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Grbalj vs Mladost Lješkopolje Result & Analysis

Date: 14/03/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 3-1
Grbalj
Grbalj
Vs
62%
22%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grbalj win✓ Hit
61.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje win✗ Miss
16.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L31W02L01L30W21W31W10W31WH·IGA27/10A·MLA02/11H·ISK08/11A·OTR22/11A·KOM26/11H·INT30/11H·RUD06/12A·BER28/02H·LOV04/03A·IGA08/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.032.000.871.001.20
vs Stronger (16)1.501.122.121.000.881.25
vs Similar (8)1.380.751.400.601.331.00
vs Weaker (6)1.671.173.001.001.001.25
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-700D10W17L11D00D10W04L30W10W01LA·ISK26/10H·GRB02/11A·OTR08/11H·INT16/11H·BER02/12H·LOV06/12A·RUD10/12A·IGA28/02H·KOM04/03H·ISK09/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.400.730.871.071.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.821.550.831.170.802.00
vs Weaker (19)0.951.320.670.671.201.90
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.5%
Under 2.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.2%
Under 3.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
1-0
8.3%
3-1 ✓
7.0%
3-0
6.9%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
5.0%
Grbalj goals ↓
Mladost Lješkopolje goals →
01234
05.3%3.5%2.2%0.8%0.2%
18.3%10%4.7%1.6%0.4%
29.8%9.9%5.0%1.7%0.4%
36.9%7.0%3.5%1.2%0.3%
43.7%3.7%1.9%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grbalj goals (down), columns = Mladost Lješkopolje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.06
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Berane
1.39
Kom
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Zeta
1.00
Igalo
0.89
Internacional Podgorica
0.64
Brskovo
0.00
Grbalj is 0.56 points better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 1.31).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.25
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Internacional Podgorica
0.86
Igalo
0.58
Brskovo
0.50
Zeta
0.50
Grbalj is 0.67 goals better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Otrant-Olympic
0.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Igalo
1.55
Internacional Podgorica
2.11
Brskovo
3.50
Grbalj is 0.11 goals better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GrbaljGrbalj

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L11D01L01L10W10W11D00D21WH·IGA27/10A·MLA02/11H·ISK08/11A·OTR22/11A·KOM26/11H·INT30/11H·RUD06/12A·BER28/02H·LOV04/03A·IGA08/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.870.330.400.80
vs Stronger (16)0.620.690.880.500.380.88
vs Similar (8)0.620.380.600.200.670.67
vs Weaker (6)0.670.501.500.000.250.75
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W04L00D00D10W03L10W00D00DA·ISK26/10H·GRB02/11A·OTR08/11H·INT16/11H·BER02/12H·LOV06/12A·RUD10/12A·IGA28/02H·KOM04/03H·ISK09/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.570.270.200.330.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.180.640.170.330.201.00
vs Weaker (19)0.370.530.330.110.400.90
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GrbaljGrbalj

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W01L00D20W11D20W10W10WH·IGA27/10A·MLA02/11H·ISK08/11A·OTR22/11A·KOM26/11H·INT30/11H·RUD06/12A·BER28/02H·LOV04/03A·IGA08/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.471.130.530.600.40
vs Stronger (16)0.880.441.250.500.500.38
vs Similar (8)0.750.380.800.400.670.33
vs Weaker (6)1.000.671.501.000.750.50
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D13L11D00D00D01L20W10W01LA·ISK26/10H·GRB02/11A·OTR08/11H·INT16/11H·BER02/12H·LOV06/12A·RUD10/12A·IGA28/02H·KOM04/03H·ISK09/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.470.670.731.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.640.910.670.830.601.00
vs Weaker (19)0.580.790.330.560.801.00
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Grbalj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grbalj over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grbalj over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (4)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (1)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (5)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
GRB wins
2
Draws
2
ML wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Grbalj vs Mladost Lješkopolje · H/A from GRB
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/25AMladost Lješkopolje Vs GRB1-0
10/09/25HGRB Vs Mladost Lješkopolje3-1
24/05/25HGRB Vs Mladost Lješkopolje4-3
06/04/25AMladost Lješkopolje Vs GRB1-1
23/11/24HGRB Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-0
28/09/24AMladost Lješkopolje Vs GRB2-2
24/04/24AMladost Lješkopolje Vs GRB2-1
10/03/24HGRB Vs Mladost Lješkopolje2-1

GrbaljGrbalj

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26AIgalo Vs GRB1-3
04/03/26HGRB Vs Lovćen1-0
28/02/26ABerane Vs GRB1-3
06/12/25HGRB Vs Rudar (Montenegro)2-1
30/11/25HGRB Vs Internacional Podgorica3-0
26/11/25AKom Vs GRB1-0
22/11/25AOtrant-Olympic Vs GRB2-0
08/11/25HGRB Vs Iskra (Montenegro)3-1
02/11/25AMladost Lješkopolje Vs GRB1-0
27/10/25HGRB Vs Igalo2-0

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/26HML Vs Iskra (Montenegro)0-1
04/03/26HML Vs Kom1-0
28/02/26AIgalo Vs ML0-3
10/12/25ARudar (Montenegro) Vs ML4-0
06/12/25HML Vs Lovćen1-0
02/12/25HML Vs Berane0-0
16/11/25HML Vs Internacional Podgorica1-1
08/11/25AOtrant-Olympic Vs ML7-1
02/11/25HML Vs Grbalj1-0
26/10/25AIskra (Montenegro) Vs ML0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Grbalj
Grbalj
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.58
HomeWWWWW2.00
AwayLLLWW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%60%28%
AVG goals2.502.802.20
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %34%44%24%
Over 3.5 %20%24%16%
Scored1.341.681.00
Conceded1.161.121.20
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.00
HomeDDWWL1.19
AwayLDLLW0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%23%21%
AVG goals2.481.773.25
Over 1.5 %64%54%75%
Over 2.5 %38%23%54%
Over 3.5 %28%15%42%
Scored0.960.811.12
Conceded1.520.962.12
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet24%31%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3674
64%
2.1
8131+50
3.1
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.9
-
2GrbaljGrbalj3667
58%
1.9
6342+21
2.9
86%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
3Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3664
47%
1.8
5134+17
2.4
64%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.9
-
4Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3851
37%
1.3
5449+5
2.7
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
5BeraneBerane3650
33%
1.4
4536+9
2.2
72%
36%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6KomKom3650
42%
1.4
4743+4
2.5
67%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LovćenLovćen3648
39%
1.3
3445-11
2.2
56%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
8Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3647
36%
1.3
3946-7
2.4
53%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9IgaloIgalo3834
21%
0.9
2259-37
2.1
63%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
10Internacional PodgoricaInternacional Podgorica3623
14%
0.6
3176-45
3.0
86%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
11ZetaZeta22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
12BrskovoBrskovo20
0%
0.0
17-6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.5
-
Montenegro: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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