This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Walsall
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.47
1.33
0.87
1.13
2.07
vs Stronger (3)
2.33
2.00
2.50
1.00
2.00
4.00
vs Similar (23)
1.26
1.39
1.36
1.00
1.17
1.75
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
3.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Grimsby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.3%
@ 1.89+2.7%
Under 2.5
47.7%
@ 1.86-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
Grimsby goals ↓
Walsall goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
6.6%
4.8%
2.0%
0.6%
1
8.4%
13%
7.4%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.3%
9.1%
5.6%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.7%
4.6%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.4%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grimsby goals (down), columns = Walsall goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stockport
2.00
Wrexham
1.91
Mansfield
1.87
Milton Keynes Dons
1.70
Doncaster
1.54
Crewe
1.54
Crawley Town
1.52
Bradford
1.50
Barrow
1.50
AFC Wimbledon
1.41
Walsall
1.41
Gillingham
1.39
Harrogate
1.37
Notts County
1.33
Morecambe
1.33
Accrington
1.24
Tranmere
1.24
Newport County
1.20
Swindon
1.17
Salford
1.11
Grimsby
1.07
Colchester
0.98
Forest Green
0.91
Sutton
0.91
Grimsby is 0.35 points worse than Walsall in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.41).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stockport
2.09
Mansfield
1.96
Notts County
1.93
Wrexham
1.93
Milton Keynes Dons
1.80
Swindon
1.67
Doncaster
1.59
Crawley Town
1.59
Walsall
1.50
Crewe
1.50
Tranmere
1.46
Morecambe
1.46
Salford
1.43
AFC Wimbledon
1.39
Accrington
1.37
Newport County
1.35
Barrow
1.35
Bradford
1.33
Harrogate
1.30
Sutton
1.28
Colchester
1.28
Grimsby
1.24
Gillingham
1.00
Forest Green
0.96
Grimsby is 0.26 goals worse than Walsall in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Mansfield
1.02
Stockport
1.04
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Wrexham
1.13
Barrow
1.22
Gillingham
1.24
Bradford
1.28
Crewe
1.41
Crawley Town
1.46
Doncaster
1.48
Milton Keynes Dons
1.48
Harrogate
1.50
Tranmere
1.52
Accrington
1.54
Walsall
1.59
Grimsby
1.61
Newport County
1.65
Forest Green
1.70
Colchester
1.74
Morecambe
1.76
Salford
1.78
Swindon
1.80
Sutton
1.83
Notts County
1.87
Grimsby is 0.02 goals worse than Walsall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.59).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Notts County
65%
Milton Keynes Dons
58%
Crawley Town
57%
Stockport
57%
Swindon
55%
Mansfield
54%
Salford
52%
Bradford
51%
Crewe
50%
Gillingham
50%
Wrexham
50%
Doncaster
49%
Grimsby
49%
Colchester
49%
Accrington
48%
Harrogate
48%
AFC Wimbledon
47%
Tranmere
47%
Forest Green
45%
Barrow
44%
Sutton
44%
Newport County
44%
Morecambe
44%
Walsall
43%
Grimsby is 6.4 percentage points better than Walsall in terms of average possession (49% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Grimsby
For 6.9 · Against 7.0 · Total 13.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 9.2 · Total 18.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Walsall
For 5.3 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grimsby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.7
10.8
3.4
2.9
3.8
21.6
21.9
21.2
vs Stronger (3)
6.3
12.0
3.5
3.7
2.0
4.5
24.0
23.0
24.5
vs Similar (40)
10.7
9.6
11.9
3.4
3.0
3.7
21.5
22.1
20.9
vs Weaker (7)
9.0
9.8
8.0
3.1
2.5
4.0
21.0
20.8
21.3
% over line
56%
60%
52%
52%
40%
64%
54%
56%
52%
% under line
44%
40%
48%
48%
60%
36%
46%
44%
48%
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Walsall
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.3
9.6
4.0
4.4
3.7
21.7
21.8
21.6
vs Stronger (4)
10.5
11.0
9.0
5.0
5.3
4.0
17.8
19.7
12.0
vs Similar (39)
9.2
8.5
9.8
3.9
4.2
3.7
22.0
21.2
22.8
vs Weaker (7)
10.4
12.3
9.0
4.0
4.3
3.8
22.3
27.7
18.2
% over line
50%
44%
56%
64%
76%
52%
50%
52%
48%
% under line
50%
56%
44%
36%
24%
48%
50%
48%
52%
This opponent (Grimsby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wrexham
11.8
Crewe
11.1
Tranmere
11.0
Harrogate
10.6
Forest Green
10.5
Colchester
10.5
Morecambe
10.5
Grimsby
10.2
Milton Keynes Dons
10.0
Bradford
10.0
Swindon
10.0
Accrington
9.9
Notts County
9.9
Crawley Town
9.8
Doncaster
9.8
Stockport
9.6
Newport County
9.6
Salford
9.6
Mansfield
9.6
Walsall
9.4
Sutton
9.3
AFC Wimbledon
9.2
Barrow
8.9
Gillingham
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Colchester
4.6
Crawley Town
4.5
AFC Wimbledon
4.4
Swindon
4.3
Bradford
4.3
Notts County
4.2
Accrington
4.2
Forest Green
4.1
Milton Keynes Dons
4.0
Walsall
4.0
Barrow
4.0
Salford
4.0
Doncaster
3.8
Mansfield
3.8
Tranmere
3.8
Gillingham
3.8
Crewe
3.7
Morecambe
3.7
Newport County
3.5
Sutton
3.4
Grimsby
3.4
Stockport
3.4
Wrexham
3.3
Harrogate
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Accrington
25.3
AFC Wimbledon
24.0
Sutton
23.0
Barrow
22.9
Stockport
22.5
Salford
22.3
Crewe
22.3
Milton Keynes Dons
22.2
Bradford
22.2
Gillingham
22.1
Newport County
22.1
Crawley Town
21.9
Swindon
21.8
Walsall
21.7
Grimsby
21.6
Colchester
21.5
Forest Green
21.2
Mansfield
21.2
Morecambe
20.3
Tranmere
20.2
Harrogate
20.1
Doncaster
20.1
Wrexham
19.7
Notts County
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
69.6%
Under 9.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.7%
Under 3.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
40.1%
Under 21.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Grimsby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.87
0.47
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
-
-
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.76
0.44
0.92
0.38
0.58
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.33
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Walsall
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.73
0.33
0.20
0.53
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.61
0.27
0.18
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
1.25
0.00
0.00
0.50
2.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Grimsby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grimsby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grimsby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grimsby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Grimsby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.60
0.60
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.44
0.80
0.46
0.62
0.42
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Walsall) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Walsall
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
1.00
0.67
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.78
1.09
0.82
0.67
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Grimsby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grimsby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grimsby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grimsby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Walsall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Grimsby · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harvey Rodgers33%
Andy Cook33%
Cian Doyle33%
Christy Pym0%
Charles Vernam0%
Jayden Sweeney0%
Justin Amaluzor0%
Kieran Green0%
Géza Dávid Turi0%
Cameron McJannett0%
Maldini Kacurri0%
Iwan Morgan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jayden Sweeney33%
Harvey Rodgers33%
Maldini Kacurri33%
Christy Pym0%
Charles Vernam0%
Justin Amaluzor0%
Andy Cook0%
Kieran Green0%
Géza Dávid Turi0%
Cameron McJannett0%
Iwan Morgan0%
Cian Doyle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Géza Dávid Turi67%
Kieran Green33%
Christy Pym0%
Charles Vernam0%
Jayden Sweeney0%
Justin Amaluzor0%
Harvey Rodgers0%
Andy Cook0%
Cameron McJannett0%
Maldini Kacurri0%
Iwan Morgan0%
Cian Doyle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Andy Cook33%
Christy Pym0%
Charles Vernam0%
Jayden Sweeney0%
Justin Amaluzor0%
Harvey Rodgers0%
Kieran Green0%
Géza Dávid Turi0%
Cameron McJannett0%
Maldini Kacurri0%
Iwan Morgan0%
Cian Doyle0%
Walsall · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aaron Pressley50%
Harrison Burke33%
Reece Smith25%
Sven Sprangler0%
Albert Adomah0%
Andy Dallas0%
Lewis Simper0%
Tai Sodje0%
James Connolly0%
Jed Ward0%
Rico Browne0%
Mason Hancock0%
Charlie Crew0%
Declan Skura0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Courtney Clarke0%
Isaac Moore0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Isaac Moore75%
Sven Sprangler67%
Tai Sodje33%
James Connolly33%
Elicha Ahui33%
Rico Browne25%
Declan Skura25%
Albert Adomah0%
Andy Dallas0%
Aaron Pressley0%
Lewis Simper0%
Reece Smith0%
Harrison Burke0%
Jed Ward0%
Mason Hancock0%
Charlie Crew0%
Courtney Clarke0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Reece Smith50%
Mason Hancock25%
Sven Sprangler0%
Albert Adomah0%
Andy Dallas0%
Aaron Pressley0%
Lewis Simper0%
Tai Sodje0%
James Connolly0%
Harrison Burke0%
Jed Ward0%
Rico Browne0%
Charlie Crew0%
Declan Skura0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Courtney Clarke0%
Isaac Moore0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aaron Pressley50%
Andy Dallas25%
Reece Smith25%
Courtney Clarke25%
Sven Sprangler0%
Albert Adomah0%
Lewis Simper0%
Tai Sodje0%
James Connolly0%
Harrison Burke0%
Jed Ward0%
Rico Browne0%
Mason Hancock0%
Charlie Crew0%
Declan Skura0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Isaac Moore0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (32)
€77m
MKD (24)
€15m
STO (25)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BRA (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
CT (19)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
MOR (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Grimsby and Walsall have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€15m
MKD (8)
€5m
STO (8)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Grimsby and Walsall have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€23m
MKD (6)
€7m
MAN (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
Grimsby and Walsall have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (14)
€39m
STO (11)
€4m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Grimsby and Walsall have a similar defence value (both €2m).
England: League Two 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →
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Stockport
Wrexham
Mansfield
Milton Keynes Dons
Doncaster
Crewe
Crawley Town
Barrow
Bradford
AFC Wimbledon
Gillingham
Harrogate
Notts County
Morecambe
Tranmere
Accrington
Newport County
Swindon
Salford
Colchester
Sutton
Forest Green