This opponent (Seraing) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
S
Seraing
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.97
0.27
2.07
1.07
1.87
vs Stronger (26)
0.54
2.12
0.23
2.31
0.85
1.92
vs Similar (4)
1.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
2.50
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.1%
Under 1.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.9%
@ 1.59+6.5%
Under 2.5
34.1%
@ 2.33-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.1%
Under 3.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1 ✓
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
Gent goals ↓
Seraing goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
2.8%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
1
6.9%
9.3%
4.6%
1.7%
0.5%
2
8.9%
9.7%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
6.9%
7.5%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
4
4.0%
4.3%
2.3%
0.9%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gent goals (down), columns = Seraing goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Antwerp
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
2.16
Genk
2.11
Gent
1.91
Club Brugge KV
1.68
Charleroi
1.62
Cercle Brugge
1.61
Anderlecht
1.57
OH Leuven
1.37
Standard Liege
1.35
St. Truiden
1.34
KVC Westerlo
1.32
KV Mechelen
1.16
Kortrijk
1.08
Zulte Waregem
0.92
Oostende
0.84
Eupen
0.82
AS Eupen
0.82
Seraing United
0.59
Seraing
0.59
Gent is 1.32 points better than Seraing in terms of average points per game (1.91 vs 0.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Genk
2.30
Gent
2.16
Union St. Gilloise
1.95
Club Brugge KV
1.89
Antwerp
1.73
OH Leuven
1.71
KVC Westerlo
1.70
Cercle Brugge
1.68
Zulte Waregem
1.66
Anderlecht
1.57
Charleroi
1.46
Standard Liege
1.42
KV Mechelen
1.38
Eupen
1.18
AS Eupen
1.18
Oostende
1.16
St. Truiden
1.13
Kortrijk
1.11
Seraing United
0.82
Seraing
0.82
Gent is 1.34 goals better than Seraing in terms of goals scored per game (2.16 vs 0.82).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Antwerp
0.80
Gent
1.02
St. Truiden
1.13
Club Brugge KV
1.14
Genk
1.14
Anderlecht
1.19
Union St. Gilloise
1.20
Charleroi
1.32
Cercle Brugge
1.34
OH Leuven
1.45
Standard Liege
1.51
Kortrijk
1.66
KVC Westerlo
1.66
KV Mechelen
1.86
Seraing United
2.00
Seraing
2.00
Oostende
2.18
Eupen
2.21
AS Eupen
2.21
Zulte Waregem
2.24
Gent is 0.98 goals better than Seraing in terms of goals conceded per game (1.02 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gent
For 6.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 10.8 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
S
Seraing
For 3.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gent
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
11.1
10.7
3.3
3.1
3.6
23.3
21.9
24.5
vs Stronger (2)
10.5
7.0
14.0
7.5
4.0
11.0
27.0
30.0
24.0
vs Similar (25)
11.2
12.9
10.0
2.6
3.0
2.3
21.8
19.7
23.4
vs Weaker (23)
10.6
10.1
11.1
3.8
3.1
4.7
24.2
22.8
25.8
% over line
66%
59%
72%
48%
42%
54%
66%
53%
78%
% under line
34%
41%
28%
52%
58%
46%
34%
47%
22%
This opponent (Seraing) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
S
Seraing
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
9.2
8.6
9.8
4.4
4.7
4.1
23.2
24.2
22.2
vs Stronger (41)
9.1
8.5
9.7
4.2
4.5
4.0
23.6
24.4
22.8
vs Similar (6)
9.8
9.3
10.3
5.5
6.0
5.0
20.7
23.0
18.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
43%
54%
66%
65%
67%
62%
70%
54%
% under line
51%
57%
46%
34%
35%
33%
38%
30%
46%
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KV Mechelen
11.7
Antwerp
11.0
KVC Westerlo
11.0
Club Brugge KV
10.5
OH Leuven
10.5
Gent
10.5
Eupen
10.2
Oostende
10.2
Kortrijk
10.2
Charleroi
10.1
Genk
10.0
Zulte Waregem
9.9
Union St. Gilloise
9.9
St. Truiden
9.3
Cercle Brugge
9.3
Standard Liege
9.2
Seraing
9.2
Anderlecht
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.3
OH Leuven
4.9
Antwerp
4.9
Union St. Gilloise
4.8
Cercle Brugge
4.7
Kortrijk
4.7
Club Brugge KV
4.7
Seraing
4.4
Eupen
4.3
Gent
4.3
Oostende
4.1
St. Truiden
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.0
Anderlecht
3.9
Genk
3.8
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Charleroi
3.7
KVC Westerlo
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
27.7
Cercle Brugge
26.8
Kortrijk
25.4
Union St. Gilloise
25.1
St. Truiden
24.0
Gent
23.6
Seraing
23.2
KV Mechelen
23.1
Genk
22.8
Oostende
22.8
Club Brugge KV
22.6
KVC Westerlo
22.5
OH Leuven
22.5
Eupen
22.2
Anderlecht
22.1
Zulte Waregem
22.0
Charleroi
21.5
Antwerp
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.5%
Under 9.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.7%
Under 3.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
56.2%
Under 21.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gent
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
0.86
0.50
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.20
0.87
0.33
0.83
0.11
0.89
vs Weaker (14)
1.43
0.29
1.25
0.25
1.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
S
Seraing
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.97
0.07
0.73
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (26)
0.23
1.08
0.08
0.85
0.38
1.31
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gent
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.43
1.07
0.43
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.40
0.50
0.17
0.67
0.56
vs Weaker (14)
1.29
0.43
1.50
0.62
1.00
0.17
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
S
Seraing
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
1.00
0.20
1.33
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (26)
0.31
1.04
0.15
1.46
0.46
0.62
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Gent) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gent over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gent over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seraing over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Gent
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hugo Cuypers54%
Gift Emmanuel Orban50%
Darko Lemajić22%
Laurent Depoitre15%
Tarik Tissoudali14%
Andrew Hjulsager13%
Hyunseok Hong12%
Ibrahim Salah11%
Sven Kums8%
Jordan Torunarigha7%
Sulayman Marreh7%
Julien De Sart6%
Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe5%
Matisse Samoise5%
Bruno Godeau5%
Núrio Fortuna4%
Michael Ngadeu3%
Joseph Okumu3%
Alessio Castro-Montes2%
Paul Nardi0%
Davy Roef0%
Elisha Owusu0%
Jens Petter Hauge0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Brian Agbor0%
Bram Lagae0%
Malick Fofana0%
Rune Van Den Bergh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sulayman Marreh40%
Darko Lemajić22%
Núrio Fortuna19%
Bruno Godeau18%
Gift Emmanuel Orban18%
Julien De Sart17%
Michael Ngadeu15%
Elisha Owusu15%
Alessio Castro-Montes15%
Kamil Piątkowski14%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen10%
Matisse Samoise10%
Sven Kums8%
Jens Petter Hauge8%
Tarik Tissoudali7%
Jordan Torunarigha7%
Hugo Cuypers6%
Ibrahim Salah6%
Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe5%
Joseph Okumu5%
Andrew Hjulsager3%
Paul Nardi3%
Laurent Depoitre3%
Hyunseok Hong2%
Davy Roef0%
Brian Agbor0%
Bram Lagae0%
Malick Fofana0%
Rune Van Den Bergh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sven Kums16%
Hyunseok Hong14%
Hugo Cuypers14%
Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe13%
Malick Fofana10%
Alessio Castro-Montes10%
Andrew Hjulsager10%
Kamil Piątkowski10%
Matisse Samoise10%
Gift Emmanuel Orban9%
Laurent Depoitre8%
Tarik Tissoudali7%
Jordan Torunarigha7%
Ibrahim Salah6%
Bruno Godeau5%
Jens Petter Hauge4%
Núrio Fortuna4%
Michael Ngadeu3%
Joseph Okumu3%
Julien De Sart0%
Sulayman Marreh0%
Paul Nardi0%
Davy Roef0%
Elisha Owusu0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Darko Lemajić0%
Brian Agbor0%
Bram Lagae0%
Rune Van Den Bergh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gift Emmanuel Orban50%
Hugo Cuypers40%
Darko Lemajić22%
Ibrahim Salah22%
Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe13%
Andrew Hjulsager10%
Laurent Depoitre8%
Tarik Tissoudali7%
Kamil Piątkowski5%
Julien De Sart3%
Michael Ngadeu3%
Joseph Okumu3%
Alessio Castro-Montes2%
Jordan Torunarigha2%
Sven Kums2%
Núrio Fortuna0%
Bruno Godeau0%
Sulayman Marreh0%
Paul Nardi0%
Davy Roef0%
Elisha Owusu0%
Hyunseok Hong0%
Jens Petter Hauge0%
Andreas Hanche-Olsen0%
Brian Agbor0%
Matisse Samoise0%
Bram Lagae0%
Malick Fofana0%
Rune Van Den Bergh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Gent
Antwerp
Union St. Gilloise
Genk
Club Brugge KV
Cercle Brugge
Charleroi
Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
Standard Liege
OH Leuven
St. Truiden
KV Mechelen
Kortrijk
Zulte Waregem
Oostende
AS Eupen
Seraing United