This opponent (Ümraniyespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ümraniyespor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.43
1.25
1.12
1.14
1.79
vs Stronger (9)
0.89
2.00
0.75
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.33
1.19
1.42
0.83
1.22
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Giresunspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.0%
Under 1.5
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.0%
No
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
0-1
12.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-2 ✓
9.5%
0-0
9.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-0
5.7%
1-3
5.3%
Giresunspor goals ↓
Ümraniyespor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
12%
11%
6.2%
2.6%
1
5.7%
13%
9.5%
5.3%
2.2%
2
3.0%
4.9%
4.1%
2.3%
1.0%
3
0.8%
1.4%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Giresunspor goals (down), columns = Ümraniyespor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Eyüpspor
2.21
Göztepe
2.06
Sakaryaspor
1.74
Bodrum FK
1.66
Çorum FK
1.65
Kocaelispor
1.57
Boluspor
1.51
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.50
Bandırmaspor
1.47
Erzurumspor FK
1.38
Ümraniyespor
1.26
Keçiörengücü
1.18
Manisa F.K.
1.18
Adanaspor
1.15
Beykoz Anadolu
1.12
Şanlıurfaspor
1.12
Altay
0.56
Giresunspor
0.29
Giresunspor is 0.97 points worse than Ümraniyespor in terms of average points per game (0.29 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eyüpspor
2.26
Göztepe
1.76
Çorum FK
1.57
Sakaryaspor
1.46
Bandırmaspor
1.44
Kocaelispor
1.40
Bodrum FK
1.24
Ümraniyespor
1.18
Manisa F.K.
1.18
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.15
Beykoz Anadolu
1.03
Keçiörengücü
1.00
Boluspor
0.94
Şanlıurfaspor
0.94
Erzurumspor FK
0.88
Adanaspor
0.82
Giresunspor
0.47
Altay
0.47
Giresunspor is 0.71 goals worse than Ümraniyespor in terms of goals scored per game (0.47 vs 1.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Göztepe
0.59
Bodrum FK
0.63
Eyüpspor
0.91
Bandırmaspor
0.94
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.97
Erzurumspor FK
1.00
Çorum FK
1.03
Sakaryaspor
1.03
Boluspor
1.06
Şanlıurfaspor
1.09
Manisa F.K.
1.18
Kocaelispor
1.23
Keçiörengücü
1.26
Adanaspor
1.32
Ümraniyespor
1.38
Beykoz Anadolu
1.38
Giresunspor
2.09
Altay
2.24
Giresunspor is 0.71 goals worse than Ümraniyespor in terms of goals conceded per game (2.09 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Eyüpspor
64%
Manisa F.K.
54%
Kocaelispor
54%
Sakaryaspor
54%
Ümraniyespor
54%
Çorum FK
52%
Bandırmaspor
52%
Göztepe
51%
Boluspor
50%
Beykoz Anadolu
49%
Şanlıurfaspor
48%
Keçiörengücü
48%
Bodrum FK
47%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
47%
Erzurumspor FK
45%
Altay
44%
Adanaspor
44%
Giresunspor
41%
Giresunspor is 12.5 percentage points worse than Ümraniyespor in terms of average possession (41% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Giresunspor
For 2.0 · Against 6.3 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ümraniyespor
For 4.1 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 13.5 · Total 25.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Giresunspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
11.0
8.5
2.2
2.3
2.1
22.0
24.2
19.9
vs Stronger (35)
9.7
11.3
8.1
1.7
1.8
1.6
20.9
23.3
18.5
vs Similar (15)
9.7
10.4
9.2
3.3
3.8
3.0
24.0
26.0
22.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
73%
31%
30%
31%
29%
48%
67%
31%
% under line
48%
27%
69%
70%
69%
71%
52%
33%
69%
This opponent (Ümraniyespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ümraniyespor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.4
8.1
3.5
3.9
3.2
24.4
24.1
24.7
vs Stronger (17)
9.1
10.8
7.8
2.9
4.0
2.1
23.4
24.8
22.4
vs Similar (33)
8.6
8.9
8.2
3.8
3.8
3.9
24.8
23.9
25.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
44%
31%
50%
52%
48%
66%
75%
56%
% under line
62%
56%
69%
50%
48%
52%
34%
25%
44%
This opponent (Giresunspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Giresunspor
9.8
Şanlıurfaspor
9.6
Sakaryaspor
9.4
Eyüpspor
9.3
Boluspor
9.1
Adanaspor
9.0
Çorum FK
9.0
Keçiörengücü
9.0
Beykoz Anadolu
8.8
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
8.8
Ümraniyespor
8.7
Altay
8.7
Erzurumspor FK
8.6
Kocaelispor
8.3
Göztepe
8.2
Bodrum FK
8.1
Manisa F.K.
7.9
Bandırmaspor
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ümraniyespor
5.5
Keçiörengücü
5.2
Manisa F.K.
5.1
Bodrum FK
4.9
Adanaspor
4.9
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.8
Altay
4.8
Beykoz Anadolu
4.8
Bandırmaspor
4.7
Sakaryaspor
4.6
Boluspor
4.5
Eyüpspor
4.5
Çorum FK
4.3
Erzurumspor FK
4.2
Kocaelispor
4.2
Göztepe
4.1
Şanlıurfaspor
4.0
Giresunspor
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bodrum FK
28.7
Altay
27.7
Bandırmaspor
27.2
Manisa F.K.
27.0
Erzurumspor FK
26.3
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
26.2
Beykoz Anadolu
26.2
Boluspor
26.1
Eyüpspor
25.8
Keçiörengücü
25.4
Sakaryaspor
24.7
Ümraniyespor
24.4
Şanlıurfaspor
24.4
Göztepe
24.3
Kocaelispor
24.1
Adanaspor
24.1
Giresunspor
23.0
Çorum FK
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.5%
Under 9.5
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.5%
Under 3.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
70.6%
Under 21.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Giresunspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
1.00
0.21
0.71
0.19
1.25
vs Stronger (19)
0.21
0.89
0.33
0.44
0.10
1.30
vs Similar (11)
0.18
1.18
0.00
1.20
0.33
1.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ümraniyespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ümraniyespor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.31
0.38
0.57
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.78
0.00
0.50
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.57
0.42
0.33
0.56
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Giresunspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Giresunspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Giresunspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Giresunspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ümraniyespor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ümraniyespor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ümraniyespor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Giresunspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
1.23
0.07
1.14
0.38
1.31
vs Stronger (19)
0.21
1.37
0.11
1.22
0.30
1.50
vs Similar (11)
0.27
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ümraniyespor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ümraniyespor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
0.94
0.75
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.22
0.75
1.50
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.62
1.00
0.50
0.67
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Giresunspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Giresunspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Giresunspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Giresunspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ümraniyespor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ümraniyespor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ümraniyespor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Giresunspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sahin Dik12%
Kasim Kosker10%
Brandley Kuwas9%
Vukan Savićević9%
Mehmet Keskin7%
Talha Ülvan4%
Anil Yigit Cinar4%
Faruk Can Genç3%
Ertugrul Senlikoglu3%
Çekdar Orhan0%
Erkan Anapa0%
Göktan Cörüt0%
Erol Can Akdag0%
Arda Kılıç0%
Fatih Yilmaz0%
Kadir Seven0%
Furkan Kütük0%
Emre Nizam0%
Metin Caner Akbayrak0%
Mert Kurt0%
Enishan Ceylan0%
Mirac Cakiroglu0%
Ahmet Kara0%
Ali Akcay0%
Muhammet Turhan0%
Furkan Kabaca0%
Senel Aydemi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Erol Can Akdag30%
Brandley Kuwas27%
Vukan Savićević27%
Faruk Can Genç24%
Enishan Ceylan23%
Anil Yigit Cinar21%
Mert Kurt19%
Mehmet Keskin19%
Kadir Seven16%
Talha Ülvan15%
Ertugrul Senlikoglu13%
Fatih Yilmaz11%
Furkan Kütük11%
Furkan Kabaca8%
Erkan Anapa8%
Emre Nizam8%
Sahin Dik6%
Kasim Kosker5%
Çekdar Orhan0%
Göktan Cörüt0%
Arda Kılıç0%
Metin Caner Akbayrak0%
Mirac Cakiroglu0%
Ahmet Kara0%
Ali Akcay0%
Muhammet Turhan0%
Senel Aydemi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brandley Kuwas9%
Vukan Savićević9%
Kadir Seven8%
Çekdar Orhan6%
Talha Ülvan4%
Ertugrul Senlikoglu3%
Erkan Anapa0%
Göktan Cörüt0%
Erol Can Akdag0%
Faruk Can Genç0%
Arda Kılıç0%
Fatih Yilmaz0%
Furkan Kütük0%
Emre Nizam0%
Metin Caner Akbayrak0%
Anil Yigit Cinar0%
Sahin Dik0%
Kasim Kosker0%
Mert Kurt0%
Enishan Ceylan0%
Mirac Cakiroglu0%
Ahmet Kara0%
Mehmet Keskin0%
Ali Akcay0%
Muhammet Turhan0%
Furkan Kabaca0%
Senel Aydemi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brandley Kuwas18%
Talha Ülvan12%
Erol Can Akdag10%
Vukan Savićević9%
Kasim Kosker5%
Mehmet Keskin4%
Faruk Can Genç3%
Çekdar Orhan0%
Erkan Anapa0%
Göktan Cörüt0%
Ertugrul Senlikoglu0%
Arda Kılıç0%
Fatih Yilmaz0%
Kadir Seven0%
Furkan Kütük0%
Emre Nizam0%
Metin Caner Akbayrak0%
Anil Yigit Cinar0%
Sahin Dik0%
Mert Kurt0%
Enishan Ceylan0%
Mirac Cakiroglu0%
Ahmet Kara0%
Ali Akcay0%
Muhammet Turhan0%
Furkan Kabaca0%
Senel Aydemi0%
Ümraniyespor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Atalay Babacan15%
Emrecan Bulut15%
Uğur Kaan Yıldız14%
İlhami Siraçhan Nas12%
Tiago Çukur11%
Joshgun Diniyev10%
Viktor Klonaridis10%
Onur Ayık10%
Dejvi Bregu10%
Strahil Popov9%
Dimitri Cavaré8%
Ivan Šaponjić7%
Emre Demir7%
Muhammed Mert7%
Serkan Göksu7%
Tomislav Glumac7%
Mustafa Eser6%
Ayman Bouali6%
Emre Kaplan5%
Melih Okutan4%
Hasan Ayaroğlu4%
Daouda Karamoko Bamba0%
Isaac Cofie0%
Abdulsamed Damlu0%
Ubeyd Adiyaman0%
Nassim Titebah0%
Berk Taşkın0%
Batuhan Arici0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Berk Taşkın50%
Ivan Šaponjić36%
Daouda Karamoko Bamba33%
Nassim Titebah33%
Tomislav Glumac30%
İlhami Siraçhan Nas29%
Hasan Ayaroğlu29%
Dimitri Cavaré23%
Tiago Çukur22%
Joshgun Diniyev21%
Viktor Klonaridis20%
Emre Kaplan18%
Isaac Cofie18%
Mustafa Eser18%
Abdulsamed Damlu17%
Serkan Göksu17%
Emrecan Bulut15%
Emre Demir14%
Muhammed Mert14%
Strahil Popov13%
Ayman Bouali12%
Uğur Kaan Yıldız11%
Ubeyd Adiyaman9%
Onur Ayık7%
Atalay Babacan0%
Dejvi Bregu0%
Melih Okutan0%
Batuhan Arici0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nassim Titebah33%
Tiago Çukur22%
Atalay Babacan15%
Serkan Göksu13%
Ayman Bouali12%
Uğur Kaan Yıldız11%
Dejvi Bregu10%
İlhami Siraçhan Nas8%
Emrecan Bulut8%
Ivan Šaponjić7%
Emre Demir7%
Joshgun Diniyev7%
Onur Ayık7%
Tomislav Glumac7%
Strahil Popov4%
Hasan Ayaroğlu4%
Muhammed Mert4%
Viktor Klonaridis0%
Dimitri Cavaré0%
Daouda Karamoko Bamba0%
Isaac Cofie0%
Abdulsamed Damlu0%
Melih Okutan0%
Ubeyd Adiyaman0%
Berk Taşkın0%
Mustafa Eser0%
Emre Kaplan0%
Batuhan Arici0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Emrecan Bulut46%
Ivan Šaponjić14%
Ayman Bouali12%
Tiago Çukur11%
Joshgun Diniyev10%
Melih Okutan7%
Strahil Popov4%
Hasan Ayaroğlu4%
Emre Demir4%
Muhammed Mert4%
Uğur Kaan Yıldız4%
Atalay Babacan0%
Viktor Klonaridis0%
Onur Ayık0%
Dejvi Bregu0%
Dimitri Cavaré0%
Daouda Karamoko Bamba0%
Isaac Cofie0%
Abdulsamed Damlu0%
Serkan Göksu0%
Tomislav Glumac0%
Ubeyd Adiyaman0%
Nassim Titebah0%
Berk Taşkın0%
Mustafa Eser0%
Emre Kaplan0%
İlhami Siraçhan Nas0%
Batuhan Arici0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Turkey: 1. Lig 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →