Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe Result & Analysis

The contest between Gornik Zabrze and Fenerbahçe is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win at 37 %. The draw probability sits at 27 % and the away side’s chances are 36 %. The average number of goals expected is 2.9, yet the most likely total remains 2 goals, a 24 % chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.6 % probability. Gornik Zabrze, playing at home, has scored an average of 2.15 goals and conceded 0.69 against weaker opposition, while Fenerbahçe, on the road, has a similar offensive output and a low concession rate of 0.69. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 80.2 %, Over 1.5 goals at 80.1 %, Under 25.5 fouls at 79.1 %, Over 2.5 cards at 74.6 %, and Over 8.5 corners at 72.1 %. Each pick is presented with its exact probability.

The pre-match favourite, Gornik Zabrze, failed to deliver as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. The home side, coming off a defeat, had a 37 % chance of winning, while the away side had a 36 % chance, and the draw probability was 27 %. The model’s selection of a home win was wrong. The model’s other picks were mixed: Under 5.5 cards (80.2 %) missed, Over 1.5 (80.1 %) hit, Under 25.5 fouls (79.1 %) hit, Over 2.5 cards (74.6 %) hit, and Over 8.5 corners (72.1 %) hit. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, but the overall result was a surprise.