This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.47
0.57
0.79
1.25
2.06
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
2.14
0.60
1.00
0.78
2.78
vs Similar (15)
1.00
0.93
0.56
0.67
1.67
1.33
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1 ✓
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
Grazer AK goals ↓
WSG Wattens goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
7.2%
5.6%
2.5%
0.8%
1
7.8%
13%
8.0%
3.6%
1.2%
2
6.4%
8.6%
5.8%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.1%
4.1%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.1%
1.5%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grazer AK goals (down), columns = WSG Wattens goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sturm Graz
1.97
Austria Vienna
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.78
Wolfsberger AC
1.72
Lask Linz
1.71
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.33
FC BW Linz
1.19
WSG Wattens
0.94
Grazer AK
0.88
Austria Klagenfurt
0.84
SCR Altach
0.81
Grazer AK is 0.06 points worse than WSG Wattens in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sturm Graz
2.06
Wolfsberger AC
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.66
Lask Linz
1.60
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.21
FC BW Linz
1.16
WSG Wattens
1.09
Grazer AK
1.06
Austria Klagenfurt
1.03
SCR Altach
0.91
Grazer AK is 0.03 goals worse than WSG Wattens in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Austria Vienna
1.00
Red Bull Salzburg
1.12
Lask Linz
1.14
Wolfsberger AC
1.19
Sturm Graz
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.27
Rapid Vienna
1.32
FC BW Linz
1.41
SCR Altach
1.44
WSG Wattens
1.56
Grazer AK
1.69
Austria Klagenfurt
2.19
Grazer AK is 0.12 goals worse than WSG Wattens in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
62%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
57%
Austria Vienna
54%
Sturm Graz
52%
TSV Hartberg
50%
SCR Altach
47%
Wolfsberger AC
46%
WSG Wattens
45%
Austria Klagenfurt
45%
FC BW Linz
41%
Grazer AK
41%
Grazer AK is 4.6 percentage points worse than WSG Wattens in terms of average possession (41% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Grazer AK
For 5.3 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
WSG Wattens
For 4.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grazer AK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.8
9.0
4.3
4.4
4.2
24.8
23.1
26.3
vs Stronger (5)
8.4
10.5
7.0
6.0
4.5
7.0
25.4
23.5
26.7
vs Similar (32)
9.2
10.2
8.2
4.1
4.5
3.8
23.8
22.3
25.2
vs Weaker (13)
10.5
8.6
12.4
4.1
4.2
4.0
26.7
24.6
28.8
% over line
50%
47%
52%
66%
68%
64%
80%
74%
86%
% under line
50%
53%
48%
34%
32%
36%
20%
26%
14%
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.4
10.3
4.0
4.1
4.0
23.3
23.6
23.0
vs Stronger (24)
10.3
10.0
10.5
4.0
4.1
3.9
22.7
23.0
22.4
vs Similar (25)
9.5
9.0
10.1
4.2
4.1
4.3
23.8
24.0
23.6
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
49%
52%
46%
56%
52%
59%
62%
65%
58%
% under line
51%
48%
54%
44%
48%
41%
38%
35%
42%
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Austria Vienna
10.6
Wolfsberger AC
10.2
Lask Linz
10.0
WSG Wattens
9.8
TSV Hartberg
9.7
SCR Altach
9.7
Sturm Graz
9.6
Rapid Vienna
9.5
Grazer AK
9.3
Austria Klagenfurt
9.2
FC BW Linz
9.2
Red Bull Salzburg
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Austria Vienna
6.0
Grazer AK
5.1
SCR Altach
5.0
Rapid Vienna
5.0
Wolfsberger AC
5.0
TSV Hartberg
4.8
Sturm Graz
4.6
Lask Linz
4.6
Austria Klagenfurt
4.5
WSG Wattens
4.5
FC BW Linz
4.5
Red Bull Salzburg
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
26.4
Grazer AK
25.4
Austria Vienna
25.2
Lask Linz
24.8
Sturm Graz
24.6
FC BW Linz
23.9
Rapid Vienna
23.7
Wolfsberger AC
23.7
WSG Wattens
23.2
Austria Klagenfurt
22.8
TSV Hartberg
22.7
Red Bull Salzburg
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.7%
Under 9.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.9%
Under 3.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
61.6%
Under 21.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Grazer AK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.69
0.85
0.71
0.59
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.40
1.00
1.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.63
0.38
0.88
0.73
0.45
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.33
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.53
0.29
0.36
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
0.79
0.20
0.60
0.33
0.89
vs Similar (15)
0.47
0.33
0.33
0.22
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Grazer AK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.67
1.00
0.38
1.24
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.20
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (19)
1.16
0.53
1.00
0.25
1.27
0.73
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.67
1.33
0.67
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
WSG Wattens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.29
0.43
0.75
1.38
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
1.36
0.40
0.40
0.44
1.89
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.60
0.22
0.44
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Grazer AK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grazer AK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grazer AK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Grazer AK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tio Cipot26%
Daniel Maderner25%
Michael Lang14%
Christian Lichtenberger13%
Romeo Vučić12%
Michael Cheukoua11%
Atsushi Zaizen8%
Zétény Jánó7%
Marco Gantschnig7%
Marco Perchtold5%
Benjamin Rosenberger4%
Petar Filipović4%
Jacob Italiano4%
Dominik Frieser3%
Murat Satin0%
Martin Kreuzriegler0%
Miloš Jovičić0%
Thorsten Schriebl0%
László Kleinheisler0%
Dennis Dressel0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sadik Fofana43%
Antonio Tikvić33%
Miloš Jovičić32%
Benjamin Rosenberger27%
Atsushi Zaizen25%
Martin Kreuzriegler25%
László Kleinheisler23%
Lukas Graf23%
Thorsten Schriebl23%
Michael Cheukoua22%
Michael Lang21%
Dennis Dressel21%
Daniel Maderner21%
Zétény Jánó21%
Marco Gantschnig20%
Christian Lichtenberger19%
Petar Filipović15%
Tio Cipot15%
Jacob Italiano14%
Marco Perchtold14%
Murat Satin14%
Dominik Frieser7%
Jakob Meierhofer6%
Romeo Vučić6%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Lichtenberger19%
László Kleinheisler15%
Murat Satin14%
Michael Cheukoua11%
Daniel Maderner11%
Atsushi Zaizen8%
Martin Kreuzriegler8%
Benjamin Rosenberger8%
Jacob Italiano7%
Michael Lang7%
Zétény Jánó7%
Romeo Vučić6%
Tio Cipot4%
Dominik Frieser3%
Marco Gantschnig0%
Miloš Jovičić0%
Thorsten Schriebl0%
Dennis Dressel0%
Petar Filipović0%
Marco Perchtold0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tio Cipot19%
Daniel Maderner18%
Michael Lang14%
Christian Lichtenberger13%
László Kleinheisler8%
Romeo Vučić6%
Murat Satin3%
Jacob Italiano0%
Atsushi Zaizen0%
Martin Kreuzriegler0%
Benjamin Rosenberger0%
Marco Gantschnig0%
Miloš Jovičić0%
Michael Cheukoua0%
Thorsten Schriebl0%
Dominik Frieser0%
Dennis Dressel0%
Petar Filipović0%
Marco Perchtold0%
Jakob Meierhofer0%
Lukas Graf0%
Thomas Schiestl0%
Florian Wiegele0%
Sadik Fofana0%
Antonio Tikvić0%
Zétény Jánó0%
WSG Wattens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bror Blume Jensen14%
Valentino Müller12%
Quincy Butler12%
Stefan Skrbo12%
Mahamadou Diarra12%
Jonas David12%
Jamie Lawrence11%
Tobias Anselm10%
Lukas Hinterseer9%
Johannes Naschberger8%
Cem Üstündag8%
David Jaunegg5%
David Gugganig4%
Matthäus Taferner4%
Alexander Ranacher0%
Florian Rieder0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Lennart Czyborra0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Thomas Geris0%
Yannick Votter0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matthäus Taferner33%
Lukas Sulzbacher33%
Jamie Lawrence25%
Stefan Skrbo24%
Florian Rieder20%
Osarenren Okungbowa20%
Mahamadou Diarra20%
David Gugganig17%
Cem Üstündag15%
David Jaunegg14%
Lukas Hinterseer13%
Valentino Müller12%
Quincy Butler12%
Jonas David12%
Bror Blume Jensen10%
Adam Stejskal9%
Johannes Naschberger8%
Yannick Votter8%
Alexander Ranacher8%
Tobias Anselm5%
Lennart Czyborra0%
Thomas Geris0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bror Blume Jensen29%
Jonas David12%
Matthäus Taferner11%
Valentino Müller9%
Quincy Butler9%
Stefan Skrbo8%
Alexander Ranacher8%
David Gugganig4%
Mahamadou Diarra4%
Cem Üstündag4%
Jamie Lawrence4%
Florian Rieder0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Tobias Anselm0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Lennart Czyborra0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Thomas Geris0%
David Jaunegg0%
Yannick Votter0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jonas David12%
Tobias Anselm10%
Valentino Müller9%
David Gugganig4%
Stefan Skrbo4%
Mahamadou Diarra4%
Alexander Ranacher0%
Florian Rieder0%
Matthäus Taferner0%
Adam Stejskal0%
Osarenren Okungbowa0%
Bror Blume Jensen0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Lennart Czyborra0%
Quincy Butler0%
Jamie Lawrence0%
Lukas Sulzbacher0%
Johannes Naschberger0%
Thomas Geris0%
David Jaunegg0%
Cem Üstündag0%
Yannick Votter0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
Grazer AK's squad is €2m more valuable than WSG Wattens's (€9m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
Grazer AK and WSG Wattens have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
Grazer AK and WSG Wattens have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
Grazer AK's defence is €3m more valuable than WSG Wattens's (€6m vs €3m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
Austria Vienna
Red Bull Salzburg
Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
FC BW Linz
Austria Klagenfurt
SCR Altach