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Gomel II vs Shakhter Soligorsk Result & Analysis

Date: 10/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-1
Gomel II
Gomel II
Vs
25%
22%
53%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Shakhter Soligorsk
Shakhter Soligorsk
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Gomel II host Shakhter Soligorsk in the Belarus 1. Division, with the away side looking to capitalize on recent form. Shakhter Soligorsk comes into this match on the back of a win, having defeated FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk 1-0, while Gomel II has been struggling, suffering three consecutive defeats after a 1-2 loss to Orsha.

The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.7 goals and a most likely total of 3 goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favour of Shakhter Soligorsk, with a probability of 9%.

At home, Gomel II has averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded against stronger opponents, while Shakhter Soligorsk has averaged 0.33 goals scored and 2.0 conceded away against weaker opponents.

The model's selection is the away win, with a probability of 53%. The away win is the most likely result, and the model's selection of the away win is the favourite. The home win probability is 25%, and the draw probability is 22%.

The model's selections include Over 1.5 with a probability of 89.4%, Over 2.5 with a probability of 71.9%, and BTTS Yes with a probability of 70.1%.

Results analysis

In a stunning upset, Gomel II secured a 3-1 victory over Shakhter Soligorsk, extending their winning streak. The win was a surprise, as Shakhter Soligorsk were the pre-match favourite, with a 53% probability of winning. However, the model's call proved wrong, as they had predicted an away win. The model's selection was correct in suggesting that Shakhter Soligorsk would score at least two goals, with the most likely score being 1-2. The model also correctly predicted that the match would be high-scoring, with all three suggested picks hitting: Over 1.5 with 89.4% probability, Over 2.5 with 71.9% probability, and BTTS Yes with 70.1% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gomel II win✓ Hit
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Soligorsk win✗ Miss
53.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gomel IIGomel II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-731W15L23L07L05L02L11D02L14L12LA·ORS26/10A·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11H·BUM12/07A·SMO25/07H·VOL02/08A·ORS06/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
3.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.032.571.002.271.072.87
vs Stronger (24)0.792.750.752.250.833.25
vs Similar (6)2.001.832.002.332.001.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Soligorsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L01L00D12L01L12L42W22D13L10WA·SMO19/10H·FC 27/10A·NAF03/11H·FC 10/11A·TOR26/11H·FC 01/12A·VOL12/07H·FC 25/07A·ORS31/07H·FC 05/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.500.711.570.941.44
vs Stronger (2)1.003.000.003.002.003.00
vs Similar (24)0.791.330.641.360.921.31
vs Weaker (4)1.001.751.502.000.501.50
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%07%118%221%319%414%517%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.4%
Under 1.5
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.9%
Under 2.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.2%
Under 3.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
70.1%
No
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.0%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-1
6.0%
0-2
6.0%
2-3
5.0%
0-1
4.6%
Gomel II goals ↓
Shakhter Soligorsk goals →
01234
03.2%4.6%6.0%4.4%2.5%
12.8%8.8%9.0%6.7%3.7%
22.7%6.0%6.7%5.0%2.8%
31.4%3.0%3.4%2.5%1.4%
40.5%1.1%1.3%0.9%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gomel II goals (down), columns = Shakhter Soligorsk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Gomel II is 0.25 points worse than Shakhter Soligorsk in terms of average points per game (0.62 vs 0.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Gomel II is 0.62 goals worse than Shakhter Soligorsk in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Gomel II is 0.38 goals better than Shakhter Soligorsk in terms of goals conceded per game (2.38 vs 2.75).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gomel IIGomel II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W13L11D03L02L00D11D00D03L11DA·ORS26/10A·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11H·BUM12/07A·SMO25/07H·VOL02/08A·ORS06/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.100.471.000.731.20
vs Stronger (24)0.461.170.331.000.581.33
vs Similar (6)1.170.831.001.001.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Soligorsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D00D00D01L21W10W02L10WA·SMO19/10H·FC 27/10A·NAF03/11H·FC 10/11A·TOR26/11H·FC 01/12A·VOL12/07H·FC 25/07A·ORS31/07H·FC 05/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.670.290.640.310.69
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.250.540.180.450.310.62
vs Weaker (4)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gomel II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Soligorsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Soligorsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Soligorsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gomel IIGomel II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L12L04L03L02L00D02L11D01LA·ORS26/10A·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11H·BUM12/07A·SMO25/07H·VOL02/08A·ORS06/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.470.531.270.331.67
vs Stronger (24)0.331.580.421.250.251.92
vs Similar (6)0.831.001.001.330.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Shakhter Soligorsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D12L01L11D21W12L11D00DA·SMO19/10H·FC 27/10A·NAF03/11H·FC 10/11A·TOR26/11H·FC 01/12A·VOL12/07H·FC 25/07A·ORS31/07H·FC 05/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.430.930.620.75
vs Stronger (2)0.501.500.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.540.790.450.910.620.69
vs Weaker (4)0.500.750.501.000.500.50
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gomel II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Soligorsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Soligorsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shakhter Soligorsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.571.9%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes70.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
GI wins
0
Draws
0
SS wins

Head-to-head

Gomel II vs Shakhter Soligorsk · H/A from GI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Gomel IIGomel II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/26AOrsha Vs GI2-1
02/08/26HGI Vs Volna1-4
25/07/26ASmorgon Vs GI2-0
12/07/26HGI Vs Bumprom1-1
26/11/25AABFF U19 Vs GI2-0
22/11/25HGI Vs Lida0-5
15/11/25AMinsk II Vs GI7-0
08/11/25HGI Vs Ostrovets FC2-3
01/11/25AVolna Vs GI5-1
26/10/25AOrsha Vs GI1-3

Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/26HSS Vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk1-0
31/07/26AOrsha Vs SS3-1
25/07/26HSS Vs FC Slutsk2-2
12/07/26AVolna Vs SS2-4
01/12/24HSS Vs FC Dnepr Mogilev1-2
26/11/24ATorpedo Zhodino Vs SS1-0
10/11/24HSS Vs FC Gomel1-2
03/11/24ANaftan Vs SS0-0
27/10/24HSS Vs FC Minsk0-1
19/10/24ASmorgon Vs SS2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Gomel II
Gomel II
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.76
HomeLLLDL0.89
AwayLLLLL0.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%21%21%
AVG goals3.393.373.42
Over 1.5 %82%79%84%
Over 2.5 %66%58%74%
Over 3.5 %45%53%37%
Scored0.971.110.84
Conceded2.422.262.58
BTTS55%53%58%
Clean Sheet11%21%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Shakhter Soligorsk
Shakhter Soligorsk
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW0.94
HomeLLLDW0.96
AwayLDLWL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals2.622.602.64
Over 1.5 %64%60%68%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.020.921.12
Conceded1.601.681.52
BTTS44%36%52%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners9.628.8810.38
Cards3.663.753.57

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4719
86%
2.7
173+14
2.9
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.40.4
-
2NivaNiva718
86%
2.6
228+14
4.3
100%
86%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.1
-
3LidaLida715
71%
2.1
1512+3
3.9
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.11.7
-
4Minsk IIMinsk II713
57%
1.9
127+5
2.7
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.0
-
5OsipovichyOsipovichy713
57%
1.9
810-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.4
-
6Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC712
57%
1.7
910-1
2.7
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.4
-
7BumpromBumprom811
38%
1.4
1213-1
3.1
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.6
-
8OrshaOrsha810
38%
1.2
1015-5
3.1
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.9
-
9FC SlutskFC Slutsk79
29%
1.3
117+4
2.6
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
10Uni MinskUni Minsk79
29%
1.3
84+4
1.7
57%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.6
-
11SlonimSlonim79
43%
1.3
1211+1
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
12SmorgonSmorgon79
43%
1.3
89-1
2.4
86%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.3
-
13VolnaVolna88
25%
1.0
1418-4
4.0
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.82.2
-
14BATE IIBATE II77
29%
1.0
1114-3
3.6
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
15Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II87
25%
0.9
1115-4
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.41.9
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk77
29%
1.0
610-4
2.3
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
17Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk87
25%
0.9
1322-9
4.4
88%
88%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.8
-
18Gomel IIGomel II85
12%
0.6
819-11
3.4
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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