Hammarby FF vs Malmo FF Result & Analysis

Hammarby FF are the clear favourites, with a 52% chance of victory, a 26% chance of a draw and a 22% chance of a Malmö FF win. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals on average, with the most likely total of 2 goals occurring 25% of the time. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which the model assigns a 12.3% probability. Hammarby, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, have been scoring an average of 2.0 goals per game while conceding only 0.75. Malmö, on the road, average 1.0 goal scored and 2.1 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 83.7%, Under 5.5 cards at 82.8%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 71.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 70.9% and Over 8.5 corners at 70.5%. All figures are presented as percentages and every selection is listed.

Hammarby FF’s recent run, ending with a defeat to AIK Stockholm, was interrupted by a convincing 4-1 victory over Malmö FF, extending their winning streak. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win at 52%, and it proved correct. The final score of 4-1 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s prediction. The suggested picks performed largely as expected: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 83.7%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 82.8%, Over 1.5 hit at 78.3%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 70.9%, and Over 8.5 corners hit at 70.5%. Only Over 2.5 cards missed, with a 71.7% probability. The model’s selections were largely accurate.