This opponent (Lorient) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lorient
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.30
2.60
1.20
1.13
1.40
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
2.60
1.50
2.25
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (14)
1.21
1.36
2.40
1.20
0.56
1.44
vs Weaker (11)
3.00
0.64
3.50
0.50
2.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hauts Lyonnais) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.4%
Under 1.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.5%
Under 2.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.1%
Under 3.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.5%
No
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.7%
0-3
11.0%
1-2
8.3%
1-3 ✓
7.8%
0-4
7.7%
0-1
7.7%
1-1
6.5%
1-4
5.5%
Hauts Lyonnais goals ↓
Lorient goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.5%
7.7%
12%
11%
7.7%
1
1.5%
6.5%
8.3%
7.8%
5.5%
2
0.7%
2.1%
2.9%
2.8%
2.0%
3
0.2%
0.5%
0.7%
0.7%
0.5%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Hauts Lyonnais goals (down), columns = Lorient goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.67
Cannes
2.57
Angers
2.50
Estac Troyes
2.40
Hauts Lyonnais
2.33
Thionville Lusitanos
2.33
Clermont Foot
2.33
Stade Brestois 29
2.25
Bastia
2.25
Le Puy Foot
2.25
Lorient
2.25
Guingamp
2.17
Lyon
2.00
Bordeaux
2.00
Saint-Malo
2.00
Feignies-Aulnoye
2.00
ASS Still Mutzig
2.00
Drancy
2.00
Caen
2.00
PAU
2.00
Orleans
2.00
Concarneau
2.00
Union Saint-Jean
2.00
Sochaux
2.00
Monaco
2.00
Le Mans
2.00
Marseille
2.00
Boulogne
2.00
Dunkerque
2.00
RED Star FC 93
2.00
Annecy
2.00
Metz
2.00
Stade Briochin
1.83
Quevilly
1.75
SA Mérignac
1.67
Lille
1.67
Istres
1.50
Beauvais
1.50
Aubervilliers
1.50
Saint-Colomban Locminé
1.50
Les Herbiers
1.50
Angoulême
1.50
Nantes
1.50
Nancy
1.50
Reims
1.50
Carnoux
1.50
Rennes
1.50
Marmande
1.33
Amiens
1.33
Grenoble
1.33
Toulouse
1.33
Strasbourg
1.33
Nice
1.33
Colomiers
1.00
Romorantin
1.00
Stade Béthunois
1.00
Vitré
1.00
Biesheim
1.00
Fleury 91
1.00
Avranches
1.00
Porto Portugais Amiens
1.00
Paris FC
1.00
Lens
1.00
Bourg-en-bresse 01
0.97
SS Allinges
0.97
Mulhouse
0.97
Steenvoorde
0.97
Mazeres
0.97
Dieppe
0.97
Montreuil
0.97
Saint-Pauloise
0.97
Ancienne Château-Gontier
0.97
Montceau
0.97
St Maur Lusitanos
0.97
Lyon Duchere
0.97
Olympique Marcquois
0.97
UF Touraine
0.97
Bayeux
0.97
Abbeville
0.97
Seignosse Capbreton
0.97
Chalon
0.97
Racing Besançon
0.97
Villeneuve-la-Garenne
0.97
Plouvorn
0.97
Torcy
0.97
Granville
0.97
Trélissac
0.97
Loon-Plage
0.97
Wittenheim
0.97
Cambrai
0.97
Auby
0.97
Orvault SF
0.97
Les Bleuets
0.97
France Aizenay
0.97
Quetigny
0.97
Le Cellier Mauves
0.97
Saint-Renan
0.97
Bogny
0.97
Ecotay Moingt
0.97
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
0.97
SA Beaumont
0.97
Yvetot
0.97
Les Sables-d'Olonne
0.97
Gosier
0.97
Sarreguemines
0.97
Pontivy GSI
0.97
Stade Plabennec
0.97
Reims Sainte-Anne
0.97
Furiani-Agliani
0.97
Rhone-Vallee
0.97
Dominicaine
0.97
Avion
0.97
US Chateau-Malo
0.97
Andrézieux
0.97
Olympique de Villefontaine
0.97
Oissel
0.97
ASPTT Dijon
0.97
Ivry
0.97
Pontarlier
0.97
Lavaur
0.97
APM Metz
0.97
Forbach
0.97
Feurs
0.97
Croix Football IC
0.97
GSA Tomblaine
0.97
Seyssinet-Pariset
0.97
Chauvigny
0.97
Blois
0.97
Périgny
0.97
Boé Bon Encontre
0.97
L'Etrat La Tour
0.97
Chamalières
0.97
Aubagne
0.97
Chambly Thelle FC
0.97
Atlas Paillade
0.97
FC 2 Rives 82
0.97
Camon
0.97
Racing Colombes 92
0.97
Le Geldar
0.97
Moulien
0.97
Espoir Ste Luce
0.97
Magenta
0.97
Beaucouzé
0.97
Montreal-la-Cluse
0.97
Gobelins
0.97
Villars-l'Isle
0.97
Challans
0.97
Bandrele
0.97
Gazelec FC Ajaccio
0.97
Caen PTT
0.97
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
0.97
Bondues
0.97
Premontre
0.97
Pierrelatte
0.97
Avenir Sportif de Gouzon
0.97
Stade Quimperlois
0.97
Grasse
0.97
Pirae
0.97
Lapalisse
0.97
Montmorillon
0.97
OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys
0.97
Plédran
0.97
Blagnac
0.97
Savigneux Montbrison
0.97
Saint-Meziery
0.97
Eveil
0.97
Longuenesse
0.97
Mauguio Carnon
0.97
Saint-Brice Courcelles
0.97
Nord Lozère
0.97
MJEP Cormontreuil
0.97
Thonon Évian
0.97
ES Cappelle
0.97
Etoile Bobigny
0.97
Poitiers
0.97
Pen Hir
0.97
Saint-Amand
0.97
Épernay
0.97
Auch
0.97
Le Poinconnet
0.97
Selongey
0.97
Laval
0.75
Chateauroux
0.59
Agde
0.50
Raon l'Etape
0.50
Dinan Léhon
0.50
Saint-Cyr Collonges
0.00
Sarre Union
0.00
Canet Roussillon
0.00
Saint Etienne
0.00
Vendée Fontenay
0.00
Bayonne
0.00
OCPAM
0.00
Freyming
0.00
Chantilly
0.00
Sablé
0.00
Auxerre
0.00
Le Havre
0.00
Rodez
0.00
Etoile Matoury
0.00
Biars-Bretenoux
0.00
Montpellier
0.00
Hauts Lyonnais is 0.08 points better than Lorient in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
RED Star FC 93
4.50
Caen
3.67
Paris Saint Germain
3.50
Cannes
3.00
Le Mans
2.80
Bastia
2.75
Le Puy Foot
2.75
Lorient
2.75
Boulogne
2.67
Guingamp
2.67
Nantes
2.50
Monaco
2.50
Marseille
2.50
Feignies-Aulnoye
2.33
Thionville Lusitanos
2.33
SA Mérignac
2.33
Union Saint-Jean
2.33
Grenoble
2.33
Annecy
2.25
Lyon
2.00
Colomiers
2.00
Istres
2.00
Aubervilliers
2.00
Saint-Colomban Locminé
2.00
ASS Still Mutzig
2.00
PAU
2.00
Orleans
2.00
Concarneau
2.00
Avranches
2.00
Sablé
2.00
Nancy
2.00
Angers
2.00
Rennes
2.00
Strasbourg
2.00
Estac Troyes
1.80
Stade Brestois 29
1.75
Sochaux
1.75
Dunkerque
1.71
Bordeaux
1.67
Marmande
1.67
Drancy
1.67
Clermont Foot
1.67
Amiens
1.67
Beauvais
1.50
Quevilly
1.50
Angoulême
1.50
Hauts Lyonnais
1.33
Metz
1.33
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1.20
SS Allinges
1.20
Mulhouse
1.20
Steenvoorde
1.20
Mazeres
1.20
Dieppe
1.20
Montreuil
1.20
Saint-Pauloise
1.20
Ancienne Château-Gontier
1.20
Montceau
1.20
St Maur Lusitanos
1.20
Lyon Duchere
1.20
Olympique Marcquois
1.20
UF Touraine
1.20
Bayeux
1.20
Abbeville
1.20
Seignosse Capbreton
1.20
Chalon
1.20
Racing Besançon
1.20
Villeneuve-la-Garenne
1.20
Plouvorn
1.20
Torcy
1.20
Granville
1.20
Trélissac
1.20
Loon-Plage
1.20
Wittenheim
1.20
Cambrai
1.20
Auby
1.20
Orvault SF
1.20
Les Bleuets
1.20
France Aizenay
1.20
Quetigny
1.20
Le Cellier Mauves
1.20
Saint-Renan
1.20
Bogny
1.20
Ecotay Moingt
1.20
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
1.20
SA Beaumont
1.20
Yvetot
1.20
Les Sables-d'Olonne
1.20
Gosier
1.20
Sarreguemines
1.20
Pontivy GSI
1.20
Stade Plabennec
1.20
Reims Sainte-Anne
1.20
Furiani-Agliani
1.20
Rhone-Vallee
1.20
Dominicaine
1.20
Avion
1.20
US Chateau-Malo
1.20
Andrézieux
1.20
Olympique de Villefontaine
1.20
Oissel
1.20
ASPTT Dijon
1.20
Ivry
1.20
Pontarlier
1.20
Lavaur
1.20
APM Metz
1.20
Forbach
1.20
Feurs
1.20
Croix Football IC
1.20
GSA Tomblaine
1.20
Seyssinet-Pariset
1.20
Chauvigny
1.20
Blois
1.20
Périgny
1.20
Boé Bon Encontre
1.20
L'Etrat La Tour
1.20
Chamalières
1.20
Aubagne
1.20
Chambly Thelle FC
1.20
Atlas Paillade
1.20
FC 2 Rives 82
1.20
Camon
1.20
Racing Colombes 92
1.20
Le Geldar
1.20
Moulien
1.20
Espoir Ste Luce
1.20
Magenta
1.20
Beaucouzé
1.20
Montreal-la-Cluse
1.20
Gobelins
1.20
Villars-l'Isle
1.20
Challans
1.20
Bandrele
1.20
Gazelec FC Ajaccio
1.20
Caen PTT
1.20
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
1.20
Bondues
1.20
Premontre
1.20
Pierrelatte
1.20
Avenir Sportif de Gouzon
1.20
Stade Quimperlois
1.20
Grasse
1.20
Pirae
1.20
Lapalisse
1.20
Montmorillon
1.20
OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys
1.20
Plédran
1.20
Blagnac
1.20
Savigneux Montbrison
1.20
Saint-Meziery
1.20
Eveil
1.20
Longuenesse
1.20
Mauguio Carnon
1.20
Saint-Brice Courcelles
1.20
Nord Lozère
1.20
MJEP Cormontreuil
1.20
Thonon Évian
1.20
ES Cappelle
1.20
Etoile Bobigny
1.20
Poitiers
1.20
Pen Hir
1.20
Saint-Amand
1.20
Épernay
1.20
Auch
1.20
Le Poinconnet
1.20
Selongey
1.20
Stade Briochin
1.17
Reims
1.17
Agde
1.00
Saint-Cyr Collonges
1.00
Canet Roussillon
1.00
Romorantin
1.00
Saint-Malo
1.00
Biesheim
1.00
Vendée Fontenay
1.00
Les Herbiers
1.00
Bayonne
1.00
OCPAM
1.00
Dinan Léhon
1.00
Fleury 91
1.00
Rodez
1.00
Lille
1.00
Etoile Matoury
1.00
Porto Portugais Amiens
1.00
Paris FC
1.00
Lens
1.00
Nice
1.00
Laval
0.75
Chateauroux
0.73
Toulouse
0.67
Raon l'Etape
0.50
Carnoux
0.50
Sarre Union
0.00
Stade Béthunois
0.00
Saint Etienne
0.00
Vitré
0.00
Freyming
0.00
Chantilly
0.00
Auxerre
0.00
Le Havre
0.00
Biars-Bretenoux
0.00
Montpellier
0.00
Hauts Lyonnais is 1.42 goals worse than Lorient in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 2.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Béthunois
0.00
Vitré
0.00
Bastia
0.25
Hauts Lyonnais
0.33
SA Mérignac
0.33
Clermont Foot
0.33
Saint-Malo
0.50
Orleans
0.50
Le Puy Foot
0.50
Lorient
0.50
Marseille
0.50
Carnoux
0.50
Estac Troyes
0.60
Feignies-Aulnoye
0.67
Thionville Lusitanos
0.67
Caen
0.67
Lille
0.67
Sochaux
0.75
Annecy
0.75
Le Mans
0.80
Paris Saint Germain
0.83
Romorantin
1.00
Aubervilliers
1.00
Raon l'Etape
1.00
Biesheim
1.00
PAU
1.00
Amiens
1.00
Quevilly
1.00
Concarneau
1.00
Fleury 91
1.00
Chantilly
1.00
Nantes
1.00
Auxerre
1.00
Le Havre
1.00
Angers
1.00
Monaco
1.00
Toulouse
1.00
Biars-Bretenoux
1.00
Laval
1.00
Porto Portugais Amiens
1.00
Metz
1.00
Rennes
1.00
Paris FC
1.00
Lens
1.00
Nice
1.00
Dunkerque
1.14
Reims
1.17
Guingamp
1.17
Stade Brestois 29
1.25
Bordeaux
1.33
ASS Still Mutzig
1.33
Grenoble
1.33
Cannes
1.43
Lyon
1.50
Les Herbiers
1.50
Angoulême
1.50
Stade Briochin
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
Drancy
1.67
Union Saint-Jean
1.67
Strasbourg
1.67
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1.89
SS Allinges
1.89
Mulhouse
1.89
Steenvoorde
1.89
Mazeres
1.89
Dieppe
1.89
Montreuil
1.89
Saint-Pauloise
1.89
Ancienne Château-Gontier
1.89
Montceau
1.89
St Maur Lusitanos
1.89
Lyon Duchere
1.89
Olympique Marcquois
1.89
UF Touraine
1.89
Bayeux
1.89
Abbeville
1.89
Seignosse Capbreton
1.89
Chalon
1.89
Racing Besançon
1.89
Villeneuve-la-Garenne
1.89
Plouvorn
1.89
Torcy
1.89
Granville
1.89
Trélissac
1.89
Loon-Plage
1.89
Wittenheim
1.89
Cambrai
1.89
Auby
1.89
Orvault SF
1.89
Les Bleuets
1.89
France Aizenay
1.89
Quetigny
1.89
Le Cellier Mauves
1.89
Saint-Renan
1.89
Bogny
1.89
Ecotay Moingt
1.89
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
1.89
SA Beaumont
1.89
Yvetot
1.89
Les Sables-d'Olonne
1.89
Gosier
1.89
Sarreguemines
1.89
Pontivy GSI
1.89
Stade Plabennec
1.89
Reims Sainte-Anne
1.89
Furiani-Agliani
1.89
Rhone-Vallee
1.89
Dominicaine
1.89
Avion
1.89
US Chateau-Malo
1.89
Andrézieux
1.89
Olympique de Villefontaine
1.89
Oissel
1.89
ASPTT Dijon
1.89
Ivry
1.89
Pontarlier
1.89
Lavaur
1.89
APM Metz
1.89
Forbach
1.89
Feurs
1.89
Croix Football IC
1.89
GSA Tomblaine
1.89
Seyssinet-Pariset
1.89
Chauvigny
1.89
Blois
1.89
Périgny
1.89
Boé Bon Encontre
1.89
L'Etrat La Tour
1.89
Chamalières
1.89
Aubagne
1.89
Chambly Thelle FC
1.89
Atlas Paillade
1.89
FC 2 Rives 82
1.89
Camon
1.89
Racing Colombes 92
1.89
Le Geldar
1.89
Moulien
1.89
Espoir Ste Luce
1.89
Magenta
1.89
Beaucouzé
1.89
Montreal-la-Cluse
1.89
Gobelins
1.89
Villars-l'Isle
1.89
Challans
1.89
Bandrele
1.89
Gazelec FC Ajaccio
1.89
Caen PTT
1.89
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
1.89
Bondues
1.89
Premontre
1.89
Pierrelatte
1.89
Avenir Sportif de Gouzon
1.89
Stade Quimperlois
1.89
Grasse
1.89
Pirae
1.89
Lapalisse
1.89
Montmorillon
1.89
OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys
1.89
Plédran
1.89
Blagnac
1.89
Savigneux Montbrison
1.89
Saint-Meziery
1.89
Eveil
1.89
Longuenesse
1.89
Mauguio Carnon
1.89
Saint-Brice Courcelles
1.89
Nord Lozère
1.89
MJEP Cormontreuil
1.89
Thonon Évian
1.89
ES Cappelle
1.89
Etoile Bobigny
1.89
Poitiers
1.89
Pen Hir
1.89
Saint-Amand
1.89
Épernay
1.89
Auch
1.89
Le Poinconnet
1.89
Selongey
1.89
Saint-Cyr Collonges
2.00
Sarre Union
2.00
Colomiers
2.00
Istres
2.00
Beauvais
2.00
Vendée Fontenay
2.00
OCPAM
2.00
Avranches
2.00
Nancy
2.00
Rodez
2.00
Boulogne
2.00
Dinan Léhon
2.50
Etoile Matoury
2.50
Agde
3.00
Marmande
3.00
Canet Roussillon
3.00
Saint-Colomban Locminé
3.00
Bayonne
3.00
Chateauroux
3.12
Saint Etienne
4.00
Freyming
4.00
Sablé
4.00
Montpellier
4.00
Hauts Lyonnais is 0.17 goals better than Lorient in terms of goals conceded per game (0.33 vs 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
76%
Cannes
61%
Reims
32%
Dunkerque
24%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Hauts Lyonnais
For 4.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lorient
For 3.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.4 · Against 12.5 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hauts Lyonnais
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (6)
10.0
-
10.0
1.3
0.0
2.0
28.0
-
28.0
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
10.0
-
10.0
2.7
0.0
4.0
28.0
-
28.0
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
-
100%
17%
0%
25%
100%
-
100%
% under line
0%
-
0%
83%
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Lorient) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lorient
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.4
8.2
3.3
3.7
3.0
24.6
23.8
25.3
vs Stronger (5)
8.6
8.2
10.0
5.4
5.2
6.0
25.4
26.0
23.0
vs Similar (20)
7.9
7.4
8.4
3.8
4.3
3.4
25.5
24.2
26.6
vs Weaker (25)
8.5
9.3
7.9
2.6
2.5
2.6
23.6
22.5
24.5
% over line
33%
32%
35%
44%
48%
41%
61%
61%
61%
% under line
67%
68%
65%
56%
52%
59%
39%
39%
39%
This opponent (Hauts Lyonnais) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Les Sables-d'Olonne
22.0
Saint-Cyr Collonges
19.0
Blois
17.0
Bayeux
17.0
Les Herbiers
14.0
Istres
12.0
Avranches
12.0
Feignies-Aulnoye
12.0
SA Mérignac
12.0
Freyming
11.0
Cannes
11.0
Chantilly
11.0
Rodez
10.3
Nice
10.3
Laval
10.1
Montpellier
10.0
Raon l'Etape
10.0
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
10.0
Bourg-en-bresse 01
10.0
Hauts Lyonnais
10.0
Périgny
10.0
Pontivy GSI
10.0
Lyon
10.0
Grenoble
9.9
PAU
9.9
Nantes
9.8
Amiens
9.8
Auxerre
9.8
Bordeaux
9.8
Lille
9.8
Nancy
9.8
Lens
9.7
Caen
9.7
Rennes
9.5
Stade Brestois 29
9.5
Paris Saint Germain
9.5
Paris FC
9.4
Clermont Foot
9.4
Saint Etienne
9.3
Metz
9.3
Guingamp
9.3
Bastia
9.3
Le Havre
9.2
Reims
9.2
RED Star FC 93
9.2
Chateauroux
9.1
Orleans
9.1
Le Mans
9.1
Sochaux
9.1
Lyon Duchere
9.0
Olympique Marcquois
9.0
Dieppe
9.0
Angers
9.0
Quevilly
8.9
Toulouse
8.9
Marseille
8.8
Monaco
8.7
Annecy
8.6
Estac Troyes
8.5
Lorient
8.5
Strasbourg
8.4
Dunkerque
8.4
Boulogne
8.3
Concarneau
8.2
St Maur Lusitanos
8.0
Biesheim
8.0
Vendée Fontenay
8.0
Montreuil
7.0
Chauvigny
7.0
Gosier
7.0
Stade Béthunois
7.0
Le Puy Foot
6.0
Canet Roussillon
5.0
Croix Football IC
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Le Puy Foot
9.0
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
8.0
Hauts Lyonnais
8.0
Lyon Duchere
6.0
Bastia
5.7
Blois
5.0
Montreuil
5.0
Chauvigny
5.0
Avranches
5.0
Bayeux
5.0
Stade Béthunois
5.0
Lens
4.8
Montpellier
4.7
Auxerre
4.7
PAU
4.7
Lyon
4.6
Rennes
4.5
Boulogne
4.4
Guingamp
4.4
Monaco
4.4
Annecy
4.4
Bordeaux
4.4
Strasbourg
4.3
Le Mans
4.3
Sochaux
4.3
Lille
4.3
Toulouse
4.3
Paris FC
4.3
Amiens
4.2
Marseille
4.2
Rodez
4.2
Clermont Foot
4.2
Nantes
4.1
Dunkerque
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Nice
4.1
Le Havre
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.1
Laval
4.0
Les Herbiers
4.0
Pontivy GSI
4.0
Lorient
4.0
Reims
3.9
Chateauroux
3.9
Caen
3.8
Metz
3.7
Orleans
3.7
Angers
3.7
Estac Troyes
3.7
Stade Brestois 29
3.7
Concarneau
3.7
Grenoble
3.6
RED Star FC 93
3.5
Quevilly
3.5
Canet Roussillon
3.0
Raon l'Etape
3.0
St Maur Lusitanos
3.0
Biesheim
3.0
Gosier
3.0
Istres
3.0
Cannes
3.0
Feignies-Aulnoye
3.0
Dieppe
3.0
Périgny
3.0
SA Mérignac
3.0
Paris Saint Germain
2.9
Saint-Cyr Collonges
2.0
Les Sables-d'Olonne
2.0
Olympique Marcquois
1.0
Croix Football IC
1.0
Vendée Fontenay
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Canet Roussillon
36.0
Montreuil
35.0
Chauvigny
35.0
Chateauroux
30.2
Blois
30.0
Avranches
30.0
Bayeux
30.0
Annecy
29.0
Pontivy GSI
29.0
Le Mans
28.8
Boulogne
28.7
Bastia
28.5
Nancy
28.0
Lyon Duchere
28.0
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
28.0
Hauts Lyonnais
28.0
Périgny
28.0
Stade Béthunois
28.0
Montpellier
27.7
Laval
27.7
Guingamp
27.5
Quevilly
27.5
Amiens
27.4
Bordeaux
27.1
Caen
27.0
Concarneau
26.9
Orleans
26.9
Sochaux
26.1
Toulouse
26.0
Lens
26.0
Dunkerque
25.9
Clermont Foot
25.8
Estac Troyes
25.6
Grenoble
25.4
RED Star FC 93
25.3
PAU
25.3
Lyon
25.3
Saint Etienne
25.2
Monaco
25.2
Olympique Marcquois
25.0
Freyming
25.0
Feignies-Aulnoye
25.0
Chantilly
25.0
Nantes
24.9
Le Havre
24.9
Auxerre
24.7
Lorient
24.7
Paris FC
24.6
Stade Brestois 29
24.6
Nice
24.4
Rennes
24.4
Rodez
24.3
Reims
24.1
Cannes
24.0
Metz
23.9
Strasbourg
23.8
Lille
23.4
Angers
23.1
Istres
23.0
SA Mérignac
23.0
Marseille
23.0
Biesheim
22.0
Dieppe
22.0
Bourg-en-bresse 01
21.0
Le Puy Foot
21.0
St Maur Lusitanos
20.0
Raon l'Etape
19.0
Les Herbiers
19.0
Paris Saint Germain
18.7
Gosier
18.0
Croix Football IC
13.0
Les Sables-d'Olonne
11.0
Saint-Cyr Collonges
10.0
Vendée Fontenay
8.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
43.9%
Under 9.5
56.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.5%
Under 3.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
61.6%
Under 21.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Hauts Lyonnais or Draw✗ Miss
19.7%
Avg Implied -
6%
14%
80%
covers Hauts Lyonnais + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hauts Lyonnais or Lorient✓ Hit
86.4%
Avg Implied -
6%
14%
80%
covers Hauts Lyonnais + Lorient
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Lorient✓ Hit
93.9%
Avg Implied -
6%
14%
80%
covers Draw + Lorient
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Hauts Lyonnais over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
50.9%
Under
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hauts Lyonnais over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
16.0%
Under
84.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hauts Lyonnais over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hauts Lyonnais over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
94.1%
Under
5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
77.3%
Under
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
53.6%
Under
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
31.3%
Under
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Hauts Lyonnais, so a minus line means Hauts Lyonnais give that many goals of a start and Lorient receive them. At -1, Hauts Lyonnais must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Hauts Lyonnais win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Hauts Lyonnais)Actual: Lorient
Hauts Lyonnais -2
0.3%
Draw -2
1.4%
Lorient +2
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Hauts Lyonnais)Actual: Lorient
Hauts Lyonnais -1
1.7%
Draw -1
4.4%
Lorient +1
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Hauts Lyonnais)Actual: Lorient
Hauts Lyonnais +1
19.7%
Draw +1
19.2%
Lorient -1
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Hauts Lyonnais)Actual: Draw
Hauts Lyonnais +2
38.9%
Draw +2
21.7%
Lorient -2
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Hauts Lyonnais
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.17
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
83% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Lorient) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lorient
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
0.93
0.33
0.67
0.80
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.79
1.00
0.80
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (11)
1.27
0.27
1.17
0.17
1.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Hauts Lyonnais) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Hauts Lyonnais over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hauts Lyonnais over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hauts Lyonnais over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Hauts Lyonnais
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.33
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
-
-
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Lorient) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lorient
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.73
1.67
0.87
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
2.00
1.00
2.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.57
1.40
0.40
0.22
0.67
vs Weaker (11)
1.73
0.36
2.33
0.33
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hauts Lyonnais) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Hauts Lyonnais over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hauts Lyonnais over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hauts Lyonnais over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lorient over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away win
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lorient
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng44%
Pablo Pagis28%
Aiyegun Tosin18%
Noah Cadiou13%
Jean-Victor Makengo11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Sambou Soumano9%
Théo Le Bris6%
Karim Dermane6%
Arthur Avom Ebong6%
Arsène Kouassi6%
Panos Katseris6%
Igor Silva5%
Laurent Abergel3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Montassar Talbi0%
Darlin Yongwa0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Bamo Meïté0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdoulaye Faye42%
Laurent Abergel27%
Bamo Meïté21%
Panos Katseris17%
Darlin Yongwa16%
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng16%
Mohamed Bamba16%
Arsène Kouassi15%
Bingourou Kamara14%
Montassar Talbi13%
Arthur Avom Ebong12%
Noah Cadiou6%
Sambou Soumano6%
Karim Dermane6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Igor Silva5%
Aiyegun Tosin4%
Pablo Pagis3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Théo Le Bris0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arsène Kouassi18%
Pablo Pagis12%
Panos Katseris11%
Igor Silva11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Bamo Meïté10%
Théo Le Bris9%
Sambou Soumano6%
Karim Dermane6%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Darlin Yongwa4%
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng4%
Noah Cadiou3%
Montassar Talbi3%
Arthur Avom Ebong3%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Laurent Abergel0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Aiyegun Tosin0%
Nathaniel Adjei0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ahmadou Bamba Dieng32%
Pablo Pagis25%
Aiyegun Tosin11%
Mohamed Bamba11%
Arthur Avom Ebong6%
Jean-Victor Makengo6%
Nathaniel Adjei6%
Noah Cadiou3%
Sambou Soumano3%
Igor Silva0%
Yvon Mvogo0%
Laurent Abergel0%
Bingourou Kamara0%
Montassar Talbi0%
Darlin Yongwa0%
Joel Mugisha Mvuka0%
Théo Le Bris0%
Bamo Meïté0%
Karim Dermane0%
Panos Katseris0%
Arsène Kouassi0%
Abdoulaye Faye0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →