This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keflavik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.60
1.83
3.06
1.56
2.07
2.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
2.36
2.04
2.54
1.69
2.17
2.42
vs Weaker (5)
3.80
0.80
5.33
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
20% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
62.6%
Under 1.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.2%
Under 2.5
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.6%
Under 3.5
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.9%
No
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.9%
0-0 ✓
14.0%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
Grindavik goals ↓
Keflavik goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
11%
6.4%
2.1%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.8%
2.3%
0.6%
2
7.1%
7.2%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
3
2.5%
2.5%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Grindavik goals (down), columns = Keflavik goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Fram Reykjavik
2.50
Valur Reykjavik
2.40
Kári
2.25
Keflavik
2.25
Thor Akureyri
2.25
Vestri
2.20
HK Kopavogur
2.00
Njardvik
2.00
Afturelding
2.00
Tindastóll
2.00
KFR
2.00
Vikingur Olafsiik
2.00
Skallagrímur
2.00
Haukar
2.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.00
Selfoss
2.00
Stjarnan
1.75
Völsungur
1.67
Fylkir
1.50
IR Reykjavik
1.50
Leiknir R.
1.50
Fjolnir
1.50
Grotta
1.50
IA Akranes
1.50
Grindavik
1.50
KA Akureyri
1.50
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
1.50
Vídir
1.50
RB
1.50
Reynir
1.50
Höttur / Huginn
1.50
Smári
1.50
BF 108
1.50
Kría
1.50
Hafnir
1.50
ÍH
1.50
Augnablik
1.50
Spyrnir
1.50
Hvíti riddarinn
1.50
Árbær
1.50
Sindri
1.50
Ellidi
1.50
KR Reykjavik
1.50
Breidablik
1.50
Throttur Reykjavik
1.33
Úlfarnir
1.33
KÁ Hafnarfjördur
1.33
Reynir Hellissandur
1.10
KB
1.10
Ægir
1.00
Kormákur / Hvöt
1.00
Magni
0.50
KV
0.50
Dalvík / Reynir
0.00
Álftanes
0.00
Álafoss
0.00
ÍBU
0.00
Árborg
0.00
KFG
0.00
SR
0.00
Vængir Júpiters
0.00
Hamar
0.00
KFS
0.00
Afríka
0.00
Léttir
0.00
KF
0.00
Stokkseyri
0.00
Neisti D.
0.00
Thorlákur
0.00
Ýmir
0.00
KH
0.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
0.00
Thróttur Vogar
0.00
FH hafnarfjordur
0.00
Fálkar
0.00
Einherji
0.00
Grindavik is 0.75 points worse than Keflavik in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
KR Reykjavik
6.50
Kári
5.00
Vikingur Olafsiik
4.67
Njardvik
4.00
BF 108
4.00
HK Kopavogur
3.50
Fylkir
3.50
Keflavik
3.50
Stjarnan
3.50
Thor Akureyri
3.50
Throttur Reykjavik
3.33
Selfoss
3.33
IR Reykjavik
3.00
Grindavik
3.00
KA Akureyri
3.00
Álafoss
3.00
Tindastóll
3.00
ÍH
3.00
KF
3.00
Hvíti riddarinn
3.00
Ellidi
3.00
Ýmir
3.00
Breidablik
3.00
Leiknir R.
2.50
Smári
2.50
Spyrnir
2.50
Árbær
2.50
Völsungur
2.33
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2.33
Fjolnir
2.00
Dalvík / Reynir
2.00
IA Akranes
2.00
Afturelding
2.00
Ægir
2.00
RB
2.00
KFG
2.00
SR
2.00
KFR
2.00
Hafnir
2.00
Skallagrímur
2.00
Kormákur / Hvöt
2.00
Augnablik
2.00
Haukar
2.00
Reynir Hellissandur
1.97
KB
1.97
Valur Reykjavik
1.80
Úlfarnir
1.67
Vestri
1.60
Grotta
1.50
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
1.50
Vídir
1.50
Reynir
1.50
KV
1.50
Fram Reykjavik
1.50
Vængir Júpiters
1.00
Kría
1.00
Hamar
1.00
KFS
1.00
Léttir
1.00
KÁ Hafnarfjördur
1.00
Magni
1.00
Sindri
1.00
Thorlákur
1.00
KH
1.00
Höttur / Huginn
0.50
Álftanes
0.00
ÍBU
0.00
Árborg
0.00
Afríka
0.00
Stokkseyri
0.00
Neisti D.
0.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
0.00
Thróttur Vogar
0.00
FH hafnarfjordur
0.00
Fálkar
0.00
Einherji
0.00
Grindavik is 0.50 goals worse than Keflavik in terms of goals scored per game (3.00 vs 3.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Afturelding
0.33
Leiknir R.
0.50
Sindri
0.50
Fram Reykjavik
0.50
Vestri
0.80
Valur Reykjavik
0.80
IA Akranes
1.00
Vídir
1.00
Skallagrímur
1.00
FH hafnarfjordur
1.00
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1.00
Thor Akureyri
1.00
Breidablik
1.00
Throttur Reykjavik
1.33
HK Kopavogur
1.50
Fylkir
1.50
IR Reykjavik
1.50
Keflavik
1.50
Njardvik
1.50
Grindavik
1.50
KFR
1.50
Spyrnir
1.50
Haukar
1.67
Völsungur
1.67
Ægir
2.00
KA Akureyri
2.00
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2.00
Vængir Júpiters
2.00
Tindastóll
2.00
Kormákur / Hvöt
2.00
Léttir
2.00
Hvíti riddarinn
2.00
Ellidi
2.00
KR Reykjavik
2.00
Selfoss
2.00
Einherji
2.00
Kári
2.25
Vikingur Olafsiik
2.33
Fjolnir
2.50
Grotta
2.50
Höttur / Huginn
2.50
Smári
2.50
BF 108
2.50
Augnablik
2.50
Reynir Hellissandur
2.65
KB
2.65
Úlfarnir
2.67
Stjarnan
2.75
Álftanes
3.00
KFG
3.00
SR
3.00
Kría
3.00
Hamar
3.00
ÍH
3.00
Stokkseyri
3.00
Vikingur Reykjavik
3.00
RB
3.50
Reynir
3.50
Dalvík / Reynir
4.00
Álafoss
4.00
Árborg
4.00
Thorlákur
4.00
Ýmir
4.00
KH
4.00
KV
4.00
Fálkar
4.00
KÁ Hafnarfjördur
4.33
Magni
4.50
Árbær
4.50
Hafnir
5.00
KF
5.00
Neisti D.
5.00
ÍBU
6.00
Thróttur Vogar
6.00
KFS
7.00
Afríka
8.00
Grindavik and Keflavik are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Grindavik or Draw✓ Hit
67.9%
Avg Implied -
35%
33%
32%
covers Grindavik + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grindavik or Keflavik✗ Miss
67.1%
Avg Implied -
35%
33%
32%
covers Grindavik + Keflavik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Keflavik✓ Hit
65.0%
Avg Implied -
35%
33%
32%
covers Draw + Keflavik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Grindavik over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
65.4%
Under
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.7%
Under
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.2%
Under
90.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
63.5%
Under
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Grindavik, so a minus line means Grindavik give that many goals of a start and Keflavik receive them. At -1, Grindavik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Grindavik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Grindavik)Actual: Keflavik
Grindavik -2
4.3%
Draw -2
10.0%
Keflavik +2
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Grindavik)Actual: Keflavik
Grindavik -1
14.3%
Draw -1
20.6%
Keflavik +1
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Grindavik)Actual: Grindavik
Grindavik +1
67.9%
Draw +1
19.5%
Keflavik -1
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Grindavik)Actual: Grindavik
Grindavik +2
87.4%
Draw +2
9.0%
Keflavik -2
3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Grindavik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.40
0.75
1.83
0.61
1.11
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.62
1.50
0.70
1.80
0.57
1.29
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
20% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keflavik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.07
1.19
0.94
1.00
1.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.08
1.20
1.08
1.08
1.08
1.33
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.40
1.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Grindavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Grindavik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.17
0.92
1.08
1.11
1.22
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
1.21
0.80
1.10
1.07
1.29
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keflavik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.77
1.88
0.62
1.07
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.28
0.84
1.46
0.62
1.08
1.08
vs Weaker (5)
2.60
0.40
3.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Grindavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Grindavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grindavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Iceland: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: 1. Deild stats & trends →
Iceland: Úrvalsdeild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Iceland: Úrvalsdeild stats & trends →