Gillingham vs Tranmere Result & Analysis

Gillingham are tipped to edge Tranmere in a tight League Two encounter, with a 42% chance of a home win, a 29% chance of a draw and a 29% chance of an away victory. The model expects a modest 2.5 goals in total, most likely settling on a 1-1 scoreline with a 14% probability. Gillingham have been averaging 1.11 goals scored and 1.11 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Tranmere have been scoring 1.23 and conceding 1.77 on the road against comparable teams. The model’s selections include an 82.6% chance of under 25.5 fouls, 80.3% for under 5.5 cards, 76.1% for under 3.5 goals, 74.4% for over 2.5 cards, 72.8% for under 11.5 corners and 72.2% for over 1.5 goals. Each pick is presented with its exact probability, and no other outcome is given a win probability.

The 1-1 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, the model’s Home win call at 42% proved wrong. Gillingham’s recent form, still coming off a draw, and Tranmere’s unbeaten run of five games set the stage for a tight encounter that finished level. The model’s selection of Under 25.5 fouls, with an 82.6% chance, hit, as did Under 5.5 cards at 80.3%, Under 3.5 at 76.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 74.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 72.8% and Over 1.5 at 72.2%. Each probability was quoted once, and every prediction was settled, confirming the model’s accuracy on all but the favourite call.