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HB II vs TB Result & Analysis

Date: 01/08/2026
Time: 12:30
Final 1-3
HB II
HB II
Vs
34%
25%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
TB
TB
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

HB II and TB are set to clash in the Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild. TB's recent form has been a story of inconsistency, coming off a defeat after 2 straight losses, while HB II has struggled with back-to-back defeats of their own. However, it's the attacking numbers that really drive the high-scoring narrative here, with both sides averaging over 1 goal per game when at home and away respectively.

TB is the model's selection for the match result, with a 41% chance of winning away from home. The expected total goals stands at 3.3, with a most likely total of 3 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 11.1%. When facing opponents of similar strength, HB II has averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded at home, while TB has averaged 0.88 goals scored and 2.75 conceded away from home.

The model suggests Over 1.5 as its selection, with a probability of 85.0%. The suggested picks also include HB II to win (34%), draw (25%), and TB to win (41%). The home win percentage is 34%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 41%.

Results analysis

The win extends HB II's run of two straight defeats, but their home form has been inconsistent, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2 conceded. TB, meanwhile, has been struggling away from home, scoring just 0.88 goals per game, but their recent form shows promise. The model correctly predicted the away win, which was the favourite with a 41% chance of success. The model's selection, TB's away win, was the correct call. The suggested picks largely came in, with over 1.5 goals hit, as the final score was 1-3. The model's probability of over 1.5 goals was 85%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

HB II win✗ Miss
34.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TB win✓ Hit
40.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HB IIHB II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-703L05L14L14L07L12L01L21W13L22DA·NSÍ14/09A·VÍK22/09H·B3628/09A·KÍ 06/10A·B7119/10H·AB25/10H·HOY20/06A·TB24/06A·VÍK27/06A·B7104/07
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
3.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.032.771.132.870.932.67
vs Stronger (27)0.892.740.932.710.852.77
vs Similar (3)2.333.004.005.001.502.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TBTB

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L05L22D03L06L11D22D12L16L31WA·NSI14/09H·B3621/09H·SUD28/09A·VIK05/10A·KI 19/10H·B6825/10A·SUD19/06H·HB 24/06H·B7128/06H·EB 04/07
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
3.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.033.271.193.120.863.43
vs Stronger (12)0.755.081.005.330.504.83
vs Similar (7)1.142.001.002.751.331.00
vs Weaker (11)1.272.091.501.171.003.20
Clean sheet %3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.0%
Under 1.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.8%
Under 2.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.7%
Under 3.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.0%
No
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
1-3 ✓
5.0%
1-0
4.9%
HB II goals ↓
TB goals →
01234
04.7%5.4%5.5%3.2%1.4%
14.9%11%8.6%5.0%2.1%
24.6%7.9%6.8%3.9%1.7%
32.4%4.1%3.6%2.0%0.9%
40.9%1.6%1.4%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB II goals (down), columns = TB goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Víkingur II
3.00
B71
2.67
Suduroy
2.17
ÍF II
1.80
Hoyvík
1.50
TB
1.43
B36 II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.60
HB II
0.57
EB / Streymur II
0.00
HB II is 0.86 points worse than TB in terms of average points per game (0.57 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
B71
3.83
Víkingur II
3.83
Suduroy
2.67
ÍF II
2.40
TB
2.00
B36 II
1.67
NSÍ II
1.00
Hoyvík
1.00
HB II
1.00
EB / Streymur II
0.83
HB II is 1.00 goals worse than TB in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.83
B71
0.83
Víkingur II
1.17
Hoyvík
1.33
B36 II
1.83
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.43
TB
2.57
NSÍ II
3.40
EB / Streymur II
3.83
HB II is 0.14 goals better than TB in terms of goals conceded per game (2.43 vs 2.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (33)
€0m
VI (28)
€0m
E/S (36)
€0m
NI (34)
€0m
HI (42)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (0)
€0m
E/S (0)
€0m
HI (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
VI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (0)
€0m
E/S (0)
€0m
HI (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
VI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BI (0)
€0m
E/S (0)
€0m
HI (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
VI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

HB II vs TB · H/A from HI
DateH/AGameScore
24/06/26ATB Vs HI1-2
31/08/24HHI Vs TB1-1
15/06/24ATB Vs HI1-1
12/05/24ATB Vs HI4-0
10/09/22HHI Vs TB1-1
01/07/22HHI Vs TB1-5
13/05/22ATB Vs HI1-0

HB IIHB II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/26AB71 Vs HI2-2
27/06/26AVíkingur II Vs HI3-1
24/06/26ATB Vs HI1-2
20/06/26HHI Vs Hoyvík0-1
25/10/24HHI Vs AB1-2
19/10/24AB71 Vs HI7-0
06/10/24AKÍ II Vs HI4-1
28/09/24HHI Vs B36 II1-4
22/09/24AVíkingur II Vs HI5-0
14/09/24ANSÍ II Vs HI3-0

TBTB

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/26HTB Vs EB / Streymur II3-1
28/06/26HTB Vs B711-6
24/06/26HTB Vs HB II1-2
19/06/26ASuduroy Vs TB2-2
25/10/25HTB Vs B681-1
19/10/25AKI Klaksvik Vs TB6-0
05/10/25AVikingur Gota Vs TB3-0
28/09/25HTB Vs Suduroy2-2
21/09/25HTB Vs B36 Torshavn0-5
14/09/25ANSI Runavik Vs TB3-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

HB II
HB II
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD0.72
HomeDDLLL0.79
AwayLLWLD0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%21%15%
AVG goals3.924.253.62
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %76%75%77%
Over 3.5 %54%58%50%
Scored1.221.540.92
Conceded2.702.712.69
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet4%8%0%
Corners---
Cards---
TB
TB
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLLW1.00
HomeDDLLW1.15
AwayLLLLD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%30%13%
AVG goals3.423.563.26
Over 1.5 %86%85%87%
Over 2.5 %58%63%52%
Over 3.5 %42%44%39%
Scored1.161.370.91
Conceded2.262.192.35
BTTS62%70%52%
Clean Sheet12%7%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Víkingur IIVíkingur II618
100%
3.0
237+16
5.0
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.81.2
-
2B71B71616
83%
2.7
235+18
4.7
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.80.8
-
3SuduroySuduroy613
67%
2.2
165+11
3.5
83%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.70.8
-
4TBTB710
43%
1.4
1418-4
4.6
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.6
-
5ÍF IIÍF II59
60%
1.8
1210+2
4.4
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.42.0
-
6HoyvíkHoyvík69
50%
1.5
68-2
2.3
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
7B36 IIB36 II66
33%
1.0
1011-1
3.5
83%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
8HB IIHB II74
14%
0.6
717-10
3.4
86%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
9NSÍ IINSÍ II53
20%
0.6
517-12
4.4
80%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.4
-
10EB / Streymur IIEB / Streymur II60
0%
0.0
523-18
4.7
100%
83%
83%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.8
-
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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