This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Las Palmas
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.20
1.50
1.06
0.50
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.72
1.61
1.10
1.30
0.25
2.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.50
0.58
2.17
0.67
0.83
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Girona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
56.9%
Under 1.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
29.0%
@ 2.53-8.3%
Under 2.5
71.0%
@ 1.50+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.1%
Under 3.5
87.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
28.1%
No
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
21.0%
0-0 ✓
16.3%
2-0
15.8%
1-1
10.7%
3-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
Girona goals ↓
Las Palmas goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
5.8%
1.5%
0.2%
0.0%
1
21%
11%
2.1%
0.3%
0.0%
2
16%
6.9%
1.5%
0.2%
0.0%
3
7.5%
3.3%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
4
2.7%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Girona goals (down), columns = Las Palmas goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Valladolid
1.93
Almeria
1.93
Eibar
1.90
Las Palmas
1.67
Tenerife
1.64
Girona
1.62
Oviedo
1.62
Ponferradina
1.50
FC Cartagena
1.43
Zaragoza
1.33
Burgos
1.31
Leganes
1.29
Huesca
1.29
Ibiza
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Lugo
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.10
Malaga
1.07
Amorebieta
1.02
Real Sociedad II
0.95
Fuenlabrada
0.79
Alcorcon
0.69
Girona is 0.05 points worse than Las Palmas in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Valladolid
1.69
Almeria
1.62
FC Cartagena
1.50
Eibar
1.45
Mirandes
1.38
Girona
1.36
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Oviedo
1.36
Ibiza
1.26
Tenerife
1.26
Leganes
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Lugo
1.10
Amorebieta
1.05
Real Sociedad II
1.02
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Burgos
0.98
Fuenlabrada
0.93
Zaragoza
0.93
Alcorcon
0.88
Malaga
0.86
Girona and Las Palmas are level in goals scored per game (both 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Almeria
0.83
Tenerife
0.88
Oviedo
0.98
Burgos
0.98
Girona
1.00
Valladolid
1.02
Huesca
1.05
Eibar
1.07
Zaragoza
1.10
Las Palmas
1.12
Sporting Gijon
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Lugo
1.24
Ponferradina
1.31
Malaga
1.36
FC Cartagena
1.36
Ibiza
1.40
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Mirandes
1.48
Amorebieta
1.50
Fuenlabrada
1.55
Alcorcon
1.69
Girona is 0.12 goals better than Las Palmas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Girona
For 5.3 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 12.9 · Total 26.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Las Palmas
For 3.6 · Against 3.5 · Total 7.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.2 · Against 13.6 · Total 29.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Girona
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.4
8.5
5.4
5.0
5.8
30.7
29.3
32.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
8.8
8.4
9.2
5.7
5.7
5.7
31.8
32.9
30.5
vs Weaker (37)
8.4
8.4
8.3
5.3
4.7
5.8
30.3
27.9
32.5
% over line
26%
16%
36%
80%
80%
80%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
74%
84%
64%
20%
20%
20%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Las Palmas
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
7.6
8.2
6.9
5.4
5.0
6.0
31.8
31.2
32.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
7.5
8.4
6.6
5.9
5.3
6.4
31.0
30.4
31.6
vs Weaker (21)
7.7
8.0
7.3
4.9
4.5
5.3
32.9
32.4
33.4
% over line
28%
38%
17%
80%
73%
88%
98%
96%
100%
% under line
72%
62%
83%
20%
27%
12%
2%
4%
0%
This opponent (Girona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Eibar
9.4
Almeria
9.3
Mirandes
9.0
Lugo
9.0
Valladolid
9.0
Zaragoza
8.9
Fuenlabrada
8.9
Tenerife
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.5
Girona
8.5
Ponferradina
8.4
Huesca
8.2
Oviedo
8.0
Real Sociedad II
8.0
Leganes
8.0
Malaga
7.9
Sporting Gijon
7.9
Alcorcon
7.9
Las Palmas
7.6
Ibiza
7.0
Amorebieta
5.0
Burgos
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fuenlabrada
6.0
FC Cartagena
5.8
Almeria
5.5
Oviedo
5.5
Las Palmas
5.4
Girona
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Lugo
5.2
Malaga
5.2
Leganes
5.1
Valladolid
5.0
Amorebieta
5.0
Ponferradina
4.8
Alcorcon
4.6
Zaragoza
4.6
Mirandes
4.5
Sporting Gijon
4.0
Ibiza
4.0
Huesca
3.8
Eibar
3.6
Real Sociedad II
3.0
Burgos
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fuenlabrada
32.2
Amorebieta
32.0
FC Cartagena
32.0
Las Palmas
31.8
Leganes
30.7
Girona
30.7
Malaga
30.5
Tenerife
30.4
Almeria
29.5
Oviedo
28.7
Alcorcon
28.6
Huesca
28.5
Ponferradina
28.0
Zaragoza
27.9
Valladolid
27.9
Mirandes
27.5
Lugo
27.4
Ibiza
27.0
Real Sociedad II
26.5
Sporting Gijon
25.7
Eibar
24.1
Burgos
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
26.7%
Under 9.5
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.4%
Under 3.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
93.6%
Under 21.5
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Girona
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.30
0.50
0.06
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.29
0.29
0.33
0.00
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (23)
0.57
0.30
0.54
0.08
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Las Palmas
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.53
0.62
0.44
0.29
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.17
0.67
0.20
0.60
0.12
0.75
vs Weaker (12)
0.92
0.33
1.33
0.17
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Girona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Girona over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Girona
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.47
0.75
0.38
0.86
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.43
0.00
0.33
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (23)
0.91
0.48
0.92
0.38
0.90
0.60
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Las Palmas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Las Palmas
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.88
0.62
0.21
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.94
0.90
0.70
0.12
1.25
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.25
0.83
0.50
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Girona) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Girona over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Las Palmas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS No
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
71.0%
1.50
-
-
-
-
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Girona · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yáser Asprilla67%
Abel Ruíz33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Izan González33%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Bryan Gil0%
Álex Moreno0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bryan Gil33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Álex Moreno33%
Abel Ruíz0%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Abel Ruíz33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Bryan Gil0%
Álex Moreno0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Gil67%
Álex Moreno33%
Abel Ruíz0%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Fran Beltrán0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Las Palmas · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Taisei Miyashiro67%
Jesé Rodríguez33%
Manuel Fuster33%
Jefté Betancor0%
Enzo Loiodice0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Kirian Rodríguez0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enzo Loiodice33%
Kirian Rodríguez33%
Giovanni Bonfanti33%
Jesé Rodríguez0%
Jefté Betancor0%
Taisei Miyashiro0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Manuel Fuster0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Taisei Miyashiro67%
Jesé Rodríguez0%
Jefté Betancor0%
Enzo Loiodice0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Kirian Rodríguez0%
Manuel Fuster0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Manuel Fuster33%
Jesé Rodríguez0%
Jefté Betancor0%
Enzo Loiodice0%
Taisei Miyashiro0%
José Antonio Caro0%
Kirian Rodríguez0%
Sergio Ruiz0%
Alex Suárez0%
Giovanni Bonfanti0%
Juanma Herzog0%
Valentin Pezzolesi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
BUR (22)
€17m
EIB (24)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Girona's squad is €84m more valuable than Las Palmas's (€114m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€26m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Girona's attack is €50m more valuable than Las Palmas's (€64m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
EIB (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Girona's midfield is €26m more valuable than Las Palmas's (€28m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
BUR (9)
€6m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Girona's defence is €9m more valuable than Las Palmas's (€22m vs €13m).
Spain: Segunda División 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →