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Górnik Łęczna vs SKRA Częstochowa Result & Analysis

Date: 15/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 3-0
Górnik Łęczna
Górnik Łęczna
Vs
59%
24%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
SKRA Częstochowa
SKRA Częstochowa
Poland: I Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Górnik Łęczna win✓ Hit
58.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SKRA Częstochowa win✗ Miss
17.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D12L12L41W23L22D22D32W01LH·RES06/08A·RUC11/08H·ARK14/08A·CHO19/08H·ODR27/08A·ŁKS05/09H·GKS10/09A·NIE17/09H·TYC01/10A·POD08/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.381.542.001.500.861.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.501.582.001.501.001.67
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %0% (-25pp vs league)
This opponent (SKRA Częstochowa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SKRA CzęstochowaSKRA Częstochowa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L10W10W03L00D21W12L01L01L05LH·NIE07/08A·POD10/08H·ZAG13/08A·WIS20/08H·SAN28/08A·RES03/09H·ARK10/09A·ODR18/09H·GKS01/10A·TYC09/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.621.310.670.830.571.71
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.501.500.003.00
vs Similar (9)0.671.220.750.500.601.80
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %38% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Górnik Łęczna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.5%
Under 2.5
43.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.1%
Under 3.5
65.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.1%
No
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
10.0%
1-0
9.2%
3-0 ✓
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
Górnik Łęczna goals ↓
SKRA Częstochowa goals →
01234
06.3%4.2%2.6%0.9%0.2%
19.2%11%5.1%1.7%0.4%
210.0%10.0%5.0%1.6%0.4%
36.5%6.5%3.2%1.1%0.3%
43.2%3.2%1.6%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Górnik Łęczna goals (down), columns = SKRA Częstochowa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
ŁKS Łódź
1.94
Ruch Chorzów
1.82
Nieciecza
1.81
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.72
Wisla Krakow
1.71
Stal Rzeszów
1.46
Podbeskidzie
1.44
Arka Gdynia
1.41
Chrobry Głogów
1.35
GKS Katowice
1.29
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.24
Górnik Łęczna
1.18
Tychy 71
1.15
Resovia Rzeszów
1.12
Odra Opole
1.09
SKRA Częstochowa
0.91
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0.79
Chojniczanka Chojnice
0.79
Górnik Łęczna is 0.26 points better than SKRA Częstochowa in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 0.91).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Wisla Krakow
1.77
ŁKS Łódź
1.71
Podbeskidzie
1.65
Arka Gdynia
1.65
Nieciecza
1.64
Stal Rzeszów
1.63
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.53
Ruch Chorzów
1.41
Tychy 71
1.35
Chrobry Głogów
1.29
Resovia Rzeszów
1.26
GKS Katowice
1.21
Górnik Łęczna
1.18
Odra Opole
1.15
Chojniczanka Chojnice
1.03
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.97
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0.82
SKRA Częstochowa
0.56
Górnik Łęczna is 0.62 goals better than SKRA Częstochowa in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 0.56).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ruch Chorzów
0.97
ŁKS Łódź
1.06
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.08
Nieciecza
1.08
GKS Katowice
1.15
Wisla Krakow
1.20
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.26
Stal Rzeszów
1.31
Górnik Łęczna
1.32
Arka Gdynia
1.32
Podbeskidzie
1.38
Odra Opole
1.41
SKRA Częstochowa
1.47
Resovia Rzeszów
1.50
Tychy 71
1.53
Chrobry Głogów
1.56
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.59
Chojniczanka Chojnice
1.68
Górnik Łęczna is 0.15 goals better than SKRA Częstochowa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L11D11D30W12L20W20W10W01LH·RES06/08A·RUC11/08H·ARK14/08A·CHO19/08H·ODR27/08A·ŁKS05/09H·GKS10/09A·NIE17/09H·TYC01/10A·POD08/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.920.771.330.500.571.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.000.751.330.500.671.00
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %31% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (SKRA Częstochowa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SKRA CzęstochowaSKRA Częstochowa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D01L00D00D00D00D00D02LH·NIE07/08A·POD10/08H·ZAG13/08A·WIS20/08H·SAN28/08A·RES03/09H·ARK10/09A·ODR18/09H·GKS01/10A·TYC09/10
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.150.380.170.170.140.57
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (9)0.220.440.250.250.200.60
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %69% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Górnik Łęczna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKRA Częstochowa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKRA Częstochowa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKRA Częstochowa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L01L11D11D02L02L22D00DH·RES06/08A·RUC11/08H·ARK14/08A·CHO19/08H·ODR27/08A·ŁKS05/09H·GKS10/09A·NIE17/09H·TYC01/10A·POD08/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.770.671.000.290.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.500.830.671.000.330.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %46% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (SKRA Częstochowa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SKRA CzęstochowaSKRA Częstochowa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W02L00D21W12L01L01L03LH·NIE07/08A·POD10/08H·ZAG13/08A·WIS20/08H·SAN28/08A·RES03/09H·ARK10/09A·ODR18/09H·GKS01/10A·TYC09/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.460.920.500.670.431.14
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.501.500.002.00
vs Similar (9)0.440.780.500.250.401.20
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %38% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Górnik Łęczna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Górnik Łęczna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKRA Częstochowa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKRA Częstochowa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SKRA Częstochowa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
AG (23)
€5m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
NIE (16)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
POD (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (8)
€6m
GK (7)
€3m
AG (9)
€2m
OO (8)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
NIE (7)
€2m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
POD (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GK (10)
€6m
WK (4)
€2m
NIE (5)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
AG (5)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
POD (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (12)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
AG (9)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
NIE (4)
€1m
POD (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
GŁ wins
0
Draws
0
SC wins

Head-to-head

Górnik Łęczna vs SKRA Częstochowa · H/A from GŁ
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22APodbeskidzie Vs GŁ1-0
01/10/22HGŁ Vs Tychy 713-2
17/09/22ANieciecza Vs GŁ2-2
10/09/22HGŁ Vs GKS Katowice2-2
05/09/22AŁKS Łódź Vs GŁ3-2
27/08/22HGŁ Vs Odra Opole4-1
19/08/22AChojniczanka Chojnice Vs GŁ2-1
14/08/22HGŁ Vs Arka Gdynia1-2
11/08/22ARuch Chorzów Vs GŁ1-1
06/08/22HGŁ Vs Resovia Rzeszów1-1

SKRA CzęstochowaSKRA Częstochowa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/10/22ATychy 71 Vs SC5-0
01/10/22HSC Vs GKS Katowice0-1
18/09/22AOdra Opole Vs SC1-0
10/09/22HSC Vs Arka Gdynia1-2
03/09/22AResovia Rzeszów Vs SC1-2
28/08/22HSC Vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz0-0
20/08/22AWisla Krakow Vs SC3-0
13/08/22HSC Vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec1-0
10/08/22APodbeskidzie Vs SC0-1
07/08/22HSC Vs Nieciecza0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Górnik Łęczna
Górnik Łęczna
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL0.85
HomeDLWDW1.50
AwayDLLDL0.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%33%0%
AVG goals2.923.502.43
Over 1.5 %77%100%57%
Over 2.5 %54%67%43%
Over 3.5 %38%50%29%
Scored1.382.000.86
Conceded1.541.501.57
BTTS77%100%57%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
SKRA Częstochowa
SKRA Częstochowa
Poland: I Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.08
HomeLWDLL1.17
AwayWLWLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%33%29%
AVG goals1.921.502.29
Over 1.5 %54%50%57%
Over 2.5 %38%17%57%
Over 3.5 %8%0%14%
Scored0.620.670.57
Conceded1.310.831.71
BTTS23%17%29%
Clean Sheet38%50%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ŁKS ŁódźŁKS Łódź3466
56%
1.9
5836+22
2.8
74%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.71.1
-
2NiecieczaNieciecza3665
47%
1.8
5939+20
2.7
86%
64%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2211.61.1
-
3Puszcza NiepołomicePuszcza Niepołomice3662
47%
1.7
5539+16
2.6
69%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.51.1
-
4Ruch ChorzówRuch Chorzów3462
50%
1.8
4833+15
2.4
76%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.41.0
-
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow3560
51%
1.7
6242+20
3.0
86%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
6251.81.2
-
6Stal RzeszówStal Rzeszów3551
40%
1.5
5746+11
2.9
71%
57%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.3
-
7PodbeskidziePodbeskidzie3449
35%
1.4
5647+9
3.0
68%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
8Arka GdyniaArka Gdynia3448
38%
1.4
5645+11
3.0
82%
65%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.3
-
9Chrobry GłogówChrobry Głogów3446
35%
1.4
4453-9
2.9
68%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.6
-
10GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice3444
29%
1.3
4139+2
2.4
65%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3641.21.1
-
11Zaglebie SosnowiecZaglebie Sosnowiec3442
29%
1.2
3343-10
2.2
65%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
12Górnik ŁęcznaGórnik Łęczna3440
26%
1.2
4045-5
2.5
71%
47%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
13Tychy 71Tychy 713439
29%
1.1
4652-6
2.9
74%
56%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
14Resovia RzeszówResovia Rzeszów3438
26%
1.1
4351-8
2.8
82%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
15Odra OpoleOdra Opole3437
29%
1.1
3948-9
2.6
76%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.4
-
16SKRA CzęstochowaSKRA Częstochowa3431
26%
0.9
1950-31
2.0
56%
41%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.5
-
17Chojniczanka ChojniceChojniczanka Chojnice3427
15%
0.8
3557-22
2.7
82%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
18Sandecja Nowy SączSandecja Nowy Sącz3427
15%
0.8
2854-26
2.4
71%
41%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
Poland: I Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →

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