Guingamp vs Annecy Result & Analysis

Guingamp are tipped to win this Ligue 2 clash, with a 43% chance of triumph, 28% for a draw and 30% for an Annecy victory. The model expects 2.7 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals at 25%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.2% probability. Guingamp’s home form shows they average 1.58 goals scored and 1.67 conceded against similar opposition, while Annecy, on the road, averages 0.85 goals scored and 1.15 conceded to comparable teams. The suggested picks are: Over 19.5 fouls 95.5% (miss), Over 21.5 fouls 90.0% (miss), Over 2.5 cards 81.3% (miss), Over 23.5 fouls 81.0% (miss), Under 11.5 corners 80.7% (miss), Over 1.5 goals 77.0% (hit), Under 5.5 cards 72.2% (hit) and Under 10.5 corners 71.1% (miss).

The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, with a 43% chance, failed to deliver. Guingamp’s form had recently dipped to a draw, while Annecy was still on a winning streak, and the final score was a 0-3 away victory. The model’s call was wrong, and the result was an Away win. The model’s other selections were mixed: Over 1.5 goals hit with a 77% probability, Under 5.5 cards also hit at 72.2%, while the remaining picks - Over 19.5 fouls, Over 21.5 fouls, Over 2.5 cards, Over 23.5 fouls, Under 11.5 corners, and Under 10.5 corners - missed despite probabilities of 95.5%, 90.0%, 81.3%, 81.0%, 80.7%, and 71.1% respectively. The match confirmed that the predicted 2-goal total was unlikely, as only three goals were scored.