Granada CF enter the match after a draw-heavy run, while Mallorca are riding a two-game winning streak. The model sees the contest as finely balanced, with a home win probability of 37 %, a draw at 29 % and an away win at 33 %. The favourite result is a Granada victory, the most likely scoreline being 1-1 with a 14 % chance. The expected total goals is 2.5, with the most probable total of 2 goals at 27 %. Granada’s home form shows 1.31 goals scored and 1.15 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Mallorca’s away record is 0.78 scored and 1.78 conceded. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.9 %), Under 6.5 (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.9 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.2 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.4 % with a 2 % edge), Home under 3.5 goals (95.6 %) and Under 5.5 (95.5 %).
Results analysis
Granada CF’s victory over Mallorca extended a winning streak, finishing 2-0 as the model predicted a home win with a 37 % probability. The model’s favourite call was correct. The match also saw the model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 goals (99.5 % probability) was hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.9 %) hit, Under 6.5 (98.5 %) hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.9 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.2 %) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (96.4 %) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (95.6 %) hit, and Under 5.5 (95.6 %) hit. Granada’s form at home, with an average of 1.29 goals scored and 1.21 conceded, proved decisive, while Mallorca’s away struggles, averaging 0.73 scored and 1.55 conceded, were reflected in the final scoreline.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Granada CF win✓ Hit
37.2%
Avg Implied 30.7% · @ 3.03
Edge
+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.18
1xBet
3.12
Superbet
3.10
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied 31.2% · @ 2.98
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.10
Pinnacle
3.09
Dafabet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.02
Superbet
3.00
Mallorca win✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied 38.1% · @ 2.44
Edge
-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.53
Superbet
2.52
888Sport
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Dafabet
2.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Granada CF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.27
1.29
1.21
1.00
1.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.13
1.27
1.29
1.21
1.00
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mallorca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.40
1.93
1.00
0.80
1.80
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
1.88
1.40
1.40
0.33
2.67
vs Similar (21)
1.43
1.19
2.20
0.80
0.73
1.55
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
2.00
-
-
3.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.3%
@ 1.43+7.9%
Under 1.5
26.7%
@ 2.69-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
10Bet
1.45
888Sport
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.89
Betano
2.80
BetVictor
2.75
Superbet
2.75
1xBet
2.71
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.5%
@ 2.37+6.8%
Under 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.56-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Bet365
2.40
888Sport
2.38
Under
1xBet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.57
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
@ 4.46+4.1%
Under 3.5
75.0%
@ 1.18-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
Pinnacle
4.71
888Sport
4.60
BetVictor
4.60
Superbet
4.55
Under
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.9%
@ 1.95+5.3%
No
47.1%
@ 1.77-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.00
William Hil
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Unibet
1.97
No
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 5.36+5.8%
0-0
9.2%@ 6.76+2.7%
1-0
9.1%@ 6.98+2.8%
0-1
8.5%@ 6.16+1.4%
2-1
8.3%@ 10.19+4.0%
1-2
7.8%@ 8.90+2.9%
2-0 ✓
6.8%@ 12.97+3.4%
0-2
6.0%@ 10.16+1.7%
Granada CF goals ↓
Mallorca goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
8.5%
6.0%
2.4%
0.8%
1
9.1%
14%
7.8%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.8%
8.3%
5.1%
2.1%
0.6%
3
2.9%
3.6%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Granada CF goals (down), columns = Mallorca goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Girona
1.96
Almeria
1.72
Burgos
1.71
Mallorca
1.70
Las Palmas
1.68
Castellón
1.66
Eibar
1.60
Oviedo
1.58
Cordoba
1.45
Sporting Gijon
1.45
AD Ceuta FC
1.45
Albacete
1.40
FC Andorra
1.38
Tenerife
1.34
Sabadell
1.16
Granada CF
1.14
Celta de Vigo II
1.14
Eldense
1.13
Real Sociedad II
1.12
Leganes
1.10
Valladolid
1.10
Cadiz
1.02
Granada CF is 0.55 points worse than Mallorca in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.70).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Girona
1.87
Almeria
1.87
Castellón
1.66
Mallorca
1.62
Oviedo
1.51
FC Andorra
1.48
Sporting Gijon
1.43
Cordoba
1.36
Albacete
1.33
Las Palmas
1.32
Tenerife
1.28
Eibar
1.24
Real Sociedad II
1.24
AD Ceuta FC
1.21
Granada CF
1.19
Burgos
1.14
Sabadell
1.10
Celta de Vigo II
1.09
Eldense
1.08
Valladolid
1.05
Leganes
1.02
Cadiz
0.98
Granada CF is 0.43 goals worse than Mallorca in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burgos
0.79
Girona
0.92
Eibar
0.95
Las Palmas
0.95
Mallorca
1.06
Oviedo
1.14
Leganes
1.21
Castellón
1.25
FC Andorra
1.29
Sporting Gijon
1.29
Albacete
1.31
Granada CF
1.33
Tenerife
1.35
Valladolid
1.36
Cordoba
1.45
Cadiz
1.45
Real Sociedad II
1.45
Almeria
1.48
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Sabadell
1.56
Celta de Vigo II
1.58
Eldense
1.59
Granada CF is 0.27 goals worse than Mallorca in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
61%
Cordoba
58%
Las Palmas
56%
Castellón
55%
Almeria
52%
Leganes
51%
AD Ceuta FC
51%
Granada CF
50%
Valladolid
50%
Eibar
49%
Burgos
46%
Cadiz
46%
Sporting Gijon
46%
Real Sociedad II
44%
Albacete
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Granada CF
For 4.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 15.9 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mallorca
For 4.7 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Granada CF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.5
8.9
5.2
5.2
5.3
27.1
27.0
27.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (49)
9.2
9.5
8.9
5.3
5.2
5.5
27.1
27.0
27.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
40%
38%
42%
74%
71%
77%
88%
92%
84%
% under line
60%
62%
58%
26%
29%
23%
12%
8%
16%
This opponent (Mallorca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.7
10.7
4.2
4.2
4.1
24.4
24.9
23.9
vs Stronger (17)
11.2
9.6
12.3
4.0
4.7
3.5
22.9
25.4
21.2
vs Similar (32)
9.7
9.8
9.7
4.2
4.0
4.5
25.1
24.7
25.5
vs Weaker (1)
10.0
-
10.0
5.0
-
5.0
28.0
-
28.0
% over line
57%
57%
58%
56%
52%
59%
73%
78%
69%
% under line
43%
43%
42%
44%
48%
41%
27%
22%
31%
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albacete
10.9
Cordoba
10.6
Mallorca
10.2
Castellón
10.0
Sporting Gijon
9.8
Cadiz
9.6
Almeria
9.6
Leganes
9.6
Real Sociedad II
9.4
Eldense
9.4
Eibar
9.3
Oviedo
9.3
Granada CF
9.3
Girona
9.3
Tenerife
9.2
FC Andorra
9.1
Valladolid
9.0
AD Ceuta FC
8.8
Sabadell
8.8
Burgos
8.4
Las Palmas
8.3
Celta de Vigo II
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Celta de Vigo II
7.0
Castellón
6.0
Real Sociedad II
5.9
Cordoba
5.7
Burgos
5.6
Valladolid
5.6
Granada CF
5.5
Almeria
5.5
FC Andorra
5.5
Eibar
5.2
Leganes
5.2
Sporting Gijon
5.2
AD Ceuta FC
5.2
Cadiz
5.1
Tenerife
4.7
Sabadell
4.6
Las Palmas
4.6
Albacete
4.6
Girona
4.5
Eldense
4.5
Mallorca
4.3
Oviedo
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Celta de Vigo II
35.0
Cordoba
29.6
Real Sociedad II
28.7
Valladolid
28.3
Castellón
28.3
AD Ceuta FC
27.8
FC Andorra
27.7
Sabadell
27.6
Granada CF
27.3
Las Palmas
27.3
Tenerife
27.0
Burgos
26.5
Almeria
26.4
Leganes
26.2
Eibar
25.7
Cadiz
25.5
Girona
25.4
Oviedo
25.1
Eldense
24.4
Mallorca
24.3
Sporting Gijon
22.5
Albacete
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.6%
@ 2.31+5.8%
Under 9.5
54.4%
@ 1.53-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.35
Marathonbet
2.29
Unibet
2.28
Superbet
2.27
Under
Superbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.54
Unibet
1.53
Betano
1.52
1xBet
1.51
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.2%
@ 1.29+9.3%
Under 3.5
20.8%
@ 3.00-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.29
Under
Superbet
3.00
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.4%
Under 21.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Granada CF or Draw✓ Hit
66.5%
Avg Implied 61.6% · @ 1.52
Edge
+4.9%
37%
29%
33%
covers Granada CF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
SBO
1.53
Granada CF or Mallorca✓ Hit
70.7%
Avg Implied 69.2% · @ 1.35
Edge
+1.5%
37%
29%
33%
covers Granada CF + Mallorca
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
Draw or Mallorca✗ Miss
62.8%
Avg Implied 69.2% · @ 1.35
Edge
-6.5%
37%
29%
33%
covers Draw + Mallorca
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
888Sport
1.36
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Granada CF over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.0%
@ 1.44+8.5%
Under
27.0%
@ 2.62-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
888Sport
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.81
Marathonbet
2.64
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.63
888Sport
2.63
Granada CF over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.6%
@ 3.17+8.3%
Under
62.4%
@ 1.31-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.35
Bet365
3.25
888Sport
3.20
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Granada CF over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 8.15+3.0%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.06-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
888Sport
9.00
1xBet
8.60
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Granada CF over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 21.50-0.1%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.01+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Mallorca over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
70.7%
@ 1.34+1.6%
Under
29.3%
@ 3.00-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.22
Betano
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
BetVictor
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Mallorca over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
34.8%
@ 2.68+0.0%
Under
65.2%
@ 1.43-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.86
888Sport
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Under
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
Mallorca over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.7%
@ 6.55-1.5%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.08+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
888Sport
7.00
1xBet
6.60
Superbet
6.60
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
Mallorca over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 18.19-1.7%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Granada CF, so a minus line means Granada CF give that many goals of a start and Mallorca receive them. At -1, Granada CF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Granada CF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Granada CF)Actual: Draw
Granada CF -2
6.1%
@ 17.67+0.9%
Draw -2
11.2%
@ 9.03+1.1%
Mallorca +2
82.7%
@ 1.08-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
15.00
Draw
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
9.50
Superbet
8.10
Away
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.09
Betfair
1.06
Handicap -1 (Granada CF)Actual: Granada CF
Granada CF -1
17.3%
@ 6.75+4.0%
Draw -1
19.9%
@ 4.41-0.3%
Mallorca +1
62.8%
@ 1.34-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Unibet
6.75
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.50
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Unibet
4.10
Away
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Handicap +1 (Granada CF)Actual: Granada CF
Granada CF +1
66.5%
@ 1.51+7.3%
Draw +1
18.7%
@ 3.87-4.5%
Mallorca -1
14.8%
@ 5.07-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.57
Superbet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
Unibet
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
3.96
Superbet
3.85
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Away
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Unibet
4.80
Handicap +2 (Granada CF)Actual: Granada CF
Granada CF +2
85.2%
@ 1.12+6.0%
Draw +2
9.9%
@ 6.71-3.3%
Mallorca -2
4.9%
@ 11.58-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.70
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Unibet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.90
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Granada CF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
1.07
0.57
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.77
0.57
1.07
0.57
0.50
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Mallorca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.67
0.67
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.12
0.80
1.20
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.43
0.60
0.40
0.45
0.45
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.5%
@ 1.50+6.6%
Under 0.5
31.5%
@ 2.45-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
BetVictor
1.51
Under
Pinnacle
2.57
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
William Hil
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.5%
@ 3.36+3.7%
Under 1.5
68.5%
@ 1.29-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.45
Superbet
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Under
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.3%
@ 9.21+0.1%
Under 2.5
89.7%
@ 1.04-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
William Hil
9.50
BetVictor
9.50
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
9.10
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
William Hil
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Granada CF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.3%
@ 2.45+2.4%
Under
59.7%
@ 1.49-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.56
Betano
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Unibet
2.43
10Bet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.52
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Granada CF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 8.48-3.4%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.04+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Marathonbet
9.10
Superbet
8.40
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Granada CF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 34.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
34.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Mallorca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
48.2%
@ 2.21+6.1%
Under
51.8%
@ 1.60-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.30
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.22
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.18
Under
Pinnacle
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Mallorca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.8%
@ 7.24+0.0%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.06-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Marathonbet
7.60
Superbet
7.20
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Mallorca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 19.25-2.1%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.01+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Granada CF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.70
0.21
0.64
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.37
0.70
0.21
0.64
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Mallorca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mallorca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.80
1.27
0.33
0.27
1.27
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.75
0.60
0.20
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (21)
0.90
0.76
1.60
0.40
0.27
1.09
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Granada CF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.8%
@ 1.32+6.9%
Under 0.5
22.2%
@ 3.22-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.35
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.29
Under
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
Superbet
3.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
47.3%
@ 2.47+9.5%
Under 1.5
52.7%
@ 1.50-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.57
Unibet
2.55
William Hil
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.42
Under
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.52
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.9%
@ 5.75+1.7%
Under 2.5
82.1%
@ 1.11-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
6.10
William Hil
6.00
1xBet
5.30
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Granada CF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.3%
@ 2.03+2.5%
Under
51.7%
@ 1.71-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Under
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Superbet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Granada CF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 6.22-3.2%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.09+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
Superbet
6.30
1xBet
6.30
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Granada CF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 19.58-2.8%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Mallorca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
58.3%
@ 1.83+7.9%
Under
41.7%
@ 1.86-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Mallorca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.4%
@ 5.22+7.6%
Under
74.6%
@ 1.13-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.50
10Bet
5.25
1xBet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.25
Betano
4.85
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
Mallorca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 15.25-1.4%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.02+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.4%
1.01
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.6%
1.01
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.01
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.5%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.05
William Hil
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.6%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Bet365
1.05
888Sport
1.05
10Bet
1.05
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
88.3%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
87.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.06
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.5%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.06
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.2%
1.12
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.7%
1.08
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.09
Betfair
1.06
-
-
-2.0%
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.1%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.09
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.2%
1.29
Superbet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.8%
1.32
Superbet
1.35
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.29
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.0%
1.18
Superbet
1.22
Unibet
1.19
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.0%
1.18
Betano
1.23
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
-4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
74.6%
1.13
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
-7.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.3%
1.43
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
10Bet
1.45
888Sport
1.44
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
73.0%
1.44
Pinnacle
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.45
888Sport
1.44
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
70.7%
1.34
Bet365
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
+1.6%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
70.7%
1.35
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Betano
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
+1.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Granada CF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pedro Alemañ33%
Alejandro Marqués33%
Bourama Dembelé33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Manuel Lama0%
Sergio López0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Owen Emeka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio López67%
Gerard Gumbau33%
Rubén Alcaraz33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Manuel Lama0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Lama33%
Sergio López33%
Baïla Diallo33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
José Manuel Arnáiz0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
José Manuel Arnáiz33%
Raúl Lizoain0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
Rubén Alcaraz0%
Pedro Alemañ0%
Manuel Lama0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Sergio López0%
Baïla Diallo0%
Sergio Rodelas0%
Bourama Dembelé0%
Owen Emeka0%
Mallorca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adrian Fuentes33%
Antonio Raíllo33%
Alex Sala33%
Pablo Torre33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Antoniu Roca0%
Adrian Liso0%
Miguel Calatayud0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Miguel Calatayud67%
Antonio Raíllo33%
Alex Sala33%
Antoniu Roca33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Adrian Fuentes0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Pablo Torre0%
Adrian Liso0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alex Sala67%
Zito Luvumbo33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Adrian Fuentes0%
Antonio Raíllo0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Pablo Torre0%
Antoniu Roca0%
Adrian Liso0%
Miguel Calatayud0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antoniu Roca33%
Toni Lato0%
Manu Morlanes0%
Adrian Fuentes0%
Antonio Raíllo0%
Martin Valjent0%
Antonio Sánchez0%
Zito Luvumbo0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Alex Sala0%
Pablo Torre0%
Adrian Liso0%
Miguel Calatayud0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (28)
€114m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
RSI (25)
€23m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
SAB (28)
€8m
CDV (22)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
Granada CF's squad is €30m less valuable than Mallorca's (€17m vs €48m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ALM (11)
€38m
MAL (11)
€23m
RSI (10)
€15m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
COR (9)
€4m
CDV (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
Granada CF's attack is €17m less valuable than Mallorca's (€6m vs €23m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (7)
€28m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
RSI (6)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
CDV (3)
€1m
Granada CF's midfield is €6m less valuable than Mallorca's (€3m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
RSI (9)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
CDV (10)
€2m
Granada CF's defence is €7m less valuable than Mallorca's (€9m vs €16m).
Spain: Segunda División 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
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Castellón
Leganes
Sporting Gijon
Tenerife
Las Palmas
Eibar
Sabadell
Girona
Celta de Vigo II
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
Oviedo
FC Andorra
Almeria
Cadiz
Cordoba
Valladolid
Eldense
Albacete
AD Ceuta FC