Harrogate vs Barrow Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026

Time: 11:30

Final 2-2

Harrogate

46%

26%

28%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Barrow

England: National League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 13 Player market rates 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Harrogate are favourites to win at home against Barrow, with the match shaping up to be a closely contested affair. The home side's recent form has been impressive, with a 2-game winning streak, including a 3-1 victory over Wealdstone. However, Barrow have struggled away from home, conceding an average of 2.5 goals per match against similar opponents.

The model predicts a 46% chance of a Harrogate win, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance of a Barrow win. The expected total goals is 3.0, with the most likely total goals being 2. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 12%.

Harrogate have scored an average of 1.2 goals per match at home against similar opponents, while conceding 1.7. Barrow have scored 1.25 goals per match away from home against similar opponents, while conceding 2.5.

The model's selection is the Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 81.5%. The suggested picks also include the home win, with a probability of 46%, and the draw, with a probability of 26%.

Results analysis

The 2-2 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, Harrogate, who had been tipped to win with a 46 % chance. The model’s call was wrong, as the match finished level. Harrogate’s recent run of DWWLW, ending with a 2-2 draw, and Barrow’s DLLLL, also ending in a 2-2 tie, set the stage for a surprise. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 (98.8 %), Under 6.5 (96.5 %), Away under 3.5 goals (95.6 %), Under 5.5 (91.4 %), Home under 3.5 goals (90.5 %), Home +2 handicap (87.4 %), and Away under 2.5 goals (85.5 %). Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s result was noted.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Harrogate win✗ Miss

45.9%

Avg Implied 44.6% · @ 2.05

Edge

+1.3%

Best 5 market prices

10Bet

2.15

Superbet

2.12

Dafabet

2.10

Betano

2.10

SBO

2.06

Draw✓ Hit

25.8%

Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.49

Edge

-0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.83

Bet365

3.60

Unibet

3.55

Betano

3.55

Dafabet

3.55

Barrow win✗ Miss

28.2%

Avg Implied 29.2% · @ 3.13

Edge

-1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.32

BetVictor

3.20

William Hil

3.20

Dafabet

3.20

Betano

3.20

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Harrogate

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.2

Avg scored

1.8

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.00	1.43	0.87	1.73	1.13	1.13
vs Stronger (7)	0.29	1.86	0.00	1.75	0.67	2.00
vs Similar (23)	1.22	1.30	1.18	1.73	1.25	0.92
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	17% (-9pp vs league)

This opponent (Barrow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Barrow

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.1

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

2.2

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.97	1.97	0.71	1.50	1.19	2.38
vs Stronger (4)	0.75	1.25	0.00	1.00	1.00	1.33
vs Similar (26)	1.00	2.08	0.77	1.54	1.23	2.62
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	10% (-16pp vs league)

This opponent (Harrogate) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

81.5%

@ 1.23+6.2%

Under 1.5

18.5%

@ 3.76-6.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.26

Bet365

1.25

10Bet

1.25

Superbet

1.24

Pinnacle

1.24

Under

Pinnacle

4.02

BetVictor

3.90

Betfair

3.80

Bet365

3.75

10Bet

3.75

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

58.2%

@ 1.76+5.3%

Under 2.5

41.8%

@ 1.98-5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.80

Bet365

1.80

Pinnacle

1.78

SBO

1.78

Superbet

1.77

Under

Pinnacle

2.06

Bet365

2.00

SBO

1.98

Betano

1.98

Marathonbet

1.98

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

35.8%

@ 2.89+3.8%

Under 3.5

64.2%

@ 1.36-3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

3.00

Bet365

3.00

Pinnacle

2.96

10Bet

2.95

Unibet

2.90

Under

Pinnacle

1.40

Betano

1.39

BetVictor

1.39

10Bet

1.36

Bet365

1.36

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

60.9%

@ 1.64+4.7%

39.1%

@ 2.10-4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.70

Superbet

1.66

Betfair

1.65

Betano

1.65

10Bet

1.62

1xBet

2.15

William Hil

2.15

BetVictor

2.15

Marathonbet

2.11

Superbet

2.10

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.0%@ 6.21+5.1%

2-1

9.4%@ 7.83+3.9%

1-0

7.3%@ 7.63+1.6%

2-0

7.2%@ 9.81+2.8%

1-2

7.1%@ 9.75+2.7%

2-2 ✓

6.1%@ 11.58+2.4%

0-0

6.0%@ 10.71+1.9%

3-1

5.4%@ 13.89+2.3%

Harrogate goals ↓

	Barrow goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	5.3%	4.2%	1.8%	0.6%
1	7.3%	12%	7.1%	3.1%	1.0%
2	7.2%	9.4%	6.1%	2.7%	0.9%
3	4.1%	5.4%	3.5%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.8%	2.3%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Harrogate goals (down), columns = Barrow goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Barrow

2.18

Harrogate

2.08

Carlisle

2.04

Boreham Wood

1.90

Scunthorpe

1.77

Forest Green

1.74

Southend

1.72

Halifax

1.52

Hartlepool

1.48

Fylde

1.38

Kidderminster

1.38

Woking

1.37

Tamworth

1.35

Boston Utd

1.28

Altrincham

1.24

Wealdstone

1.22

Solihull

1.22

Yeovil

1.11

Eastleigh

1.09

Gateshead

1.09

Sutton

1.02

Aldershot

1.00

Harrogate is 0.10 points worse than Barrow in terms of average points per game (2.08 vs 2.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Barrow

2.30

Harrogate

2.20

Boreham Wood

2.00

Carlisle

1.87

Southend

1.77

Forest Green

1.74

Scunthorpe

1.69

Solihull

1.54

Halifax

1.50

Aldershot

1.50

Woking

1.50

Wealdstone

1.48

Fylde

1.45

Kidderminster

1.45

Boston Utd

1.37

Tamworth

1.37

Sutton

1.28

Eastleigh

1.24

Altrincham

1.20

Hartlepool

1.17

Gateshead

1.17

Yeovil

1.04

Harrogate is 0.10 goals worse than Barrow in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 2.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Barrow

0.92

Harrogate

0.96

Southend

1.02

Carlisle

1.11

Forest Green

1.11

Woking

1.17

Boreham Wood

1.24

Hartlepool

1.28

Scunthorpe

1.35

Altrincham

1.41

Halifax

1.43

Boston Utd

1.46

Fylde

1.46

Kidderminster

1.46

Yeovil

1.48

Tamworth

1.54

Solihull

1.57

Wealdstone

1.65

Sutton

1.72

Eastleigh

1.74

Aldershot

1.89

Gateshead

1.96

Harrogate is 0.04 goals worse than Barrow in terms of goals conceded per game (0.96 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %

Boreham Wood

58%

Wealdstone

57%

Sutton

54%

Aldershot

54%

Forest Green

53%

Southend

52%

Altrincham

52%

Gateshead

50%

Woking

50%

Scunthorpe

49%

Carlisle

49%

Solihull

48%

Halifax

48%

Hartlepool

47%

Yeovil

47%

Eastleigh

41%

Tamworth

38%

Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Harrogate or Draw✓ Hit

71.8%

Avg Implied 70.8% · @ 1.30

Edge

+1.0%

46%

26%

28%

covers Harrogate + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.37

Betfair

1.33

Bet365

1.33

Superbet

1.31

William Hil

1.30

Harrogate or Barrow✗ Miss

74.2%

Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.25

Edge

+0.2%

46%

26%

28%

covers Harrogate + Barrow

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

1.29

Superbet

1.28

Betano

1.28

William Hil

1.25

BetVictor

1.25

Draw or Barrow✓ Hit

54.1%

Avg Implied 55.2% · @ 1.67

Edge

-1.2%

46%

26%

28%

covers Draw + Barrow

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.75

William Hil

1.75

Betfair

1.73

BetVictor

1.67

Superbet

1.67

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Harrogate over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

82.0%

@ 1.19+4.5%

Under

18.0%

@ 4.11-4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.22

10Bet

1.20

Betfair

1.20

Bet365

1.20

Superbet

1.20

Under

BetVictor

4.33

1xBet

4.33

Bet365

4.33

Pinnacle

4.25

Superbet

4.10

Harrogate over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

51.1%

@ 1.97+4.2%

Under

48.9%

@ 1.75-4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.10

10Bet

2.00

Betano

2.00

Pinnacle

1.99

Superbet

1.97

Under

Pinnacle

1.82

Bet365

1.80

Marathonbet

1.78

BetVictor

1.78

1xBet

1.77

Harrogate over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

24.7%

@ 4.02+1.6%

Under

75.3%

@ 1.20-1.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

4.12

BetVictor

4.10

Superbet

4.10

Betfair

4.00

Bet365

4.00

Under

Betano

1.23

Bet365

1.22

Pinnacle

1.22

Betfair

1.20

BetVictor

1.20

Harrogate over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

9.5%

@ 9.28-0.6%

Under

90.5%

@ 1.05+0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

11.00

Betfair

9.50

Superbet

8.90

Betano

7.70

Under

Betano

1.06

Bet365

1.05

Superbet

1.04

Betfair

1.04

Barrow over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

73.0%

@ 1.33+3.8%

Under

27.0%

@ 2.99-3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.36

Betano

1.36

Superbet

1.34

Betfair

1.33

Pinnacle

1.33

Under

Pinnacle

3.15

BetVictor

3.00

Betfair

3.00

10Bet

3.00

Superbet

3.00

Barrow over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

37.6%

@ 2.62+2.3%

Under

62.4%

@ 1.43-2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.75

Pinnacle

2.75

Bet365

2.62

Superbet

2.62

Marathonbet

2.61

Under

Betano

1.45

10Bet

1.45

BetVictor

1.44

Bet365

1.44

Pinnacle

1.44

Barrow over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

14.5%

@ 6.31-0.2%

Under

85.5%

@ 1.08+0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

7.00

BetVictor

6.50

Marathonbet

6.40

1xBet

6.35

Superbet

6.10

Under

Betano

1.11

Bet365

1.10

Betfair

1.10

Superbet

1.09

BetVictor

1.08

Barrow over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

4.4%

@ 15.25-1.9%

Under

95.6%

@ 1.02+1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

19.00

Superbet

16.00

Betano

10.75

Under

Betano

1.03

Bet365

1.02

Superbet

1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Harrogate, so a minus line means Harrogate give that many goals of a start and Barrow receive them. At -1, Harrogate must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Harrogate win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Harrogate)Actual: Barrow

Harrogate -2

10.8%

@ 7.56-0.8%

Draw -2

14.3%

@ 5.64-1.4%

Barrow +2

74.9%

@ 1.21+2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

8.50

Bet365

8.00

Marathonbet

7.70

Superbet

7.60

Unibet

6.00

Draw

Bet365

6.00

Betfair

6.00

Marathonbet

5.90

Superbet

5.70

Unibet

4.60

Away

Bet365

1.25

Superbet

1.23

Marathonbet

1.21

Betfair

1.20

Unibet

1.17

Handicap -1 (Harrogate)Actual: Barrow

Harrogate -1

25.1%

@ 3.67+1.3%

Draw -1

20.8%

@ 3.68-2.8%

Barrow +1

54.1%

@ 1.66+1.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

4.00

Betfair

3.75

Superbet

3.75

Bet365

3.75

Marathonbet

3.58

Draw

Bet365

4.00

Superbet

3.80

10Bet

3.80

Betfair

3.75

Marathonbet

3.65

Away

Superbet

1.69

Betfair

1.67

Marathonbet

1.67

Bet365

1.67

10Bet

1.65

Handicap +1 (Harrogate)Actual: Harrogate

Harrogate +1

71.8%

@ 1.30+4.2%

Draw +1

15.6%

@ 4.73-2.9%

Barrow -1

12.6%

@ 6.31-1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.33

Superbet

1.33

Betfair

1.30

Marathonbet

1.27

Unibet

1.26

Draw

Betfair

5.00

Bet365

5.00

Marathonbet

4.90

Superbet

4.85

Unibet

3.90

Away

Bet365

7.00

Marathonbet

6.75

Betfair

6.50

Superbet

6.30

Unibet

5.00

Handicap +2 (Harrogate)Actual: Harrogate

Harrogate +2

87.4%

@ 1.08+2.8%

Draw +2

8.3%

@ 9.27-1.6%

Barrow -2

4.3%

@ 16.67-1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Superbet

1.09

Bet365

1.09

Betfair

1.06

Draw

Bet365

10.00

Betfair

9.50

Superbet

8.30

Away

Betfair

19.00

Bet365

17.00

Superbet

14.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Harrogate

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.50	0.53	0.33	0.53	0.67	0.53
vs Stronger (7)	0.14	1.00	0.00	1.00	0.33	1.00
vs Similar (23)	0.61	0.39	0.45	0.36	0.75	0.42
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	57% (+31pp vs league)

This opponent (Barrow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Barrow

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.2

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.43	0.77	0.14	0.50	0.69	1.00
vs Stronger (4)	0.25	0.50	0.00	0.00	0.33	0.67
vs Similar (26)	0.46	0.81	0.15	0.54	0.77	1.08
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	40% (+14pp vs league)

This opponent (Harrogate) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.39

BetVictor

1.35

Superbet

1.34

Bet365

1.33

Pinnacle

1.33

Under

Pinnacle

3.29

Bet365

3.25

William Hil

3.20

Betfair

3.20

10Bet

3.10

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.70

Pinnacle

2.66

Bet365

2.62

Betfair

2.60

Superbet

2.57

Under

10Bet

1.48

Pinnacle

1.47

BetVictor

1.46

Betano

1.45

Superbet

1.45

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

7.00

Betfair

7.00

Bet365

7.00

Marathonbet

6.05

1xBet

6.05

Under

Betano

1.11

William Hil

1.10

Superbet

1.10

Bet365

1.10

BetVictor

1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Harrogate over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.90

Superbet

1.85

Pinnacle

1.83

Marathonbet

1.80

1xBet

1.80

Under

Pinnacle

1.95

1xBet

1.86

Marathonbet

1.86

Betano

1.85

Superbet

1.85

Harrogate over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.35

Marathonbet

5.30

Superbet

5.15

Betano

5.10

Under

Betano

1.15

Superbet

1.13

1xBet

1.10

Marathonbet

1.10

Harrogate over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

16.00

Betano

11.00

Under

Betano

1.02

Superbet

1.01

Barrow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.28

Betano

2.25

Superbet

2.20

Marathonbet

2.17

1xBet

2.15

Under

Pinnacle

1.61

Betano

1.60

Superbet

1.60

1xBet

1.59

Marathonbet

1.58

Barrow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

7.70

1xBet

7.70

Superbet

7.10

Betano

6.80

Under

Betano

1.08

Superbet

1.06

Marathonbet

1.04

1xBet

1.04

Barrow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

26.00

Betano

12.50

Under

Betano

1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Harrogate

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.9

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.50	0.90	0.53	1.20	0.47	0.60
vs Stronger (7)	0.14	0.86	0.00	0.75	0.33	1.00
vs Similar (23)	0.61	0.91	0.73	1.36	0.50	0.50
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	33% (+7pp vs league)

This opponent (Barrow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Barrow

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.1

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.53	1.20	0.57	1.00	0.50	1.38
vs Stronger (4)	0.50	0.75	0.00	1.00	0.67	0.67
vs Similar (26)	0.54	1.27	0.62	1.00	0.46	1.54
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	23% (-3pp vs league)

This opponent (Harrogate) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Harrogate over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Harrogate over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Harrogate over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Barrow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Barrow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Barrow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	98.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	96.5%	1.01	Betano 1.02	1xBet 1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	+1.1%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	95.6%	1.02	Betano 1.03	Bet365 1.02	Superbet 1.01	-	-	+1.9%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	91.4%	1.03	Betano 1.05	Bet365 1.04	1xBet 1.04	Superbet 1.03	Betfair 1.01	+0.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	90.5%	1.05	Betano 1.06	Bet365 1.05	Superbet 1.04	Betfair 1.04	-	+0.6%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards	89.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home +2 handicap	87.4%	1.08	Superbet 1.09	Bet365 1.09	Betfair 1.06	-	-	+2.8%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	85.5%	1.08	Betano 1.11	Bet365 1.10	Betfair 1.10	Superbet 1.09	BetVictor 1.08	+0.2%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	82.0%	1.19	Betano 1.22	10Bet 1.20	Betfair 1.20	Bet365 1.20	Superbet 1.20	+4.5%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	81.5%	1.23	Betano 1.26	Bet365 1.25	10Bet 1.25	Superbet 1.24	Pinnacle 1.24	+6.2%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	81.1%	1.12	Pinnacle 1.15	Betano 1.15	Bet365 1.12	Superbet 1.12	Betfair 1.11	-1.7%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards	77.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home under 2.5 goals	75.3%	1.20	Betano 1.23	Bet365 1.22	Pinnacle 1.22	Betfair 1.20	BetVictor 1.20	-1.6%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	74.9%	1.21	Bet365 1.25	Superbet 1.23	Marathonbet 1.21	Betfair 1.20	Unibet 1.17	+2.2%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	74.2%	1.25	Betfair 1.29	Superbet 1.28	Betano 1.28	William Hil 1.25	BetVictor 1.25	+0.2%	✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls	74.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Under 25.5 fouls	73.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Away over 0.5 goals	73.0%	1.33	Bet365 1.36	Betano 1.36	Superbet 1.34	Betfair 1.33	Pinnacle 1.33	+3.8%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	71.8%	1.30	Betano 1.37	Betfair 1.33	Bet365 1.33	Superbet 1.31	William Hil 1.30	+1.0%	✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap	71.8%	1.30	Bet365 1.33	Superbet 1.33	Betfair 1.30	Marathonbet 1.27	Unibet 1.26	+4.2%	✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners	71.5%	1.39	1xBet 1.40	Betano 1.40	Marathonbet 1.38	-	-	+5.8%	-

🎽 13. Player market rates

Harrogate · 2025/26

Anytime goalscorer

Matches in which the player scored

Aiden Marsh25%

Tobias Brenan19%

Stephen Duke-McKenna17%

Jack Muldoon17%

Tom Cursons15%

Ellis Taylor14%

Conor McAleny14%

Emmerson Sutton11%

Shawn McCoulsky8%

Bryn Morris7%

Chanse Headman6%

Cathal Heffernan5%

Jack Evans5%

Reece Smith4%

Warren Burrell4%

Jacob Slater3%

James Belshaw0%

Josh Falkingham0%

George Thomson0%

Kyle Jameson0%

Mason Bennett0%

Ben Fox0%

Liam Gibson0%

Mark Oxley0%

Emile Acquah0%

Levi Sutton0%

Anthony O'Connor0%

Lewis Cass0%

Tom Bradbury0%

Thomas Hill0%

Zico Asare0%

Bobby Faulkner0%

Henry Gray0%

To be booked (yellow)

Matches in which the player was booked

Thomas Hill44%

Chanse Headman38%

Josh Falkingham33%

Anthony O'Connor27%

Tobias Brenan25%

Jack Evans23%

Kyle Jameson20%

Ben Fox19%

Bryn Morris19%

Jack Muldoon13%

Levi Sutton13%

Shawn McCoulsky12%

Warren Burrell12%

Tom Bradbury11%

Henry Gray11%

Ellis Taylor10%

Mason Bennett9%

Tom Cursons8%

George Thomson7%

Stephen Duke-McKenna7%

Zico Asare7%

Jacob Slater6%

Liam Gibson6%

Emile Acquah5%

Cathal Heffernan5%

Conor McAleny5%

Bobby Faulkner5%

Lewis Cass4%

Reece Smith2%

James Belshaw0%

Mark Oxley0%

Aiden Marsh0%

Emmerson Sutton0%

Anytime assist

Matches in which the player assisted

Thomas Hill22%

Liam Gibson17%

Mark Oxley11%

Reece Smith11%

Jack Evans9%

Shawn McCoulsky8%

Levi Sutton7%

Ben Fox6%

Tobias Brenan6%

Bryn Morris5%

Warren Burrell4%

Anthony O'Connor4%

Lewis Cass4%

Stephen Duke-McKenna3%

Ellis Taylor3%

Jack Muldoon3%

Jacob Slater3%

James Belshaw0%

Josh Falkingham0%

George Thomson0%

Kyle Jameson0%

Mason Bennett0%

Emile Acquah0%

Conor McAleny0%

Tom Bradbury0%

Zico Asare0%

Aiden Marsh0%

Cathal Heffernan0%

Bobby Faulkner0%

Henry Gray0%

Emmerson Sutton0%

Tom Cursons0%

Chanse Headman0%

Over 2.5 shots

Matches with 3+ shots taken

Aiden Marsh25%

Shawn McCoulsky12%

Ellis Taylor10%

Emile Acquah10%

Bryn Morris9%

Conor McAleny9%

Stephen Duke-McKenna7%

Jack Muldoon7%

Tobias Brenan6%

Anthony O'Connor4%

Reece Smith2%

James Belshaw0%

Warren Burrell0%

Josh Falkingham0%

George Thomson0%

Kyle Jameson0%

Mason Bennett0%

Ben Fox0%

Liam Gibson0%

Mark Oxley0%

Levi Sutton0%

Lewis Cass0%

Tom Bradbury0%

Thomas Hill0%

Zico Asare0%

Jack Evans0%

Cathal Heffernan0%

Bobby Faulkner0%

Henry Gray0%

Jacob Slater0%

Emmerson Sutton0%

Tom Cursons0%

Chanse Headman0%

Barrow · 2025/26

Anytime goalscorer

Matches in which the player scored

Josh Gordon26%

Isaac Fletcher23%

Danny Rose19%

Charlie McCann15%

Lewis Shipley12%

Ben Whitfield11%

Tyler Walker9%

Jovan Malcolm8%

Niall Canavan7%

Rekeem Harper6%

Scott Smith3%

Jack Earing3%

Charlie Raglan3%

Connor Mahoney3%

Elliot Newby2%

Ben Jackson2%

Sam Foley0%

David Worrall0%

Kane Hemmings0%

Regan Booty0%

Angus MacDonald0%

Tom Barkhuizen0%

MJ Williams0%

Innes Cameron0%

Benjamin Winterbottom0%

Joseph Anderson0%

Jack Thompson0%

Brandon Powell0%

Wyll Stanway0%

Michael Adu-Poku0%

Freddie Anderson0%

To be booked (yellow)

Matches in which the player was booked

Freddie Anderson50%

Scott Smith33%

Josh Gordon32%

Jack Thompson30%

Niall Canavan21%

Joseph Anderson21%

Danny Rose19%

Regan Booty18%

Charlie McCann18%

MJ Williams16%

Angus MacDonald15%

Rekeem Harper15%

Kane Hemmings14%

Isaac Fletcher13%

Lewis Shipley12%

Charlie Raglan11%

Elliot Newby10%

Ben Jackson9%

Tom Barkhuizen9%

Wyll Stanway7%

Tyler Walker5%

Ben Whitfield4%

Connor Mahoney3%

Sam Foley0%

David Worrall0%

Jack Earing0%

Innes Cameron0%

Benjamin Winterbottom0%

Jovan Malcolm0%

Brandon Powell0%

Michael Adu-Poku0%

Anytime assist

Matches in which the player assisted

Ben Whitfield11%

Tom Barkhuizen9%

Angus MacDonald8%

Kane Hemmings7%

Niall Canavan7%

Joseph Anderson7%

Jack Earing6%

Isaac Fletcher6%

Connor Mahoney5%

Elliot Newby5%

Danny Rose5%

MJ Williams4%

Rekeem Harper3%

Charlie McCann3%

Charlie Raglan3%

Tyler Walker0%

Sam Foley0%

David Worrall0%

Regan Booty0%

Josh Gordon0%

Innes Cameron0%

Ben Jackson0%

Benjamin Winterbottom0%

Scott Smith0%

Jovan Malcolm0%

Lewis Shipley0%

Jack Thompson0%

Brandon Powell0%

Wyll Stanway0%

Michael Adu-Poku0%

Freddie Anderson0%

Over 2.5 shots

Matches with 3+ shots taken

Freddie Anderson25%

Josh Gordon16%

Isaac Fletcher10%

Charlie McCann9%

Danny Rose5%

MJ Williams4%

Scott Smith3%

Rekeem Harper3%

Charlie Raglan3%

Connor Mahoney3%

Tyler Walker0%

Sam Foley0%

Ben Whitfield0%

David Worrall0%

Kane Hemmings0%

Regan Booty0%

Angus MacDonald0%

Tom Barkhuizen0%

Jack Earing0%

Niall Canavan0%

Elliot Newby0%

Innes Cameron0%

Ben Jackson0%

Benjamin Winterbottom0%

Joseph Anderson0%

Jovan Malcolm0%

Lewis Shipley0%

Jack Thompson0%

Brandon Powell0%

Wyll Stanway0%

Michael Adu-Poku0%

Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (11)

€2m

HAR (14)

€1m

FG (4)

€1m

BU (6)

€1m

EAS (5)

€1m

SOU (3)

€1m

HAR (6)

€1m

SOL (3)

€0m

ALT (5)

€0m

ALD (4)

€0m

WOK (3)

€0m

YEO (3)

€0m

SCU (2)

€0m

TAM (4)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

WEA (2)

€0m

HAL (2)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

Harrogate and Barrow have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (3)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

ALD (3)

€0m

HAR (4)

€0m

ALT (3)

€0m

SOL (2)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

SCU (1)

€0m

GAT (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

BU (1)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

WOK (1)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

SOU (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

WEA (0)

€0m

Harrogate and Barrow have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (5)

€1m

HAR (4)

€1m

SOU (2)

€0m

BU (2)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

TAM (2)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

EAS (1)

€0m

SUT (1)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

SCU (0)

€0m

FG (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

ALD (0)

€0m

SOL (0)

€0m

HAL (0)

€0m

WOK (0)

€0m

Harrogate and Barrow have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

BAR (3)

€1m

HAR (6)

€0m

BU (3)

€0m

EAS (3)

€0m

FG (2)

€0m

WOK (2)

€0m

CAR (1)

€0m

SOL (1)

€0m

SOU (1)

€0m

SCU (1)

€0m

YEO (1)

€0m

HAR (2)

€0m

WEA (1)

€0m

HAL (1)

€0m

ALD (1)

€0m

ALT (1)

€0m

GAT (0)

€0m

TAM (0)

€0m

SUT (0)

€0m

Harrogate and Barrow have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

HAR wins

Draws

BAR wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Harrogate vs Barrow · H/A from HAR

Date	H/A	Game	Score
17/02/26	A	Barrow Vs HAR	0-1
19/08/25	H	HAR Vs Barrow	1-0
04/01/25	A	Barrow Vs HAR	0-2
31/08/24	H	HAR Vs Barrow	0-1
16/03/24	A	Barrow Vs HAR	0-0
02/09/23	H	HAR Vs Barrow	0-1
18/03/23	H	HAR Vs Barrow	1-0
20/08/22	A	Barrow Vs HAR	1-0

Harrogate

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
15/08/26	A	Wealdstone Vs HAR	1-3
08/08/26	H	HAR Vs Solihull	5-2
02/05/26	H	HAR Vs Barnet	1-2
25/04/26	A	Walsall Vs HAR	0-2
18/04/26	H	HAR Vs Colchester	1-0
11/04/26	A	Newport County Vs HAR	2-1
06/04/26	H	HAR Vs Bristol Rvs	2-3
03/04/26	A	Grimsby Vs HAR	1-3
28/03/26	H	HAR Vs Notts County	0-2
21/03/26	A	Oldham Vs HAR	1-0

Barrow

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
08/08/26	A	Hartlepool Vs BAR	2-0
02/05/26	H	BAR Vs Newport County	1-2
25/04/26	A	Cambridge Vs BAR	3-0
18/04/26	H	BAR Vs Walsall	1-3
14/04/26	H	BAR Vs Oldham	3-2
11/04/26	A	Barnet Vs BAR	3-2
06/04/26	H	BAR Vs Chesterfield	0-1
03/04/26	A	Milton Keynes Dons Vs BAR	0-0
28/03/26	H	BAR Vs Bromley	2-1
21/03/26	A	Grimsby Vs BAR	5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Harrogate

England: National League

Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWLWW	0.90
Home	LLWLW	0.72
Away	LWLWW	1.08

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	24%	20%	28%
AVG goals	2.54	2.60	2.48
Over 1.5 %	72%	72%	72%
Over 2.5 %	42%	48%	36%
Over 3.5 %	24%	20%	28%
Scored	1.00	0.88	1.12
Conceded	1.54	1.72	1.36
BTTS	48%	40%	56%
Clean Sheet	18%	16%	20%
Corners	10.38	10.00	10.78
Cards	3.06	2.96	3.17

Barrow

England: National League

Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLLLL	0.80
Home	WLWLL	0.79
Away	LDLLL	0.81

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	21%	19%
AVG goals	2.64	2.21	3.04
Over 1.5 %	72%	58%	85%
Over 2.5 %	60%	46%	73%
Over 3.5 %	32%	21%	42%
Scored	0.98	0.75	1.19
Conceded	1.66	1.46	1.85
BTTS	54%	42%	65%
Clean Sheet	16%	17%	15%
Corners	9.98	9.96	10.00
Cards	3.23	3.33	3.13

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Sutton	5	12	80%	2.4	7	3	+4	2.0	60%	40%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	0.6	54%
2	Yeovil	5	11	60%	2.2	10	5	+5	3.0	100%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.0	47%
3	Boreham Wood	4	10	75%	2.5	11	5	+6	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.8	1.2	58%
4	Harrogate	5	10	60%	2.0	13	9	+4	4.4	100%	100%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	1	0	2.6	1.8	-
5	F Fylde	5	10	60%	2.0	11	7	+4	3.6	100%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.4	-
6	Southend	5	10	60%	2.0	9	6	+3	3.0	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.8	1.2	52%
7	Eastleigh	5	10	60%	2.0	7	5	+2	2.4	60%	40%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.4	1.0	41%
8	K Kidderminster	4	8	50%	2.0	6	3	+3	2.2	75%	25%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	0.8	-
9	Aldershot	5	8	40%	1.6	6	4	+2	2.0	60%	20%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	0.8	54%
10	Boston Utd	4	6	50%	1.5	4	3	+1	1.8	50%	25%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	0.8	-
11	Halifax	5	6	40%	1.2	9	9	+0	3.6	80%	80%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.8	48%
12	Hartlepool	5	6	40%	1.2	4	4	+0	1.6	40%	20%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	0.8	0.8	47%
13	Altrincham	5	6	40%	1.2	5	7	-2	2.4	60%	60%	20%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.4	52%
14	Carlisle	3	5	33%	1.7	6	4	+2	3.3	100%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.3	49%
15	Wealdstone	4	5	25%	1.2	6	6	+0	3.0	100%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.5	57%
16	Scunthorpe	5	4	20%	0.8	8	10	-2	3.6	80%	60%	60%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	2.0	49%
17	Woking	4	4	25%	1.0	4	8	-4	3.0	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	2.0	50%
18	Gateshead	5	3	20%	0.6	4	8	-4	2.4	80%	60%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	1.6	50%
19	Forest Green	4	3	25%	0.8	4	9	-5	3.2	100%	75%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	1.0	2.2	53%
20	Barrow	4	2	0%	0.5	4	7	-3	2.8	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	1	1	1.0	1.8	-
21	Tamworth	4	1	0%	0.2	7	12	-5	4.8	100%	100%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	3.0	38%
22	Solihull	5	0	0%	0.0	5	16	-11	4.2	100%	80%	80%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	3.2	48%

England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →

← all matches

Harrogate vs Barrow Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Harrogate

Barrow

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Harrogate

Barrow

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Harrogate

Barrow

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

🎽 13. Player market rates

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Harrogate

Barrow

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature