HB II’s recent 5-0 win over Hoyvík suggests a bright start, yet the model still favors an away triumph for TB, reflected in a 66% probability for the away win versus 16% for a home win and 18% for a draw. The predicted outcome is an away win. The match is expected to see 4.1 goals on average, with the most likely total being 6 or more, a 22% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-2, with a 8.6% probability. HB II, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 0.92 goals scored and 2.23 conceded, while TB, on the road against a weaker side, averages 2.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Suggested selections include Home under 3.5 goals (95.2%), Under 7.5 (94.5%), Away over 0.5 goals (93.4%), Away +2 handicap (93.2%), Over 1.5 (91.9%), Under 6.5 (88.2%), Home under 2.5 goals (84.6%) and Draw or Away (83.7%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
HB II win
16.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
18.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
TB win
65.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
HB II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
2.70
1.20
2.47
0.87
2.93
vs Stronger (24)
0.83
2.62
0.92
2.23
0.73
3.09
vs Similar (6)
1.83
3.00
3.00
4.00
1.25
2.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
3.27
1.40
3.13
1.27
3.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.71
4.57
0.71
5.00
0.71
4.14
vs Similar (8)
1.25
2.50
1.00
1.00
1.40
3.40
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
1.75
2.60
1.80
2.33
1.67
Clean sheet %
3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
91.9%
Under 1.5
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77.2%
Under 2.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
58.0%
Under 3.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
69.8%
No
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.6%
1-3
7.7%
1-1
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-3
5.2%
HB II goals ↓
TB goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.3%
4.0%
6.3%
5.7%
3.9%
1
1.7%
6.9%
8.6%
7.7%
5.3%
2
1.6%
4.2%
5.8%
5.2%
3.6%
3
0.7%
1.9%
2.6%
2.4%
1.6%
4
0.2%
0.6%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HB II goals (down), columns = TB goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
B71
2.75
Víkingur II
2.62
Suduroy
2.38
ÍF II
2.14
TB
1.56
Hoyvík
1.12
HB II
0.78
B36 II
0.75
NSÍ II
0.43
EB / Streymur II
0.12
HB II is 0.78 points worse than TB in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 1.56).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
B71
3.88
ÍF II
3.43
Víkingur II
3.12
Suduroy
2.88
TB
2.33
B36 II
2.00
HB II
1.33
EB / Streymur II
1.00
NSÍ II
0.86
Hoyvík
0.75
HB II is 1.00 goals worse than TB in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 2.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Suduroy
0.62
B71
1.00
Víkingur II
1.25
Hoyvík
2.00
ÍF II
2.00
HB II
2.11
TB
2.33
B36 II
3.12
EB / Streymur II
3.50
NSÍ II
3.71
HB II is 0.22 goals better than TB in terms of goals conceded per game (2.11 vs 2.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
HB II or Draw
34.3%
Avg Implied -
16%
18%
66%
covers HB II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB II or TB
82.0%
Avg Implied -
16%
18%
66%
covers HB II + TB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or TB
83.7%
Avg Implied -
16%
18%
66%
covers Draw + TB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
HB II over/under 0.5
Over
74.1%
Under
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5
Over
39.0%
Under
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 3.5
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 0.5
Over
93.4%
Under
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5
Over
75.5%
Under
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5
Over
51.1%
Under
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 3.5
Over
29.0%
Under
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to HB II, so a minus line means HB II give that many goals of a start and TB receive them. At -1, HB II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal HB II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (HB II)
HB II -2
2.3%
Draw -2
4.6%
TB +2
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (HB II)
HB II -1
6.8%
Draw -1
9.5%
TB +1
83.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (HB II)
HB II +1
34.3%
Draw +1
19.7%
TB -1
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (HB II)
HB II +2
54.0%
Draw +2
18.6%
TB -2
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
HB II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.17
0.47
1.40
0.40
0.93
vs Stronger (24)
0.33
1.08
0.31
1.23
0.36
0.91
vs Similar (6)
0.83
1.50
1.50
2.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.53
0.73
1.67
0.47
1.40
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
2.00
0.29
2.57
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (8)
0.38
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.60
1.60
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
1.25
1.80
1.40
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.2%
Under 0.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.3%
Under 1.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
18.3%
Under 2.5
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HB II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.5%
Under
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.3%
Under
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.7%
Under
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 HT
Over
23.3%
Under
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
HB II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.53
0.73
1.07
0.47
2.00
vs Stronger (24)
0.50
1.54
0.62
1.00
0.36
2.18
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.75
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (TB) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.73
0.67
1.47
0.80
2.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
2.57
0.43
2.43
0.43
2.71
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.80
1.80
vs Weaker (8)
1.12
0.50
0.80
0.40
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (HB II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
83.2%
Under 0.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
55.5%
Under 1.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
27.3%
Under 2.5
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HB II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.9%
Under
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
17.8%
Under
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 0.5 2H
Over
64.8%
Under
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 1.5 2H
Over
31.3%
Under
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TB over/under 2.5 2H
Over
9.3%
Under
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 1.5 goals
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →