Hammarby FF vs Sirius Result & Analysis

Hammarby FF are the clear favourites to win, with a 44% chance of triumph, a 27% chance of a draw and a 29% chance of Sirius taking the win. The model expects 2.8 goals overall, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 25%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.7% probability. Hammarby, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded, while Sirius, on the road, averages 0.89 scored and 1.56 conceded. The suggested selections are: Over 19.5 fouls 82.0%, Under 5.5 cards 80.4%, Over 1.5 78.8%, Over 2.5 cards 74.3%, Under 11.5 corners 72.1%. Hammarby’s recent form shows a mixed five-game run after a defeat to AIK, and Sirius also comes off a loss to Malmö.

The pre-match favourite, Hammarby FF, failed to deliver as the match finished 2-2, a draw that surprised the model’s 44% home-win call. The model’s prediction was therefore wrong. The game’s final score matched the 2-2 outcome, confirming the actual result. The model’s selection of “Over 19.5 fouls” hit, as did “Under 5.5 cards,” “Over 1.5 goals,” “Over 2.5 cards,” and “Under 11.5 corners,” each with probabilities of 82.0%, 80.4%, 78.8%, 74.3%, and 72.1% respectively. Hammarby’s recent form, a sequence of LWWWL, left them coming off a defeat, while Sirius, with LWLLD, also entered the match after a loss. The upset underscored the volatility of the Allsvenskan.