Heerenveen face AZ Alkmaar with the model favouring an away win, a 46% chance against Heerenveen’s 26% and a 27% draw probability. The expected total goals sit at 2.7, with the most likely total of two goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13% probability. Heerenveen, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages two goals scored and four conceded, while AZ Alkmaar on the road against a weaker side averages two goals scored and just 1.3 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 92.6%, Under 5.5 cards at 91.0%, Under 23.5 fouls at 84.8%, Over 1.5 at 76.8%, Under 21.5 fouls at 72.4% and Under 3.5 at 70.8%, with Under 4.5 cards at 80.5% marked as a miss. Heerenveen’s recent form shows a draw streak, while AZ Alkmaar rides a four-game winning run.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Heerenveen and AZ Alkmaar finished level 2-2, a draw that snapped Heerenveen’s recent DLDWL run and ended AZ’s four-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite was AZ Alkmaar, picked by the model with a 46% probability, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s suggested picks all settled: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 92.6%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 91.0%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 84.8%, Over 1.5 hit at 76.8%, while Under 4.5 cards missed at 80.5%, Under 21.5 fouls missed at 72.4%, and Under 3.5 missed at 70.8%. The most likely score was 1-1 at 13%, followed by 1-2 and 0-1, each under 10%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Heerenveen win✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.39
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.4%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.64
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar win✗ Miss
46.2%
Avg Implied 46.1% · @ 2.05
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Heerenveen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.97
1.71
1.43
1.25
2.44
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
3.29
2.00
4.00
1.00
3.17
vs Similar (20)
1.40
1.55
1.55
1.09
1.22
2.11
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
1.67
2.50
2.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AZ Alkmaar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.20
2.00
1.12
1.71
1.29
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
3.00
0.50
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
1.80
1.00
4.00
1.00
1.25
vs Weaker (23)
2.17
0.91
2.31
0.62
2.00
1.30
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.3%
@ 1.79-1.6%
Under 2.5
48.7%
@ 2.01+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.2%
Under 3.5
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.2%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-2 ✓
5.4%
Heerenveen goals ↓
AZ Alkmaar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
9.2%
8.2%
4.3%
1.7%
1
6.3%
13%
9.4%
4.9%
1.9%
2
4.3%
6.8%
5.4%
2.8%
1.1%
3
1.6%
2.6%
2.0%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Heerenveen goals (down), columns = AZ Alkmaar goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.68
Feyenoord
2.47
NAC Breda
2.17
Twente
2.03
AZ Alkmaar
1.91
Ajax
1.65
NEC Nijmegen
1.51
Utrecht
1.50
Sparta Rotterdam
1.40
GO Ahead Eagles
1.39
Emmen
1.25
Fortuna Sittard
1.12
Heerenveen
1.09
PEC Zwolle
1.06
Almere City FC
1.00
Excelsior
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Heracles
0.97
Waalwijk
0.85
Vitesse
0.71
FC Volendam
0.56
Dordrecht
0.50
De Graafschap
0.50
Roda
0.00
Heerenveen is 0.82 points worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.91).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
3.26
NAC Breda
3.17
Feyenoord
2.71
Ajax
2.18
AZ Alkmaar
2.06
Twente
2.03
De Graafschap
2.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.97
ADO Den Haag
1.75
Excelsior
1.71
Heerenveen
1.56
Sparta Rotterdam
1.49
Utrecht
1.47
GO Ahead Eagles
1.39
PEC Zwolle
1.32
Heracles
1.21
Waalwijk
1.12
Fortuna Sittard
1.09
FC Volendam
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
Emmen
1.00
Almere City FC
0.97
Vitesse
0.88
Roda
0.50
Heerenveen is 0.50 goals worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 2.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
PSV Eindhoven
0.62
Feyenoord
0.76
Twente
1.06
AZ Alkmaar
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.33
NAC Breda
1.33
Utrecht
1.36
Sparta Rotterdam
1.46
Dordrecht
1.50
Emmen
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.51
Fortuna Sittard
1.65
Waalwijk
1.65
Almere City FC
1.74
Ajax
1.79
PEC Zwolle
1.97
Heerenveen
2.06
Excelsior
2.16
Vitesse
2.18
Heracles
2.18
De Graafschap
2.50
FC Volendam
2.59
ADO Den Haag
3.25
Roda
4.00
Heerenveen is 0.91 goals worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of goals conceded per game (2.06 vs 1.15).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
65%
Feyenoord
62%
Ajax
60%
Dordrecht
59%
De Graafschap
58%
Twente
56%
AZ Alkmaar
55%
Roda
53%
Vitesse
50%
Heerenveen
50%
PEC Zwolle
49%
NAC Breda
49%
NEC Nijmegen
48%
Utrecht
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Excelsior
46%
Heracles
46%
GO Ahead Eagles
45%
Waalwijk
45%
Almere City FC
44%
ADO Den Haag
44%
Emmen
44%
Fortuna Sittard
43%
FC Volendam
41%
Heerenveen is 5.0 percentage points worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of average possession (50% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Heerenveen
For 7.0 · Against 5.7 · Total 12.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.1 · Against 9.2 · Total 17.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AZ Alkmaar
For 6.8 · Against 3.5 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 9.2 · Total 19.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heerenveen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.6
11.9
11.3
1.0
0.9
1.1
17.9
17.6
18.2
vs Stronger (11)
11.0
-
11.0
0.8
0.0
1.3
16.0
-
16.0
vs Similar (32)
12.0
12.3
11.6
1.1
1.3
0.9
19.1
17.7
21.0
vs Weaker (7)
10.0
9.0
11.0
0.7
0.2
1.3
15.0
17.0
13.0
% over line
67%
62%
70%
10%
8%
12%
17%
12%
20%
% under line
33%
38%
30%
90%
92%
88%
83%
88%
80%
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AZ Alkmaar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
10.3
7.9
2.3
2.2
2.5
21.1
20.4
21.8
vs Stronger (2)
6.0
6.0
-
1.0
1.0
-
23.0
23.0
-
vs Similar (14)
7.3
7.0
7.4
2.4
3.4
1.9
20.1
21.2
19.4
vs Weaker (34)
10.3
11.7
8.3
2.4
2.0
2.9
21.5
20.0
23.6
% over line
38%
44%
31%
28%
26%
30%
47%
44%
50%
% under line
62%
56%
69%
72%
74%
70%
53%
56%
50%
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Volendam
11.4
Excelsior
11.3
Heerenveen
11.0
Heracles
10.8
Utrecht
10.6
NEC Nijmegen
10.3
PSV Eindhoven
10.3
Roda
10.3
De Graafschap
10.2
Emmen
10.0
ADO Den Haag
10.0
Dordrecht
10.0
Ajax
9.9
Almere City FC
9.8
Sparta Rotterdam
9.8
Feyenoord
9.8
Waalwijk
9.8
Fortuna Sittard
9.8
Vitesse
9.6
GO Ahead Eagles
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.4
NAC Breda
9.4
Twente
9.4
AZ Alkmaar
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Twente
4.1
Almere City FC
4.0
NAC Breda
4.0
Dordrecht
3.9
PSV Eindhoven
3.8
Roda
3.8
Heracles
3.8
Vitesse
3.8
ADO Den Haag
3.7
Feyenoord
3.7
NEC Nijmegen
3.6
Ajax
3.4
AZ Alkmaar
3.4
Fortuna Sittard
3.3
PEC Zwolle
3.3
Emmen
3.3
FC Volendam
3.2
Utrecht
3.2
De Graafschap
3.1
Sparta Rotterdam
3.1
Waalwijk
3.0
Excelsior
3.0
GO Ahead Eagles
3.0
Heerenveen
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Almere City FC
24.3
Dordrecht
23.9
Twente
23.5
Heracles
22.8
Roda
22.8
ADO Den Haag
22.8
NAC Breda
22.3
Emmen
21.9
Vitesse
21.9
Utrecht
21.5
NEC Nijmegen
21.3
Fortuna Sittard
21.0
Feyenoord
20.9
AZ Alkmaar
20.9
PEC Zwolle
20.2
Ajax
20.1
Waalwijk
20.1
PSV Eindhoven
19.9
De Graafschap
19.4
Sparta Rotterdam
19.2
Excelsior
18.8
GO Ahead Eagles
18.7
FC Volendam
17.6
Heerenveen
17.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.7%
Under 9.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
27.6%
Under 21.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Heerenveen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.93
1.07
0.71
0.69
1.12
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
1.57
1.00
3.00
0.83
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.80
0.91
0.64
0.56
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AZ Alkmaar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.62
0.44
0.79
0.36
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.60
0.00
2.00
0.50
0.25
vs Weaker (23)
0.83
0.26
0.77
0.15
0.90
0.40
Clean sheet %
73% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Heerenveen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.03
0.64
0.71
0.56
1.31
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.71
1.00
1.00
0.17
1.83
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.75
0.64
0.45
0.67
1.11
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.33
0.50
2.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AZ Alkmaar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.80
1.38
0.69
0.93
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
1.20
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.35
0.65
1.54
0.46
1.10
0.90
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Heerenveen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ion Nicolaescu26%
Osame Sahraoui25%
Pelle van Amersfoort23%
Anas Tahiri17%
Luuk Brouwers15%
Paweł Bochniewicz10%
Thom Haye9%
Patrik Wålemark8%
Charlie Webster8%
Che Nunnely6%
Daniel Karlsbakk6%
Simon Olsson6%
Sven van Beek3%
Mats Köhlert3%
Andries Noppert0%
Mickey van der Hart0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Denzel Hall0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Hussein Ali0%
Djenahro Nunumete0%
Syb van Ottele0%
Oliver Braude0%
Melle Witteveen0%
Espen Van Ee0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mats Köhlert18%
Oliver Braude18%
Luuk Brouwers15%
Thom Haye12%
Sven van Beek10%
Pelle van Amersfoort10%
Denzel Hall9%
Simon Olsson9%
Anas Tahiri8%
Mickey van der Hart8%
Patrik Wålemark8%
Paweł Bochniewicz7%
Ion Nicolaescu5%
Syb van Ottele4%
Andries Noppert0%
Che Nunnely0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Osame Sahraoui0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Djenahro Nunumete0%
Charlie Webster0%
Melle Witteveen0%
Espen Van Ee0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Melle Witteveen20%
Thom Haye12%
Osame Sahraoui12%
Simon Olsson9%
Anas Tahiri8%
Patrik Wålemark8%
Oliver Braude7%
Che Nunnely6%
Mats Köhlert6%
Luuk Brouwers4%
Syb van Ottele4%
Paweł Bochniewicz3%
Sven van Beek3%
Pelle van Amersfoort3%
Ion Nicolaescu0%
Andries Noppert0%
Mickey van der Hart0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Denzel Hall0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Djenahro Nunumete0%
Charlie Webster0%
Espen Van Ee0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pelle van Amersfoort29%
Osame Sahraoui19%
Patrik Wålemark17%
Thom Haye12%
Luuk Brouwers12%
Ion Nicolaescu11%
Simon Olsson9%
Charlie Webster8%
Syb van Ottele4%
Che Nunnely3%
Mats Köhlert0%
Andries Noppert0%
Anas Tahiri0%
Mickey van der Hart0%
Sven van Beek0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Denzel Hall0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Djenahro Nunumete0%
Oliver Braude0%
Melle Witteveen0%
Espen Van Ee0%
AZ Alkmaar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vangelis Pavlidis61%
Dani de Wit26%
Mayckel Lahdo24%
Ruben van Bommel19%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos17%
Ibrahim Sadiq14%
Sven Mijnans13%
Mees de Wit9%
Myron Van Brederode9%
Yukinari Sugawara8%
Đorđe Mihailović6%
Jordy Clasie6%
Bruno Martins Indi5%
Jens Odgaard4%
Tiago Dantas4%
Ernest Poku4%
David Möller Wolfe2%
Mathew Ryan0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Riechedly Bazoer0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Denso Kasius0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Jayden Addai0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kristijan Belić43%
Dani de Wit21%
Jordy Clasie19%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos17%
Bruno Martins Indi16%
Riechedly Bazoer15%
Ibrahim Sadiq14%
David Möller Wolfe14%
Wouter Goes12%
Sven Mijnans11%
Jayden Addai10%
Mees de Wit9%
Kenzo Goudmijn8%
Vangelis Pavlidis7%
Ruben van Bommel5%
Mathew Ryan5%
Yukinari Sugawara5%
Mayckel Lahdo5%
Ernest Poku4%
Alexandre Penetra3%
Myron Van Brederode3%
Jens Odgaard0%
Tiago Dantas0%
Đorđe Mihailović0%
Denso Kasius0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mayckel Lahdo29%
Yukinari Sugawara20%
Lequincio Zeefuik17%
Bruno Martins Indi16%
Ibrahim Sadiq14%
Vangelis Pavlidis14%
Sven Mijnans13%
Dani de Wit12%
Myron Van Brederode12%
Jordy Clasie8%
Ernest Poku7%
Kristijan Belić7%
Đorđe Mihailović6%
Riechedly Bazoer5%
Denso Kasius5%
David Möller Wolfe5%
Jens Odgaard4%
Tiago Dantas4%
Alexandre Penetra3%
Ruben van Bommel3%
Mathew Ryan0%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Mees de Wit0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Jayden Addai0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vangelis Pavlidis59%
Dani de Wit14%
Sven Mijnans13%
Ruben van Bommel8%
Yukinari Sugawara8%
Ernest Poku7%
Jordy Clasie6%
Ibrahim Sadiq5%
Mayckel Lahdo5%
Tiago Dantas4%
Myron Van Brederode3%
David Möller Wolfe2%
Mathew Ryan0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Jens Odgaard0%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Riechedly Bazoer0%
Đorđe Mihailović0%
Mees de Wit0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Denso Kasius0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Jayden Addai0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
EMM (21)
€5m
Heerenveen's squad is €85m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€50m vs €136m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
EMM (6)
€1m
Heerenveen's attack is €37m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€24m vs €61m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
Heerenveen's midfield is €15m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€6m vs €21m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
Heerenveen's defence is €33m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€20m vs €54m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Twente
Ajax
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
GO Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
Fortuna Sittard
PEC Zwolle
Almere City FC
Heracles
Waalwijk
Vitesse
FC Volendam
NAC Breda
Emmen
ADO Den Haag
De Graafschap
Dordrecht
Roda