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Guimaraes vs Estrela Result & Analysis

Date: 21/01/2024
Time: 20:30
Final 3-0
Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Vs
51%
26%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guimaraes win✓ Hit
51.4%
Avg Implied 59.1% · @ 1.60
Edge
-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.93
Edge
+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Estrela win✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied 16.8% · @ 5.63
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W50W01L12L21W32W11D10W11D21WA·FAM08/10H·CHA28/10A·MOR05/11H·FC 11/11A·FAR02/12H·SPO09/12A·BOA16/12H·RIO23/12A·SC 06/01H·ARO15/01
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.331.601.001.201.67
vs Stronger (7)0.862.711.332.000.503.25
vs Similar (9)1.441.001.000.501.801.40
vs Weaker (14)1.640.862.000.881.170.83
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W23L01L11D31W00D14L11D11DA·CAS08/10H·FAM29/10A·SPO05/11H·MOR11/11A·RIO02/12H·BOA10/12A·FAR15/12H·ARO28/12H·VIZ06/01A·GIL14/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.331.271.471.401.20
vs Stronger (6)0.831.830.751.501.002.50
vs Similar (20)1.351.301.401.601.301.00
vs Weaker (4)2.000.752.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.5%
Under 1.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.3%
@ 1.93+3.2%
Under 2.5
47.7%
@ 1.86-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
Guimaraes goals ↓
Estrela goals →
01234
07.4%5.5%3.5%1.2%0.3%
19.6%13%6.0%2.1%0.6%
29.2%9.7%5.1%1.8%0.5%
35.2%5.5%2.9%1.0%0.3%
42.2%2.4%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Guimaraes goals (down), columns = Estrela goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
AVS
3.00
Sporting CP
2.65
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.12
SC Braga
2.00
Guimaraes
1.85
Moreirense
1.62
Arouca
1.35
Famalicao
1.24
Casa Pia
1.12
Farense
1.09
Rio Ave
1.09
GIL Vicente
1.06
Estoril
0.97
Estrela
0.97
Boavista
0.94
Portimonense
0.89
Vizela
0.76
Chaves
0.68
Guimaraes is 0.88 points better than Estrela in terms of average points per game (1.85 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.82
Benfica
2.26
SC Braga
2.09
AVS
2.00
FC Porto
1.85
Arouca
1.59
Guimaraes
1.53
Estoril
1.44
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.24
Boavista
1.15
Portimonense
1.14
Casa Pia
1.12
Rio Ave
1.12
Famalicao
1.09
Vizela
1.06
Moreirense
1.06
Estrela
0.97
Chaves
0.91
Guimaraes is 0.56 goals better than Estrela in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.79
Benfica
0.82
Sporting CP
0.85
AVS
1.00
Moreirense
1.03
Guimaraes
1.12
Famalicao
1.21
Rio Ave
1.26
Casa Pia
1.47
SC Braga
1.47
Arouca
1.47
Farense
1.50
GIL Vicente
1.53
Estrela
1.56
Estoril
1.71
Boavista
1.82
Vizela
1.94
Portimonense
2.11
Chaves
2.12
Guimaraes is 0.44 goals better than Estrela in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Porto
64%
Benfica
59%
Sporting CP
59%
SC Braga
57%
Arouca
54%
Vizela
50%
GIL Vicente
49%
Rio Ave
49%
Estoril
49%
Guimaraes
48%
Boavista
48%
Famalicao
47%
Estrela
47%
Moreirense
46%
Portimonense
46%
Casa Pia
44%
Chaves
43%
Farense
42%
AVS
35%
Guimaraes is 1.5 percentage points better than Estrela in terms of average possession (48% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

GuimaraesGuimaraes

For 6.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.7

🚩 Corners

16010165488716711061244331111111215781616714H·AROA·SC H·RIOA·BOAH·SPOA·FARH·FC A·MORH·CHAA·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

80324326323433214343278576347H·AROA·SC H·RIOA·BOAH·SPOA·FARH·FC A·MORH·CHAA·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 11.4 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

35087771318917156141219161110166201515143126212635212235H·AROA·SC H·RIOA·BOAH·SPOA·FARH·FC A·MORH·CHAA·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstrelaEstrela

For 3.7 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

15057643596247251632631210815677759A·GILH·VIZH·AROA·FARH·BOAA·RIOH·MORA·SPOH·FAMA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

100421131242143711341161436510272A·GILH·VIZH·AROA·FARH·BOAA·RIOH·MORA·SPOH·FAMA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.0

⚠️ Fouls

3901014141361281118111314221758181281624271819292739133024A·GILH·VIZH·AROA·FARH·BOAA·RIOH·MORA·SPOH·FAMA·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

GuimaraesGuimaraes

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)12.211.413.12.22.42.126.226.825.4
vs Stronger (12)11.811.512.01.71.81.523.228.018.5
vs Similar (14)13.513.313.72.73.42.029.430.328.0
vs Weaker (24)11.610.213.22.22.12.525.724.227.5
% over line79%70%89%32%35%29%78%80%75%
% under line21%30%11%68%65%71%22%20%25%
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.010.811.24.64.15.126.827.326.4
vs Stronger (6)11.312.010.05.76.54.025.229.017.5
vs Similar (36)11.210.511.84.03.14.926.125.926.2
vs Weaker (8)10.110.310.06.46.26.531.130.731.5
% over line64%58%70%64%62%67%79%79%80%
% under line36%42%30%36%38%33%21%21%20%
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
AVS
13.2
Farense
11.4
Estrela
11.1
Chaves
11.0
Vizela
10.8
Benfica
10.6
Portimonense
10.5
Estoril
10.4
Guimaraes
10.4
Casa Pia
10.3
Moreirense
10.0
GIL Vicente
9.7
SC Braga
9.7
Rio Ave
9.7
Famalicao
9.6
FC Porto
9.6
Boavista
9.6
Arouca
9.6
Sporting CP
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Porto
6.7
Famalicao
6.7
Boavista
6.7
Arouca
6.6
Guimaraes
6.2
Portimonense
6.2
GIL Vicente
5.9
Estoril
5.8
Farense
5.8
Estrela
5.8
Vizela
5.8
Sporting CP
5.8
Moreirense
5.7
Chaves
5.7
AVS
5.6
Benfica
5.2
SC Braga
5.1
Rio Ave
4.8
Casa Pia
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Chaves
31.4
Famalicao
31.2
Rio Ave
30.8
Farense
29.7
Boavista
29.3
Arouca
29.2
Guimaraes
28.9
Portimonense
28.8
Vizela
28.4
Estoril
28.3
Moreirense
28.3
FC Porto
28.1
Casa Pia
27.9
GIL Vicente
27.2
Estrela
26.9
AVS
26.0
Sporting CP
24.7
SC Braga
24.1
Benfica
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.9%
Under 9.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
80.3%
Under 3.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.8%
Under 21.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W00D11D10W11D10W00D00D11DA·FAM08/10H·CHA28/10A·MOR05/11H·FC 11/11A·FAR02/12H·SPO09/12A·BOA16/12H·RIO23/12A·SC 06/01H·ARO15/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.600.330.530.80
vs Stronger (7)0.291.570.670.670.002.25
vs Similar (9)0.440.220.000.000.800.40
vs Weaker (14)0.790.290.880.380.670.17
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L00D00D00D00D10W10W01LA·CAS08/10H·FAM29/10A·SPO05/11H·MOR11/11A·RIO02/12H·BOA10/12A·FAR15/12H·ARO28/12H·VIZ06/01A·GIL14/01
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.430.530.270.470.60
vs Stronger (6)0.000.670.000.750.000.50
vs Similar (20)0.500.350.600.100.400.60
vs Weaker (4)1.250.502.000.001.000.67
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W01L01L11D21W01L10W11D10WA·FAM08/10H·CHA28/10A·MOR05/11H·FC 11/11A·FAR02/12H·SPO09/12A·BOA16/12H·RIO23/12A·SC 06/01H·ARO15/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.771.000.670.670.87
vs Stronger (7)0.571.140.671.330.501.00
vs Similar (9)1.000.781.000.501.001.00
vs Weaker (14)0.860.571.120.500.500.67
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Estrela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstrelaEstrela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W22D01L11D31W00D04L01L10WA·CAS08/10H·FAM29/10A·SPO05/11H·MOR11/11A·RIO02/12H·BOA10/12A·FAR15/12H·ARO28/12H·VIZ06/01A·GIL14/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.900.731.200.930.60
vs Stronger (6)0.831.170.750.751.002.00
vs Similar (20)0.850.950.801.500.900.40
vs Weaker (4)0.750.250.000.001.000.33
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Guimaraes) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Guimaraes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guimaraes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estrela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards91.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls89.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards80.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls78.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Guimaraes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
André Silva45%
Jota Silva33%
João Mendes23%
Tiago Silva17%
Nélson Oliveira13%
Allison Safira12%
Manuel Silva9%
Nuno Santos7%
Bruno Gaspar7%
Nelson Luz7%
Tomás Händel6%
Daniel Silva6%
Ricardo Mangas4%
Jorge Fernandes3%
Tomás Ribeiro3%
Bruno Varela0%
Mikel Villanueva0%
André André0%
Toni Borevković0%
Charles0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Afonso Freitas0%
Miguel Maga0%
Zé Carlos0%
Kaio César0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
André André50%
Nélson Oliveira33%
Tiago Silva28%
Tomás Ribeiro28%
Bruno Gaspar25%
Charles25%
Kaio César25%
Afonso Freitas23%
Manuel Silva22%
Jota Silva21%
Nuno Santos19%
Zé Carlos17%
Jorge Fernandes17%
Mikel Villanueva17%
Tomás Händel16%
João Mendes15%
André Silva14%
Bruno Varela11%
Miguel Maga9%
Toni Borevković9%
Ricardo Mangas9%
Nelson Luz7%
Daniel Silva6%
Allison Safira0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tiago Silva17%
Nélson Oliveira13%
Ricardo Mangas13%
Jota Silva12%
João Mendes12%
André André11%
Nuno Santos11%
Bruno Gaspar11%
André Silva9%
Daniel Silva6%
Jorge Fernandes3%
Tomás Ribeiro3%
Tomás Händel3%
Bruno Varela0%
Mikel Villanueva0%
Nelson Luz0%
Allison Safira0%
Toni Borevković0%
Charles0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Afonso Freitas0%
Manuel Silva0%
Miguel Maga0%
Zé Carlos0%
Kaio César0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Silva32%
Jota Silva30%
João Mendes27%
Kaio César8%
Nuno Santos7%
Tiago Silva7%
Nélson Oliveira7%
Ricardo Mangas4%
Bruno Gaspar4%
Tomás Händel3%
Bruno Varela0%
Mikel Villanueva0%
Nelson Luz0%
Allison Safira0%
André André0%
Toni Borevković0%
Charles0%
Jorge Fernandes0%
Daniel Silva0%
Tomás Ribeiro0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Afonso Freitas0%
Manuel Silva0%
Miguel Maga0%
Zé Carlos0%
Estrela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kikas23%
Léo Jabá16%
André Luiz15%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronaldo Tavares12%
Léo Cordeiro9%
Leonel Bucca7%
Ronald6%
Jean Felipe4%
Regis Ndo4%
Kialonda Gaspar4%
Miguel Lopes0%
Mansur0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Rúben Lima0%
Vitó0%
Aloisio0%
Nanú0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Shinga0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kialonda Gaspar33%
Leonel Bucca27%
Regis Ndo26%
Aloisio25%
Rodrigo Pinho25%
Ronald24%
Rúben Lima21%
Mansur20%
Johnstone Omurwa20%
Nanú17%
Nilton Varela17%
João Reis16%
Léo Cordeiro16%
Erivaldo Almeida14%
Kikas13%
Miguel Lopes12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Hevertton Santos10%
Léo Jabá10%
Ronaldo Tavares8%
Pedro Mendes8%
André Luiz7%
Pedro Sá6%
Vitó0%
António Filipe0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Jean Felipe0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Shinga0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erivaldo Almeida14%
Léo Jabá13%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronald12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Jean Felipe9%
Nanú8%
Rúben Lima7%
Mansur5%
Regis Ndo4%
Aloisio4%
Hevertton Santos3%
Kikas3%
Miguel Lopes0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Vitó0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Léo Cordeiro0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Shinga0%
Leonel Bucca0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
André Luiz0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Luiz19%
Kikas13%
Rodrigo Pinho12%
Ronaldo Tavares12%
Alioune Ndour11%
Léo Jabá10%
Leonel Bucca7%
Léo Cordeiro6%
Regis Ndo4%
Aloisio4%
Miguel Lopes0%
Mansur0%
Pedro Mendes0%
Rúben Lima0%
Vitó0%
Nanú0%
Pedro Sá0%
António Filipe0%
João Reis0%
Bruno Brígido0%
Jean Felipe0%
Ronald0%
Johnstone Omurwa0%
Nilton Varela0%
Gustavo Henrique0%
Erivaldo Almeida0%
Shinga0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Hevertton Santos0%
Diogo Fonseca0%
Wagner0%
Manuel Keliano0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
Guimaraes's squad is €26m more valuable than Estrela's (€46m vs €20m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
POR (7)
€2m
Guimaraes's attack is €16m more valuable than Estrela's (€22m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
EST (5)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
POR (5)
€1m
Guimaraes's midfield is €8m more valuable than Estrela's (€11m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
Guimaraes and Estrela have a similar defence value (both €12m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
GUI wins
0
Draws
0
EST wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Guimaraes vs Estrela · H/A from GUI
DateH/AGameScore
13/08/23AEstrela Vs GUI0-1

GuimaraesGuimaraes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/01/24HGUI Vs Arouca2-1
06/01/24ASC Braga Vs GUI1-1
23/12/23HGUI Vs Rio Ave1-0
16/12/23ABoavista Vs GUI1-1
09/12/23HGUI Vs Sporting CP3-2
02/12/23AFarense Vs GUI1-2
11/11/23HGUI Vs FC Porto1-2
05/11/23AMoreirense Vs GUI1-0
28/10/23HGUI Vs Chaves5-0
08/10/23AFamalicao Vs GUI1-3

EstrelaEstrela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/01/24AGIL Vicente Vs EST1-1
06/01/24HEST Vs Vizela1-1
28/12/23HEST Vs Arouca1-4
15/12/23AFarense Vs EST0-0
10/12/23HEST Vs Boavista3-1
02/12/23ARio Ave Vs EST1-1
11/11/23HEST Vs Moreirense0-1
05/11/23ASporting CP Vs EST3-2
29/10/23HEST Vs Famalicao1-0
08/10/23ACasa Pia Vs EST0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Guimaraes
Guimaraes
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW1.66
HomeWLWWW1.96
AwayWLWDD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals2.462.312.62
Over 1.5 %62%58%67%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored1.261.421.08
Conceded1.200.881.54
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet34%42%25%
Corners12.2111.4013.11
Cards5.896.205.56
Estrela
Estrela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDD1.58
HomeWLWLD1.65
AwayWLDDD1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%33%
AVG goals2.622.732.50
Over 1.5 %72%69%75%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.441.501.38
Conceded1.181.231.12
BTTS64%62%67%
Clean Sheet24%23%25%
Corners11.0310.7911.25
Cards5.855.586.10

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3490
85%
2.6
9629+67
3.7
91%
76%
41%
9.2
44%
5.5
76%
24.3
76%
414
146911762.80.9
59%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
7728+49
3.1
82%
62%
41%
10.5
59%
5.4
73%
23.6
71%
357
172771082.30.8
59%
3FC PortoFC Porto3472
65%
2.1
6327+36
2.6
76%
56%
24%
11.2
62%
7.1
88%
30.0
91%
467
2141051481.90.8
64%
4SC BragaSC Braga3468
62%
2.0
7150+21
3.6
82%
71%
47%
9.9
56%
5.1
73%
24.0
65%
165
4156682.11.5
57%
5GuimaraesGuimaraes3463
56%
1.9
5238+14
2.6
74%
56%
26%
11.6
71%
6.0
82%
26.8
82%
46
2211121.51.1
48%
6MoreirenseMoreirense3455
47%
1.6
3635+1
2.1
47%
35%
21%
9.4
32%
5.0
69%
27.8
85%
22
5891.11.0
46%
7AroucaArouca3446
38%
1.4
5450+4
3.1
79%
65%
35%
9.0
38%
5.7
74%
25.7
76%
28
11881.61.5
54%
8FamalicaoFamalicao3442
29%
1.2
3741-4
2.3
65%
44%
24%
9.7
44%
6.2
91%
31.6
94%
57
1620221.11.2
47%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3438
29%
1.1
3850-12
2.6
65%
47%
35%
10.1
47%
4.3
59%
26.6
79%
27
96121.11.5
44%
10FarenseFarense3437
29%
1.1
4651-5
2.9
79%
56%
35%
12.3
74%
4.7
68%
26.6
79%
8
3241.41.5
42%
11Rio AveRio Ave3437
18%
1.1
3843-5
2.4
79%
35%
21%
9.8
44%
5.8
82%
29.6
94%
37
88211.11.3
49%
12GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3436
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
74%
50%
29%
8.9
44%
4.7
69%
26.3
74%
29
118111.21.5
49%
13EstorilEstoril3433
26%
1.0
4958-9
3.1
71%
62%
47%
10.2
53%
5.6
75%
26.1
79%
42
248101.41.7
49%
14EstrelaEstrela3433
21%
1.0
3353-20
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.7
65%
4.7
68%
25.0
76%
20
63111.01.6
47%
15BoavistaBoavista3432
21%
0.9
3962-23
3.0
85%
53%
38%
9.9
47%
5.9
85%
28.8
97%
0
0001.11.8
48%
16PortimonensePortimonense3632
22%
0.9
4176-35
3.2
83%
64%
39%
11.1
67%
5.5
80%
27.2
89%
6
2131.12.1
46%
17VizelaVizela3426
15%
0.8
3666-30
3.0
71%
56%
44%
9.9
50%
5.2
82%
29.3
100%
12
5241.11.9
50%
18ChavesChaves3423
15%
0.7
3172-41
3.0
79%
62%
38%
10.2
56%
5.9
88%
28.6
97%
9
3240.92.1
43%
19AVSAVS26
100%
3.0
42+2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
12.5
50%
8.5
100%
32.0
100%
7
3232.01.0
35%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches