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Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk Result & Analysis

Date: 21/02/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Vs
63%
24%
13%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Falkirk
Falkirk
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heart Of Midlothian win✓ Hit
62.6%
Avg Implied 57.4% · @ 1.62
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.83
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Falkirk win✗ Miss
13.0%
Avg Implied 18.3% · @ 5.07
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L10W10W20W11D22D30W01L10W24LA·HIB27/12H·LIV03/01A·DUN11/01H·ST 14/01H·FAL17/01H·CEL25/01A·DUN31/01A·ST 03/02H·HIB10/02A·RAN15/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.870.872.070.671.671.07
vs Stronger (6)2.171.502.331.332.001.67
vs Similar (13)1.690.851.710.711.671.00
vs Weaker (11)1.910.552.400.201.500.83
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W20W01L11D41W02L21W00D10W23LH·ABE03/01A·ST 10/01H·CEL14/01A·HEA17/01H·HIB24/01A·CEL01/02A·LIV04/02A·STE08/02H·DUN11/02H·DUN14/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.331.431.210.881.44
vs Stronger (6)0.332.000.501.000.252.50
vs Similar (23)1.391.221.581.251.181.18
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.7%
@ 1.83-5.3%
Under 2.5
54.3%
@ 1.90+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.2%
No
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
13.7%
2-0
13.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.7%
Heart Of Midlothian goals ↓
Falkirk goals →
01234
09.2%4.7%2.0%0.5%0.1%
114%11%3.6%0.9%0.1%
213%9.3%3.3%0.8%0.1%
38.0%5.6%2.0%0.5%0.1%
43.6%2.5%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Heart Of Midlothian goals (down), columns = Falkirk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Livingston
0.55
Arbroath
0.50
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.82 points better than Falkirk in terms of average points per game (2.11 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Livingston
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
Partick
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dunfermline
0.75
Arbroath
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.45 goals better than Falkirk in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.32).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
0.50
Dunfermline
0.75
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Partick
1.00
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Livingston
1.97
Heart Of Midlothian is 0.74 goals better than Falkirk in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Arbroath
50%
Dunfermline
50%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Livingston
45%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Heart Of Midlothian is 2.6 percentage points better than Falkirk in terms of average possession (53% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

For 4.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

160374827622354673836101012964810101116A·RANH·HIBA·ST A·DUNH·CELH·ST A·DUNH·LIVA·HIBH·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

1003432115371112312173361023313A·RANH·HIBA·ST A·DUNH·CELH·ST A·DUNH·LIVA·HIBH·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 15.6 · Total 25.9

⚠️ Fouls

350131710188191112132271214135151018121030282723351927202822A·RANH·HIBA·ST A·DUNH·CELH·ST A·DUNH·LIVA·HIBH·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FalkirkFalkirk

For 5.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

13045444649743484549122981013117129104H·DUNH·DUNA·LIVA·CELH·HIBH·CELA·ST H·ABEA·DUNA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

702331432221122424125472413663H·DUNH·DUNA·LIVA·CELH·HIBH·CELA·ST H·ABEA·DUNA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.4 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

31081914414165714148108119212011121127183012281819303123H·DUNH·DUNA·LIVA·CELH·HIBH·CELA·ST H·ABEA·DUNA·KIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.39.83.33.13.623.623.423.9
vs Stronger (8)10.912.89.04.45.03.823.924.023.8
vs Similar (18)8.88.98.63.83.34.526.227.924.5
vs Weaker (24)10.810.511.12.62.22.921.118.523.3
% over line56%60%52%40%36%44%56%50%62%
% under line44%40%48%60%64%56%44%50%38%
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.78.910.42.83.02.725.425.225.6
vs Stronger (6)10.210.010.32.73.02.523.024.522.0
vs Similar (35)9.38.510.13.33.43.326.125.526.8
vs Weaker (9)13.011.015.00.91.20.622.524.021.0
% over line50%38%62%40%52%30%75%75%75%
% under line50%62%38%60%48%70%25%25%25%
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
10.9
ST Mirren
10.9
Dundee Utd
10.8
Hibernian
10.7
Aberdeen
10.6
Falkirk
10.6
Rangers
10.5
Dundee
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.2
Partick
10.2
Kilmarnock
10.2
Arbroath
9.8
Livingston
9.8
Dunfermline
9.7
Motherwell
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.8
Livingston
4.4
Motherwell
4.4
Hibernian
4.4
Partick
4.2
Kilmarnock
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.1
Heart Of Midlothian
4.0
Falkirk
4.0
Dunfermline
3.8
ST Mirren
3.7
Celtic
3.6
Dundee
3.3
Arbroath
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Livingston
25.6
Motherwell
25.5
Rangers
25.0
Aberdeen
24.4
Falkirk
23.8
Kilmarnock
23.7
Heart Of Midlothian
23.3
Hibernian
22.3
Dundee Utd
21.9
ST Mirren
21.5
Celtic
21.4
Dundee
21.3
Dunfermline
20.9
Arbroath
20.5
Partick
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.1%
Under 3.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
75.4%
Under 21.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W10W00D00D01L20W00D00D22DA·HIB27/12H·LIV03/01A·DUN11/01H·ST 14/01H·FAL17/01H·CEL25/01A·DUN31/01A·ST 03/02H·HIB10/02A·RAN15/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.470.800.270.730.67
vs Stronger (6)1.170.671.000.671.330.67
vs Similar (13)0.620.540.570.290.670.83
vs Weaker (11)0.730.271.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L00D20W01L20W00D00D11DH·ABE03/01A·ST 10/01H·CEL14/01A·HEA17/01H·HIB24/01A·CEL01/02A·LIV04/02A·STE08/02H·DUN11/02H·DUN14/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.570.570.250.75
vs Stronger (6)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.520.610.670.500.360.73
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D20W11D21W10W01L10W02LA·HIB27/12H·LIV03/01A·DUN11/01H·ST 14/01H·FAL17/01H·CEL25/01A·DUN31/01A·ST 03/02H·HIB10/02A·RAN15/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.401.270.400.930.40
vs Stronger (6)1.000.831.330.670.671.00
vs Similar (13)1.080.311.140.431.000.17
vs Weaker (11)1.180.271.400.201.000.33
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D11D21W01L01L00D10W12LH·ABE03/01A·ST 10/01H·CEL14/01A·HEA17/01H·HIB24/01A·CEL01/02A·LIV04/02A·STE08/02H·DUN11/02H·DUN14/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.670.860.640.620.69
vs Stronger (6)0.331.000.500.000.251.50
vs Similar (23)0.870.610.920.750.820.45
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls86.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards79.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls75.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards74.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.4%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Heart Of Midlothian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lawrence Shankland52%
Cláudio Braga32%
Craig Halkett13%
Pierre Landry Kaboré12%
Stuart Findlay12%
Tomas Magnusson11%
Alexandros Kyziridis11%
Islam Chesnokov10%
Stephen Kingsley10%
Blair Spittal8%
Marc Leonard8%
Cameron Devlin7%
Oisin McEntee7%
Frankie Kent5%
Harry Milne3%
Craig Gordon0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Beni Baningime0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Craig Halkett30%
Harry Milne27%
Marc Leonard23%
Cameron Devlin21%
Christian Borchgrevink20%
Oisin McEntee18%
Stuart Findlay15%
Ageu14%
Lawrence Shankland14%
Alexandros Kyziridis13%
Michael Steinwender12%
Blair Spittal12%
Tomas Magnusson11%
Frankie Kent10%
Islam Chesnokov10%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Beni Baningime8%
Alan Forrest8%
Jordi Altena6%
Cláudio Braga5%
Jamie McCart5%
Stephen Kingsley5%
Craig Gordon0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Rogers Mato0%
James Wilson0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marc Leonard23%
Harry Milne20%
Alexandros Kyziridis18%
Sabah Kerjota11%
Oisin McEntee11%
Lawrence Shankland10%
Blair Spittal8%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Cláudio Braga8%
Michael Steinwender6%
Jordi Altena6%
Stephen Kingsley5%
Beni Baningime4%
Stuart Findlay3%
Craig Gordon0%
Cameron Devlin0%
Frankie Kent0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Tomas Magnusson0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Craig Halkett0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Islam Chesnokov0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lawrence Shankland45%
Cláudio Braga39%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Marc Leonard8%
Harry Milne7%
Alexandros Kyziridis5%
Stuart Findlay3%
Craig Gordon0%
Cameron Devlin0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Frankie Kent0%
Stephen Kingsley0%
Beni Baningime0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Tomas Magnusson0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Craig Halkett0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Blair Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Oisin McEntee0%
Islam Chesnokov0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
Falkirk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ben Broggio36%
Barney Stewart29%
Ross Maclver25%
Brian Graham21%
Calvin Miller18%
Louie Marsh14%
Kyrell Wilson11%
Finn Yeats10%
Henry Cartwright8%
Filip Lissah7%
Scott Arfield7%
Dylan Tait5%
Henry Cartwright5%
Ethan Williams4%
Connor Allan4%
Ethan Ross3%
Liam Henderson3%
Scott Bain0%
Sam Hart0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Aidan Nesbitt0%
Coll Donaldson0%
Gary Oliver0%
Brad Spencer0%
Leon McCann0%
Alfie Agyeman0%
Nicky Hogarth0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Keelan Adams0%
Trey Samuel Ogunsuyi0%
Brian Graham0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brad Spencer34%
Coll Donaldson30%
Dylan Tait26%
Leon McCann23%
Sam Hart22%
Filip Lissah22%
Henry Cartwright18%
Keelan Adams17%
Connor Allan16%
Calvin Miller16%
Liam Henderson15%
Nicky Hogarth14%
Louie Marsh14%
Kyrell Wilson14%
Brian Graham11%
Ethan Ross10%
Henry Cartwright8%
Ben Broggio7%
Scott Arfield7%
Scott Bain6%
Barney Stewart6%
Finn Yeats5%
Ethan Williams4%
Ryan Edwards0%
Aidan Nesbitt0%
Gary Oliver0%
Ross Maclver0%
Alfie Agyeman0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Trey Samuel Ogunsuyi0%
Brian Graham0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Louie Marsh29%
Calvin Miller21%
Ben Broggio14%
Barney Stewart12%
Leon McCann12%
Coll Donaldson10%
Ethan Williams9%
Ross Maclver8%
Brad Spencer5%
Keelan Adams4%
Kyrell Wilson4%
Ethan Ross3%
Dylan Tait3%
Scott Bain0%
Scott Arfield0%
Sam Hart0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Brian Graham0%
Aidan Nesbitt0%
Gary Oliver0%
Liam Henderson0%
Alfie Agyeman0%
Nicky Hogarth0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Filip Lissah0%
Henry Cartwright0%
Finn Yeats0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Connor Allan0%
Trey Samuel Ogunsuyi0%
Brian Graham0%
Henry Cartwright0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Louie Marsh29%
Calvin Miller24%
Barney Stewart24%
Ethan Williams9%
Ross Maclver8%
Dylan Tait8%
Ben Broggio7%
Alfie Agyeman5%
Finn Yeats5%
Kyrell Wilson4%
Brad Spencer3%
Scott Bain0%
Scott Arfield0%
Sam Hart0%
Ryan Edwards0%
Ethan Ross0%
Brian Graham0%
Aidan Nesbitt0%
Coll Donaldson0%
Gary Oliver0%
Liam Henderson0%
Leon McCann0%
Nicky Hogarth0%
Lewis Neilson0%
Filip Lissah0%
Henry Cartwright0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Connor Allan0%
Keelan Adams0%
Trey Samuel Ogunsuyi0%
Brian Graham0%
Henry Cartwright0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
ARB (15)
€1m
Heart Of Midlothian's squad is €16m more valuable than Falkirk's (€22m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
ARB (3)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian's attack is €11m more valuable than Falkirk's (€12m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian's midfield is €3m more valuable than Falkirk's (€4m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
ARB (7)
€0m
Heart Of Midlothian's defence is €2m more valuable than Falkirk's (€6m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
HOM wins
1
Draws
1
FAL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk · H/A from HOM
DateH/AGameScore
17/01/26HHOM Vs Falkirk1-1
13/12/25AFalkirk Vs HOM0-2
27/09/25HHOM Vs Falkirk3-0
17/08/24AFalkirk Vs HOM2-0

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/26ARangers Vs HOM4-2
10/02/26HHOM Vs Hibernian1-0
03/02/26AST Mirren Vs HOM1-0
31/01/26ADundee Utd Vs HOM0-3
25/01/26HHOM Vs Celtic2-2
17/01/26HHOM Vs Falkirk1-1
14/01/26HHOM Vs ST Mirren2-0
11/01/26ADundee Vs HOM0-1
03/01/26HHOM Vs Livingston1-0
27/12/25AHibernian Vs HOM3-2

FalkirkFalkirk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/26HFAL Vs Dundee Utd2-3
11/02/26HFAL Vs Dundee1-0
08/02/26AStenhousemuir Vs FAL0-0
04/02/26ALivingston Vs FAL1-2
01/02/26ACeltic Vs FAL2-0
24/01/26HFAL Vs Hibernian4-1
17/01/26AHeart Of Midlothian Vs FAL1-1
14/01/26HFAL Vs Celtic0-1
10/01/26AST Mirren Vs FAL0-2
03/01/26HFAL Vs Aberdeen1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL2.02
HomeWWDDW2.16
AwayLWWLL1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%64%56%
AVG goals2.822.802.84
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %56%52%60%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.942.001.88
Conceded0.880.800.96
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet42%40%44%
Corners10.0210.309.76
Cards3.953.854.05
Falkirk
Falkirk
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.58
HomeWLWWL1.78
AwayWDLWD1.41
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%37%
AVG goals2.803.002.63
Over 1.5 %76%78%74%
Over 2.5 %58%61%56%
Over 3.5 %40%52%30%
Scored1.641.871.44
Conceded1.161.131.19
BTTS48%61%37%
Clean Sheet36%30%41%
Corners9.668.8810.44
Cards4.244.254.24

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3882
68%
2.2
7341+32
3.0
82%
68%
42%
10.6
61%
4.1
55%
21.8
37%
116
5620411.91.1
66%
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3880
63%
2.1
6734+33
2.7
71%
53%
29%
10.1
63%
4.7
63%
24.3
61%
22
12461.80.9
53%
3RangersRangers3872
53%
1.9
7643+33
3.1
82%
61%
37%
10.6
63%
4.2
58%
25.5
76%
136
3844542.01.1
58%
4MotherwellMotherwell3861
42%
1.6
5936+23
2.5
76%
39%
29%
8.1
32%
4.9
71%
26.3
79%
16
10151.60.9
58%
5HibernianHibernian3857
39%
1.5
5844+14
2.7
76%
55%
29%
10.6
68%
4.4
61%
23.2
66%
20
7851.51.2
47%
6FalkirkFalkirk3849
37%
1.3
5062-12
2.9
74%
58%
34%
9.6
53%
4.2
63%
25.3
76%
6
2131.31.6
51%
7Dundee UtdDundee Utd3845
26%
1.2
4960-11
2.9
89%
50%
34%
10.0
55%
4.2
61%
22.8
53%
11
4341.31.6
42%
8DundeeDundee3842
29%
1.1
4261-19
2.7
71%
58%
34%
9.5
61%
3.7
51%
22.9
55%
5
1221.11.6
44%
9AberdeenAberdeen3840
29%
1.1
4055-15
2.5
74%
34%
24%
10.0
58%
4.9
69%
26.4
95%
15
4471.11.4
48%
10KilmarnockKilmarnock3840
26%
1.1
5068-18
3.1
84%
66%
42%
9.7
53%
4.5
71%
25.0
74%
7
3231.31.8
42%
11ST MirrenST Mirren4038
22%
0.9
3256-24
2.2
68%
30%
15%
11.1
71%
3.3
38%
22.3
58%
8
1330.81.4
46%
12LivingstonLivingston3821
5%
0.6
4075-35
3.0
84%
63%
39%
10.4
58%
4.2
65%
25.2
71%
4
1111.12.0
45%
13PartickPartick45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
4
2020.80.8
50%
15ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
1
0000.00.5
50%
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches