This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolfsberger AC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.87
1.64
0.93
1.62
0.81
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
0.75
1.50
0.75
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (18)
1.72
0.78
1.89
0.89
1.56
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
2.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
3.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
6.9%
1-3 ✓
5.8%
1-0
5.0%
Grazer AK goals ↓
Wolfsberger AC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
12%
12%
6.9%
3.1%
1
5.0%
12%
9.7%
5.8%
2.6%
2
2.6%
4.6%
4.1%
2.4%
1.1%
3
0.7%
1.3%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grazer AK goals (down), columns = Wolfsberger AC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
1.81
Sturm Graz
1.75
Red Bull Salzburg
1.50
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
Ried
1.37
TSV Hartberg
1.31
SCR Altach
1.31
WSG Wattens
1.25
Wolfsberger AC
1.24
Grazer AK
1.16
FC BW Linz
0.91
Grazer AK is 0.09 points worse than Wolfsberger AC in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lask Linz
1.75
Red Bull Salzburg
1.75
Sturm Graz
1.59
Austria Vienna
1.41
Grazer AK
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.27
TSV Hartberg
1.25
WSG Wattens
1.25
Ried
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.18
FC BW Linz
1.16
SCR Altach
1.12
Grazer AK is 0.04 goals better than Wolfsberger AC in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.27).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sturm Graz
1.09
SCR Altach
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.25
Rapid Vienna
1.26
Red Bull Salzburg
1.28
Lask Linz
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.33
Ried
1.34
Grazer AK
1.41
FC BW Linz
1.53
Austria Vienna
1.56
WSG Wattens
1.62
Grazer AK is 0.07 goals worse than Wolfsberger AC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
60%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
54%
SCR Altach
52%
Wolfsberger AC
51%
FC BW Linz
50%
Ried
49%
Lask Linz
49%
Austria Vienna
49%
Grazer AK
48%
WSG Wattens
44%
TSV Hartberg
39%
Grazer AK is 3.0 percentage points worse than Wolfsberger AC in terms of average possession (48% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Grazer AK
For 3.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.3 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wolfsberger AC
For 4.4 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grazer AK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.9
8.4
4.9
5.9
4.0
22.9
22.1
23.8
vs Stronger (13)
9.2
9.6
8.7
6.0
6.1
5.8
22.8
22.9
22.7
vs Similar (33)
9.2
10.1
8.3
4.8
5.8
4.1
22.7
21.2
24.3
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
9.0
-
1.5
6.0
0.0
31.0
31.0
-
% over line
41%
43%
38%
70%
87%
56%
68%
65%
71%
% under line
59%
57%
62%
30%
13%
44%
32%
35%
29%
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolfsberger AC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
8.6
10.9
3.9
3.7
4.1
22.5
23.1
21.9
vs Stronger (11)
10.2
9.4
11.2
4.1
4.5
3.6
21.7
24.8
17.8
vs Similar (29)
9.9
8.6
11.2
3.9
3.3
4.5
22.6
22.2
23.0
vs Weaker (10)
8.7
7.3
9.8
3.7
3.8
3.6
23.1
24.0
22.5
% over line
49%
33%
65%
62%
56%
68%
56%
52%
60%
% under line
51%
67%
35%
38%
44%
32%
44%
48%
40%
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rapid Vienna
10.8
Austria Vienna
10.6
Wolfsberger AC
9.9
WSG Wattens
9.9
Lask Linz
9.7
Sturm Graz
9.5
Red Bull Salzburg
9.5
TSV Hartberg
9.5
Grazer AK
9.2
FC BW Linz
9.1
SCR Altach
8.7
Ried
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Grazer AK
5.7
SCR Altach
5.6
Austria Vienna
5.3
TSV Hartberg
5.0
Ried
5.0
Wolfsberger AC
4.8
FC BW Linz
4.8
Lask Linz
4.7
Sturm Graz
4.7
Rapid Vienna
4.7
WSG Wattens
4.5
Red Bull Salzburg
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
26.0
Sturm Graz
24.3
Austria Vienna
23.8
Grazer AK
23.3
FC BW Linz
23.0
Ried
23.0
Wolfsberger AC
22.9
Rapid Vienna
22.8
WSG Wattens
22.6
TSV Hartberg
22.5
Lask Linz
21.4
Red Bull Salzburg
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.4%
Under 9.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.2%
Under 3.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.4%
Under 21.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Grazer AK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.63
0.47
0.40
0.33
0.87
vs Stronger (9)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.40
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.60
0.70
0.40
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolfsberger AC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.43
0.64
0.36
0.81
0.50
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.50
0.56
0.56
0.78
0.44
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Grazer AK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.93
0.47
1.13
0.40
0.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.00
0.60
0.80
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.95
0.40
1.30
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wolfsberger AC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
1.00
0.57
0.81
0.31
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.25
0.25
vs Similar (18)
1.06
0.28
1.33
0.33
0.78
0.22
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Grazer AK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Maderner32%
Ramiz Harakate30%
Mark Große18%
Alexander Hofleitner18%
Christian Lichtenberger10%
Jacob Italiano8%
Murat Satin7%
Leon Klassen7%
Mathias Olesen7%
Tio Cipot7%
Donovan Pines3%
Beres Owusu3%
Martin Kreuzriegler0%
Franz Stolz0%
Thorsten Schriebl0%
Dominik Frieser0%
Tobias Koch0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen0%
Zétény Jánó0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Thorsten Schriebl27%
Tobias Koch26%
Ramiz Harakate23%
Beres Owusu23%
Daniel Maderner20%
Zétény Jánó18%
Alexander Hofleitner18%
Tim Paumgartner17%
Martin Kreuzriegler15%
Murat Satin14%
Yannick Oberleitner14%
Franz Stolz13%
Leon Klassen13%
Mathias Olesen13%
Tio Cipot13%
Donovan Pines10%
Lukas Graf9%
Dominik Frieser7%
Christian Lichtenberger7%
Jacob Italiano4%
Mark Große0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mark Große18%
Ramiz Harakate13%
Tobias Koch11%
Alexander Hofleitner11%
Thorsten Schriebl9%
Daniel Maderner8%
Murat Satin7%
Leon Klassen7%
Mathias Olesen7%
Tio Cipot7%
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen4%
Dominik Frieser4%
Christian Lichtenberger3%
Jacob Italiano0%
Martin Kreuzriegler0%
Franz Stolz0%
Donovan Pines0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Zétény Jánó0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ramiz Harakate23%
Alexander Hofleitner11%
Daniel Maderner8%
Tio Cipot7%
Jacob Italiano4%
Murat Satin4%
Christian Lichtenberger3%
Martin Kreuzriegler0%
Franz Stolz0%
Thorsten Schriebl0%
Dominik Frieser0%
Tobias Koch0%
Leon Klassen0%
Donovan Pines0%
Mark Große0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Mathias Olesen0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Yannick Oberleitner0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Tim Paumgartner0%
Beres Owusu0%
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen0%
Zétény Jánó0%
Wolfsberger AC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Markus Pink25%
Dejan Zukić24%
Alessandro Schöpf19%
Jessic Ngankam12%
René Renner10%
Marco Sulzner9%
Chukwu Emmanuel9%
Donis Avdijaj8%
Erik Kojzek8%
Dominik Baumgartner7%
Chibuike Nwaiwu7%
Simon Piesinger7%
Angelo Gattermayer6%
David Atanga5%
Boris Matić4%
Nicolas Wimmer3%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
Thierno Ballo0%
Fabian Wohlmuth0%
Nikolas Polster0%
Marco Sulzner0%
Tobias Gruber0%
David Đurić0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Emin Kujovic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chibuike Nwaiwu57%
Tobias Gruber33%
René Renner27%
Jessic Ngankam25%
Marco Sulzner23%
Emin Kujovic22%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate22%
Dominik Baumgartner21%
Thierno Ballo20%
Fabian Wohlmuth18%
Nicolas Wimmer18%
Dejan Zukić15%
Simon Piesinger13%
Alessandro Schöpf11%
Nikolas Polster10%
Donis Avdijaj8%
Erik Kojzek8%
Boris Matić7%
Markus Pink4%
Emmanuel Agyemang4%
Angelo Gattermayer3%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
David Atanga0%
Marco Sulzner0%
David Đurić0%
Chukwu Emmanuel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dejan Zukić26%
Marco Sulzner25%
Thierno Ballo20%
Alessandro Schöpf15%
Boris Matić15%
Angelo Gattermayer10%
Marco Sulzner9%
Donis Avdijaj8%
Fabian Wohlmuth7%
Erik Kojzek4%
Dominik Baumgartner4%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
Markus Pink0%
René Renner0%
Simon Piesinger0%
David Atanga0%
Jessic Ngankam0%
Nikolas Polster0%
Tobias Gruber0%
Chibuike Nwaiwu0%
David Đurić0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Chukwu Emmanuel0%
Emin Kujovic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jessic Ngankam38%
Dejan Zukić9%
Alessandro Schöpf7%
Chibuike Nwaiwu7%
René Renner7%
Markus Pink4%
Donis Avdijaj4%
Emmanuel Agyemang4%
Fabian Wohlmuth4%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
Simon Piesinger0%
Dominik Baumgartner0%
David Atanga0%
Thierno Ballo0%
Nikolas Polster0%
Marco Sulzner0%
Angelo Gattermayer0%
Marco Sulzner0%
Tobias Gruber0%
Boris Matić0%
David Đurić0%
Erik Kojzek0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Chukwu Emmanuel0%
Emin Kujovic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
Grazer AK's squad is €3m less valuable than Wolfsberger AC's (€9m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
Grazer AK's attack is €1m less valuable than Wolfsberger AC's (€2m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
Grazer AK's midfield is €2m less valuable than Wolfsberger AC's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
Grazer AK and Wolfsberger AC have a similar defence value (both €6m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Lask Linz
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
Ried
Rapid Vienna
Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
WSG Wattens
FC BW Linz