Gareji vs Sioni Result & Analysis

Gareji are favoured to win, with a 51% chance of triumph, 26% for a draw and 22% for Sioni to take the victory. The model expects 2.7 goals on average, with the most likely total being two goals at a 25% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.6% chance. In recent form, Gareji have won their last two matches, while Sioni also enjoy a two-game winning streak, both ending 2-1 against their respective opponents. At home, Gareji average 2.5 goals scored and 1.36 conceded against similarly ranked teams, whereas Sioni, on the road, average 1.14 scored and 1.36 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with a 76.8% probability, and Under 3.5 with a 70.8% probability. All figures are presented in percentages.

The upset came as Gareji’s 2-game winning streak was halted by a 3-4 defeat to Sioni, who also finished on a two-game run. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was backed by the model at 51% but proved wrong as the away side claimed victory. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 1.5, with a 76.8% chance, hit, while Under 3.5, at 70.8%, missed. The final score of 3-4 matched the actual result of an away win, confirming the unexpected outcome. The model’s pick was therefore incorrect, and the total-goals predictions fell short of the 2-goal expectation.