This opponent (Tenerife) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.33
1.27
1.33
1.20
1.33
vs Stronger (7)
1.43
1.71
2.00
1.50
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.10
1.29
1.00
1.27
1.20
1.30
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
-
-
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Girona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.3%
Under 1.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.8%
@ 2.25-0.2%
Under 2.5
58.2%
@ 1.63+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.8%
No
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
13.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
12.0%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.9%
Girona goals ↓
Tenerife goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
6.1%
2.8%
0.7%
0.1%
1
14%
13%
4.4%
1.1%
0.2%
2
12%
9.2%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
6.3%
4.9%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Girona goals (down), columns = Tenerife goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Huesca
1.67
Cadiz
1.64
Zaragoza
1.55
Almeria
1.52
Girona
1.50
Elche
1.45
Fuenlabrada
1.43
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Alcorcon
1.36
Las Palmas
1.36
Mirandes
1.33
Tenerife
1.31
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Lugo
1.24
Albacete
1.24
Deportivo La Coruna
1.21
Ponferradina
1.21
Numancia
1.19
Extremadura UD
1.02
Racing Santander
0.79
Girona is 0.19 points better than Tenerife in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.31).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almeria
1.48
Rayo Vallecano
1.43
Zaragoza
1.40
Huesca
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Alcorcon
1.24
Elche
1.24
Tenerife
1.19
Cadiz
1.19
Las Palmas
1.17
Oviedo
1.17
Girona
1.14
Fuenlabrada
1.12
Numancia
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Deportivo La Coruna
1.02
Extremadura UD
1.02
Lugo
1.02
Sporting Gijon
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Albacete
0.86
Malaga
0.83
Girona is 0.05 goals worse than Tenerife in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Malaga
0.79
Sporting Gijon
0.90
Cadiz
0.93
Fuenlabrada
0.95
Huesca
1.00
Girona
1.02
Almeria
1.02
Elche
1.05
Tenerife
1.10
Las Palmas
1.10
Albacete
1.10
Rayo Vallecano
1.19
Alcorcon
1.19
Ponferradina
1.19
Numancia
1.26
Oviedo
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Lugo
1.29
Racing Santander
1.33
Extremadura UD
1.40
Mirandes
1.40
Deportivo La Coruna
1.43
Girona is 0.07 goals better than Tenerife in terms of goals conceded per game (1.02 vs 1.10).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Girona
For 4.4 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 6.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.1 · Against 14.1 · Total 30.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tenerife
For 4.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 14.3 · Total 30.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Girona
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.6
8.8
5.8
5.6
5.9
28.7
29.1
28.3
vs Stronger (5)
9.2
11.0
8.0
6.0
7.0
5.3
25.8
27.0
25.0
vs Similar (32)
8.6
8.2
8.9
5.6
5.2
5.9
29.8
29.8
29.9
vs Weaker (13)
9.0
8.8
9.1
6.2
6.3
6.0
27.0
28.0
26.1
% over line
40%
38%
42%
88%
92%
85%
92%
100%
85%
% under line
60%
62%
58%
12%
8%
15%
8%
0%
15%
This opponent (Tenerife) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.9
8.9
6.0
6.5
5.5
30.6
29.4
31.8
vs Stronger (10)
9.7
9.4
10.0
6.8
8.0
5.6
32.9
30.8
35.0
vs Similar (37)
9.3
9.8
8.8
5.9
6.1
5.7
29.8
28.6
31.2
vs Weaker (3)
10.5
15.0
6.0
5.0
8.0
3.5
32.5
38.0
27.0
% over line
49%
54%
43%
82%
85%
79%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
51%
46%
57%
18%
15%
21%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Girona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lugo
11.0
Numancia
10.2
Huesca
10.2
Sporting Gijon
10.0
Rayo Vallecano
10.0
Extremadura UD
9.9
Zaragoza
9.8
Oviedo
9.8
Alcorcon
9.7
Mirandes
9.6
Cadiz
9.6
Las Palmas
9.5
Tenerife
9.4
Elche
9.4
Deportivo La Coruna
9.3
Almeria
9.3
Ponferradina
9.2
Albacete
9.1
Malaga
9.1
Racing Santander
8.9
Fuenlabrada
8.8
Girona
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Las Palmas
6.7
Alcorcon
6.6
Sporting Gijon
6.5
Fuenlabrada
6.3
Tenerife
6.3
Racing Santander
6.2
Extremadura UD
6.1
Elche
6.0
Albacete
5.9
Malaga
5.8
Almeria
5.8
Cadiz
5.8
Girona
5.8
Lugo
5.7
Oviedo
5.7
Numancia
5.6
Huesca
5.6
Ponferradina
5.6
Rayo Vallecano
5.4
Deportivo La Coruna
5.0
Zaragoza
4.9
Mirandes
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
34.5
Elche
33.3
Almeria
33.1
Albacete
33.0
Ponferradina
32.8
Las Palmas
32.7
Alcorcon
32.6
Sporting Gijon
32.6
Oviedo
32.4
Fuenlabrada
31.5
Tenerife
30.6
Extremadura UD
30.4
Deportivo La Coruna
30.3
Malaga
29.9
Lugo
29.8
Numancia
29.6
Cadiz
29.5
Rayo Vallecano
29.3
Mirandes
29.1
Girona
28.7
Huesca
28.5
Zaragoza
27.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.3%
Under 9.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
84.3%
Under 3.5
15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.4%
Under 21.5
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Girona
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.47
0.40
0.33
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
-
-
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.47
0.45
0.27
0.38
0.75
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.44
0.25
0.50
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.40
0.53
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.50
0.75
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.59
0.36
0.45
0.45
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Girona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Girona over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Girona
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.79
1.00
0.73
1.00
0.88
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
0.22
0.44
0.25
0.25
0.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Tenerife) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tenerife
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.73
0.87
0.80
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
0.86
1.50
0.75
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.73
0.64
0.82
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Girona) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Girona over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Girona over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tenerife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
93.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Girona · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yáser Asprilla67%
Abel Ruíz33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Izan González33%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Bryan Gil0%
Álex Moreno0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bryan Gil33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Álex Moreno33%
Abel Ruíz0%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Abel Ruíz33%
Fran Beltrán33%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Bryan Gil0%
Álex Moreno0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Gil67%
Álex Moreno33%
Abel Ruíz0%
Paulo Gazzaniga0%
Fran Beltrán0%
Alejandro Francés0%
Iván Morante0%
Yáser Asprilla0%
Izan González0%
Tenerife · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Enric Gallego67%
Jesús Álvarez33%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jesús Álvarez67%
David Rodríguez Ramos67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nacho Gil67%
Anes Krdzalic33%
Dani Martín0%
Enric Gallego0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Enric Gallego67%
Dani Martín0%
Nacho Gil0%
José León0%
Jesús Álvarez0%
Juanjo Sánchez0%
Martin Pečar0%
David Rodríguez Ramos0%
Noel Lopez0%
Anes Krdzalic0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
ALB (27)
€18m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
MIR (21)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Girona's squad is €102m more valuable than Tenerife's (€114m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
DLC (9)
€49m
ALM (11)
€38m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
ALB (10)
€8m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Girona's attack is €59m more valuable than Tenerife's (€64m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
DLC (7)
€13m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
Girona's midfield is €25m more valuable than Tenerife's (€28m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RV (9)
€36m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GIR (9)
€22m
DLC (13)
€22m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
ALB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
HUE (8)
€2m
Girona's defence is €18m more valuable than Tenerife's (€22m vs €3m).
Spain: Segunda División 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Huesca
Cadiz
Zaragoza
Almeria
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Las Palmas
Alcorcon
Mirandes
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
Oviedo
Albacete
Lugo
Ponferradina
Deportivo La Coruna
Numancia
Racing Santander