This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moreirense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.20
1.27
0.93
1.07
1.47
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
2.00
1.25
1.50
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.23
1.05
1.27
0.73
1.18
1.36
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (GIL Vicente) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.3%
Under 1.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.3%
Under 2.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.0%
Under 3.5
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0 ✓
10.1%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.2%
GIL Vicente goals ↓
Moreirense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.6%
8.0%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
1
10%
14%
7.1%
2.7%
0.7%
2
7.8%
8.7%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
3
3.6%
4.0%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = GIL Vicente goals (down), columns = Moreirense goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Benfica
2.71
Sporting CP
2.43
Rebordosa
2.40
Santa Clara
2.33
Alverca
2.33
Anadia
2.33
GIL Vicente
2.25
SC Braga
2.25
Amarante
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Guimaraes
2.00
Moreirense
2.00
Chaves
2.00
Farense
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Torreense
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
Leixoes
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Varzim
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Moura
2.00
Operário
2.00
Lusitânia
1.75
Vila Real
1.75
Cinfães
1.75
Brito
1.75
O Elvas
1.60
Arouca
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Academica
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
AVS
1.50
FC Porto
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
Amora
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Guarda
1.50
Gondomar
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Machico
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Sertanense
1.50
Régua
1.50
CF Benfica
1.50
Vieira
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Aliança de Gandra
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
Rio Ave
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Caldas
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Estoril
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Leça
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Joane
1.00
Estrela
0.50
União de Coimbra
0.50
Tondela
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Nacional
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Vizela
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
Trofense
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Dumiense
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Tocha
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Coimbrões
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Monção
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Maia Lidador
0.00
São Roque (Açores)
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
Estarreja
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Cardielense
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Vila Cortez
0.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Vieirense
0.00
Velense
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Fabril Barreiro
0.00
FC Barreirense
0.00
Portel
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Madalena
0.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
0.00
GIL Vicente is 0.25 points better than Moreirense in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estarreja
4.00
Benfica
3.29
Arouca
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Amarante
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Comércio Indústria
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
Alverca
2.67
Anadia
2.67
Vilaverdense
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Alcains
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
CF Benfica
2.50
Farense
2.33
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Cinfães
2.25
Sporting CP
2.14
Guimaraes
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
AVS
2.00
FC Porto
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Dumiense
2.00
Coimbrões
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Leça
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Vila Cortez
2.00
FC Barreirense
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
Varzim
1.67
Moura
1.67
Rio Ave
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
SC Braga
1.50
Torreense
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Pombal
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Machico
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Régua
1.50
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.50
Arronches e Benfica
1.50
Moreirense
1.33
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
GIL Vicente
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
O Elvas
1.20
Tirsense
1.14
Tondela
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Academica
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
Mafra
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Pevidem
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Tocha
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
Sandinenses
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Monção
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Maia Lidador
1.00
São Roque (Açores)
1.00
União de Coimbra
1.00
Cardielense
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
1.00
Vieirense
1.00
Velense
1.00
Vieira
1.00
Fabril Barreiro
1.00
Operário
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Atlético Arcos
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
1.00
Vila Real
0.75
Brito
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Estrela
0.50
Amora
0.50
Pêro Pinheiro
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Estoril
0.00
Boavista
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Trofense
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
O Grandolense
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
0.00
Juventude Gaula
0.00
Ginásio Figueirense
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Resende (Portugal)
0.00
Lagos
0.00
Praia Milfontes
0.00
Joane
0.00
Oliveira de Frades
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Ferreiras
0.00
Portel
0.00
Abrantes e Benfica
0.00
Pedras Salgadas
0.00
Gavionenses
0.00
Madalena
0.00
GIL Vicente is 0.08 goals worse than Moreirense in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Estoril
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Joane
0.00
Operário
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Benfica
0.29
Santa Clara
0.33
Academica
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Atlético CP
0.50
Gondomar
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Brito
0.50
FC Serpa
0.50
Alpendorada
0.50
Arronches e Benfica
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
Guimaraes
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
Arouca
1.00
Boavista
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
FC Porto
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Torreense
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Mafra
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Anadia
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Machico
1.00
Louletano
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
Vieira
1.00
Moura
1.00
Estrela Vendas Novas
1.00
Aliança de Gandra
1.00
Portel
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Alverca
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Rio Ave
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Pevidem
1.50
Pêro Pinheiro
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Alcains
1.50
Sandinenses
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
Régua
1.50
Atlético Arcos
1.50
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Tondela
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Farense
2.00
Amarante
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Leça
2.00
Monção
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Sertanense
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Maia Lidador
2.00
São Roque (Açores)
2.00
União de Coimbra
2.00
Cardielense
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Velense
2.00
Fabril Barreiro
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Abrantes e Benfica
2.00
Pedras Salgadas
2.00
Madalena
2.00
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
2.00
Vilaverdense
2.50
Amora
2.50
Pombal
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Guarda
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Trofense
3.00
Dumiense
3.00
Coimbrões
3.00
Paredes
3.00
O Grandolense
3.00
Macedo Cavaleiros
3.00
Juventude Gaula
3.00
Resende (Portugal)
3.00
Lagos
3.00
Pedrógão São Pedro
3.00
Oliveira de Frades
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Ferreiras
3.00
FC Barreirense
3.00
Gavionenses
3.00
CF Benfica
3.50
Vizela
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Tocha
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Vila Cortez
4.00
Vieirense
4.00
Ginásio Figueirense
5.00
Estarreja
5.00
Valpaços
5.00
Praia Milfontes
5.00
GIL Vicente is 0.75 goals better than Moreirense in terms of goals conceded per game (0.25 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
GIL Vicente
For 3.8 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 15.5 · Total 29.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Moreirense
For 2.8 · Against 6.1 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 16.1 · Total 31.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
GIL Vicente
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.7
9.0
4.4
5.1
3.7
26.6
26.5
26.7
vs Stronger (11)
9.9
9.8
10.0
4.0
4.8
3.3
24.9
28.2
22.2
vs Similar (32)
9.2
9.6
8.8
4.6
5.4
3.9
26.8
26.1
27.4
vs Weaker (7)
8.8
9.7
8.0
3.7
4.3
3.2
29.0
25.7
32.3
% over line
44%
52%
36%
64%
78%
52%
75%
83%
68%
% under line
56%
48%
64%
36%
22%
48%
25%
17%
32%
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moreirense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.3
8.8
4.4
4.0
4.8
28.6
27.2
29.9
vs Stronger (12)
8.1
8.5
7.6
3.9
4.1
3.6
25.8
26.7
24.8
vs Similar (34)
9.4
9.4
9.4
4.6
4.0
5.1
29.6
27.9
31.3
vs Weaker (4)
9.2
11.0
7.5
4.5
4.0
5.0
27.2
24.0
30.5
% over line
31%
29%
33%
62%
56%
68%
88%
83%
92%
% under line
69%
71%
67%
38%
44%
32%
12%
17%
8%
This opponent (GIL Vicente) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Farense
11.8
Nacional
11.5
Oliveirense
11.3
Guimaraes
11.1
Portimonense
11.1
Tondela
10.9
Vilaverdense
10.8
Feirense
10.8
Torreense
10.7
Estrela
10.7
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
AVS
10.6
Benfica
10.5
Penafiel
10.3
Chaves
10.3
SC Braga
10.2
União de Leiria
10.2
Estoril
10.1
FC Porto
10.1
Rio Ave
10.0
Academico Viseu
10.0
Mafra
10.0
Pacos Ferreira
10.0
Casa Pia
10.0
Famalicao
9.9
Vizela
9.9
Arouca
9.8
Leixoes
9.8
Maritimo
9.7
Boavista
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
GIL Vicente
9.2
Sporting CP
9.1
Moreirense
9.0
Felgueiras 1932
8.5
Santa Clara
8.3
Alverca
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Felgueiras 1932
6.9
Santa Clara
6.5
Famalicao
5.9
Maritimo
5.8
Boavista
5.8
Guimaraes
5.7
FC Porto
5.7
Arouca
5.7
Chaves
5.7
Penafiel
5.5
SC Covilha
5.4
Oliveirense
5.4
Leixoes
5.3
Rio Ave
5.3
AVS
5.3
Portimonense
5.3
Pacos Ferreira
5.3
SC Braga
5.2
Estoril
5.2
Vizela
5.1
União de Leiria
5.1
Torreense
5.1
Nacional
5.0
Farense
5.0
Tondela
5.0
Moreirense
4.9
Benfica
4.8
Vilaverdense
4.8
Estrela
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.7
Sporting CP
4.6
Feirense
4.6
Lusitânia Lourosa
4.5
Casa Pia
4.4
Academico Viseu
4.4
Mafra
4.4
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Alverca
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Famalicao
30.6
Rio Ave
28.8
Moreirense
28.7
Santa Clara
28.7
Vilaverdense
28.5
SC Covilha
28.2
FC Porto
28.1
Leixoes
27.9
Boavista
27.7
Nacional
27.6
Pacos Ferreira
27.6
Estoril
27.2
Estrela
27.0
Farense
26.8
GIL Vicente
26.7
Guimaraes
26.7
AVS
26.5
Arouca
26.5
Casa Pia
26.4
Vizela
25.8
Chaves
25.7
Feirense
25.3
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Tondela
24.8
SC Braga
24.7
Sporting CP
24.6
Oliveirense
24.5
Maritimo
24.5
Portimonense
24.4
União de Leiria
23.6
Penafiel
23.3
Torreense
23.2
Mafra
22.7
Academico Viseu
22.5
Benfica
22.0
Alverca
10.6
Felgueiras 1932
9.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.4%
Under 9.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.7%
Under 3.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.1%
Under 21.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
GIL Vicente or Draw✓ Hit
70.7%
Avg Implied -
41%
29%
29%
covers GIL Vicente + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente or Moreirense✓ Hit
70.6%
Avg Implied -
41%
29%
29%
covers GIL Vicente + Moreirense
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Moreirense✗ Miss
58.7%
Avg Implied -
41%
29%
29%
covers Draw + Moreirense
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
GIL Vicente over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.6%
Under
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.7%
Under
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.9%
Under
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
67.3%
Under
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.7%
Under
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to GIL Vicente, so a minus line means GIL Vicente give that many goals of a start and Moreirense receive them. At -1, GIL Vicente must win by two or more to land; a one-goal GIL Vicente win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (GIL Vicente)Actual: Moreirense
GIL Vicente -2
7.3%
Draw -2
12.6%
Moreirense +2
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (GIL Vicente)Actual: Draw
GIL Vicente -1
19.9%
Draw -1
21.4%
Moreirense +1
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (GIL Vicente)Actual: GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente +1
70.7%
Draw +1
17.2%
Moreirense -1
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (GIL Vicente)Actual: GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente +2
87.9%
Draw +2
8.4%
Moreirense -2
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
GIL Vicente
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.63
0.69
0.54
0.29
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.33
0.00
1.33
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.50
1.12
0.38
0.25
0.58
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moreirense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.45
0.73
0.36
0.45
0.55
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (GIL Vicente) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
GIL Vicente over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
GIL Vicente
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.62
0.62
0.53
0.82
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.70
0.88
0.75
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Moreirense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.47
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.59
0.55
0.36
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (GIL Vicente) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
GIL Vicente over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GIL Vicente over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
GIL Vicente
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Félix Correia24%
Pablo Felipe15%
Santi García14%
Kanya Fujimoto10%
Jorge Aguirre9%
Sergio Bermejo9%
Mohamed Bamba8%
Cauê7%
Mory Gbane6%
Josué Sá5%
Tidjany Touré4%
Rúben Fernandes3%
Jordi Mboula0%
Jesús Castillo0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
João Teixeira0%
Sandro Cruz0%
Maxime Dominguez0%
Andrew0%
Zé Carlos0%
Jonathan Mutombo0%
Diego Collado0%
Facundo Cáseres0%
Carlos Eduardo0%
Kazu0%
Marvin Elimbi0%
Joao Marques0%
Depú0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Santi García39%
Sandro Cruz38%
Joao Marques25%
Mohamed Bamba25%
Cauê20%
Jonathan Mutombo19%
Kazu18%
Mory Gbane17%
Marvin Elimbi17%
Josué Sá16%
Zé Carlos16%
Facundo Cáseres15%
Rúben Fernandes14%
Carlos Eduardo12%
Tidjany Touré12%
Pablo Felipe10%
Sergio Bermejo9%
Félix Correia9%
Jordi Mboula8%
Jesús Castillo6%
Jorge Aguirre6%
Andrew6%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga5%
Kanya Fujimoto3%
João Teixeira0%
Maxime Dominguez0%
Diego Collado0%
Depú0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kanya Fujimoto16%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga10%
Félix Correia9%
Jordi Mboula8%
Joao Marques8%
Tidjany Touré8%
Santi García7%
Jorge Aguirre6%
Rúben Fernandes3%
Jesús Castillo0%
João Teixeira0%
Sandro Cruz0%
Maxime Dominguez0%
Josué Sá0%
Andrew0%
Sergio Bermejo0%
Zé Carlos0%
Mory Gbane0%
Jonathan Mutombo0%
Diego Collado0%
Cauê0%
Facundo Cáseres0%
Carlos Eduardo0%
Kazu0%
Marvin Elimbi0%
Pablo Felipe0%
Depú0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kanya Fujimoto16%
Félix Correia9%
Mohamed Bamba8%
Tidjany Touré8%
Jorge Aguirre6%
Pablo Felipe5%
Jordi Mboula4%
Santi García4%
Jesús Castillo0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Rúben Fernandes0%
João Teixeira0%
Sandro Cruz0%
Maxime Dominguez0%
Josué Sá0%
Andrew0%
Sergio Bermejo0%
Zé Carlos0%
Mory Gbane0%
Jonathan Mutombo0%
Diego Collado0%
Cauê0%
Facundo Cáseres0%
Carlos Eduardo0%
Kazu0%
Marvin Elimbi0%
Joao Marques0%
Depú0%
Moreirense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yan Maranhão38%
Gabrielzinho17%
Guilherme Schettine17%
Luís Asué16%
Alan16%
Cedric Teguia15%
Bernardo Martins13%
Madson de Souza Silva11%
Joel Jorquera8%
Ivo Rodrigues8%
Dinis Pinto7%
Lawrence Ofori4%
Maracás3%
Rúben Ramos Ismael3%
Sidnei Tavares3%
Godfried Frimpong3%
Marcelo3%
Kewin0%
Carlos Ponck0%
Caio0%
Jeremy Antonisse0%
Fabiano Silva0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Michel Augusto0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Pedro Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michel Augusto40%
Dinis Pinto30%
Leonardo Buta29%
Yan Maranhão25%
Sidnei Tavares24%
Bernardo Martins23%
Marcelo21%
Maracás21%
Rúben Ramos Ismael21%
Godfried Frimpong20%
Gilberto Batista20%
Alan19%
Pedro Santos19%
Fabiano Silva18%
Ivo Rodrigues15%
Kewin14%
Guilherme Schettine13%
Cedric Teguia8%
Jeremy Antonisse7%
Gabrielzinho6%
Madson de Souza Silva5%
Lawrence Ofori4%
Luís Asué3%
Carlos Ponck0%
Caio0%
Joel Jorquera0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alan19%
Guilherme Schettine13%
Godfried Frimpong10%
Bernardo Martins10%
Luís Asué10%
Ivo Rodrigues8%
Cedric Teguia8%
Gabrielzinho6%
Madson de Souza Silva5%
Lawrence Ofori4%
Dinis Pinto4%
Maracás3%
Rúben Ramos Ismael3%
Sidnei Tavares3%
Kewin0%
Carlos Ponck0%
Caio0%
Marcelo0%
Jeremy Antonisse0%
Joel Jorquera0%
Fabiano Silva0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Yan Maranhão0%
Michel Augusto0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Pedro Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luís Asué23%
Guilherme Schettine17%
Madson de Souza Silva11%
Alan10%
Cedric Teguia8%
Gabrielzinho6%
Dinis Pinto4%
Ivo Rodrigues0%
Maracás0%
Kewin0%
Carlos Ponck0%
Caio0%
Lawrence Ofori0%
Godfried Frimpong0%
Bernardo Martins0%
Marcelo0%
Rúben Ramos Ismael0%
Jeremy Antonisse0%
Joel Jorquera0%
Fabiano Silva0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Sidnei Tavares0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Yan Maranhão0%
Michel Augusto0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Pedro Santos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
AMA (6)
€1m
GIL Vicente's squad is €7m more valuable than Moreirense's (€29m vs €22m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
GIL Vicente's attack is €6m more valuable than Moreirense's (€11m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
GIL Vicente and Moreirense have a similar midfield value (both €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
ACA (4)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
GIL Vicente's defence is €2m more valuable than Moreirense's (€11m vs €9m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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Sporting CP
Benfica
FC Porto
SC Braga
Santa Clara
Guimaraes
Famalicao
Estoril
Casa Pia
Arouca
Rio Ave
Nacional
AVS
Estrela
Farense
Boavista
Vizela