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Gomel II vs Bumprom Result & Analysis

Date: 12/07/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Gomel II
Gomel II
Vs
28%
27%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bumprom
Bumprom
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gomel II win✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bumprom win✗ Miss
45.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gomel IIGomel II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-710W21W03L02L31W15L23L07L05L02LH·NIV21/09A·OSI27/09H·UNI05/10H·BAR19/10A·ORS26/10A·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.571.002.271.002.87
vs Stronger (25)0.762.720.752.250.773.15
vs Similar (5)2.201.802.002.332.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bumprom) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BumpromBumprom

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D32W03L21W02L30W40W13L40W22DA·MIN20/09H·LID27/09A·LOK04/10H·SLO11/10A·BEL18/10H·DIN26/10H·ORS02/11A·FC 08/11H·BAT16/11A·NIV23/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.072.130.931.271.20
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.000.000.003.00
vs Similar (23)1.781.092.271.001.331.17
vs Weaker (5)1.800.802.001.001.500.50
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.1%
Under 2.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
Gomel II goals ↓
Bumprom goals →
01234
07.0%8.3%7.7%4.1%1.7%
16.0%13%9.4%5.1%2.1%
24.3%7.0%5.7%3.1%1.3%
31.8%2.9%2.3%1.3%0.5%
40.5%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gomel II goals (down), columns = Bumprom goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Gomel II is 0.75 points worse than Bumprom in terms of average points per game (0.62 vs 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Gomel II is 0.50 goals worse than Bumprom in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Gomel II is 0.75 goals worse than Bumprom in terms of goals conceded per game (2.38 vs 1.62).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gomel IIGomel II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D01L21W13L11D03L02L00DH·NIV21/09A·OSI27/09H·UNI05/10H·BAR19/10A·ORS26/10A·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.000.400.800.671.20
vs Stronger (25)0.401.040.250.750.541.31
vs Similar (5)1.200.801.001.001.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bumprom) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BumpromBumprom

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W02L01L00D10W10W03L10W10WA·MIN20/09H·LID27/09A·LOK04/10H·SLO11/10A·BEL18/10H·DIN26/10H·ORS02/11A·FC 08/11H·BAT16/11A·NIV23/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.470.530.400.730.53
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (23)0.740.390.730.270.750.50
vs Weaker (5)0.400.600.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gomel II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bumprom over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bumprom over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bumprom over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gomel IIGomel II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D03L01L10W02L12L04L03L02LH·NIV21/09A·OSI27/09H·UNI05/10H·BAR19/10A·ORS26/10A·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.570.601.470.331.67
vs Stronger (25)0.361.680.501.500.231.85
vs Similar (5)1.001.001.001.331.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Bumprom) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BumpromBumprom

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W22D01L20W02L20W30W10W30W12LA·MIN20/09H·LID27/09A·LOK04/10H·SLO11/10A·BEL18/10H·DIN26/10H·ORS02/11A·FC 08/11H·BAT16/11A·NIV23/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.601.600.530.530.67
vs Stronger (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (23)1.040.701.550.730.580.67
vs Weaker (5)1.400.202.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gomel II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bumprom over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bumprom over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bumprom over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Gomel II and Bumprom have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Gomel II and Bumprom have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Gomel II and Bumprom have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Gomel II and Bumprom have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
GI wins
1
Draws
1
BUM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Gomel II vs Bumprom · H/A from GI
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25ABumprom Vs GI3-1
27/04/25HGI Vs Bumprom1-1

Gomel IIGomel II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/11/25AABFF U19 Vs GI2-0
22/11/25HGI Vs Lida0-5
15/11/25AMinsk II Vs GI7-0
08/11/25HGI Vs Ostrovets FC2-3
01/11/25AVolna Vs GI5-1
26/10/25AOrsha Vs GI1-3
19/10/25HGI Vs Baranovichi0-2
05/10/25HGI Vs Uni Minsk0-3
27/09/25AOsipovichy Vs GI1-2
21/09/25HGI Vs Niva1-0

BumpromBumprom

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/25ANiva Vs BUM2-2
16/11/25HBUM Vs BATE II4-0
08/11/25AFC Dnepr Mogilev Vs BUM3-1
02/11/25HBUM Vs Orsha4-0
26/10/25HBUM Vs Dinamo Minsk II3-0
18/10/25ABelshina Vs BUM2-0
11/10/25HBUM Vs Slonim2-1
04/10/25ALokomotiv Gomel Vs BUM3-0
27/09/25HBUM Vs Lida3-2
20/09/25AMinsk II Vs BUM1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gomel II
Gomel II
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.82
HomeWLLLL0.94
AwayWWLLL0.71
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals3.443.353.53
Over 1.5 %79%76%82%
Over 2.5 %68%59%76%
Over 3.5 %47%53%41%
Scored1.001.120.88
Conceded2.442.242.65
BTTS53%47%59%
Clean Sheet12%24%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Bumprom
Bumprom
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWD1.64
HomeWWWWW2.04
AwayDLLLD1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%60%28%
AVG goals2.583.122.04
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %46%60%32%
Over 3.5 %28%40%16%
Scored1.522.120.92
Conceded1.061.001.12
BTTS50%64%36%
Clean Sheet36%28%44%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4719
86%
2.7
173+14
2.9
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.40.4
-
2NivaNiva718
86%
2.6
228+14
4.3
100%
86%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.1
-
3LidaLida715
71%
2.1
1512+3
3.9
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.11.7
-
4Minsk IIMinsk II713
57%
1.9
127+5
2.7
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.0
-
5OsipovichyOsipovichy713
57%
1.9
810-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.4
-
6Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC712
57%
1.7
910-1
2.7
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.4
-
7BumpromBumprom811
38%
1.4
1213-1
3.1
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.6
-
8OrshaOrsha810
38%
1.2
1015-5
3.1
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.9
-
9FC SlutskFC Slutsk79
29%
1.3
117+4
2.6
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
10Uni MinskUni Minsk79
29%
1.3
84+4
1.7
57%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.6
-
11SlonimSlonim79
43%
1.3
1211+1
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
12SmorgonSmorgon79
43%
1.3
89-1
2.4
86%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.3
-
13VolnaVolna88
25%
1.0
1418-4
4.0
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.82.2
-
14BATE IIBATE II77
29%
1.0
1114-3
3.6
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
15Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II87
25%
0.9
1115-4
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.41.9
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk77
29%
1.0
610-4
2.3
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
17Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk87
25%
0.9
1322-9
4.4
88%
88%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.8
-
18Gomel IIGomel II85
12%
0.6
819-11
3.4
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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