The model favours an away win, with AZ Alkmaar winning 48% of the time, a draw 26%, and Heerenveen 26%. The expected total goals hover at 2.9, but the most probable total is two goals, a 25% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.5% probability. Heerenveen, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages only 0.33 goals scored and concedes 3.33, while AZ, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The model’s selections are: Under 25.5 fouls84.4%, Under 5.5 cards81.4%, Over 1.579.1%, Over 2.5 cards73.2%, and Under 23.5 fouls72.4%. Each pick is listed with its exact percentage. This match, with AZ on a four-game winning streak and Heerenveen just drawing, is expected to see a low-scoring draw, though the model predicts a stronger away victory.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Heerenveen snatched a 3-1 victory, overturning the model’s prediction of an away win that had a 48% probability. The pre-match favourite, AZ Alkmaar, was expected to triumph, but the home side’s form - coming off a draw and a modest scoring average - proved decisive. The model’s call was wrong. Among the suggested picks, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 84.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 81.4%, Over 1.5 at 79.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 73.2%, and Under 23.5 fouls at 72.4% all came through. Heerenveen’s win extends their recent run, while AZ’s four-game winning streak ended abruptly.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Heerenveen win✓ Hit
25.6%
Avg Implied 26.8% · @ 3.52
Edge
-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.38
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar win✗ Miss
48.0%
Avg Implied 45.3% · @ 2.08
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Heerenveen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
2.00
1.46
1.69
1.00
2.24
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
3.83
0.33
3.33
0.33
4.33
vs Similar (22)
1.45
1.50
2.00
1.00
1.14
1.79
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AZ Alkmaar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.23
1.76
0.94
1.46
1.62
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
1.64
1.43
2.00
0.86
1.29
2.00
vs Weaker (14)
1.64
0.93
1.67
0.89
1.60
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.5%
@ 1.97+6.4%
Under 2.5
45.5%
@ 1.83-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
Heerenveen goals ↓
AZ Alkmaar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
8.5%
8.1%
4.5%
1.9%
1
5.6%
12%
9.5%
5.4%
2.3%
2
4.0%
6.7%
5.6%
3.2%
1.3%
3
1.6%
2.6%
2.2%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Heerenveen goals (down), columns = AZ Alkmaar goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.32
Ajax
2.29
Feyenoord
2.00
Telstar
2.00
Utrecht
1.88
Dordrecht
1.75
AZ Alkmaar
1.75
Twente
1.53
Cambuur
1.50
GO Ahead Eagles
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.26
Den Bosch
1.25
Heerenveen
1.23
Fortuna Sittard
1.21
PEC Zwolle
1.21
Sparta Rotterdam
1.15
Groningen
1.15
Heracles
1.12
NAC Breda
0.97
Willem II
0.79
Waalwijk
0.74
Almere City FC
0.65
De Graafschap
0.50
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Heerenveen is 0.52 points worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
3.03
Feyenoord
2.24
Ajax
1.97
Twente
1.83
Utrecht
1.82
AZ Alkmaar
1.81
GO Ahead Eagles
1.68
NEC Nijmegen
1.51
Dordrecht
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Waalwijk
1.29
PEC Zwolle
1.26
Heracles
1.24
Heerenveen
1.23
Groningen
1.18
Sparta Rotterdam
1.15
Fortuna Sittard
1.09
Willem II
1.08
NAC Breda
1.00
Almere City FC
0.68
Cambuur
0.50
Den Bosch
0.50
ADO Den Haag
0.00
De Graafschap
0.00
Heerenveen is 0.58 goals worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 1.81).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cambuur
0.50
Den Bosch
0.50
Telstar
0.67
Ajax
0.94
Dordrecht
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.11
Feyenoord
1.12
PSV Eindhoven
1.15
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Utrecht
1.32
NEC Nijmegen
1.37
Twente
1.50
PEC Zwolle
1.50
ADO Den Haag
1.50
Groningen
1.56
Fortuna Sittard
1.59
GO Ahead Eagles
1.62
NAC Breda
1.71
Willem II
1.71
Heerenveen
1.74
Heracles
1.85
Almere City FC
1.88
Waalwijk
2.18
Heerenveen is 0.63 goals worse than AZ Alkmaar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
68%
Cambuur
66%
ADO Den Haag
64%
Ajax
58%
Feyenoord
58%
Heerenveen
53%
Twente
53%
AZ Alkmaar
52%
GO Ahead Eagles
51%
PEC Zwolle
50%
Dordrecht
50%
Sparta Rotterdam
49%
NEC Nijmegen
49%
De Graafschap
48%
Groningen
47%
Utrecht
46%
Telstar
46%
Heracles
45%
NAC Breda
45%
Willem II
45%
Fortuna Sittard
44%
Waalwijk
44%
Almere City FC
42%
Den Bosch
40%
Heerenveen is 1.1 percentage points better than AZ Alkmaar in terms of average possession (53% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Heerenveen
For 5.2 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AZ Alkmaar
For 6.5 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 11.3 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heerenveen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.2
10.1
2.6
3.2
2.1
20.7
20.4
20.9
vs Stronger (11)
9.9
9.7
10.2
2.2
2.2
2.2
17.4
17.7
17.0
vs Similar (35)
10.4
10.8
10.1
2.7
3.8
1.9
21.8
21.1
22.5
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
7.5
10.5
2.2
1.5
3.0
20.8
24.0
17.5
% over line
60%
61%
58%
28%
43%
15%
47%
43%
50%
% under line
40%
39%
42%
72%
57%
85%
53%
57%
50%
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AZ Alkmaar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.8
10.0
3.8
3.6
3.9
21.5
20.7
22.3
vs Stronger (3)
8.7
3.0
11.5
2.3
1.0
3.0
14.7
16.0
14.0
vs Similar (16)
9.4
8.6
10.3
3.9
4.6
3.1
24.0
23.0
25.1
vs Weaker (31)
9.5
9.3
9.6
3.8
3.2
4.4
20.9
19.8
22.1
% over line
50%
35%
65%
52%
50%
54%
59%
52%
65%
% under line
50%
65%
35%
48%
50%
46%
41%
48%
35%
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Waalwijk
11.4
Heracles
11.1
Feyenoord
11.0
Sparta Rotterdam
10.9
NEC Nijmegen
10.9
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
Cambuur
10.7
Utrecht
10.7
Den Bosch
10.6
Dordrecht
10.5
Telstar
10.5
GO Ahead Eagles
10.5
Almere City FC
10.3
Willem II
10.3
PEC Zwolle
10.2
Heerenveen
10.2
Fortuna Sittard
10.0
De Graafschap
10.0
Twente
9.9
NAC Breda
9.5
ADO Den Haag
9.5
Groningen
9.5
AZ Alkmaar
9.5
Ajax
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.3
Ajax
4.3
ADO Den Haag
4.2
Cambuur
4.0
Feyenoord
4.0
Dordrecht
3.9
Fortuna Sittard
3.7
Twente
3.6
Telstar
3.6
Almere City FC
3.6
Utrecht
3.6
Den Bosch
3.6
NEC Nijmegen
3.6
Groningen
3.6
NAC Breda
3.5
Willem II
3.5
Heracles
3.5
De Graafschap
3.5
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
Sparta Rotterdam
3.3
PEC Zwolle
3.3
Waalwijk
3.2
GO Ahead Eagles
3.1
Heerenveen
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Telstar
25.1
ADO Den Haag
24.7
Dordrecht
24.5
Cambuur
23.5
Ajax
22.8
Heracles
22.0
Almere City FC
22.0
Den Bosch
21.9
AZ Alkmaar
21.7
Fortuna Sittard
21.3
Groningen
21.2
NEC Nijmegen
20.8
NAC Breda
20.6
PEC Zwolle
20.5
Heerenveen
20.4
Utrecht
20.4
De Graafschap
20.4
Twente
20.2
Feyenoord
20.0
Willem II
19.6
GO Ahead Eagles
19.5
Waalwijk
18.8
Sparta Rotterdam
18.0
PSV Eindhoven
17.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.0%
Under 9.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
52.8%
Under 3.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
43.3%
Under 21.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Heerenveen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.87
0.62
1.00
0.29
0.76
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.83
0.00
2.00
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.64
0.75
0.75
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AZ Alkmaar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.53
0.53
0.77
0.46
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.43
0.71
0.43
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (14)
0.64
0.50
0.44
0.44
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Heerenveen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.13
0.85
0.69
0.71
1.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
2.00
0.33
1.33
0.00
2.67
vs Similar (22)
1.00
0.86
1.25
0.25
0.86
1.21
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AZ Alkmaar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.73
1.24
0.41
0.69
1.15
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (14)
1.00
1.00
1.29
0.43
0.71
1.57
vs Weaker (14)
1.00
0.43
1.22
0.44
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Heerenveen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ion Nicolaescu36%
Jacob Trenskow26%
Miloš Luković21%
Eser Gürbüz17%
Alireza Jahanbakhsh15%
Hristiyan Petrov12%
Ilias Sebaoui12%
Marcus Linday12%
Luuk Brouwers12%
Levi Smans11%
Simon Olsson8%
Dimitris Rallis8%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland6%
Sam Kersten3%
Espen Van Ee3%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Mats Köhlert0%
Andries Noppert0%
Mickey van der Hart0%
Ché Nunnely0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Amara Condé0%
Denzel Hall0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Oliver Braude0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oliver Braude33%
Daniel Karlsbakk29%
Jordy de Wijs25%
Luuk Brouwers23%
Paweł Bochniewicz23%
Espen Van Ee18%
Alireza Jahanbakhsh15%
Marcus Linday12%
Denzel Hall11%
Mats Köhlert10%
Simon Olsson8%
Sam Kersten6%
Amara Condé6%
Andries Noppert6%
Levi Smans6%
Mickey van der Hart5%
Dimitris Rallis4%
Ion Nicolaescu4%
Ché Nunnely0%
Hussein Ali0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Jacob Trenskow0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Ilias Sebaoui0%
Miloš Luković0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mats Köhlert23%
Alireza Jahanbakhsh15%
Danilo Al-Saed14%
Ché Nunnely12%
Amara Condé12%
Marcus Linday12%
Jacob Trenskow11%
Eser Gürbüz8%
Luuk Brouwers8%
Simon Olsson8%
Espen Van Ee6%
Levi Smans6%
Oliver Braude6%
Dimitris Rallis4%
Sam Kersten3%
Ion Nicolaescu0%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Andries Noppert0%
Mickey van der Hart0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Denzel Hall0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Ilias Sebaoui0%
Miloš Luković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alireza Jahanbakhsh25%
Miloš Luković21%
Ion Nicolaescu18%
Ilias Sebaoui16%
Jacob Trenskow15%
Levi Smans11%
Espen Van Ee9%
Luuk Brouwers8%
Simon Olsson8%
Oliver Braude3%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Mats Köhlert0%
Andries Noppert0%
Mickey van der Hart0%
Sam Kersten0%
Ché Nunnely0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Amara Condé0%
Denzel Hall0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Marcus Linday0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Dimitris Rallis0%
AZ Alkmaar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Troy Parrott36%
Mexx Meerdink30%
Sven Mijnans23%
Ibrahim Sadiq22%
Ruben van Bommel18%
Ro-Zangelo Daal14%
Jayden Addai13%
Mayckel Lahdo11%
Denso Kasius11%
Zico Buurmeester10%
Ernest Poku8%
Kees Smit7%
David Möller Wolfe6%
Mees de Wit5%
Wouter Goes5%
Seiya Maikuma5%
Kristijan Belić4%
Peer Koopmeiners4%
Jordy Clasie3%
Alexandre Penetra2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lequincio Zeefuik33%
Dave Kwakman30%
Kristijan Belić29%
Wouter Goes29%
Ro-Zangelo Daal29%
Ruben van Bommel18%
David Möller Wolfe17%
Jordy Clasie16%
Mees de Wit15%
Sven Mijnans14%
Kees Smit13%
Peer Koopmeiners13%
Maxim Dekker11%
Alexandre Penetra11%
Ernest Poku10%
Seiya Maikuma9%
Bruno Martins Indi8%
Mexx Meerdink8%
Ibrahim Sadiq7%
Denso Kasius7%
Jayden Addai4%
Troy Parrott2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Mayckel Lahdo0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ruben van Bommel15%
David Möller Wolfe15%
Sven Mijnans14%
Ernest Poku12%
Peer Koopmeiners11%
Ibrahim Sadiq11%
Jordy Clasie11%
Dave Kwakman10%
Wouter Goes10%
Troy Parrott9%
Zico Buurmeester7%
Seiya Maikuma7%
Kees Smit7%
Denso Kasius7%
Mees de Wit5%
Mayckel Lahdo3%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Ro-Zangelo Daal0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Mexx Meerdink0%
Jayden Addai0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ruben van Bommel27%
Sven Mijnans25%
Troy Parrott21%
Mexx Meerdink20%
Ibrahim Sadiq19%
Ernest Poku18%
Denso Kasius7%
Mayckel Lahdo6%
Jayden Addai4%
Peer Koopmeiners4%
Zico Buurmeester2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Jordy Clasie0%
Mees de Wit0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
David Möller Wolfe0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Ro-Zangelo Daal0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Kees Smit0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
Heerenveen's squad is €85m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€50m vs €136m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
Heerenveen's attack is €37m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€24m vs €61m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
Heerenveen's midfield is €15m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€6m vs €21m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
DB (7)
€1m
Heerenveen's defence is €33m less valuable than AZ Alkmaar's (€20m vs €54m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Heracles
NAC Breda
Willem II
Waalwijk
Almere City FC
Telstar
Dordrecht
Den Bosch
Cambuur
De Graafschap
ADO Den Haag