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Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi Result & Analysis

Date: 16/06/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 0-3
Gagra
Gagra
Vs
21%
29%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Gagra win✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi win✓ Hit
50.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

GagraGagra

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D25L10W10W03L53W01L02L12L01LA·SAM14/04A·DIN18/04H·DIN23/04H·DIL29/04A·SAB03/05H·LOK09/05A·TEL13/05H·SAM17/05H·SIO22/05A·TOR26/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.121.621.381.380.881.88
vs Stronger (10)0.801.700.800.800.802.60
vs Similar (6)1.671.502.332.331.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %25% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-730W52W30W11D00D30W00D72W20W44DA·SAM10/04H·GAG18/04A·TOR23/04A·SIO29/04A·DIN03/05H·DIL08/05A·SAB12/05H·LOK17/05A·TEL21/05H·SAM25/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.560.813.621.251.500.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.890.563.000.501.000.60
vs Weaker (7)3.431.144.252.002.330.00
Clean sheet %62% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.9%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.3%
Under 2.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.8%
Under 3.5
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.6%
No
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1
13.1%
0-0
10.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
0-3 ✓
5.2%
Gagra goals ↓
Dinamo Batumi goals →
01234
011%13%11%5.2%1.9%
17.1%13%9.1%4.5%1.6%
23.6%5.3%3.9%1.9%0.7%
31.0%1.5%1.1%0.5%0.2%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gagra goals (down), columns = Dinamo Batumi goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Samtredia
3.00
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.22
Dinamo Batumi
2.14
Dila
1.64
Samgurali
1.58
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.50
Spaeri
1.50
Saburtalo
1.31
Telavi
1.08
Gagra
1.03
Sioni
0.95
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
0.22
Gagra is 1.11 points worse than Dinamo Batumi in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 2.14).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Batumi
2.42
Dinamo Tbilisi
2.03
Samgurali
1.53
Samtredia
1.50
Saburtalo
1.42
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Dila
1.33
Sioni
1.00
Gagra
1.00
Spaeri
1.00
Telavi
0.81
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
0.78
Gagra is 1.42 goals worse than Dinamo Batumi in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.42).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Samtredia
0.00
Dinamo Tbilisi
0.81
Dinamo Batumi
0.94
Dila
0.97
Telavi
1.00
Spaeri
1.00
Samgurali
1.22
Torpedo Kutaisi
1.33
Saburtalo
1.36
Gagra
1.55
Sioni
1.66
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
2.81
Gagra is 0.61 goals worse than Dinamo Batumi in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 0.94).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

GagraGagra

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

GagraGagra

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (6)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (7)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GagraGagra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L00D00D00D11D00D02L01L00DA·SAM14/04A·DIN18/04H·DIN23/04H·DIL29/04A·SAB03/05H·LOK09/05A·TEL13/05H·SAM17/05H·SIO22/05A·TOR26/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.440.880.380.880.500.88
vs Stronger (10)0.300.800.200.400.401.20
vs Similar (6)0.671.000.671.670.670.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W31W20W10W00D10W00D42W20W32WA·SAM10/04H·GAG18/04A·TOR23/04A·SIO29/04A·DIN03/05H·DIL08/05A·SAB12/05H·LOK17/05A·TEL21/05H·SAM25/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.440.382.000.750.880.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.111.250.250.600.00
vs Weaker (7)2.140.712.751.251.330.00
Clean sheet %75% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gagra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GagraGagra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L10W10W03L42W01L00D11D01LA·SAM14/04A·DIN18/04H·DIN23/04H·DIL29/04A·SAB03/05H·LOK09/05A·TEL13/05H·SAM17/05H·SIO22/05A·TOR26/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.690.751.000.500.381.00
vs Stronger (10)0.500.900.600.400.401.40
vs Similar (6)1.000.501.670.670.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Batumi) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W10W01L00D20W00D30W00D12LA·SAM10/04H·GAG18/04A·TOR23/04A·SIO29/04A·DIN03/05H·DIL08/05A·SAB12/05H·LOK17/05A·TEL21/05H·SAM25/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.120.441.620.500.620.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.000.441.750.250.400.60
vs Weaker (7)1.290.431.500.751.000.00
Clean sheet %69% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Gagra) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gagra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gagra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Batumi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (26)
€7m
TK (22)
€7m
DB (25)
€6m
SAB (22)
€6m
DIL (23)
€4m
SAM (24)
€3m
GAG (23)
€3m
SPA (20)
€2m
SAM (4)
€0m
Gagra's squad is €4m less valuable than Dinamo Batumi's (€3m vs €6m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DB (9)
€3m
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (7)
€3m
TK (7)
€2m
DIL (8)
€2m
SAM (9)
€1m
GAG (8)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (1)
€0m
Gagra's attack is €2m less valuable than Dinamo Batumi's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TK (5)
€2m
SAB (5)
€2m
DB (6)
€1m
SAM (5)
€1m
GAG (6)
€1m
DT (4)
€1m
DIL (6)
€1m
SPA (4)
€0m
SAM (1)
€0m
Gagra and Dinamo Batumi have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SAB (10)
€2m
TK (10)
€2m
DIL (9)
€2m
DB (10)
€2m
SAM (10)
€1m
GAG (9)
€1m
SPA (8)
€1m
SAM (2)
€0m
Gagra and Dinamo Batumi have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
GAG wins
0
Draws
1
DB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gagra vs Dinamo Batumi · H/A from GAG
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/22ADinamo Batumi Vs GAG5-2

GagraGagra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/05/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs GAG1-0
22/05/22HGAG Vs Sioni1-2
17/05/22HGAG Vs Samgurali0-2
13/05/22ATelavi Vs GAG1-0
09/05/22HGAG Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi5-3
03/05/22ASaburtalo Vs GAG3-0
29/04/22HGAG Vs Dila1-0
23/04/22HGAG Vs Dinamo Tbilisi1-0
18/04/22ADinamo Batumi Vs GAG5-2
14/04/22ASamgurali Vs GAG1-1

Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/22HDB Vs Samgurali4-4
21/05/22ATelavi Vs DB0-2
17/05/22HDB Vs Lokomotivi Tbilisi7-2
12/05/22ASaburtalo Vs DB0-0
08/05/22HDB Vs Dila3-0
03/05/22ADinamo Tbilisi Vs DB0-0
29/04/22ASioni Vs DB1-1
23/04/22ATorpedo Kutaisi Vs DB0-3
18/04/22HDB Vs Gagra5-2
10/04/22ASamgurali Vs DB0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gagra
Gagra
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.06
HomeWWWLL1.62
AwayDLLLL0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%50%12%
AVG goals2.752.752.75
Over 1.5 %69%62%75%
Over 2.5 %44%38%50%
Over 3.5 %19%25%12%
Scored1.121.380.88
Conceded1.621.381.88
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet25%38%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWD2.19
HomeWWWWD2.50
AwayWDDDW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%75%50%
AVG goals3.384.881.88
Over 1.5 %81%88%75%
Over 2.5 %62%88%38%
Over 3.5 %31%62%0%
Scored2.563.621.50
Conceded0.811.250.38
BTTS38%50%25%
Clean Sheet62%50%75%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dinamo TbilisiDinamo Tbilisi3680
67%
2.2
7329+44
2.8
75%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Dinamo BatumiDinamo Batumi3677
64%
2.1
8734+53
3.4
83%
64%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.40.9
-
3DilaDila3659
47%
1.6
4835+13
2.3
67%
53%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.0
-
4SamguraliSamgurali3657
42%
1.6
5544+11
2.8
86%
58%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.2
-
5Torpedo KutaisiTorpedo Kutaisi3654
42%
1.5
4848+0
2.7
75%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.31.3
-
6SaburtaloSaburtalo3647
36%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3221.41.4
-
7TelaviTelavi3639
22%
1.1
2936-7
1.8
61%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
8GagraGagra3839
26%
1.0
3859-21
2.6
74%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.6
-
9SioniSioni3836
21%
0.9
3863-25
2.7
76%
50%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
10Lokomotivi TbilisiLokomotivi Tbilisi368
3%
0.2
28101-73
3.6
86%
61%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.8
-
11SamtrediaSamtredia26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.0
-
12SpaeriSpaeri23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
Georgia: Erovnuli Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Georgia: Erovnuli Liga stats & trends →

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