The model projects a high-scoring encounter, with an expected 3.4 goals and a most likely total of 3, reflecting the attacking output from both sides. The favourite result is an away win, with the away team’s 50% chance of triumph, the home side 26%, and a draw at 24%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.4% probability. HB II, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 3.0 goals scored and concedes 4.0, while Suduroy, on the road, scores 2.0 and concedes only 0.75. Recent form tells a story: HB II come off a 0-2 loss, whereas Suduroy enjoy a three-game winning streak after a 3-0 victory. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.8%), Under 6.5 (94.4%), Away +2 handicap (88.3%), Under 5.5 (87.5%), Away over 0.5 goals (86.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (86.1%) and Over 1.5 (85.9%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
HB II win
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Suduroy win
50.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
HB II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
2.70
1.20
2.47
0.87
2.93
vs Stronger (24)
0.83
2.62
0.92
2.23
0.73
3.09
vs Similar (6)
1.83
3.00
3.00
4.00
1.25
2.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suduroy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
2.23
1.73
2.87
1.27
1.60
vs Stronger (21)
1.10
2.71
1.20
3.60
1.00
1.91
vs Similar (9)
2.44
1.11
2.80
1.40
2.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65.4%
Under 2.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
43.4%
Under 3.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
65.6%
No
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
0-3
4.5%
HB II goals ↓
Suduroy goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
5.9%
6.8%
4.5%
2.2%
1
3.8%
10%
9.4%
6.2%
3.1%
2
3.3%
6.6%
6.5%
4.3%
2.1%
3
1.5%
3.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
4
0.5%
1.1%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB II goals (down), columns = Suduroy goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
HB II is 1.60 points worse than Suduroy in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 2.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
HB II is 1.54 goals worse than Suduroy in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 2.88).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
HB II is 1.49 goals worse than Suduroy in terms of goals conceded per game (2.11 vs 0.62).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
HB II or Draw
49.6%
Avg Implied -
26%
24%
50%
covers HB II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB II or Suduroy
76.3%
Avg Implied -
26%
24%
50%
covers HB II + Suduroy
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Suduroy
74.1%
Avg Implied -
26%
24%
50%
covers Draw + Suduroy
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
HB II over/under 0.5
Over
75.0%
Under
25.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5
Over
40.3%
Under
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5
Over
16.3%
Under
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 3.5
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 0.5
Over
86.2%
Under
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5
Over
58.9%
Under
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5
Over
31.8%
Under
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 3.5
Over
13.9%
Under
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to HB II, so a minus line means HB II give that many goals of a start and Suduroy receive them. At -1, HB II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal HB II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (HB II)
HB II -2
4.1%
Draw -2
7.6%
Suduroy +2
88.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (HB II)
HB II -1
11.7%
Draw -1
14.2%
Suduroy +1
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (HB II)
HB II +1
49.6%
Draw +1
20.7%
Suduroy -1
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (HB II)
HB II +2
70.3%
Draw +2
15.5%
Suduroy -2
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HB II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.17
0.47
1.40
0.40
0.93
vs Stronger (24)
0.33
1.08
0.31
1.23
0.36
0.91
vs Similar (6)
0.83
1.50
1.50
2.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suduroy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.97
0.47
1.27
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (21)
0.62
1.14
0.50
1.50
0.73
0.82
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.56
0.40
0.80
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HB II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.53
0.73
1.07
0.47
2.00
vs Stronger (24)
0.50
1.54
0.62
1.00
0.36
2.18
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Suduroy) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Suduroy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.27
1.27
1.60
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (21)
0.48
1.57
0.70
2.10
0.27
1.09
vs Similar (9)
1.78
0.56
2.40
0.60
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Suduroy over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
B71
Víkingur II
ÍF II
TB
Hoyvík
B36 II
NSÍ II
EB / Streymur II