This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
2.40
1.57
2.57
1.44
2.25
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
3.36
1.17
3.67
0.80
3.00
vs Similar (15)
1.87
1.87
1.86
1.86
1.88
1.88
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
1.75
2.00
1.00
1.33
2.00
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.8%
Under 1.5
9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
74.7%
@ 1.46+10.4%
Under 2.5
25.3%
@ 2.63-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.7%
Under 3.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
71.0%
No
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
2-0 ✓
6.0%
1-2
5.3%
3-2
5.2%
3-0
4.8%
Genk goals ↓
Zulte Waregem goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.7%
2.3%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
1
4.2%
8.0%
5.3%
2.6%
1.0%
2
6.0%
8.8%
6.5%
3.2%
1.2%
3
4.8%
7.1%
5.2%
2.6%
0.9%
4
2.9%
4.3%
3.2%
1.6%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Genk goals (down), columns = Zulte Waregem goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.26
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
1.88
Antwerp
1.85
Gent
1.82
Charleroi
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.53
St. Truiden
1.50
Genk
1.50
Cercle Brugge
1.32
OH Leuven
1.21
Oostende
1.09
Kortrijk
1.09
Standard Liege
1.06
Zulte Waregem
0.94
Eupen
0.94
Seraing
0.82
Beerschot VA
0.47
Genk is 0.56 points better than Zulte Waregem in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Union St. Gilloise
2.29
Club Brugge KV
2.12
Anderlecht
2.12
Genk
1.94
KV Mechelen
1.68
Gent
1.65
Antwerp
1.62
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.44
OH Leuven
1.38
Kortrijk
1.26
Zulte Waregem
1.24
St. Truiden
1.24
Eupen
1.09
Oostende
1.00
Beerschot VA
0.97
Standard Liege
0.94
Seraing
0.88
Genk is 0.71 goals better than Zulte Waregem in terms of goals scored per game (1.94 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.79
Gent
0.88
Anderlecht
1.06
Club Brugge KV
1.09
Antwerp
1.12
St. Truiden
1.18
Charleroi
1.35
Cercle Brugge
1.35
Genk
1.38
Kortrijk
1.41
Standard Liege
1.50
OH Leuven
1.71
Oostende
1.79
KV Mechelen
1.79
Eupen
1.79
Seraing
2.00
Zulte Waregem
2.03
Beerschot VA
2.24
Genk is 0.65 goals better than Zulte Waregem in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 2.03).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Genk
For 6.9 · Against 4.7 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.8 · Total 21.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zulte Waregem
For 3.6 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Genk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.5
10.3
3.8
4.0
3.7
23.9
24.5
23.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
9.7
8.5
11.0
4.3
4.5
4.1
24.7
24.5
25.0
vs Weaker (35)
10.0
10.0
10.0
3.6
3.7
3.6
23.5
24.6
22.6
% over line
52%
50%
54%
52%
58%
46%
58%
62%
54%
% under line
48%
50%
46%
48%
42%
54%
42%
38%
46%
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.7
9.6
3.9
3.8
4.0
23.7
24.2
23.2
vs Stronger (16)
9.1
10.0
8.2
3.8
4.5
3.1
21.2
20.6
21.8
vs Similar (26)
10.1
10.4
9.8
3.9
3.4
4.4
25.2
26.4
23.8
vs Weaker (8)
12.2
14.3
11.0
4.1
4.0
4.2
23.9
23.7
24.0
% over line
52%
64%
40%
52%
52%
52%
66%
60%
72%
% under line
48%
36%
60%
48%
48%
48%
34%
40%
28%
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
11.2
Antwerp
11.1
KV Mechelen
10.6
Charleroi
10.6
Oostende
10.4
OH Leuven
10.4
Club Brugge KV
10.4
Union St. Gilloise
10.3
Eupen
10.3
Zulte Waregem
10.1
Kortrijk
10.0
Gent
10.0
Genk
9.9
Seraing
9.7
St. Truiden
9.6
Cercle Brugge
9.4
Standard Liege
9.4
Anderlecht
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
OH Leuven
5.0
Cercle Brugge
4.8
Standard Liege
4.8
Seraing
4.7
Union St. Gilloise
4.7
Antwerp
4.7
Beerschot VA
4.6
Kortrijk
4.6
Club Brugge KV
4.2
Gent
4.2
Eupen
4.1
Oostende
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Zulte Waregem
3.9
Genk
3.8
Charleroi
3.8
KV Mechelen
3.8
Anderlecht
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.3
Cercle Brugge
26.2
Kortrijk
26.0
Gent
25.3
Union St. Gilloise
24.9
St. Truiden
24.8
Beerschot VA
24.6
KV Mechelen
23.9
Genk
23.9
Anderlecht
23.8
Zulte Waregem
23.7
OH Leuven
23.6
Club Brugge KV
23.6
Seraing
23.4
Oostende
23.1
Eupen
22.8
Charleroi
22.3
Antwerp
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.9%
Under 9.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
60.7%
Under 21.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Genk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.78
0.20
0.40
0.50
1.25
vs Weaker (21)
1.10
0.38
1.40
0.40
0.82
0.36
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.03
0.36
0.93
0.69
1.12
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
1.36
0.00
1.50
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.80
0.71
0.43
0.88
1.12
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Genk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Genk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.03
1.20
0.93
1.13
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.78
1.22
0.80
1.20
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (21)
1.33
0.95
1.40
0.80
1.27
1.09
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.37
1.21
1.64
0.75
1.12
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
2.00
1.17
2.17
0.40
1.80
vs Similar (15)
1.07
1.07
1.14
1.43
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
2.00
0.00
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Genk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
74.7%
1.46
-
-
-
-
-
+10.4%
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Genk · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafiu Durosinmi100%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo67%
Junya Ito33%
Joris Kayembe33%
Ayumu Yokoyama33%
Aaron Bibout33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daan Heymans67%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jeppe Erenbjerg67%
Junya Ito33%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Zulte Waregem · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Serxho Ujka33%
Marley Aké33%
Tobias Hedl33%
Anosike Ementa33%
Thomas Claes33%
István Átrok33%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Franz Tangala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anosike Ementa33%
Serxho Ujka0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Marley Aké0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Tobias Hedl0%
Thomas Claes0%
István Átrok0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Franz Tangala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anosike Ementa67%
Tobias Hedl33%
Yannick Cappelle33%
Serxho Ujka0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Marley Aké0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Thomas Claes0%
István Átrok0%
Franz Tangala0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marley Aké33%
Tobias Hedl33%
István Átrok33%
Serxho Ujka0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Laurent Lemoine0%
Jakob Kiilerich0%
Enrique Lofolomo0%
Anosike Ementa0%
Thomas Claes0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Franz Tangala0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
BV (26)
€9m
Genk's squad is €93m more valuable than Zulte Waregem's (€113m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
BV (13)
€4m
Genk's attack is €31m more valuable than Zulte Waregem's (€39m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
BV (2)
€0m
Genk's midfield is €15m more valuable than Zulte Waregem's (€19m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
BV (11)
€5m
Genk's defence is €47m more valuable than Zulte Waregem's (€55m vs €9m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Anderlecht
Antwerp
Gent
Charleroi
KV Mechelen
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
OH Leuven
Kortrijk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Beerschot VA