This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Walsall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.47
1.40
0.93
1.60
2.00
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
2.25
2.50
1.00
1.50
3.50
vs Similar (22)
1.59
1.27
1.36
1.00
1.82
1.55
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
1.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
3.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Gillingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.5%
Under 1.5
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.8%
@ 2.35+6.9%
Under 2.5
53.2%
@ 1.56-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.3%
Under 3.5
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.8%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.1%
Gillingham goals ↓
Walsall goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
7.7%
5.1%
2.0%
0.6%
1
9.7%
14%
7.2%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.7%
8.8%
5.0%
1.9%
0.6%
3
3.6%
4.1%
2.4%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.3%
1.4%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gillingham goals (down), columns = Walsall goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stockport
2.00
Wrexham
1.91
Mansfield
1.87
Milton Keynes Dons
1.70
Doncaster
1.54
Crewe
1.54
Crawley Town
1.52
Bradford
1.50
Barrow
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.41
Walsall
1.41
Gillingham
1.39
Harrogate
1.37
Notts County
1.33
Morecambe
1.33
Accrington
1.24
Tranmere
1.24
Newport County
1.20
Swindon
1.17
Salford
1.11
Grimsby
1.07
Colchester
0.98
Forest Green
0.91
Sutton
0.91
Gillingham is 0.02 points worse than Walsall in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.41).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stockport
2.09
Mansfield
1.96
Notts County
1.93
Wrexham
1.93
Milton Keynes Dons
1.80
Swindon
1.67
Doncaster
1.59
Crawley Town
1.59
Walsall
1.50
Crewe
1.50
Tranmere
1.46
Morecambe
1.46
Salford
1.43
AFC Wimbledon
1.39
Accrington
1.37
Newport County
1.35
Barrow
1.35
Bradford
1.33
Harrogate
1.30
Sutton
1.28
Colchester
1.28
Grimsby
1.24
Gillingham
1.00
Forest Green
0.96
Gillingham is 0.50 goals worse than Walsall in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Mansfield
1.02
Stockport
1.04
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Wrexham
1.13
Barrow
1.22
Gillingham
1.24
Bradford
1.28
Crewe
1.41
Crawley Town
1.46
Doncaster
1.48
Milton Keynes Dons
1.48
Harrogate
1.50
Tranmere
1.52
Accrington
1.54
Walsall
1.59
Grimsby
1.61
Newport County
1.65
Forest Green
1.70
Colchester
1.74
Morecambe
1.76
Salford
1.78
Swindon
1.80
Sutton
1.83
Notts County
1.87
Gillingham is 0.35 goals better than Walsall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Notts County
65%
Milton Keynes Dons
58%
Crawley Town
57%
Stockport
57%
Swindon
55%
Mansfield
54%
Salford
52%
Bradford
51%
Crewe
50%
Gillingham
50%
Wrexham
50%
Doncaster
49%
Grimsby
49%
Colchester
49%
Accrington
48%
Harrogate
48%
AFC Wimbledon
47%
Tranmere
47%
Forest Green
45%
Barrow
44%
Sutton
44%
Newport County
44%
Morecambe
44%
Walsall
43%
Gillingham is 7.5 percentage points better than Walsall in terms of average possession (50% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gillingham
For 7.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.4 · Against 11.1 · Total 19.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Walsall
For 4.8 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.5 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gillingham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.7
9.4
3.8
4.4
3.2
21.6
23.0
20.3
vs Stronger (11)
8.4
7.5
9.4
4.1
5.5
2.4
22.2
23.7
20.4
vs Similar (34)
9.3
9.1
9.4
3.6
3.6
3.5
21.5
22.7
20.5
vs Weaker (5)
9.0
9.3
8.5
4.6
6.0
2.5
21.0
23.0
18.0
% over line
48%
36%
60%
58%
68%
48%
44%
56%
32%
% under line
52%
64%
40%
42%
32%
52%
56%
44%
68%
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Walsall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.1
10.0
4.1
4.5
3.6
21.8
21.9
21.8
vs Stronger (4)
11.0
10.5
11.5
4.5
6.0
3.0
16.2
16.5
16.0
vs Similar (38)
9.3
8.5
10.1
3.9
4.2
3.6
22.3
21.4
23.1
vs Weaker (8)
10.1
11.2
9.0
4.5
5.2
3.8
22.6
27.0
18.2
% over line
50%
42%
58%
62%
75%
50%
52%
54%
50%
% under line
50%
58%
42%
38%
25%
50%
48%
46%
50%
This opponent (Gillingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wrexham
11.3
Tranmere
10.9
Crewe
10.8
Harrogate
10.7
Forest Green
10.5
Colchester
10.4
Morecambe
10.3
Grimsby
10.3
Notts County
10.2
Mansfield
10.2
Milton Keynes Dons
10.1
Crawley Town
10.0
Sutton
9.9
Accrington
9.9
Doncaster
9.8
Bradford
9.8
Swindon
9.8
Newport County
9.6
Walsall
9.6
Stockport
9.6
Salford
9.5
AFC Wimbledon
9.4
Gillingham
9.0
Barrow
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Crawley Town
4.5
Colchester
4.4
AFC Wimbledon
4.4
Swindon
4.3
Bradford
4.3
Notts County
4.2
Accrington
4.2
Forest Green
4.2
Walsall
4.1
Milton Keynes Dons
4.0
Barrow
4.0
Salford
4.0
Crewe
4.0
Mansfield
4.0
Doncaster
3.9
Morecambe
3.8
Gillingham
3.8
Tranmere
3.7
Newport County
3.6
Wrexham
3.5
Sutton
3.4
Grimsby
3.4
Stockport
3.4
Harrogate
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Accrington
25.0
AFC Wimbledon
23.8
Stockport
22.5
Barrow
22.3
Crewe
22.2
Sutton
22.2
Milton Keynes Dons
22.1
Newport County
22.1
Crawley Town
22.0
Salford
22.0
Walsall
21.8
Swindon
21.7
Bradford
21.7
Gillingham
21.6
Grimsby
21.5
Mansfield
21.2
Colchester
20.8
Doncaster
20.7
Forest Green
20.7
Wrexham
20.3
Tranmere
20.2
Harrogate
19.9
Morecambe
19.8
Notts County
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.8%
Under 9.5
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.2%
Under 3.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
53.0%
Under 21.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gillingham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.57
0.47
0.60
0.27
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (21)
0.33
0.62
0.40
0.60
0.27
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Walsall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.40
0.27
0.73
1.20
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.50
0.55
0.27
0.18
0.73
0.91
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
2.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Gillingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gillingham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gillingham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gillingham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gillingham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.53
0.60
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.62
0.50
0.60
0.55
0.64
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Walsall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.73
1.00
0.67
0.87
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.25
1.50
0.50
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.09
0.73
1.09
0.82
1.09
0.64
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Gillingham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gillingham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gillingham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gillingham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Gillingham · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Conor McManus33%
James Brophy0%
Robbie McKenzie0%
Nick Freeman0%
Omar Beckles0%
Ronan Hale0%
Will Goodwin0%
Andy Smith0%
Sheldon Kendall0%
Harry Waldock0%
Logan Dobbs0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James Brophy33%
Robbie McKenzie33%
Omar Beckles33%
Nick Freeman0%
Ronan Hale0%
Will Goodwin0%
Andy Smith0%
Conor McManus0%
Sheldon Kendall0%
Harry Waldock0%
Logan Dobbs0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nick Freeman33%
James Brophy0%
Robbie McKenzie0%
Omar Beckles0%
Ronan Hale0%
Will Goodwin0%
Andy Smith0%
Conor McManus0%
Sheldon Kendall0%
Harry Waldock0%
Logan Dobbs0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Will Goodwin33%
James Brophy0%
Robbie McKenzie0%
Nick Freeman0%
Omar Beckles0%
Ronan Hale0%
Andy Smith0%
Conor McManus0%
Sheldon Kendall0%
Harry Waldock0%
Logan Dobbs0%
Walsall · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aaron Pressley50%
Harrison Burke33%
Reece Smith25%
Sven Sprangler0%
Albert Adomah0%
Andy Dallas0%
Lewis Simper0%
Tai Sodje0%
James Connolly0%
Jed Ward0%
Rico Browne0%
Mason Hancock0%
Charlie Crew0%
Declan Skura0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Courtney Clarke0%
Isaac Moore0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Isaac Moore75%
Sven Sprangler67%
Tai Sodje33%
James Connolly33%
Elicha Ahui33%
Rico Browne25%
Declan Skura25%
Albert Adomah0%
Andy Dallas0%
Aaron Pressley0%
Lewis Simper0%
Reece Smith0%
Harrison Burke0%
Jed Ward0%
Mason Hancock0%
Charlie Crew0%
Courtney Clarke0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Reece Smith50%
Mason Hancock25%
Sven Sprangler0%
Albert Adomah0%
Andy Dallas0%
Aaron Pressley0%
Lewis Simper0%
Tai Sodje0%
James Connolly0%
Harrison Burke0%
Jed Ward0%
Rico Browne0%
Charlie Crew0%
Declan Skura0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Courtney Clarke0%
Isaac Moore0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aaron Pressley50%
Andy Dallas25%
Reece Smith25%
Courtney Clarke25%
Sven Sprangler0%
Albert Adomah0%
Lewis Simper0%
Tai Sodje0%
James Connolly0%
Harrison Burke0%
Jed Ward0%
Rico Browne0%
Mason Hancock0%
Charlie Crew0%
Declan Skura0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Isaac Moore0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (32)
€77m
MKD (24)
€15m
STO (25)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BRA (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
CT (19)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
MOR (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Gillingham and Walsall have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€15m
MKD (8)
€5m
STO (8)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Gillingham and Walsall have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€23m
MKD (6)
€7m
MAN (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
Gillingham and Walsall have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (14)
€39m
STO (11)
€4m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Gillingham and Walsall have a similar defence value (both €1m).
England: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →
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Stockport
Wrexham
Mansfield
Milton Keynes Dons
Doncaster
Crewe
Crawley Town
Barrow
Bradford
AFC Wimbledon
Harrogate
Notts County
Morecambe
Tranmere
Accrington
Newport County
Swindon
Salford
Grimsby
Colchester
Sutton
Forest Green