Gateshead vs Sutton Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026

Time: 18:45

Final 0-1

Gateshead

34%

27%

39%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Sutton

England: National League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

The clash between Gates Head and Sutton is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win percentages stand at 34 % and 39 %, while a draw sits at 27 %. The expected total is 2.9 goals, yet the most probable total is two goals, making the 1-1 scoreline the single most likely outcome at 12.7 %. Gates Head, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.27 goals scored and 1.82 conceded, whereas Sutton on the road averages 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 at 99.0 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.0 % (edge 6 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.7 % (edge 6 %), Under 6.5 at 97.1 % (edge 3 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.4 % (edge 7 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.9 % (edge 5 %), Home under 3.5 goals at 94.7 % (edge 4 %), and Away under 3.5 goals at 93.4 % (edge 2 %). Gates Head are coming off a 0-3 loss to Yeovil, while Sutton enter on a three-game winning streak, adding intrigue to the tightly contested fixture.

Results analysis

The latest National League fixture saw Sutton extend their four-game winning run with a 1-0 victory over Gateshead, a result that matched the model’s prediction. The pre-match favourite was an away win, assigned a 39% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away win. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.5%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.3%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 94.7%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.3% and Away under 3.5 goals hit at 93.4%. The model’s predictions performed strongly across the board.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gateshead win✗ Miss

33.9%

Avg Implied 34.8% · @ 2.64

Edge

-0.9%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

2.81

Dafabet

2.75

William Hil

2.70

Superbet

2.70

Betano

2.67

Draw✗ Miss

27.1%

Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.38

Edge

-0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

3.50

Bet365

3.50

Dafabet

3.45

Superbet

3.45

Betano

3.40

Sutton win✓ Hit

39.0%

Avg Implied 38.1% · @ 2.41

Edge

+0.9%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

2.53

William Hil

2.50

Betano

2.47

Unibet

2.45

Superbet

2.45

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gateshead

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.5

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.07	1.70	1.20	1.60	0.93	1.80
vs Stronger (2)	0.00	2.50	0.00	2.00	0.00	3.00
vs Similar (23)	1.13	1.78	1.25	1.67	1.00	1.91
vs Weaker (5)	1.20	1.00	1.50	1.00	1.00	1.00
Clean sheet %	20% (-6pp vs league)

This opponent (Sutton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sutton

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.6

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.23	1.47	1.19	1.56	1.29	1.36
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.00	1.00
vs Similar (28)	1.29	1.50	1.20	1.60	1.38	1.38
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	23% (-3pp vs league)

This opponent (Gateshead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

79.6%

@ 1.21+3.1%

Under 1.5

20.4%

@ 3.95-3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.23

Pinnacle

1.22

BetVictor

1.22

10Bet

1.22

Bet365

1.22

Under

Pinnacle

4.25

Unibet

4.10

Betfair

4.00

Bet365

4.00

BetVictor

4.00

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

55.3%

@ 1.70+0.6%

Under 2.5

44.7%

@ 2.06-0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.76

Bet365

1.75

Betano

1.72

Superbet

1.71

Marathonbet

1.71

Under

Unibet

2.14

Betano

2.10

Betfair

2.10

Pinnacle

2.09

10Bet

2.05

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

33.0%

@ 2.72-1.0%

Under 3.5

67.0%

@ 1.40+1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.88

Pinnacle

2.84

10Bet

2.75

Bet365

2.75

Superbet

2.70

Under

Betano

1.44

Pinnacle

1.42

Unibet

1.42

Superbet

1.41

10Bet

1.40

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

59.6%

@ 1.57+0.9%

40.4%

@ 2.23-0.9%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.62

William Hil

1.62

Superbet

1.59

Marathonbet

1.57

BetVictor

1.57

Betano

2.30

Unibet

2.28

Betfair

2.25

BetVictor

2.25

1xBet

2.23

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.7%@ 6.22+5.7%

1-2

8.7%@ 8.27+3.5%

2-1

8.0%@ 8.82+3.1%

0-1 ✓

7.2%@ 8.74+2.2%

0-0

6.7%@ 11.10+2.8%

1-0

6.5%@ 9.20+1.8%

0-2

6.3%@ 11.90+2.6%

2-2

6.1%@ 10.96+2.1%

Gateshead goals ↓

	Sutton goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	7.2%	6.3%	3.1%	1.2%
1	6.5%	13%	8.7%	4.4%	1.6%
2	5.3%	8.0%	6.1%	3.0%	1.1%
3	2.5%	3.7%	2.8%	1.4%	0.5%
4	0.9%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gateshead goals (down), columns = Sutton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Barrow

2.18

Harrogate

2.08

Carlisle

2.04

Boreham Wood

1.90

Scunthorpe

1.77

Forest Green

1.74

Southend

1.72

Halifax

1.52

Hartlepool

1.48

Fylde

1.38

Kidderminster

1.38

Woking

1.37

Tamworth

1.35

Boston Utd

1.28

Altrincham

1.24

Wealdstone

1.22

Solihull

1.22

Yeovil

1.11

Eastleigh

1.09

Gateshead

1.09

Sutton

1.02

Aldershot

1.00

Gateshead is 0.07 points better than Sutton in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.02).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Barrow

2.30

Harrogate

2.20

Boreham Wood

2.00

Carlisle

1.87

Southend

1.77

Forest Green

1.74

Scunthorpe

1.69

Solihull

1.54

Halifax

1.50

Aldershot

1.50

Woking

1.50

Wealdstone

1.48

Fylde

1.45

Kidderminster

1.45

Boston Utd

1.37

Tamworth

1.37

Sutton

1.28

Eastleigh

1.24

Altrincham

1.20

Hartlepool

1.17

Gateshead

1.17

Yeovil

1.04

Gateshead is 0.11 goals worse than Sutton in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Barrow

0.92

Harrogate

0.96

Southend

1.02

Carlisle

1.11

Forest Green

1.11

Woking

1.17

Boreham Wood

1.24

Hartlepool

1.28

Scunthorpe

1.35

Altrincham

1.41

Halifax

1.43

Boston Utd

1.46

Fylde

1.46

Kidderminster

1.46

Yeovil

1.48

Tamworth

1.54

Solihull

1.57

Wealdstone

1.65

Sutton

1.72

Eastleigh

1.74

Aldershot

1.89

Gateshead

1.96

Gateshead is 0.24 goals worse than Sutton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.96 vs 1.72).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %

Boreham Wood

58%

Wealdstone

57%

Sutton

54%

Aldershot

54%

Forest Green

53%

Southend

52%

Altrincham

52%

Gateshead

50%

Woking

50%

Scunthorpe

49%

Carlisle

49%

Solihull

48%

Halifax

48%

Hartlepool

47%

Yeovil

47%

Eastleigh

41%

Tamworth

38%

Gateshead is 3.7 percentage points worse than Sutton in terms of average possession (50% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Gateshead or Draw✗ Miss

61.0%

Avg Implied 61.6% · @ 1.50

Edge

-0.6%

34%

27%

39%

covers Gateshead + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.55

William Hil

1.53

Betfair

1.53

Superbet

1.51

Gateshead or Sutton✓ Hit

72.9%

Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.26

Edge

-0.3%

34%

27%

39%

covers Gateshead + Sutton

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.30

William Hil

1.30

BetVictor

1.29

Superbet

1.28

Bet365

1.28

Draw or Sutton✓ Hit

66.1%

Avg Implied 65.2% · @ 1.41

Edge

+0.9%

34%

27%

39%

covers Draw + Sutton

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.44

10Bet

1.44

Betfair

1.44

Superbet

1.43

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Gateshead over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

75.1%

@ 1.25+1.0%

Under

24.9%

@ 3.57-1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.26

Superbet

1.26

Betfair

1.25

BetVictor

1.25

Bet365

1.25

Under

Pinnacle

3.85

Bet365

3.75

Betano

3.60

BetVictor

3.60

Betfair

3.50

Gateshead over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

40.5%

@ 2.23-0.9%

Under

59.5%

@ 1.58+0.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.38

Superbet

2.27

Bet365

2.25

BetVictor

2.25

Marathonbet

2.25

Under

Betano

1.62

Unibet

1.60

1xBet

1.58

Pinnacle

1.58

Superbet

1.57

Gateshead over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

16.4%

@ 5.04-2.0%

Under

83.6%

@ 1.14+2.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

5.50

BetVictor

5.25

Superbet

5.00

Betfair

5.00

Marathonbet

4.95

Under

Betano

1.17

Bet365

1.14

Superbet

1.14

Betfair

1.14

BetVictor

1.13

Gateshead over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

5.3%

@ 11.56-2.9%

Under

94.7%

@ 1.03+2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

15.00

Superbet

12.00

Betfair

10.00

Betano

9.25

Under

Betano

1.04

Bet365

1.03

Betfair

1.03

Superbet

1.02

Sutton over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

77.8%

@ 1.22+1.9%

Under

22.2%

@ 3.84-1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.24

Pinnacle

1.22

Betfair

1.22

BetVictor

1.22

Bet365

1.22

Under

Pinnacle

4.11

Bet365

4.00

Superbet

3.85

Betano

3.80

BetVictor

3.80

Sutton over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

44.4%

@ 2.10+0.4%

Under

55.6%

@ 1.66-0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.20

Betfair

2.20

BetVictor

2.15

1xBet

2.12

Marathonbet

2.11

Under

Betano

1.70

Pinnacle

1.68

Superbet

1.67

Bet365

1.67

Marathonbet

1.65

Sutton over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

19.3%

@ 4.55-1.0%

Under

80.7%

@ 1.16+1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

5.00

BetVictor

4.75

Bet365

4.50

1xBet

4.50

Marathonbet

4.45

Under

Betano

1.19

Bet365

1.18

Superbet

1.17

BetVictor

1.15

1xBet

1.14

Sutton over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

6.6%

@ 9.88-2.9%

Under

93.4%

@ 1.04+2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

11.00

Betfair

10.00

Superbet

10.00

Betano

8.50

Under

Betano

1.05

Bet365

1.05

Betfair

1.03

Superbet

1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Gateshead, so a minus line means Gateshead give that many goals of a start and Sutton receive them. At -1, Gateshead must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gateshead win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Gateshead)Actual: Sutton

Gateshead -2

5.8%

@ 10.69-2.5%

Draw -2

10.2%

@ 6.84-2.7%

Sutton +2

84.0%

@ 1.12+5.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

13.00

Betfair

12.00

Superbet

11.00

Marathonbet

6.75

Draw

Bet365

8.00

Betfair

7.50

Superbet

7.10

Marathonbet

4.75

Away

Bet365

1.14

Superbet

1.13

Betfair

1.11

Marathonbet

1.10

Handicap -1 (Gateshead)Actual: Sutton

Gateshead -1

16.0%

@ 4.98-1.6%

Draw -1

17.9%

@ 4.26-2.6%

Sutton +1

66.1%

@ 1.42+4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

5.50

10Bet

5.25

Marathonbet

5.05

Betfair

5.00

Unibet

4.10

Draw

Bet365

4.75

Betfair

4.50

Marathonbet

4.25

10Bet

4.20

Unibet

3.60

Away

10Bet

1.44

Bet365

1.44

Betfair

1.44

Marathonbet

1.39

Unibet

1.37

Handicap +1 (Gateshead)Actual: Draw

Gateshead +1

61.0%

@ 1.50+2.7%

Draw +1

19.5%

@ 4.04-2.1%

Sutton -1

19.5%

@ 4.33-0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.57

Superbet

1.53

Betfair

1.50

Marathonbet

1.47

Unibet

1.42

Draw

Bet365

4.33

Betfair

4.20

Superbet

4.15

Marathonbet

4.00

Unibet

3.50

Away

Bet365

4.50

Betfair

4.50

Superbet

4.45

Marathonbet

4.40

Unibet

3.80

Handicap +2 (Gateshead)Actual: Gateshead

Gateshead +2

80.5%

@ 1.16+2.7%

Draw +2

11.9%

@ 6.78-1.3%

Sutton -2

7.6%

@ 10.03-1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.18

Superbet

1.17

Marathonbet

1.14

Betfair

1.13

Draw

Bet365

7.00

Betfair

7.00

Marathonbet

6.60

Superbet

6.50

Away

Betfair

11.00

Bet365

11.00

Superbet

9.20

Marathonbet

8.90

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gateshead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.9

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.50	0.83	0.47	0.80	0.53	0.87
vs Stronger (2)	0.00	1.50	0.00	1.00	0.00	2.00
vs Similar (23)	0.52	0.78	0.50	0.75	0.55	0.82
vs Weaker (5)	0.60	0.80	0.50	1.00	0.67	0.67
Clean sheet %	37% (+11pp vs league)

This opponent (Sutton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sutton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.4

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.47	0.70	0.56	0.69	0.36	0.71
vs Stronger (2)	0.00	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.00
vs Similar (28)	0.50	0.71	0.60	0.73	0.38	0.69
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	50% (+24pp vs league)

This opponent (Gateshead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

71.3%

@ 1.32+1.2%

Under 0.5

28.7%

@ 3.10-1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.37

BetVictor

1.34

Bet365

1.33

Pinnacle

1.33

Superbet

1.32

Under

Betfair

3.30

Bet365

3.25

Pinnacle

3.19

10Bet

3.10

Superbet

3.10

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

35.7%

@ 2.48-1.5%

Under 1.5

64.3%

@ 1.47+1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.62

Pinnacle

2.62

Betano

2.57

Betfair

2.55

William Hil

2.50

Under

Betano

1.50

10Bet

1.50

Pinnacle

1.49

Unibet

1.49

Superbet

1.48

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

12.9%

@ 5.97-2.6%

Under 2.5

87.1%

@ 1.10+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

6.50

Betfair

6.50

Bet365

6.50

William Hil

5.80

1xBet

5.65

Under

William Hil

1.12

Betano

1.12

Superbet

1.11

Bet365

1.11

BetVictor

1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Gateshead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

47.9%

@ 1.98+1.4%

Under

52.1%

@ 1.73-1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.05

Pinnacle

2.05

Superbet

2.02

Marathonbet

1.97

1xBet

1.97

Under

Pinnacle

1.76

Unibet

1.75

Betano

1.72

1xBet

1.71

Marathonbet

1.71

Gateshead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

15.2%

@ 6.06+0.0%

Under

84.8%

@ 1.09-0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.20

1xBet

6.15

Superbet

6.10

Betano

5.80

Under

Betano

1.11

Superbet

1.09

1xBet

1.08

Marathonbet

1.07

Gateshead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.5%

@ 15.88-3.6%

Under

97.5%

@ 1.02+3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

20.00

Betano

11.75

Under

Betano

1.02

Sutton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

44.3%

@ 1.91-4.0%

Under

55.7%

@ 1.79+4.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.98

Pinnacle

1.96

1xBet

1.91

Superbet

1.90

Marathonbet

1.89

Under

Pinnacle

1.83

Superbet

1.80

Betano

1.78

Unibet

1.78

Marathonbet

1.77

Sutton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

13.0%

@ 5.62-3.4%

Under

87.0%

@ 1.10+3.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.75

Marathonbet

5.70

Superbet

5.55

Betano

5.50

Under

Betano

1.13

Superbet

1.11

Marathonbet

1.09

1xBet

1.09

Sutton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.7%

@ 14.75-4.7%

Under

98.3%

@ 1.01+4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

18.00

Betano

11.50

Under

Betano

1.02

Superbet

1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gateshead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.57	0.87	0.73	0.80	0.40	0.93
vs Stronger (2)	0.00	1.00	0.00	1.00	0.00	1.00
vs Similar (23)	0.61	1.00	0.75	0.92	0.45	1.09
vs Weaker (5)	0.60	0.20	1.00	0.00	0.33	0.33
Clean sheet %	37% (+11pp vs league)

This opponent (Sutton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sutton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	0.77	0.62	0.88	0.93	0.64
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	0.50	1.00	1.00	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (28)	0.79	0.79	0.60	0.87	1.00	0.69
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+27pp vs league)

This opponent (Gateshead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

80.0%

@ 1.19+2.2%

Under 0.5

20.0%

@ 4.17-2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.20

William Hil

1.20

Bet365

1.20

Superbet

1.19

1xBet

1.16

Under

Betano

4.40

Bet365

4.33

Superbet

4.15

Marathonbet

4.10

1xBet

4.05

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

47.4%

@ 1.89-1.5%

Under 1.5

52.6%

@ 1.81+1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.95

Marathonbet

1.92

1xBet

1.92

Superbet

1.92

10Bet

1.91

Under

Betano

1.88

Bet365

1.83

10Bet

1.80

William Hil

1.80

Unibet

1.80

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

19.2%

@ 3.84-4.9%

Under 2.5

80.8%

@ 1.22+4.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

4.00

Bet365

4.00

Superbet

3.85

1xBet

3.78

Marathonbet

3.78

Under

Betano

1.27

Bet365

1.22

Superbet

1.22

William Hil

1.22

1xBet

1.19

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Gateshead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

53.9%

@ 1.70-0.6%

Under

46.1%

@ 2.03+0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.72

1xBet

1.71

Marathonbet

1.70

Betano

1.67

Under

Betano

2.12

1xBet

2.02

Superbet

2.00

Marathonbet

1.98

Gateshead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

18.5%

@ 4.40-2.6%

Under

81.5%

@ 1.17+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.50

Marathonbet

4.50

Superbet

4.50

Betano

4.10

Under

Betano

1.21

Superbet

1.17

1xBet

1.16

Marathonbet

1.15

Gateshead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.7%

@ 11.25-4.7%

Under

96.3%

@ 1.03+4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

13.00

Betano

9.50

Under

Betano

1.04

Superbet

1.02

Sutton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

55.6%

@ 1.63-1.4%

Under

44.4%

@ 2.16+1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.65

1xBet

1.62

Betano

1.62

Under

Betano

2.20

1xBet

2.16

Superbet

2.12

Sutton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

19.1%

@ 4.04-3.8%

Under

80.9%

@ 1.20+3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.15

Superbet

4.10

1xBet

4.00

Betano

3.90

Under

Betano

1.23

1xBet

1.19

Superbet

1.19

Marathonbet

1.18

Sutton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

5.7%

@ 10.50-3.2%

Under

94.3%

@ 1.03+3.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

12.00

Betano

9.00

Under

Betano

1.04

Superbet

1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.3%	1.01	Betano 1.02	Superbet 1.01	-	-	-	+4.7%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	97.5%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.6%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	97.1%	1.01	Betano 1.02	Bet365 1.01	1xBet 1.01	Superbet 1.01	-	+2.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	96.3%	1.03	Betano 1.04	Superbet 1.02	-	-	-	+4.7%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	94.7%	1.03	Betano 1.04	Bet365 1.03	Betfair 1.03	Superbet 1.02	-	+2.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	94.3%	1.03	Betano 1.04	Superbet 1.02	-	-	-	+3.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	93.4%	1.04	Betano 1.05	Bet365 1.05	Betfair 1.03	Superbet 1.03	-	+2.9%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	92.6%	1.03	Betano 1.06	Bet365 1.05	Superbet 1.04	Betfair 1.02	BetVictor 1.02	+2.5%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	87.1%	1.10	William Hil 1.12	Betano 1.12	Superbet 1.11	Bet365 1.11	BetVictor 1.08	+2.6%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	87.0%	1.10	Betano 1.13	Superbet 1.11	Marathonbet 1.09	1xBet 1.09	-	+3.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	84.8%	1.09	Betano 1.11	Superbet 1.09	1xBet 1.08	Marathonbet 1.07	-	-0.0%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	84.0%	1.12	Bet365 1.14	Superbet 1.13	Betfair 1.11	Marathonbet 1.10	-	+5.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	83.6%	1.14	Betano 1.17	Bet365 1.14	Superbet 1.14	Betfair 1.14	BetVictor 1.13	+2.0%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	83.2%	1.13	Betano 1.17	Pinnacle 1.16	Superbet 1.14	Unibet 1.14	Bet365 1.14	+1.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	81.5%	1.17	Betano 1.21	Superbet 1.17	1xBet 1.16	Marathonbet 1.15	-	+2.6%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards	81.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Away under 1.5 2H goals	80.9%	1.20	Betano 1.23	1xBet 1.19	Superbet 1.19	Marathonbet 1.18	-	+3.8%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	80.8%	1.22	Betano 1.27	Bet365 1.22	Superbet 1.22	William Hil 1.22	1xBet 1.19	+4.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	80.7%	1.16	Betano 1.19	Bet365 1.18	Superbet 1.17	BetVictor 1.15	1xBet 1.14	+1.0%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	80.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.18	Superbet 1.17	Marathonbet 1.14	Betfair 1.13	-	+2.7%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	80.0%	1.19	Betano 1.20	William Hil 1.20	Bet365 1.20	Superbet 1.19	1xBet 1.16	+2.2%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	79.6%	1.21	Betano 1.23	Pinnacle 1.22	BetVictor 1.22	10Bet 1.22	Bet365 1.22	+3.1%	✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals	77.8%	1.22	Betano 1.24	Pinnacle 1.22	Betfair 1.22	BetVictor 1.22	Bet365 1.22	+1.9%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	75.1%	1.25	Betano 1.26	Superbet 1.26	Betfair 1.25	BetVictor 1.25	Bet365 1.25	+1.0%	✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards	73.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home or Away	72.9%	1.26	Betano 1.30	William Hil 1.30	BetVictor 1.29	Superbet 1.28	Bet365 1.28	-0.3%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals	71.3%	1.32	Betano 1.37	BetVictor 1.34	Bet365 1.33	Pinnacle 1.33	Superbet 1.32	+1.2%	✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (11)

€2m

HAR (14)

€1m

FG (4)

€1m

BU (6)

€1m

EAS (5)

€1m

SOU (3)

€1m

HAR (6)

€1m

SOL (3)

€0m

ALT (5)

€0m

ALD (4)

€0m

WOK (3)

€0m

YEO (3)

€0m

SCU (2)

€0m

TAM (4)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

WEA (2)

€0m

HAL (2)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

Gateshead and Sutton have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (3)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

ALD (3)

€0m

HAR (4)

€0m

ALT (3)

€0m

SOL (2)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

SCU (1)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

BU (1)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

WOK (1)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

SOU (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

WEA (0)

€0m

Gateshead and Sutton have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (5)

€1m

HAR (4)

€1m

SOU (2)

€0m

BU (2)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

SCU (0)

€0m

FG (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

ALD (0)

€0m

SOL (0)

€0m

HAL (0)

€0m

WOK (0)

€0m

Gateshead and Sutton have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (3)

€1m

HAR (6)

€0m

BU (3)

€0m

EAS (3)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

WOK (2)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

SOL (1)

€0m

SOU (1)

€0m

SCU (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

ALD (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

TAM (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings

GAT wins

Draws

SUT wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gateshead vs Sutton · H/A from GAT

Date	H/A	Game	Score
14/03/26	H	GAT Vs Sutton	1-1
29/11/25	A	Sutton Vs GAT	4-2
18/02/25	H	GAT Vs Sutton	4-3
23/10/24	A	Sutton Vs GAT	0-1

Gateshead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
22/08/26	A	Yeovil Vs GAT	3-0
15/08/26	H	GAT Vs Woking	2-0
08/08/26	A	Eastleigh Vs GAT	2-1
25/04/26	A	Altrincham Vs GAT	3-1
18/04/26	H	GAT Vs Woking	0-3
11/04/26	A	Aldershot Vs GAT	0-1
06/04/26	H	GAT Vs Scunthorpe	2-0
03/04/26	A	Carlisle Vs GAT	0-0
28/03/26	H	GAT Vs Yeovil	2-1
24/03/26	H	GAT Vs York	3-1

Sutton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
22/08/26	H	SUT Vs Hartlepool	2-1
15/08/26	H	SUT Vs Altrincham	1-0
08/08/26	A	Woking Vs SUT	0-3
25/04/26	A	Boreham Wood Vs SUT	1-0
18/04/26	H	SUT Vs Altrincham	1-2
11/04/26	A	Carlisle Vs SUT	3-0
06/04/26	H	SUT Vs Southend	0-3
03/04/26	A	Aldershot Vs SUT	2-2
28/03/26	H	SUT Vs Rochdale	1-2
24/03/26	A	Eastleigh Vs SUT	0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gateshead

England: National League

Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLLWL	1.12
Home	WWWLW	1.04
Away	DWLLL	1.19

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	29%	35%
AVG goals	3.08	2.92	3.23
Over 1.5 %	86%	88%	85%
Over 2.5 %	64%	54%	73%
Over 3.5 %	32%	25%	38%
Scored	1.20	1.12	1.27
Conceded	1.88	1.79	1.96
BTTS	50%	46%	54%
Clean Sheet	18%	17%	19%
Corners	7.00	7.00	-
Cards	3.42	3.43	3.41

Sutton

England: National League

Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LLWWW	1.20
Home	LLLWW	1.30
Away	WDLLW	1.09

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	30%	33%	26%
AVG goals	3.04	3.22	2.83
Over 1.5 %	82%	93%	70%
Over 2.5 %	62%	70%	52%
Over 3.5 %	30%	26%	35%
Scored	1.42	1.52	1.30
Conceded	1.62	1.70	1.52
BTTS	64%	74%	52%
Clean Sheet	18%	15%	22%
Corners	17.00	17.00	-
Cards	4.77	5.35	4.14

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Sutton	5	12	80%	2.4	7	3	+4	2.0	60%	40%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	0.6	54%
2	Yeovil	5	11	60%	2.2	10	5	+5	3.0	100%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.0	47%
3	Boreham Wood	4	10	75%	2.5	11	5	+6	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.8	1.2	58%
4	Harrogate	5	10	60%	2.0	13	9	+4	4.4	100%	100%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	1	0	2.6	1.8	-
5	F Fylde	5	10	60%	2.0	11	7	+4	3.6	100%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.4	-
6	Southend	5	10	60%	2.0	9	6	+3	3.0	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.8	1.2	52%
7	Eastleigh	5	10	60%	2.0	7	5	+2	2.4	60%	40%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.4	1.0	41%
8	K Kidderminster	4	8	50%	2.0	6	3	+3	2.2	75%	25%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	0.8	-
9	Aldershot	5	8	40%	1.6	6	4	+2	2.0	60%	20%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	0.8	54%
10	Boston Utd	4	6	50%	1.5	4	3	+1	1.8	50%	25%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	0.8	-
11	Halifax	5	6	40%	1.2	9	9	+0	3.6	80%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.8	48%
12	Hartlepool	5	6	40%	1.2	4	4	+0	1.6	40%	20%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	0.8	0.8	47%
13	Altrincham	5	6	40%	1.2	5	7	-2	2.4	60%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.4	52%
14	Carlisle	3	5	33%	1.7	6	4	+2	3.3	100%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.3	49%
15	Wealdstone	4	5	25%	1.2	6	6	+0	3.0	100%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.5	57%
16	Scunthorpe	5	4	20%	0.8	8	10	-2	3.6	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	2.0	49%
17	Woking	4	4	25%	1.0	4	8	-4	3.0	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	2.0	50%
18	Gateshead	5	3	20%	0.6	4	8	-4	2.4	80%	60%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	1.6	50%
19	Forest Green	4	3	25%	0.8	4	9	-5	3.2	100%	75%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	2.2	53%
20	Barrow	4	2	0%	0.5	4	7	-3	2.8	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	1	1	1.0	1.8	-
21	Tamworth	4	1	0%	0.2	7	12	-5	4.8	100%	100%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	3.0	38%
22	Solihull	5	0	0%	0.0	5	16	-11	4.2	100%	80%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	3.2	48%

England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

← all matches

Gateshead vs Sutton Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gateshead

Sutton

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gateshead

Sutton

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gateshead

Sutton

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Gateshead

Sutton

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature