olimp Comrat
2.00
Zimbru
1.75
Milsami Orhei
1.58
Saxan
1.54
Iskra
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Floreşti
1.38
CSF Bălți
1.25
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.17
Dacia-Buiucani
0.67
Spartanii Selemet
0.60
Speranța Drochia
0.09
Făleşti
0.00
FCM Ungheni
0.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport is 1.08 points better than Speranța Drochia in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 0.09).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Petrocub
2.46
Victoria Bardar
2.15
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.12
FCM Ungheni
2.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.92
Floreşti
1.62
Olimp Comrat
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Saxan
1.38
Zimbru
1.38
CSF Bălți
1.38
Milsami Orhei
1.29
Iskra
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.96
Dacia-Buiucani
0.83
Speranța Drochia
0.45
Făleşti
0.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport is 1.46 goals better than Speranța Drochia in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 0.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olimp Comrat
0.00
Petrocub
0.50
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.67
Victoria Bardar
0.92
Zimbru
0.96
Milsami Orhei
1.08
Saxan
1.15
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.58
Floreşti
1.62
CSF Bălți
1.83
Dacia-Buiucani
2.42
Iskra
2.50
Speranis Nisporeni
2.50
Spartanii Selemet
2.52
Speranța Drochia
2.82
Făleşti
3.00
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport is 1.23 goals better than Speranța Drochia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 2.82).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W30W00D10W00D00DH·SPA08/03A·SAX16/03H·FLO30/03A·SPE06/04A·SPA17/04A·FLO27/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.000.500.001.000.00
vs Stronger (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (5)0.400.000.500.000.330.00
Clean sheet %100% (+68pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranța Drochia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L12L00D03L03LH·SAX08/03H·VIC30/03H·GAG06/04A·SPA13/04A·SAX16/04H·FLO20/04A·VIC27/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.291.430.251.250.331.67
vs Stronger (5)0.201.000.330.670.001.50
vs Similar (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Weaker (1)0.003.000.003.00--
Clean sheet %29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagauziya-Oguzsport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D12L20W12L11DH·SPA08/03A·SAX16/03H·FLO30/03A·SPE06/04A·SPA17/04A·FLO27/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.000.501.501.000.75
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (5)1.001.200.501.501.331.00
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Speranța Drochia) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L02L00D01L00D12LH·SAX08/03H·VIC30/03H·GAG06/04A·SPA13/04A·SAX16/04H·FLO20/04A·VIC27/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.141.000.001.000.331.00
vs Stronger (5)0.201.400.001.330.501.50
vs Similar (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagauziya-Oguzsport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagauziya-Oguzsport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Speranța Drochia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
GAG wins
0
Draws
0
SD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gagauziya-Oguzsport vs Speranța Drochia · H/A from GAG
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/24ASperanța Drochia Vs GAG0-3

Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/24AFloreşti Vs GAG1-1
20/04/24HGAG Vs Saxan1-2
17/04/24ASpartanii Selemet Vs GAG2-1
12/04/24HGAG Vs Victoria Bardar2-3
06/04/24ASperanța Drochia Vs GAG0-3
30/03/24HGAG Vs Floreşti1-2
16/03/24ASaxan Vs GAG0-3
08/03/24HGAG Vs Spartanii Selemet1-1
16/12/23HGAG Vs Olimp Comrat4-2
09/12/23AReal Succes Vs GAG1-2

Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/24AVictoria Bardar Vs SD5-1
20/04/24HSD Vs Floreşti0-3
16/04/24ASaxan Vs SD1-0
13/04/24ASpartanii Selemet Vs SD2-1
06/04/24HSD Vs Gagauziya-Oguzsport0-3
30/03/24HSD Vs Victoria Bardar1-1
17/03/24AFloreşti Vs SD3-0
08/03/24HSD Vs Saxan0-2
16/12/23HSD Vs Victoria Bardar2-1
08/12/23AVăsieni Vs SD0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gagauziya-Oguzsport
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD1.78
HomeWDLLL1.50
AwayWWWLD2.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%42%64%
AVG goals3.263.333.18
Over 1.5 %91%83%100%
Over 2.5 %74%75%73%
Over 3.5 %26%33%18%
Scored2.001.832.18
Conceded1.261.501.00
BTTS70%75%64%
Clean Sheet26%17%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Speranța Drochia
Speranța Drochia
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.10
HomeWLDLL1.30
AwayDLLLL0.90
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%35%29%
AVG goals2.632.352.90
Over 1.5 %73%75%71%
Over 2.5 %63%55%71%
Over 3.5 %20%15%24%
Scored1.001.001.00
Conceded1.631.351.90
BTTS51%45%57%
Clean Sheet17%25%10%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetrocubPetrocub2452
62%
2.2
5912+47
3.0
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.50.5
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2452
67%
2.2
5116+35
2.8
83%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.7
-
3ZimbruZimbru2442
54%
1.8
3323+10
2.3
71%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.0
-
4Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2438
46%
1.6
3126+5
2.4
75%
54%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.31.1
-
5FloreştiFloreşti2433
42%
1.4
3939+0
3.2
83%
79%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
6Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1331
77%
2.4
2812+16
3.1
69%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.9
-
7CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2430
38%
1.2
3344-11
3.2
88%
75%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.8
-
8SaxanSaxan1320
46%
1.5
1815+3
2.5
62%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2416
12%
0.7
2058-38
3.2
92%
67%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0010.82.4
-
10Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet2515
16%
0.6
2463-39
3.5
92%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.5
-
11Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport1214
33%
1.2
2319+4
3.5
100%
83%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat24
50%
2.0
30+3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.0
-
13Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni23
50%
1.5
35-2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.5
-
14IskraIskra23
50%
1.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
15Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia111
0%
0.1
531-26
3.3
91%
73%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.8
-
16FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
17FăleştiFăleşti10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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