HB II faces B36 II in the Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild, with the model predicting an away win. Recent form suggests a storyline of B36 II coming off a win, while HB II suffered two consecutive defeats. HB II has struggled at home, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 3.4 conceded, while B36 II has fared well away, scoring 2.2 goals and conceding 1.0.
The model predicts an expected total of 3.1 goals, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, occurring 11.7% of the time. HB II has struggled to score at home, while B36 II has struggled to contain stronger opponents away.
The model's selection is the away win, with a probability of 43%. The home win percentage is 31%, the draw percentage is 26%, and the away win percentage is 43%. The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 83.1%.
Results analysis
The win extends HB II's run of consecutive defeats, but B36 II's away form has been a story of inconsistency. The final score was 0-3 in favour of B36 II, confirming the actual result of an away win. The model's selection, an away win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 43%. The model's call was also backed by the high probability of over 1.5 goals, which hit at 83.1%. The model's selection of over 1.5 goals was also the most likely outcome, with a probability of 22% for a total of 2 goals.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
HB II win✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
B36 II win✓ Hit
43.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
HB II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
3.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
2.83
1.20
3.00
0.93
2.67
vs Stronger (24)
0.75
2.75
0.67
2.67
0.83
2.83
vs Similar (6)
2.33
3.17
3.33
4.33
1.33
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B36 II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.90
1.40
2.13
1.27
1.67
vs Stronger (19)
1.16
2.05
1.50
2.10
0.78
2.00
vs Similar (8)
1.88
1.38
1.25
2.00
2.50
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
2.33
1.00
3.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.7%
Under 2.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.3%
Under 3.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.3%
No
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
0-2
6.4%
0-0
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
HB II goals ↓
B36 II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
6.4%
6.4%
3.6%
1.6%
1
5.1%
12%
9.1%
5.2%
2.2%
2
4.4%
7.6%
6.5%
3.7%
1.6%
3
2.1%
3.6%
3.1%
1.8%
0.7%
4
0.7%
1.3%
1.1%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB II goals (down), columns = B36 II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
HB II is 0.03 points better than B36 II in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 0.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
HB II is 0.67 goals worse than B36 II in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
HB II is 1.01 goals better than B36 II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.11 vs 3.12).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HB II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.20
0.60
1.53
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (24)
0.38
1.12
0.25
1.33
0.50
0.92
vs Similar (6)
1.17
1.50
2.00
2.33
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B36 II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.10
0.53
1.20
0.73
1.00
vs Stronger (19)
0.53
1.21
0.60
1.20
0.44
1.22
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.88
0.25
1.50
1.25
0.25
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HB II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.63
0.60
1.47
0.47
1.80
vs Stronger (24)
0.38
1.62
0.42
1.33
0.33
1.92
vs Similar (6)
1.17
1.67
1.33
2.00
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B36 II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.87
0.93
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (19)
0.63
0.84
0.90
0.90
0.33
0.78
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
3.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (6)
€0m
VI (5)
€0m
E/S (7)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
HI (4)
€0m
HB II and B36 II have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (3)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
E/S (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
HB II and B36 II have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
E/S (6)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
BI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
HB II and B36 II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VI (3)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
E/S (1)
€0m
HB II and B36 II have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →