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Gomel II vs Volna Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 1-4
Gomel II
Gomel II
Vs
24%
24%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Gomel II, currently on a three-match losing streak after three straight defeats, hosts Volna, who earned a draw in their last outing. This matchup is shaping up to be an open and attacking affair, with an expected total of 3.2 goals. Volna's away form against weaker opponents is impressive, scoring 2.17 goals and conceding just 1.33, while Gomel II struggles at home, scoring 0.75 goals and conceding 2.25 against stronger teams. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with a 51% chance of an away win, the favourite match result. The away team's most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 10.9%. Gomel II's home scoring and conceding numbers indicate they may struggle to contain Volna's attack. The model's selection is the Away win, with a 51% chance of success. The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals, with an 84.2% chance of hitting, and Volna to win, with a 51% chance of success. The home win percentage is 24%, the draw percentage is 24%, and the away win percentage is 51%.

Results analysis

The win extends Gomel II's recent woes, with their third consecutive defeat. The final score was 1-4 in favour of Volna. The model's selection, an away win, was correct, as Volna took home the win. The pre-match favourite, Volna, had a 51% chance of winning. The model's selection of an away win was correct. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals was correct, with 4 goals scored in total, hitting with a 84.2% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gomel II win✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Volna win✓ Hit
51.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Gomel IIGomel II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-703L02L31W15L23L07L05L02L11D02LH·UNI05/10H·BAR19/10A·ORS26/10A·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11H·BUM12/07A·SMO25/07
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.531.002.271.002.80
vs Stronger (25)0.762.680.752.250.773.08
vs Similar (5)2.201.802.002.332.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D03L22D01L51W23L12L23L24L31WH·OSI04/10A·UNI10/10H·ABF18/10A·BAR25/10H·GOM01/11A·ORS09/11A·OST15/11H·MIN22/11H·SHA12/07H·ORS25/07
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.671.812.062.001.21
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (21)1.521.951.272.551.801.30
vs Weaker (8)3.001.003.501.002.501.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.2%
Under 1.5
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.5%
Under 2.5
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.3%
Under 3.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.0%
No
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.5%
0-1
6.7%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.0%
Gomel II goals ↓
Volna goals →
01234
05.0%6.7%7.5%4.8%2.3%
14.1%11%9.6%6.2%3.0%
23.3%6.4%6.2%4.0%1.9%
31.4%2.8%2.7%1.7%0.8%
40.5%0.9%0.9%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gomel II goals (down), columns = Volna goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.67
Niva
2.50
Minsk II
2.17
Osipovichy
2.17
Lida
2.00
Bumprom
1.57
Ostrovets FC
1.50
Smorgon
1.50
Uni Minsk
1.50
Slonim
1.50
Orsha
1.17
Volna
1.14
FC Slutsk
1.00
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.67
Gomel II
0.57
Dinamo Minsk II
0.17
Gomel II is 0.57 points worse than Volna in terms of average points per game (0.57 vs 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.67
Niva
2.67
Lida
2.17
Volna
2.00
Minsk II
1.83
Slonim
1.83
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.71
Bumprom
1.57
BATE II
1.50
Uni Minsk
1.33
Osipovichy
1.33
Ostrovets FC
1.17
Orsha
1.17
FC Slutsk
1.17
Smorgon
1.00
Gomel II
0.86
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.67
Dinamo Minsk II
0.67
Gomel II is 1.14 goals worse than Volna in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.50
Uni Minsk
0.50
Osipovichy
0.67
Minsk II
0.83
Smorgon
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Bumprom
1.29
Niva
1.33
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.50
Slonim
1.50
Ostrovets FC
1.67
Orsha
1.67
Lida
1.83
Dinamo Minsk II
2.00
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.29
Gomel II
2.43
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.86
Gomel II is 0.14 goals worse than Volna in terms of goals conceded per game (2.43 vs 2.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Gomel IIGomel II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L21W13L11D03L02L00D11D00DH·UNI05/10H·BAR19/10A·ORS26/10A·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11H·BUM12/07A·SMO25/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.000.470.800.671.20
vs Stronger (25)0.441.040.330.750.541.31
vs Similar (5)1.200.801.001.001.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L00D00D31W11D11D12L12L21WH·OSI04/10A·UNI10/10H·ABF18/10A·BAR25/10H·GOM01/11A·ORS09/11A·OST15/11H·MIN22/11H·SHA12/07H·ORS25/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.770.880.940.930.57
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (21)0.620.860.551.000.700.70
vs Weaker (8)1.750.502.000.751.500.25
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gomel II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Gomel IIGomel II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L10W02L12L04L03L02L00D02LH·UNI05/10H·BAR19/10A·ORS26/10A·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11H·BUM12/07A·SMO25/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.530.531.470.331.60
vs Stronger (25)0.321.640.421.500.231.77
vs Similar (5)1.001.001.001.331.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VolnaVolna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L22D01L20W12L01L11D12L10WH·OSI04/10A·UNI10/10H·ABF18/10A·BAR25/10H·GOM01/11A·ORS09/11A·OST15/11H·MIN22/11H·SHA12/07H·ORS25/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.900.941.121.070.64
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (21)0.901.100.731.551.100.60
vs Weaker (8)1.250.501.500.251.000.75
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gomel II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (32)
€2m
FS (25)
€2m
NIV (24)
€2m
SMO (28)
€2m
BUM (23)
€2m
DMI (36)
€1m
M4 (27)
€1m
VOL (22)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (31)
€1m
LID (24)
€1m
SLO (30)
€1m
BI (28)
€1m
ORS (25)
€1m
OSI (24)
€1m
GI (26)
€1m
Gomel II and Volna have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (0)
€0m
BUM (0)
€0m
DMI (0)
€0m
FS (0)
€0m
GI (0)
€0m
LID (0)
€0m
MI (0)
€0m
M4 (0)
€0m
NIV (0)
€0m
ORS (0)
€0m
OSI (0)
€0m
OF (0)
€0m
SLO (0)
€0m
SMO (0)
€0m
UM (0)
€0m
VOL (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (0)
€0m
BUM (0)
€0m
DMI (0)
€0m
FS (0)
€0m
GI (0)
€0m
LID (0)
€0m
MI (0)
€0m
M4 (0)
€0m
NIV (0)
€0m
ORS (0)
€0m
OSI (0)
€0m
OF (0)
€0m
SLO (0)
€0m
SMO (0)
€0m
UM (0)
€0m
VOL (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (0)
€0m
BUM (0)
€0m
DMI (0)
€0m
FS (0)
€0m
GI (0)
€0m
LID (0)
€0m
MI (0)
€0m
M4 (0)
€0m
NIV (0)
€0m
ORS (0)
€0m
OSI (0)
€0m
OF (0)
€0m
SLO (0)
€0m
SMO (0)
€0m
UM (0)
€0m
VOL (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
GI wins
0
Draws
2
VOL wins

Head-to-head

Gomel II vs Volna · H/A from GI
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/25AVolna Vs GI5-1
29/06/25HGI Vs Volna0-5

Gomel IIGomel II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26ASmorgon Vs GI2-0
12/07/26HGI Vs Bumprom1-1
26/11/25AABFF U19 Vs GI2-0
22/11/25HGI Vs Lida0-5
15/11/25AMinsk II Vs GI7-0
08/11/25HGI Vs Ostrovets FC2-3
01/11/25AVolna Vs GI5-1
26/10/25AOrsha Vs GI1-3
19/10/25HGI Vs Baranovichi0-2
05/10/25HGI Vs Uni Minsk0-3

VolnaVolna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26HVOL Vs Orsha3-1
12/07/26HVOL Vs Shakhter Soligorsk2-4
22/11/25HVOL Vs Minsk II2-3
15/11/25AOstrovets FC Vs VOL2-1
09/11/25AOrsha Vs VOL3-2
01/11/25HVOL Vs Gomel II5-1
25/10/25ABaranovichi Vs VOL1-0
18/10/25HVOL Vs ABFF U192-2
10/10/25AUni Minsk Vs VOL3-0
04/10/25HVOL Vs Osipovichy1-1

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Gomel II
Gomel II
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.81
HomeLLLLD0.94
AwayWLLLL0.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%22%22%
AVG goals3.363.283.44
Over 1.5 %81%78%83%
Over 2.5 %64%56%72%
Over 3.5 %44%50%39%
Scored0.971.110.83
Conceded2.392.172.61
BTTS53%50%56%
Clean Sheet11%22%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Volna
Volna
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.56
HomeDWLLW1.58
AwayWLLLL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%46%46%
AVG goals3.563.733.38
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %74%77%71%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored2.002.121.88
Conceded1.561.621.50
BTTS66%73%58%
Clean Sheet20%15%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4616
83%
2.7
163+13
3.2
83%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.70.5
-
2NivaNiva615
83%
2.5
168+8
4.0
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.71.3
-
3Minsk IIMinsk II613
67%
2.2
115+6
2.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.80.8
-
4OsipovichyOsipovichy613
67%
2.2
84+4
2.0
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.30.7
-
5LidaLida612
67%
2.0
1311+2
4.0
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.21.8
-
6BumpromBumprom711
43%
1.6
119+2
2.9
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.61.3
-
7Uni MinskUni Minsk69
33%
1.5
83+5
1.8
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.30.5
-
8SlonimSlonim69
50%
1.5
119+2
3.3
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.81.5
-
9SmorgonSmorgon69
50%
1.5
66+0
2.0
83%
17%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.01.0
-
10Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC69
50%
1.5
710-3
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.7
-
11VolnaVolna78
29%
1.1
1416-2
4.3
86%
86%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.3
-
12OrshaOrsha67
33%
1.2
710-3
2.8
83%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.7
-
13Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk77
29%
1.0
1220-8
4.6
86%
86%
86%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.9
-
14FC SlutskFC Slutsk66
17%
1.0
76+1
2.2
67%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.21.0
-
15BATE IIBATE II66
33%
1.0
912-3
3.5
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.0
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk64
17%
0.7
49-5
2.2
50%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.5
-
17Gomel IIGomel II74
14%
0.6
617-11
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.4
-
18Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II61
0%
0.2
412-8
2.7
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.72.0
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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