Gomel II hosts Uni Minsk in a Belarus: 1. Division match on August 23, 2026. The recent-form storyline is that Uni Minsk is coming off a draw, while Gomel II is coming off a defeat, having lost 0-3 to Molodechno-DYuSSh 4. The model predicts an away win, with a 46% probability, making it the favourite result. The probability of a home win is 28%, and a draw is 25%. The expected total number of goals is 3.1, with the most likely total being 2 goals.
The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 11.5%. Uni Minsk are expected to score more at home, with an average of 2.5 goals, while conceding 0.5. Gomel II, on the other hand, have a weaker home form, scoring 0.92 goals and conceding 2.15. The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a probability of 83.1%. The home win percentage is 28%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 46%. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, with a 83.1% probability.
Results analysis
The Pythia model’s prediction was spot on, as Uni Minsk secured a 0-4 away win, extending their unbeaten run. The model had chosen an Away win with a 46 % probability, and that call proved correct. The final score matched the expected 0-4 outcome, confirming the model’s accuracy. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.5 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.2 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.0 %, Under 6.5 at 95.9 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.7 %, and Home under 1.5 HT goals at 90.4 %. The model’s selections performed flawlessly, underscoring its predictive strength.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gomel II win✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk win✓ Hit
46.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gomel II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
3.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
2.60
1.00
2.20
0.93
3.00
vs Stronger (25)
0.80
2.76
0.92
2.15
0.67
3.42
vs Similar (5)
1.80
1.80
1.50
2.50
2.00
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Uni Minsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uni Minsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.83
1.81
1.94
1.36
1.71
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.50
1.80
1.58
1.75
1.38
1.88
vs Weaker (5)
2.60
1.80
2.67
2.67
2.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.7%
Under 2.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.8%
No
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
Gomel II goals ↓
Uni Minsk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
6.7%
6.9%
4.1%
1.8%
1
4.8%
12%
9.3%
5.5%
2.5%
2
4.0%
7.1%
6.3%
3.8%
1.7%
3
1.8%
3.2%
2.9%
1.7%
0.8%
4
0.6%
1.1%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gomel II goals (down), columns = Uni Minsk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Gomel II is 0.66 points worse than Uni Minsk in terms of average points per game (0.62 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Gomel II is 0.14 goals worse than Uni Minsk in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Gomel II is 1.80 goals worse than Uni Minsk in terms of goals conceded per game (2.38 vs 0.57).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gomel II or Draw✗ Miss
53.6%
Avg Implied -
28%
25%
46%
covers Gomel II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gomel II or Uni Minsk✓ Hit
74.8%
Avg Implied -
28%
25%
46%
covers Gomel II + Uni Minsk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Uni Minsk✓ Hit
71.7%
Avg Implied -
28%
25%
46%
covers Draw + Uni Minsk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gomel II over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
74.3%
Under
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
39.4%
Under
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.7%
Under
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.1%
Under
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.1%
Under
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
26.4%
Under
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
10.6%
Under
89.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gomel II, so a minus line means Gomel II give that many goals of a start and Uni Minsk receive them. At -1, Gomel II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gomel II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gomel II)Actual: Uni Minsk
Gomel II -2
4.5%
Draw -2
8.4%
Uni Minsk +2
87.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Gomel II)Actual: Uni Minsk
Gomel II -1
12.9%
Draw -1
15.5%
Uni Minsk +1
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Gomel II)Actual: Uni Minsk
Gomel II +1
53.6%
Draw +1
20.6%
Uni Minsk -1
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Gomel II)Actual: Uni Minsk
Gomel II +2
74.2%
Draw +2
14.4%
Uni Minsk -2
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gomel II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.07
0.40
1.00
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (25)
0.36
1.12
0.31
1.00
0.42
1.25
vs Similar (5)
1.20
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Uni Minsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uni Minsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
1.06
0.56
0.21
0.71
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.80
1.00
0.00
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.55
0.83
0.50
0.25
0.62
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.80
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.4%
Under 0.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
33.7%
Under 1.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.9%
Under 2.5
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gomel II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.1%
Under
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.6%
Under
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
49.3%
Under
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
15.8%
Under
84.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gomel II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.53
0.60
1.20
0.33
1.87
vs Stronger (25)
0.44
1.64
0.62
1.15
0.25
2.17
vs Similar (5)
0.60
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Uni Minsk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Uni Minsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.20
0.75
1.38
1.14
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.90
1.25
0.75
1.25
1.12
1.25
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
1.00
0.67
1.67
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.4%
Under 0.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.8%
Under 1.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.9%
Under 2.5
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gomel II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.3%
Under
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.7%
Under
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
58.0%
Under
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
20.8%
Under
79.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Uni Minsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Draw or Away
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Gomel II's squad is €1m less valuable than Uni Minsk's (€1m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Gomel II and Uni Minsk have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Gomel II and Uni Minsk have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Gomel II and Uni Minsk have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →