Gyori ETO FC return to the pitch after a draw, while Ferencvarosi TC come off a four-game winning streak. The model favours a Gyori win, with a 40% chance, a 31% chance of a draw and a 29% chance of a Ferencvarosi victory. The expected total is 2.3 goals, and the most likely total is 2, a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.5% chance.
Against a stronger opponent, Gyori average 1.0 goal scored and 0.5 conceded at home. Ferencvarosi, playing away against a weaker side, average 2.17 scored and 1.08 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.8% with a 3% edge), Under 6.5 (99.1% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8% with an 8% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.9% with a 14% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3% with a 10% edge), Under 5.5 (97.1% with a 10% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.0% with a 2% edge) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9% with a 3% edge).
Results analysis
The upset was clear: Gyori ETO FC lost 0-3 to Ferencvarosi TC, ending their recent run with a defeat. The model had picked a home win with a 40% probability, but that call was wrong. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3%), Under 5.5 (97.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.0%), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%). Ferencvarosi’s five-game winning streak continued, while Gyori’s form slipped after a loss. The final score confirmed the model’s under-goals predictions but not its favourite.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Gyori ETO FC win✗ Miss
39.6%
Avg Implied 21.7% · @ 4.24
Edge
+17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.75
Dafabet
4.50
Betano
4.50
Pinnacle
4.47
Betfair
4.40
Draw✗ Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied 23.9% · @ 3.85
Edge
+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.19
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.95
Dafabet
3.95
10Bet
3.90
Ferencvarosi TC win✓ Hit
29.5%
Avg Implied 54.4% · @ 1.69
Edge
-24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.80
SBO
1.79
Unibet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Gyori ETO FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
0.80
2.00
0.40
1.87
1.20
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.67
1.33
vs Similar (19)
2.05
0.79
2.18
0.36
1.88
1.38
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
0.67
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ferencvarosi TC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
0.90
2.07
0.50
1.88
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.75
1.12
2.50
0.50
1.00
1.75
vs Weaker (22)
2.05
0.82
1.90
0.50
2.17
1.08
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.8%
@ 1.15-13.3%
Under 1.5
32.2%
@ 4.93+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.35
Unibet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.9%
@ 1.52-21.1%
Under 2.5
60.1%
@ 2.38+21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.52
Bet365
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Unibet
2.38
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.7%
@ 2.30-20.8%
Under 3.5
80.3%
@ 1.57+20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.32
10Bet
2.30
Under
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.59
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.3%
@ 1.53-13.1%
No
52.7%
@ 2.33+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
No
William Hil
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.37
1xBet
2.34
Unibet
2.33
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%@ 7.22+8.4%
0-0
11.5%@ 14.37+8.5%
1-0
11.4%@ 14.38+8.3%
0-1
9.3%@ 8.80+4.3%
2-1
8.2%@ 12.34+4.6%
2-0
7.9%@ 23.45+6.0%
1-2
6.8%@ 7.38+0.9%
0-2
5.5%@ 8.99+0.6%
Gyori ETO FC goals ↓
Ferencvarosi TC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.3%
5.5%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
15%
6.8%
2.4%
0.6%
2
7.9%
8.2%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
3
3.3%
3.4%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Gyori ETO FC goals (down), columns = Ferencvarosi TC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Ujpest
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.50
MTK Budapest
1.50
Paks
1.33
Vasas
1.33
Budapest Honved
1.20
Nyiregyhaza
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
Gyori ETO FC is 0.50 points worse than Ferencvarosi TC in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
2.17
Ujpest
2.17
MTK Budapest
2.17
Gyori ETO FC
1.83
Vasas
1.67
Puskas Academy
1.67
Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Budapest Honved
1.60
Kisvarda FC
1.17
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83
Gyori ETO FC is 0.23 goals better than Ferencvarosi TC in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.17
Vasas
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.33
Puskas Academy
1.33
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.60
Ujpest
1.67
MTK Budapest
1.67
Nyiregyhaza
1.67
Paks
2.17
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50
Gyori ETO FC is 0.17 goals worse than Ferencvarosi TC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
58%
Debreceni VSC
55%
Gyori ETO FC
53%
Budapest Honved
52%
Ujpest
51%
Nyiregyhaza
51%
Paks
50%
MTK Budapest
50%
Zalaegerszegi TE
49%
Puskas Academy
45%
Vasas
43%
Kisvarda FC
42%
Gyori ETO FC is 4.8 percentage points worse than Ferencvarosi TC in terms of average possession (53% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Gyori ETO FC
For 3.8 · Against 6.9 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 13.6 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ferencvarosi TC
For 4.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 10.2 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Gyori ETO FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.1
9.6
2.0
2.2
1.9
24.4
25.0
23.9
vs Stronger (6)
9.5
12.5
6.5
3.3
4.7
2.0
24.2
20.0
28.5
vs Similar (37)
9.5
9.4
9.6
1.8
1.8
1.9
25.2
27.9
22.9
vs Weaker (7)
11.7
10.0
12.5
2.0
2.5
1.8
20.7
15.0
23.5
% over line
50%
50%
50%
30%
32%
28%
64%
60%
67%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
70%
68%
72%
36%
40%
33%
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ferencvarosi TC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.4
8.9
3.6
3.0
4.2
26.7
25.8
27.6
vs Stronger (1)
11.0
-
11.0
9.0
-
9.0
24.0
-
24.0
vs Similar (13)
9.8
11.0
8.4
4.5
5.0
4.0
25.6
24.2
27.4
vs Weaker (36)
9.5
10.1
9.0
3.1
2.2
4.0
27.3
26.6
27.9
% over line
51%
65%
40%
50%
44%
56%
86%
88%
85%
% under line
49%
35%
60%
50%
56%
44%
14%
12%
15%
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Nyiregyhaza
11.0
Paks
10.4
Debreceni VSC
9.9
Ujpest
9.9
Kisvarda FC
9.9
Gyori ETO FC
9.8
MTK Budapest
9.8
Puskas Academy
9.7
Budapest Honved
9.5
Ferencvarosi TC
9.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
8.9
Vasas
4.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nyiregyhaza
6.0
Paks
5.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.1
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Ujpest
5.0
Gyori ETO FC
4.9
Puskas Academy
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
MTK Budapest
4.4
Budapest Honved
4.1
Kisvarda FC
4.1
Vasas
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Nyiregyhaza
32.0
Paks
28.6
Debreceni VSC
27.8
Ferencvarosi TC
27.7
Puskas Academy
27.7
Ujpest
26.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.8
MTK Budapest
24.6
Gyori ETO FC
24.4
Kisvarda FC
24.1
Vasas
23.0
Budapest Honved
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.8%
@ 1.77-4.5%
Under 9.5
52.2%
@ 1.94+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.03
Unibet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
1.97
Betano
1.87
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
75.1%
Under 3.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.8%
Under 21.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Gyori ETO FC or Draw✗ Miss
70.5%
Avg Implied 45.1% · @ 2.05
Edge
+25.4%
40%
31%
29%
covers Gyori ETO FC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.20
William Hil
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Gyori ETO FC or Ferencvarosi TC✓ Hit
69.1%
Avg Implied 76.7% · @ 1.20
Edge
-7.7%
40%
31%
29%
covers Gyori ETO FC + Ferencvarosi TC
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Draw or Ferencvarosi TC✓ Hit
60.4%
Avg Implied 78.2% · @ 1.18
Edge
-17.7%
40%
31%
29%
covers Draw + Ferencvarosi TC
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
10Bet
1.20
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
71.2%
@ 1.36+2.8%
Under
28.8%
@ 2.93-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.08
Superbet
3.05
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Betano
2.90
Gyori ETO FC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.3%
@ 2.73+1.4%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.40-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.98
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
Under
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Gyori ETO FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.0%
@ 6.64-0.9%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.08+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Betano
6.40
Marathonbet
6.40
Under
Superbet
1.10
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Gyori ETO FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 15.83-2.3%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.01+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
15.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
64.6%
@ 1.10-19.6%
Under
35.4%
@ 5.86+19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Under
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.60
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
27.9%
@ 1.56-31.7%
Under
72.1%
@ 2.30+31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Under
Pinnacle
2.44
Betfair
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.26
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
8.8%
@ 2.72-25.2%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.40+25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.87
10Bet
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.74
Unibet
2.70
Under
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 5.43-15.0%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.12+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.85
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.20
Betano
5.10
Under
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Gyori ETO FC, so a minus line means Gyori ETO FC give that many goals of a start and Ferencvarosi TC receive them. At -1, Gyori ETO FC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Gyori ETO FC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Gyori ETO FC)Actual: Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC -2
6.2%
@ 19.00+1.3%
Draw -2
11.9%
@ 11.50+3.8%
Ferencvarosi TC +2
82.0%
@ 1.06-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
17.00
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
10.00
Away
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Handicap -1 (Gyori ETO FC)Actual: Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC -1
18.0%
@ 8.08+7.0%
Draw -1
21.5%
@ 5.80+6.2%
Ferencvarosi TC +1
60.4%
@ 1.21-13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.40
Superbet
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
5.95
Superbet
5.80
Unibet
5.75
10Bet
5.00
Away
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.14
Handicap +1 (Gyori ETO FC)Actual: Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC +1
70.5%
@ 2.05+27.0%
Draw +1
17.8%
@ 3.73-6.1%
Ferencvarosi TC -1
11.7%
@ 2.73-20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.20
Unibet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
10Bet
3.65
Away
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
2.90
10Bet
2.75
Unibet
2.63
Marathonbet
2.59
Handicap +2 (Gyori ETO FC)Actual: Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC +2
88.3%
@ 1.38+23.6%
Draw +2
8.3%
@ 4.93-9.8%
Ferencvarosi TC -2
3.4%
@ 5.16-13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.60
Away
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.75
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Gyori ETO FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.30
0.73
0.13
0.93
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.21
0.64
0.18
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.33
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
73% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ferencvarosi TC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.43
1.00
0.29
1.12
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.62
1.25
0.00
0.75
1.25
vs Weaker (22)
1.09
0.36
0.90
0.40
1.25
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.5%
@ 1.25-7.1%
Under 0.5
33.5%
@ 3.48+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.55
William Hil
3.50
Superbet
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.6%
@ 2.22-10.3%
Under 1.5
68.4%
@ 1.60+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.29
Betfair
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.22
Under
10Bet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.5%
@ 4.85-8.5%
Under 2.5
89.5%
@ 1.14+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Betano
4.90
William Hil
4.80
1xBet
4.75
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.8%
@ 2.23+4.3%
Under
54.2%
@ 1.58-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.23
Unibet
2.18
Under
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Unibet
1.58
Gyori ETO FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.9%
@ 7.32-0.7%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.06+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.60
Betano
7.30
Superbet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Under
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Gyori ETO FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 21.17-1.5%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.01+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
37.5%
@ 1.59-20.7%
Under
62.5%
@ 2.22+20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
2.27
10Bet
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Betano
2.20
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 3.78-16.3%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.22+16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.85
Superbet
3.85
10Bet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.70
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 9.42-8.7%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.04+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
10.00
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Gyori ETO FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.50
1.27
0.27
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.40
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (19)
1.26
0.58
1.55
0.18
0.88
1.12
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.33
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Ferencvarosi TC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ferencvarosi TC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.47
1.07
0.21
0.75
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.50
1.25
0.50
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (22)
0.95
0.45
1.00
0.10
0.92
0.75
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyori ETO FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.4%
@ 1.15-4.5%
Under 0.5
23.6%
@ 4.85+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betano
4.90
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
39.1%
@ 1.74-14.1%
Under 1.5
60.9%
@ 1.98+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.77
10Bet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Betano
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Under
Betano
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Unibet
1.96
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.8%
@ 3.26-11.5%
Under 2.5
83.2%
@ 1.29+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Betano
3.20
1xBet
3.14
Under
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Gyori ETO FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.7%
@ 1.87+1.2%
Under
49.3%
@ 1.83-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Under
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
Gyori ETO FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.5%
@ 5.36+0.3%
Under
82.5%
@ 1.12-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Superbet
5.10
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Gyori ETO FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 15.33-3.1%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.5%
@ 1.41-20.7%
Under
54.5%
@ 2.75+20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.43
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Under
Betano
2.82
1xBet
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Superbet
2.65
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
12.5%
@ 2.84-20.1%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.37+20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.00
10Bet
2.90
1xBet
2.80
Betano
2.75
Marathonbet
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Ferencvarosi TC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 6.90-10.6%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.07+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.40
1xBet
7.10
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
-
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.9%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
+15.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.07
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
-
+10.6%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.1%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Unibet
1.05
+10.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.8%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+15.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.8%
1.22
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
+16.3%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Betfair
1.14
+8.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
88.1%
1.06
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.0%
1.08
Superbet
1.10
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.29
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
+11.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.5%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
-
-
-
-5.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.4%
1.15
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.2%
1.35
Unibet
1.41
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.33
Betano
1.31
-
+7.1%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
71.2%
1.36
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
+2.8%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Gyori ETO FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ž. Gavrić40%
Viktor Đukanović17%
N. Urblík17%
M. Huszár17%
N. Njie17%
Leon Balogun0%
S. Petráš0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
D. Štefulj0%
Peter Agba0%
Jewison Bennette0%
M. Krpić0%
Ã. Umathum0%
A. Décsy0%
B. Bíró0%
Márton Szép0%
Bálint Selyem0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Márton Szép40%
Peter Agba33%
Jewison Bennette33%
M. Krpić33%
N. Urblík33%
B. Bíró33%
Claudiu Bumba20%
Viktor Đukanović17%
M. Huszár17%
Leon Balogun0%
S. Petráš0%
D. Štefulj0%
Ž. Gavrić0%
N. Njie0%
Ã. Umathum0%
A. Décsy0%
Bálint Selyem0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
D. Štefulj33%
Ž. Gavrić20%
Leon Balogun0%
S. Petráš0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
Peter Agba0%
Viktor Đukanović0%
Jewison Bennette0%
M. Krpić0%
N. Urblík0%
M. Huszár0%
N. Njie0%
Ã. Umathum0%
A. Décsy0%
B. Bíró0%
Márton Szép0%
Bálint Selyem0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ž. Gavrić20%
D. Štefulj17%
Viktor Đukanović17%
N. Njie17%
Leon Balogun0%
S. Petráš0%
Claudiu Bumba0%
Peter Agba0%
Jewison Bennette0%
M. Krpić0%
N. Urblík0%
M. Huszár0%
Ã. Umathum0%
A. Décsy0%
B. Bíró0%
Márton Szép0%
Bálint Selyem0%
Ferencvarosi TC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Krisztián Lisztes67%
K. Zachariassen33%
M. Gómez25%
M. Corbu25%
Yusuf Bamidele25%
C. O'Dowda0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Á. Nagy0%
Cadu0%
Z. Varga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Corbu50%
K. Zachariassen33%
C. O'Dowda33%
Cadu33%
Krisztián Lisztes33%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Á. Nagy0%
M. Gómez0%
Yusuf Bamidele0%
Z. Varga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cadu67%
Yusuf Bamidele25%
K. Zachariassen0%
C. O'Dowda0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Á. Nagy0%
M. Gómez0%
M. Corbu0%
Krisztián Lisztes0%
Z. Varga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yusuf Bamidele50%
Krisztián Lisztes33%
Z. Varga33%
M. Corbu25%
K. Zachariassen0%
C. O'Dowda0%
Dénes Dibusz0%
Á. Nagy0%
M. Gómez0%
Cadu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
Gyori ETO FC's squad is €24m less valuable than Ferencvarosi TC's (€16m vs €40m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
Gyori ETO FC's attack is €16m less valuable than Ferencvarosi TC's (€7m vs €24m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
Gyori ETO FC's midfield is €4m less valuable than Ferencvarosi TC's (€4m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
Gyori ETO FC's defence is €4m less valuable than Ferencvarosi TC's (€5m vs €9m).
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Puskas Academy
Ujpest
MTK Budapest
Vasas
Paks
Nyiregyhaza
Budapest Honved
Kisvarda FC
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE