Halifax, coming off a narrow 1-2 loss to Altrincham, will look to rebound against Hartlepool, who have struggled with a 0-1 defeat to Eastleigh after two straight losses. The model projects a high-scoring affair with an expected 3.2 goals, most likely a 3-goal total. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.6% chance. Halifax’s home form shows 1.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded against similarly matched opponents, while Hartlepool’s away record is 1.25 scored and 2.17 conceded. The model favours a Halifax win, with a 41% chance of a home victory, a 26% draw probability, and a 34% chance of a Hartlepool win. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.2% edge 5), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.5% edge 4), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.9% edge 5), Under 6.5 (95.8% edge 4), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.7% edge 5), Away under 3.5 goals (93.4% edge 3), and Home under 3.5 goals (91.3% edge 1).
Results analysis
The model’s forecast proved accurate as Halifax secured a 1-0 victory, extending their recent win streak. The pre-match favourite was a Home win, assigned a 41% probability, and the prediction was correct. The match’s total goals settled at three, matching the most likely scoreline of 1-1, though the actual score was 1-0. Every suggested selection hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.1%, Under 6.5 at 95.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.2%, Away under 3.5 goals at 93.4%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 91.3%. Halifax’s home form, with an average of 1.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded against similar opponents, helped deliver the predicted outcome.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Halifax win✓ Hit
40.6%
Avg Implied 36.7% · @ 2.50
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.57
Betano
2.57
Dafabet
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.38
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.69
Dafabet
3.45
BetVictor
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Betano
3.40
Hartlepool win✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied 36.2% · @ 2.53
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.65
Dafabet
2.60
Superbet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Pinnacle
2.57
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Halifax
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.53
1.88
1.69
1.43
1.36
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
2.33
2.00
2.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.67
1.44
1.86
1.57
1.46
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hartlepool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hartlepool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.57
1.27
1.20
1.07
1.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
1.31
1.58
1.36
1.07
1.25
2.17
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
3.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Halifax) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.4%
@ 1.23+8.0%
Under 1.5
16.6%
@ 3.77-8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Unibet
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
4.09
Bet365
4.00
BetVictor
3.90
Betfair
3.80
Marathonbet
3.72
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.2%
@ 1.77+8.5%
Under 2.5
38.8%
@ 1.97-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.84
Unibet
1.81
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.77
Under
Pinnacle
2.07
Bet365
2.05
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Betano
1.98
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.9%
@ 2.87+6.7%
Under 3.5
61.1%
@ 1.36-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.05
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.92
Betano
2.87
Under
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.0%
@ 1.62+7.1%
No
36.0%
@ 2.14-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.65
William Hil
1.65
Unibet
1.62
Betano
1.62
No
BetVictor
2.20
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.19
William Hil
2.15
Betano
2.15
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%@ 5.97+4.4%
2-1
8.8%@ 8.55+3.7%
1-2
7.9%@ 8.71+3.0%
2-2
6.6%@ 11.38+2.8%
1-0 ✓
6.0%@ 8.43+0.9%
2-0
5.8%@ 12.05+2.3%
0-1
5.3%@ 8.50+0.2%
0-0
5.3%@ 10.41+1.2%
Halifax goals ↓
Hartlepool goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
5.3%
4.8%
2.4%
0.9%
1
6.0%
12%
7.9%
4.0%
1.5%
2
5.8%
8.8%
6.6%
3.3%
1.2%
3
3.2%
4.8%
3.6%
1.8%
0.7%
4
1.3%
2.0%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Halifax goals (down), columns = Hartlepool goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Halifax is 0.04 points better than Hartlepool in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.48).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Halifax is 0.33 goals better than Hartlepool in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Halifax is 0.15 goals worse than Hartlepool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Halifax is 0.7 percentage points better than Hartlepool in terms of average possession (48% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Halifax or Draw✓ Hit
66.2%
Avg Implied 64.0% · @ 1.44
Edge
+2.2%
41%
26%
34%
covers Halifax + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.46
BetVictor
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Halifax or Hartlepool✓ Hit
74.4%
Avg Implied 72.7% · @ 1.27
Edge
+1.7%
41%
26%
34%
covers Halifax + Hartlepool
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Draw or Hartlepool✗ Miss
59.4%
Avg Implied 63.2% · @ 1.46
Edge
-3.8%
41%
26%
34%
covers Draw + Hartlepool
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Halifax over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.0%
@ 1.25+6.9%
Under
19.0%
@ 3.56-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.81
Betfair
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.56
Marathonbet
3.56
Halifax over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
49.4%
@ 2.23+7.9%
Under
50.6%
@ 1.58-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Superbet
1.57
Halifax over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.2%
@ 5.01+4.7%
Under
76.8%
@ 1.14-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
Under
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Halifax over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 12.08+0.9%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.03-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Hartlepool over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.7%
@ 1.25+3.9%
Under
22.3%
@ 3.54-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.80
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.56
Marathonbet
3.56
Bet365
3.50
Hartlepool over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.3%
@ 2.26+3.4%
Under
55.7%
@ 1.56-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Bet365
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
Hartlepool over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.2%
@ 5.09+1.0%
Under
80.8%
@ 1.13-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Hartlepool over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.6%
@ 12.08-1.3%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.03+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Halifax, so a minus line means Halifax give that many goals of a start and Hartlepool receive them. At -1, Halifax must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Halifax win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Halifax)Actual: Hartlepool
Halifax -2
8.9%
@ 10.40+0.3%
Draw -2
12.5%
@ 6.61-1.0%
Hartlepool +2
78.7%
@ 1.14+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
12.00
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
6.70
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Halifax)Actual: Draw
Halifax -1
21.3%
@ 4.76+2.9%
Draw -1
19.2%
@ 4.09-2.2%
Hartlepool +1
59.4%
@ 1.46-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.65
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Handicap +1 (Halifax)Actual: Halifax
Halifax +1
66.2%
@ 1.44+5.2%
Draw +1
17.3%
@ 4.17-3.8%
Hartlepool -1
16.5%
@ 4.91-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Unibet
1.35
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.20
Unibet
3.60
Away
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.85
Unibet
4.30
Handicap +2 (Halifax)Actual: Halifax
Halifax +2
83.5%
@ 1.13+5.0%
Draw +2
10.2%
@ 6.80-2.9%
Hartlepool -2
6.3%
@ 10.60-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.90
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.40
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Halifax
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.75
0.69
0.64
0.50
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.70
0.56
0.71
0.64
0.69
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Hartlepool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hartlepool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.47
0.27
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.62
0.50
0.21
0.58
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Halifax) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.7%
@ 1.33+1.2%
Under 0.5
29.3%
@ 3.04-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
Under
Pinnacle
3.29
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Marathonbet
3.02
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.4%
@ 2.57+3.5%
Under 1.5
60.6%
@ 1.44-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.70
Pinnacle
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.60
William Hil
2.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
10Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.46
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.9%
@ 6.44-0.5%
Under 2.5
86.1%
@ 1.08+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
6.50
1xBet
6.05
Under
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Halifax over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.9%
@ 1.98+4.3%
Under
49.1%
@ 1.73-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Halifax over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.2%
@ 6.34+1.6%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.08-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.35
Superbet
6.10
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Halifax over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 15.88-2.2%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Hartlepool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.4%
@ 2.00-5.6%
Under
59.6%
@ 1.71+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Hartlepool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 6.34-5.0%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.08+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.35
Superbet
6.10
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Hartlepool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 16.00-3.3%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
20.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Halifax
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.93
1.12
1.00
0.79
0.86
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.96
0.89
1.14
0.93
0.77
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Hartlepool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hartlepool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.00
0.80
0.93
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.96
0.86
0.86
0.67
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
2.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Halifax) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.1%
@ 1.20+3.0%
Under 0.5
19.9%
@ 4.04-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Betano
4.15
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
50.1%
@ 1.98+3.5%
Under 1.5
49.9%
@ 1.73-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.97
Under
Betano
1.80
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.6%
@ 4.05-1.2%
Under 2.5
78.4%
@ 1.20+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.15
William Hil
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
1xBet
3.95
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Halifax over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
59.7%
@ 1.70+5.3%
Under
40.3%
@ 2.03-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.68
Under
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Halifax over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.0%
@ 4.40+2.0%
Under
77.0%
@ 1.17-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
Superbet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
Halifax over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 11.25-2.5%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.03+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Hartlepool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.9%
@ 1.72-3.0%
Under
49.1%
@ 2.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Under
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Hartlepool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.4%
@ 4.47-3.2%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.16+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.60
Superbet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.50
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Hartlepool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 11.25-4.9%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.03+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.01
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.1%
1.08
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.07
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
83.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
-
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.4%
1.23
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.23
Unibet
1.23
+8.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.6%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
81.0%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
80.8%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
Betfair
1.13
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.1%
1.20
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.16
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
78.8%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
-4.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.20
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
77.7%
1.25
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
+3.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.0%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
76.8%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
-4.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.4%
1.27
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.7%
1.33
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
+1.2%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Halifax and Hartlepool have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Halifax and Hartlepool have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Halifax and Hartlepool have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Halifax and Hartlepool have a similar defence value (both €0m).
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →