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Glacis United vs Magpies Prediction & Stats

Date: 25/10/2026
Time: 18:30
Glacis United
Glacis United
Vs
13%
20%
68%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Magpies
Magpies
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Glacis United enter the match after a mixed run, drawing their last game 2-2 against Europa, while the Magpies come off a 2-0 win over Lynx. The model therefore points to an away win as the clear favourite, giving the Magpies a 63% chance of triumph. This preference stems from the Magpies’ strong away form: they average 2.25 goals scored and have not conceded any goals against weaker opponents, whereas Glacis United struggle at home, scoring only 0.33 goals and conceding 3.33 against stronger teams. The expected total is 3.4 goals, with the most likely total being three goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-2 for the Magpies, with a 9.8% probability. Home win probability sits at 16%, draw at 21%, and away win at 63%. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (97.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.5%), Under 6.5 (94.4%), Away +2 handicap (93.8%), Home under 2.5 goals (90.1%), Away over 0.5 goals (89.7%), Under 5.5 (87.4%), and Over 1.5 (85.8%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Glacis United win
12.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
19.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Magpies win
67.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Glacis UnitedGlacis United

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W04L13L04L15L11D05L02L22D02LA·MAN15/12H·MON20/12A·MAG10/01H·ST 17/01A·EUR26/01A·HOU08/02H·LIO23/02A·LYN08/03A·EUR22/08H·LIN30/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.032.570.802.471.272.67
vs Stronger (22)0.823.090.303.201.253.00
vs Similar (8)1.621.121.801.001.331.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MagpiesMagpies

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L04L31W30W11D00D30W12L11D20WA·EUR13/12A·ST 20/12H·GLA10/01A·HOU17/01H·LIO24/01H·LYN06/02A·EUR20/02H·LIN05/03A·LIO22/08H·LYN29/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.631.001.351.232.00
vs Stronger (8)0.503.120.752.250.254.00
vs Similar (14)1.141.501.111.221.202.00
vs Weaker (8)1.620.381.000.752.250.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Glacis United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.5%
Under 1.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.3%
Under 2.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.1%
Under 3.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
0-1
8.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-3
7.5%
0-4
4.7%
0-0
4.7%
Glacis United goals ↓
Magpies goals →
01234
04.7%8.1%10%8.1%4.7%
12.7%9.2%9.7%7.5%4.4%
21.7%3.9%4.5%3.5%2.0%
30.5%1.2%1.4%1.1%0.6%
40.1%0.3%0.3%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Glacis United goals (down), columns = Magpies goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.67
St Joseph S Fc
2.33
Europa
2.07
Mons Calpe
1.96
Lions Gibraltar
1.59
Magpies
1.27
Lynx
1.26
Europa Point
1.00
College 1975
0.64
Glacis United
0.55
Hound Dogs
0.36
Glacis United is 0.73 points worse than Magpies in terms of average points per game (0.55 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
St Joseph S Fc
3.56
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.30
Mons Calpe
2.33
Lions Gibraltar
1.96
Europa
1.96
Europa Point
1.41
Lynx
1.41
Magpies
1.14
Glacis United
0.82
College 1975
0.68
Hound Dogs
0.45
Glacis United is 0.32 goals worse than Magpies in terms of goals scored per game (0.82 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
St Joseph S Fc
0.63
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.63
Europa
0.78
Mons Calpe
1.30
Magpies
1.45
Lions Gibraltar
1.63
Lynx
1.67
College 1975
2.05
Glacis United
2.59
Europa Point
2.77
Hound Dogs
3.00
Glacis United is 1.14 goals worse than Magpies in terms of goals conceded per game (2.59 vs 1.45).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Glacis United or Draw
32.2%
Avg Implied -
13%
20%
68%
covers Glacis United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Glacis United or Magpies
80.4%
Avg Implied -
13%
20%
68%
covers Glacis United + Magpies
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Magpies
87.4%
Avg Implied -
13%
20%
68%
covers Draw + Magpies
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Glacis United over/under 0.5
Over
60.6%
Under
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glacis United over/under 1.5
Over
23.9%
Under
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glacis United over/under 2.5
Over
6.8%
Under
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glacis United over/under 3.5
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 0.5
Over
90.3%
Under
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5
Over
67.6%
Under
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5
Over
41.2%
Under
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 3.5
Over
20.7%
Under
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Glacis United, so a minus line means Glacis United give that many goals of a start and Magpies receive them. At -1, Glacis United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Glacis United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Glacis United)
Glacis United -2
1.1%
Draw -2
3.2%
Magpies +2
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Glacis United)
Glacis United -1
4.3%
Draw -1
8.3%
Magpies +1
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Glacis United)
Glacis United +1
32.2%
Draw +1
22.0%
Magpies -1
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Glacis United)
Glacis United +2
54.2%
Draw +2
20.3%
Magpies -2
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Glacis UnitedGlacis United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L01L02L02L10W04L00D12L02LA·MAN15/12H·MON20/12A·MAG10/01H·ST 17/01A·EUR26/01A·HOU08/02H·LIO23/02A·LYN08/03A·EUR22/08H·LIN30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.130.531.130.531.13
vs Stronger (22)0.321.450.201.600.421.33
vs Similar (8)1.120.251.200.201.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MagpiesMagpies

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W10W03L10W30W01L00D11D10WH·MAN29/11H·MON06/12A·EUR13/12A·ST 20/12H·GLA10/01A·HOU17/01H·LIO24/01H·LYN06/02H·LIN05/03H·LYN29/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.720.610.670.92
vs Stronger (8)0.251.620.501.250.002.00
vs Similar (15)0.800.600.900.600.600.60
vs Weaker (7)1.000.000.500.001.670.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Glacis United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Glacis United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glacis United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glacis United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Glacis UnitedGlacis United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W03L12L02L13L01L01L02L10W00DA·MAN15/12H·MON20/12A·MAG10/01H·ST 17/01A·EUR26/01A·HOU08/02H·LIO23/02A·LYN08/03A·EUR22/08H·LIN30/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.430.271.330.731.53
vs Stronger (22)0.501.640.101.600.831.67
vs Similar (8)0.500.880.600.800.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Magpies) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MagpiesMagpies

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L02L01L21W00D10W00D01L10WH·MAN29/11H·MON06/12A·EUR13/12A·ST 20/12H·GLA10/01A·HOU17/01H·LIO24/01H·LYN06/02H·LIN05/03H·LYN29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.930.440.720.501.25
vs Stronger (8)0.251.500.251.000.252.00
vs Similar (15)0.600.870.500.600.801.40
vs Weaker (7)0.430.430.500.750.330.00
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Glacis United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Glacis United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glacis United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Glacis United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Magpies over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Home under 3.5 goals98.5%-------
Under 7.598.1%-------
Away +2 handicap95.7%-------
Under 6.595.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals93.2%-------
Away over 0.5 goals90.3%-------
Under 5.588.7%-------
Draw or Away87.4%-------
Away +1 handicap87.4%-------
Over 1.584.5%-------
Home or Away80.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals79.3%-------
Under 4.576.9%-------
Home under 1.5 goals76.1%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
HD (17)
€0m
Glacis United and Magpies have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Glacis United and Magpies have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
HD (6)
€0m
Glacis United and Magpies have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
HD (5)
€0m
Glacis United and Magpies have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
GU wins
1
Draws
7
MAG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Glacis United vs Magpies · H/A from GU
DateH/AGameScore
10/01/26AMagpies Vs GU3-1
28/09/25HGU Vs Magpies0-1
09/03/25HGU Vs Magpies0-5
03/11/24AMagpies Vs GU3-1
30/03/24HGU Vs Magpies1-2
08/12/23AMagpies Vs GU3-0
23/04/23HGU Vs Magpies0-0
12/02/23AMagpies Vs GU3-0

Glacis UnitedGlacis United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HGU Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC0-2
22/08/26AEuropa Vs GU2-2
08/03/26ALynx Vs GU2-0
23/02/26HGU Vs Lions Gibraltar0-5
08/02/26AHound Dogs Vs GU1-1
26/01/26AEuropa Vs GU5-1
17/01/26HGU Vs St Joseph S Fc0-4
10/01/26AMagpies Vs GU3-1
20/12/25HGU Vs Mons Calpe0-4
15/12/25AManchester 62 Vs GU0-3

MagpiesMagpies

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HMAG Vs Lynx2-0
22/08/26ALions Gibraltar Vs MAG1-1
05/03/26HMAG Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC1-2
20/02/26AEuropa Point Vs MAG0-3
06/02/26HMAG Vs Lynx0-0
24/01/26HMAG Vs Lions Gibraltar1-1
17/01/26AHound Dogs Vs MAG0-3
10/01/26HMAG Vs Glacis United3-1
20/12/25ASt Joseph S Fc Vs MAG4-0
13/12/25AEuropa Vs MAG2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Glacis United
Glacis United
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDL0.66
HomeDLLLL0.60
AwayLLDLD0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%16%20%
AVG goals3.523.323.72
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %66%64%68%
Over 3.5 %52%48%56%
Scored1.060.921.20
Conceded2.462.402.52
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet14%12%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Magpies
Magpies
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDW1.32
HomeWDDLW1.31
AwayLLWWD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%38%42%
AVG goals3.162.813.54
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %62%54%71%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.621.351.92
Conceded1.541.461.62
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet30%23%38%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1EuropaEuropa24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.01.0
-
2MagpiesMagpies24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.50.5
-
3Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.0
-
4Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC13
100%
3.0
20+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.0
-
5St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc13
100%
3.0
21+1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0012.01.0
-
6Hound DogsHound Dogs11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
7College 1975College 197521
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.5
-
8LynxLynx21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
10Europa PointEuropa Point21
0%
0.5
24-2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
11Mons CalpeMons Calpe10
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.0
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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