Hartlepool are tipped to edge Eastleigh in a tightly contested National League fixture, with the model picking a home win. The match is expected to see 2.5 goals on average, and the most probable final score is 1-1, a 13.4 % chance. Hartlepool’s home form shows they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.08 conceded against similar opposition, while Eastleigh, playing away, averages 1.23 scored and 1.92 conceded to similar teams. The probabilities of the three outcomes are 50 % for a home win, 28 % for a draw and 22 % for an away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Under 6.5 (98.7 % with a 4 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (98.5 % with a 3 % edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.9 % with a 6 % edge), Under 5.5 (96.0 % with a 6 % edge), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.3 % with a 7 % edge). Hartlepool are coming off a defeat to Sutton, while Eastleigh return after a win over Scunthorpe.
Results analysis
The upset came as Hartlepool, the pre-match favourite with a 50% chance of victory, slipped to a 0-1 defeat, a result that left the model’s call wrong. The match finished with an away win, extending Eastleigh’s two-game winning run. The model had predicted a home win with a 50% probability, but the outcome was the opposite. All of the model’s suggested picks were settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.9%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.7%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.0%, Under 5.5 hit at 96.0%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.5%. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the unexpected outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Hartlepool win✗ Miss
50.1%
Avg Implied 53.0% · @ 1.73
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.86
SBO
1.82
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.77
Unibet
1.77
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.59
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.90
Pinnacle
3.84
Marathonbet
3.78
Betano
3.65
Superbet
3.65
Eastleigh win✓ Hit
21.8%
Avg Implied 21.4% · @ 4.28
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.15
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.40
BetVictor
4.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Hartlepool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.53
1.36
1.21
1.12
1.81
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.54
1.46
1.08
1.31
2.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
1.00
0.00
3.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eastleigh
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.93
1.50
2.00
1.14
1.86
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.36
1.96
1.47
2.00
1.23
1.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Hartlepool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.7%
@ 1.23-3.3%
Under 1.5
28.3%
@ 3.70+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Under
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.99
Marathonbet
3.70
BetVictor
3.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.6%
@ 1.78-7.7%
Under 2.5
55.4%
@ 1.96+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.89
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
BetVictor
1.79
Under
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
2.00
Betano
1.95
Betfair
1.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.4%
@ 2.90-8.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
@ 1.36+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
1xBet
2.92
Pinnacle
2.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.7%
@ 1.71-5.1%
No
51.3%
@ 1.99+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
No
Betfair
2.10
William Hil
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.42+6.6%
1-0
11.8%@ 6.68+5.3%
2-0
10.0%@ 7.86+4.5%
0-0
9.7%@ 10.16+5.5%
2-1
9.3%@ 7.22+3.3%
0-1 ✓
6.7%@ 11.21+2.9%
1-2
5.7%@ 12.50+2.2%
3-0
5.1%@ 12.71+1.7%
Hartlepool goals ↓
Eastleigh goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
6.7%
3.7%
1.1%
0.3%
1
12%
13%
5.7%
1.8%
0.4%
2
10.0%
9.3%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
3
5.1%
4.7%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.9%
1.8%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hartlepool goals (down), columns = Eastleigh goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barrow
2.18
Harrogate
2.08
Carlisle
2.04
Boreham Wood
1.90
Scunthorpe
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Southend
1.72
Halifax
1.52
Hartlepool
1.48
Fylde
1.38
Kidderminster
1.38
Woking
1.37
Tamworth
1.35
Boston Utd
1.28
Altrincham
1.24
Wealdstone
1.22
Solihull
1.22
Yeovil
1.11
Eastleigh
1.09
Gateshead
1.09
Sutton
1.02
Aldershot
1.00
Hartlepool is 0.39 points better than Eastleigh in terms of average points per game (1.48 vs 1.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barrow
2.30
Harrogate
2.20
Boreham Wood
2.00
Carlisle
1.87
Southend
1.77
Forest Green
1.74
Scunthorpe
1.69
Solihull
1.54
Halifax
1.50
Aldershot
1.50
Woking
1.50
Wealdstone
1.48
Fylde
1.45
Kidderminster
1.45
Boston Utd
1.37
Tamworth
1.37
Sutton
1.28
Eastleigh
1.24
Altrincham
1.20
Hartlepool
1.17
Gateshead
1.17
Yeovil
1.04
Hartlepool is 0.07 goals worse than Eastleigh in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Barrow
0.92
Harrogate
0.96
Southend
1.02
Carlisle
1.11
Forest Green
1.11
Woking
1.17
Boreham Wood
1.24
Hartlepool
1.28
Scunthorpe
1.35
Altrincham
1.41
Halifax
1.43
Boston Utd
1.46
Fylde
1.46
Kidderminster
1.46
Yeovil
1.48
Tamworth
1.54
Solihull
1.57
Wealdstone
1.65
Sutton
1.72
Eastleigh
1.74
Aldershot
1.89
Gateshead
1.96
Hartlepool is 0.46 goals better than Eastleigh in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.74).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Boreham Wood
58%
Wealdstone
57%
Sutton
54%
Aldershot
54%
Forest Green
53%
Southend
52%
Altrincham
52%
Gateshead
50%
Woking
50%
Scunthorpe
49%
Carlisle
49%
Solihull
48%
Halifax
48%
Hartlepool
47%
Yeovil
47%
Eastleigh
41%
Tamworth
38%
Hartlepool is 5.9 percentage points better than Eastleigh in terms of average possession (47% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hartlepool or Draw✗ Miss
78.2%
Avg Implied 78.5% · @ 1.17
Edge
-0.3%
50%
28%
22%
covers Hartlepool + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Hartlepool or Eastleigh✓ Hit
71.8%
Avg Implied 75.1% · @ 1.23
Edge
-3.2%
50%
28%
22%
covers Hartlepool + Eastleigh
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Draw or Eastleigh✓ Hit
49.9%
Avg Implied 46.4% · @ 1.98
Edge
+3.5%
50%
28%
22%
covers Draw + Eastleigh
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hartlepool over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
78.4%
@ 1.15-2.1%
Under
21.6%
@ 4.75+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.75
Superbet
4.65
Hartlepool over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.2%
@ 1.75-7.5%
Under
54.8%
@ 1.96+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Betano
1.78
BetVictor
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Under
Pinnacle
2.14
Marathonbet
2.06
Betfair
2.00
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Hartlepool over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.9%
@ 3.36-7.7%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.28+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.34
Under
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Hartlepool over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 7.40-5.7%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.07+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.10
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Eastleigh over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.6%
@ 1.47-2.5%
Under
39.4%
@ 2.51+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.52
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Under
Betfair
2.75
Superbet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.54
Bet365
2.50
Eastleigh over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
23.9%
@ 3.31-4.1%
Under
76.1%
@ 1.29+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.65
BetVictor
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.26
Under
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Eastleigh over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 8.48-4.1%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.04+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.50
1xBet
8.30
Superbet
8.00
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Eastleigh over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 21.17-3.0%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hartlepool, so a minus line means Hartlepool give that many goals of a start and Eastleigh receive them. At -1, Hartlepool must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hartlepool win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hartlepool)Actual: Eastleigh
Hartlepool -2
10.8%
@ 5.72-4.6%
Draw -2
15.7%
@ 4.71-3.0%
Eastleigh +2
73.6%
@ 1.33+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Superbet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.05
Unibet
4.80
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.70
Unibet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.26
Handicap -1 (Hartlepool)Actual: Eastleigh
Hartlepool -1
26.4%
@ 2.85-4.3%
Draw -1
23.6%
@ 3.45-1.7%
Eastleigh +1
49.9%
@ 1.99+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.65
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.42
Away
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
Superbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
1.91
Handicap +1 (Hartlepool)Actual: Draw
Hartlepool +1
78.2%
@ 1.18+3.4%
Draw +1
13.9%
@ 5.67-1.6%
Eastleigh -1
7.8%
@ 9.06-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.75
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
8.60
Marathonbet
6.65
Handicap +2 (Hartlepool)Actual: Hartlepool
Hartlepool +2
92.2%
@ 1.04+2.5%
Draw +2
5.8%
@ 13.33-1.2%
Eastleigh -2
2.0%
@ 27.33-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Superbet
11.00
Away
Betfair
34.00
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
22.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hartlepool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.50
0.29
0.44
0.81
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.62
0.54
0.23
0.54
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eastleigh
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.62
0.56
0.50
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.71
0.60
0.47
0.54
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Hartlepool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.4%
@ 1.34+0.3%
Under 0.5
30.6%
@ 3.00-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.28
William Hil
3.10
Marathonbet
3.02
Bet365
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.3%
@ 2.58-4.5%
Under 1.5
68.7%
@ 1.43+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.72
Pinnacle
2.67
10Bet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.60
Under
Pinnacle
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.7%
@ 6.45-3.7%
Under 2.5
89.3%
@ 1.08+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
1xBet
6.05
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hartlepool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.0%
@ 1.70-7.5%
Under
53.0%
@ 2.04+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.67
Unibet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathonbet
2.07
1xBet
2.03
Superbet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Hartlepool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 4.39-6.2%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.17+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Superbet
4.35
Marathonbet
4.30
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Hartlepool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 11.50-5.2%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Eastleigh over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.8%
@ 2.52+0.2%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.46-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
Betano
2.57
Marathonbet
2.51
1xBet
2.47
Superbet
2.47
Under
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Unibet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
Eastleigh over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 8.86-2.2%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.03+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Marathonbet
9.30
Superbet
8.60
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Eastleigh over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 37.00-98.9%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
37.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hartlepool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.97
0.86
0.93
0.69
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
3.00
-
-
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.85
0.92
0.92
0.85
0.77
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.67
0.00
2.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Eastleigh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Eastleigh
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.20
0.88
1.44
0.64
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.79
1.25
0.87
1.53
0.69
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Hartlepool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.9%
@ 1.21+0.6%
Under 0.5
23.1%
@ 3.90-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Under
Betano
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.82
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.2%
@ 1.99-5.3%
Under 1.5
58.8%
@ 1.73+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.10
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.01
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.98
Under
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.71
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.5%
@ 4.14-4.8%
Under 2.5
82.5%
@ 1.19+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.15
1xBet
4.05
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hartlepool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
56.1%
@ 1.50-5.6%
Under
43.9%
@ 2.42+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Under
Betano
2.47
1xBet
2.43
Superbet
2.37
Hartlepool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.2%
@ 3.25-8.3%
Under
79.8%
@ 1.29+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.40
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.20
Marathonbet
3.08
Under
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Hartlepool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.5%
@ 8.47-4.4%
Under
93.5%
@ 1.04+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Superbet
8.90
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Eastleigh over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.8%
@ 2.08+0.4%
Under
55.2%
@ 1.67-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.61
Eastleigh over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.9%
@ 6.51-0.3%
Under
86.1%
@ 1.08+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.85
Superbet
6.40
Betano
5.90
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Eastleigh over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 17.00-3.3%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.5%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.2%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.02
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.0%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.6%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.3%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.1%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.2%
1.17
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.5%
1.19
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.1%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.4%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
10Bet
1.14
-2.1%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
78.2%
1.17
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
Superbet
1.19
-0.3%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
78.2%
1.18
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
-
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.9%
1.21
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.18
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.6%
1.36
Pinnacle
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
76.1%
1.29
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
73.6%
1.33
Marathonbet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.26
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.8%
1.23
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
10Bet
1.22
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.7%
1.23
Betano
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
-3.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
FG (4)
€1m
BU (6)
€1m
EAS (5)
€1m
SOU (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€1m
SOL (3)
€0m
ALT (5)
€0m
ALD (4)
€0m
WOK (3)
€0m
YEO (3)
€0m
SCU (2)
€0m
TAM (4)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
WEA (2)
€0m
HAL (2)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
Hartlepool and Eastleigh have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
ALD (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
ALT (3)
€0m
SOL (2)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
GAT (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
WOK (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
SOU (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
WEA (0)
€0m
Hartlepool and Eastleigh have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
SOU (2)
€0m
BU (2)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
TAM (2)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
EAS (1)
€0m
SUT (1)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
SCU (0)
€0m
FG (0)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
ALD (0)
€0m
SOL (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
WOK (0)
€0m
Hartlepool and Eastleigh have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
BU (3)
€0m
EAS (3)
€0m
FG (2)
€0m
WOK (2)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
SOL (1)
€0m
SOU (1)
€0m
SCU (1)
€0m
YEO (1)
€0m
HAR (2)
€0m
WEA (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
ALD (1)
€0m
ALT (1)
€0m
GAT (0)
€0m
TAM (0)
€0m
SUT (0)
€0m
Hartlepool and Eastleigh have a similar defence value (both €0m).
England: National League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: National League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sutton
Yeovil
Boreham Wood
Harrogate
Southend
Aldershot
Boston Utd
Halifax
Altrincham
Carlisle
Wealdstone
Scunthorpe
Woking
Gateshead
Forest Green
Barrow
Tamworth
Solihull