HB II start the match after a win, yet the model still sees B71 as the clear favourite, rating an 64 % chance of victory. The home side’s average of 1.2 goals scored and 2.47 conceded against stronger opponents explains why the model leans heavily toward the away side, whose away form shows 2.43 goals scored and only 1.64 conceded against weaker opposition. The predicted total of 3.8 goals translates to an average of 3.8, with the most likely total being 3 goals at 20 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-2, giving B71 a 9 % chance of that exact result. The home win probability sits at 17 %, a draw at 19 %, and the away win at 64 %. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals at 95.9 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.8 %, Away +2 handicap at 93.0 %, Away over 0.5 goals at 92.1 %, Under 6.5 at 90.7 %, Over 1.5 at 90.2 %, Home under 2.5 goals at 86.0 %, and Draw or Away at 83.0 %. All selections carry the stated probabilities, with no additional commentary.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
HB II win
17.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
19.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
B71 win
63.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
HB II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
2.70
1.20
2.47
0.87
2.93
vs Stronger (24)
0.83
2.62
0.92
2.23
0.73
3.09
vs Similar (6)
1.83
3.00
3.00
4.00
1.25
2.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (B71) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B71
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
3.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.70
1.33
2.94
1.06
2.43
1.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (28)
2.75
1.36
3.00
1.07
2.46
1.69
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
90.2%
Under 1.5
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73.6%
Under 2.5
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
53.2%
Under 3.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
67.4%
No
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.0%
1-1
7.8%
1-3
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
2-3
4.9%
1-4
4.9%
HB II goals ↓
B71 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.9%
4.8%
7.0%
6.0%
3.8%
1
2.1%
7.8%
9.0%
7.7%
4.9%
2
1.8%
4.6%
5.8%
4.9%
3.1%
3
0.8%
2.0%
2.5%
2.1%
1.3%
4
0.2%
0.6%
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB II goals (down), columns = B71 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
HB II is 1.97 points worse than B71 in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 2.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
HB II is 2.54 goals worse than B71 in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 3.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
HB II is 1.11 goals worse than B71 in terms of goals conceded per game (2.11 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
HB II or Draw
36.1%
Avg Implied -
17%
19%
64%
covers HB II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB II or B71
80.9%
Avg Implied -
17%
19%
64%
covers HB II + B71
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or B71
83.0%
Avg Implied -
17%
19%
64%
covers Draw + B71
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
HB II over/under 0.5
Over
72.4%
Under
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5
Over
36.8%
Under
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 3.5
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 0.5
Over
92.1%
Under
7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 1.5
Over
72.1%
Under
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 2.5
Over
46.7%
Under
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 3.5
Over
25.2%
Under
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to HB II, so a minus line means HB II give that many goals of a start and B71 receive them. At -1, HB II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal HB II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (HB II)
HB II -2
2.2%
Draw -2
4.8%
B71 +2
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (HB II)
HB II -1
7.0%
Draw -1
10.0%
B71 +1
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (HB II)
HB II +1
36.1%
Draw +1
20.4%
B71 -1
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (HB II)
HB II +2
56.4%
Draw +2
18.6%
B71 -2
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HB II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.17
0.47
1.40
0.40
0.93
vs Stronger (24)
0.33
1.08
0.31
1.23
0.36
0.91
vs Similar (6)
0.83
1.50
1.50
2.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (B71) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B71
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.57
1.38
0.31
1.07
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.25
0.57
1.40
0.33
1.08
0.85
Clean sheet %
53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.5%
Under 0.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
46.8%
Under 1.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.0%
Under 2.5
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
29.4%
Under
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
69.0%
Under
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
36.8%
Under
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HB II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.53
0.73
1.07
0.47
2.00
vs Stronger (24)
0.50
1.54
0.62
1.00
0.36
2.18
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (B71) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
B71
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.77
1.56
0.75
1.36
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.50
0.79
1.60
0.73
1.38
0.85
Clean sheet %
47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.6%
Under 0.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
56.2%
Under 1.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
28.1%
Under 2.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
34.4%
Under
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
71.0%
Under
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
43.1%
Under
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B71 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
94.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 1.5 goals
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 2H goals
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 0.5 HT goals
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →