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Heerenveen vs Excelsior Result & Analysis

Date: 04/10/2025
Time: 19:00
Final 2-1
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Vs
65%
19%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heerenveen win✓ Hit
64.8%
Avg Implied 58.8% · @ 1.60
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.1%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.28
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Excelsior win✗ Miss
16.1%
Avg Implied 19.2% · @ 4.90
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L20W14L11D12L12L22D01L32W22DA·GO 14/05H·FEY18/05A·AZ 22/05H·FC 09/08A·GRO16/08H·TWE24/08H·GO 30/08A·FEY13/09H·NEC21/09A·UTR28/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.601.791.291.061.88
vs Stronger (7)1.141.431.500.750.672.33
vs Similar (22)1.501.591.901.501.171.67
vs Weaker (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
Clean sheet %13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W50W12L05L12L14L10W01L21W12LH·EMM27/04H·JON02/05A·JON09/05A·NEC09/08H·FEY16/08A·UTR24/08H·TWE30/08H·SPA14/09A·FC 20/09H·PSV27/09← Eerste DivisieEredivisie →
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.301.530.731.731.87
vs Stronger (6)1.172.671.001.331.334.00
vs Similar (23)1.741.001.640.641.831.33
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%07%117%221%319%415%518%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.5%
Under 1.5
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
72.3%
@ 1.51+10.6%
Under 2.5
27.7%
@ 2.43-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.6%
Under 3.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.7%
No
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1 ✓
9.2%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
4-1
4.9%
Heerenveen goals ↓
Excelsior goals →
01234
03.1%2.2%1.8%0.7%0.2%
15.2%8.0%4.5%1.8%0.6%
27.5%9.2%5.6%2.3%0.7%
36.3%7.7%4.7%1.9%0.6%
44.0%4.9%3.0%1.2%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Heerenveen goals (down), columns = Excelsior goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
Heerenveen is 0.30 points better than Excelsior in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
Heerenveen is 0.37 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals scored per game (1.64 vs 1.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
Heerenveen is 0.04 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
Heerenveen is 3.6 percentage points better than Excelsior in terms of average possession (51% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

HeerenveenHeerenveen

For 4.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

12035663637748392142352812910111111557A·UTRH·NECA·FEYH·GO H·TWEA·GROH·FC A·AZ H·FEYA·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

8022223331442411211214464862331A·UTRH·NECA·FEYH·GO H·TWEA·GROH·FC A·AZ H·FEYA·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.1 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

290121410141110912101915989101019611826242121292417202519A·UTRH·NECA·FEYH·GO H·TWEA·GROH·FC A·AZ H·FEYA·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ExcelsiorExcelsior

For 4.6 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.5

🚩 Corners

130323572145756274310365895121197136H·PSVA·FC H·SPAH·TWEA·UTRH·FEYA·NECA·JONH·JONH·EMM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.1

🟨 Cards

60235132211221121115652241321A·FC H·SPAH·TWEH·FEYA·NECA·JONH·JONH·EMMA·FC H·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 9.4 · Total 23.5

⚠️ Fouls

30085191111813111561781414179118161413301924212528261930H·PSVA·FC H·SPAH·TWEA·UTRH·FEYA·NECA·JONH·JONH·EMM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HeerenveenHeerenveen

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.98.92.83.32.421.821.122.4
vs Stronger (11)8.48.28.52.52.02.818.217.418.8
vs Similar (36)9.910.89.23.03.92.222.821.923.7
vs Weaker (3)7.37.57.02.31.54.023.024.021.0
% over line49%65%33%36%48%26%53%52%54%
% under line51%35%67%64%52%74%47%48%46%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.69.73.43.13.622.421.922.8
vs Stronger (6)8.47.010.51.52.30.722.220.724.5
vs Similar (42)9.79.89.53.73.34.022.422.122.8
vs Weaker (2)12.012.012.03.01.05.021.523.020.0
% over line49%50%48%48%44%52%53%54%52%
% under line51%50%52%52%56%48%47%46%48%
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
11.1
PSV Eindhoven
10.6
Heracles
10.6
Sparta Rotterdam
10.6
NEC Nijmegen
10.4
FC Volendam
10.3
Telstar
10.3
Fortuna Sittard
10.1
Utrecht
9.8
Excelsior
9.7
Feyenoord
9.7
AZ Alkmaar
9.7
NAC Breda
9.6
Twente
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.5
Heerenveen
9.3
Ajax
9.0
Groningen
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.8
Ajax
4.6
Twente
4.0
Utrecht
4.0
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Feyenoord
3.8
Groningen
3.8
Excelsior
3.8
NAC Breda
3.7
Fortuna Sittard
3.7
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.6
Heracles
3.6
FC Volendam
3.6
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
Heerenveen
3.4
Sparta Rotterdam
3.3
Telstar
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Telstar
25.9
Ajax
24.4
Heracles
23.5
FC Volendam
23.3
AZ Alkmaar
22.4
NEC Nijmegen
22.3
Fortuna Sittard
22.3
Utrecht
22.2
Twente
22.2
Excelsior
22.1
PEC Zwolle
21.9
Heerenveen
21.7
Groningen
21.5
NAC Breda
21.4
Feyenoord
21.1
GO Ahead Eagles
19.8
PSV Eindhoven
18.5
Sparta Rotterdam
17.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.8%
Under 9.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.6%
Under 3.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.7%
Under 21.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W03L10W11D01L11D01L10W11DA·GO 14/05H·FEY18/05A·AZ 22/05H·FC 09/08A·GRO16/08H·TWE24/08H·GO 30/08A·FEY13/09H·NEC21/09A·UTR28/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.930.570.440.81
vs Stronger (7)0.430.860.750.250.001.67
vs Similar (22)0.730.641.000.700.500.58
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W11D01L12L02L00D00D11D11DH·EMM27/04H·JON02/05A·JON09/05A·NEC09/08H·FEY16/08A·UTR24/08H·TWE30/08H·SPA14/09A·FC 20/09H·PSV27/09← Eerste DivisieEredivisie →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.530.600.470.730.60
vs Stronger (6)0.501.000.671.000.331.00
vs Similar (23)0.700.430.550.360.830.50
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D01L01L11D11D00D22D11DA·GO 14/05H·FEY18/05A·AZ 22/05H·FC 09/08A·GRO16/08H·TWE24/08H·GO 30/08A·FEY13/09H·NEC21/09A·UTR28/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.900.860.710.621.06
vs Stronger (7)0.710.570.750.500.670.67
vs Similar (22)0.770.950.900.800.671.08
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D30W01L04L00D12L10W01L10W01LH·EMM27/04H·JON02/05A·JON09/05A·NEC09/08H·FEY16/08A·UTR24/08H·TWE30/08H·SPA14/09A·FC 20/09H·PSV27/09← Eerste DivisieEredivisie →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.770.930.271.001.27
vs Stronger (6)0.671.670.330.331.003.00
vs Similar (23)1.040.571.090.271.000.83
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards80.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls77.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.572.3%1.51-----+10.6%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Heerenveen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jacob Trenskow39%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås28%
Dylan Vente24%
Václav Sejk21%
Ringo Meerveld21%
Maxence Rivera15%
Luuk Brouwers14%
Luca Oyen12%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen11%
Eser Gürbüz6%
Joris van Overeem5%
Vasilios Zagaritis5%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland5%
Maas Willemsen3%
Sam Kersten3%
Marcus Linday3%
Oliver Braude3%
Andries Noppert0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Nolhan Courtens0%
Mats Egbring0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcus Linday19%
Oliver Braude19%
Nolhan Courtens17%
Maxence Rivera15%
Maas Willemsen14%
Sam Kersten14%
Luuk Brouwers11%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås11%
Mats Egbring11%
Joris van Overeem11%
Vasilios Zagaritis11%
Hristiyan Petrov8%
Bernt Klaverboer6%
Eser Gürbüz6%
Václav Sejk5%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland5%
Dylan Vente3%
Ringo Meerveld3%
Jacob Trenskow3%
Andries Noppert0%
Luca Oyen0%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joris van Overeem24%
Jacob Trenskow18%
Maxence Rivera18%
Luuk Brouwers14%
Ringo Meerveld12%
Mats Egbring11%
Vasilios Zagaritis11%
Dylan Vente9%
Oliver Braude8%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås6%
Marcus Linday5%
Václav Sejk5%
Andries Noppert0%
Sam Kersten0%
Luca Oyen0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Nolhan Courtens0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lasse Selvåg Nordås28%
Dylan Vente26%
Jacob Trenskow26%
Maxence Rivera24%
Ringo Meerveld6%
Luca Oyen6%
Luuk Brouwers6%
Vasilios Zagaritis3%
Andries Noppert0%
Joris van Overeem0%
Sam Kersten0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen0%
Marcus Linday0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Václav Sejk0%
Maas Willemsen0%
Bernt Klaverboer0%
Nolhan Courtens0%
Oliver Braude0%
Mats Egbring0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Noah Naujoks29%
Miliano Jonathans22%
Irakli Yegoian16%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Szymon Włodarczyk13%
Arthur Zagre13%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Ilias Bronkhorst6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Lewis Schouten4%
Mike van Duinen3%
Casper Widell3%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Calvin Raatsie33%
Chris-Kévin Nadje29%
Arthur Zagre19%
Ilias Bronkhorst18%
Adam Carlén15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Rick Meissen12%
Miliano Jonathans11%
Noah Naujoks10%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Casper Widell6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Lewis Schouten4%
Jerolldino Bergraaf4%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gyan de Regt17%
Nolan Martens10%
Rick Meissen9%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes9%
Emil Hansson8%
Simon Janssen8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Arthur Zagre6%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Adam Carlén4%
Noah Naujoks3%
Stijn van Gassel3%
Casper Widell3%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Naujoks26%
Irakli Yegoian19%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Jerolldino Bergraaf12%
Gyan de Regt9%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Casper Widell3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Emil Hansson0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Nolan Martens0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
NB (23)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
FV (20)
€6m
Heerenveen's squad is €34m more valuable than Excelsior's (€50m vs €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
TEL (7)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
Heerenveen's attack is €16m more valuable than Excelsior's (€24m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
Heerenveen's midfield is €4m more valuable than Excelsior's (€6m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
Heerenveen's defence is €14m more valuable than Excelsior's (€20m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
HEE wins
2
Draws
3
EXC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Heerenveen vs Excelsior · H/A from HEE
DateH/AGameScore
19/01/24AExcelsior Vs HEE3-0
23/09/23HHEE Vs Excelsior0-3
13/05/23HHEE Vs Excelsior0-0
05/11/22AExcelsior Vs HEE0-1
30/03/19HHEE Vs Excelsior1-0
22/09/18AExcelsior Vs HEE3-3
24/02/18HHEE Vs Excelsior0-1
16/09/17AExcelsior Vs HEE1-2

HeerenveenHeerenveen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/25AUtrecht Vs HEE2-2
21/09/25HHEE Vs NEC Nijmegen3-2
13/09/25AFeyenoord Vs HEE1-0
30/08/25HHEE Vs GO Ahead Eagles2-2
24/08/25HHEE Vs Twente1-2
16/08/25AGroningen Vs HEE2-1
09/08/25HHEE Vs FC Volendam1-1
22/05/25AAZ Alkmaar Vs HEE4-1
18/05/25HHEE Vs Feyenoord2-0
14/05/25AGO Ahead Eagles Vs HEE1-0

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25HEXC Vs PSV Eindhoven1-2
20/09/25AFC Volendam Vs EXC1-2
14/09/25HEXC Vs Sparta Rotterdam0-1
30/08/25HEXC Vs Twente1-0
24/08/25AUtrecht Vs EXC4-1
16/08/25HEXC Vs Feyenoord1-2
09/08/25ANEC Nijmegen Vs EXC5-0
09/05/25AJong AZ Vs EXC2-1
02/05/25HEXC Vs Jong PSV U215-0
27/04/25HEXC Vs Emmen2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Heerenveen
Heerenveen
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD1.20
HomeWDLDW1.78
AwayLLLLD0.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%48%19%
AVG goals3.103.093.11
Over 1.5 %84%87%81%
Over 2.5 %58%52%63%
Over 3.5 %34%39%30%
Scored1.281.650.96
Conceded1.821.432.15
BTTS60%65%56%
Clean Sheet16%26%7%
Corners9.409.918.92
Cards3.383.803.00
Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.80
HomeWLWLL2.16
AwayWLLLW1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%68%40%
AVG goals3.182.843.52
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %64%52%76%
Over 3.5 %42%36%48%
Scored1.882.001.76
Conceded1.300.841.76
BTTS60%48%72%
Clean Sheet30%44%16%
Corners9.649.589.70
Cards3.763.394.14

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3484
79%
2.5
10145+56
4.3
97%
85%
59%
11.6
79%
3.4
29%
18.6
21%
280
106601153.01.3
61%
2FeyenoordFeyenoord3465
56%
1.9
7044+26
3.4
85%
59%
38%
10.6
56%
3.6
45%
21.6
50%
229
9343932.11.3
53%
3AjaxAjax3660
42%
1.7
6441+23
2.9
92%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.7
44%
22.4
58%
173
9515631.81.1
56%
4NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3459
47%
1.7
7753+24
3.8
97%
74%
56%
10.1
53%
4.1
47%
24.1
65%
54
225262.31.6
57%
5TwenteTwente3458
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.9
85%
50%
32%
9.5
38%
3.6
38%
20.6
41%
87
3413391.71.2
54%
6UtrechtUtrecht3657
44%
1.6
5844+14
2.8
81%
50%
33%
9.9
58%
3.4
46%
21.9
47%
61
3314151.61.2
47%
7AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3452
41%
1.5
5851+7
3.2
82%
65%
44%
10.3
56%
3.6
39%
21.6
50%
136
6121541.71.5
53%
8HeerenveenHeerenveen3651
39%
1.4
5958+1
3.2
94%
69%
39%
10.6
61%
3.1
37%
20.4
42%
50
246201.61.6
51%
9GroningenGroningen3548
40%
1.4
4947+2
2.7
89%
54%
23%
11.0
60%
3.5
45%
20.8
51%
32
126141.41.3
50%
10Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3443
35%
1.3
4062-22
3.0
76%
53%
38%
11.2
68%
4.1
68%
20.7
44%
28
142121.21.8
47%
11Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3439
32%
1.1
4963-14
3.3
88%
68%
38%
11.1
59%
3.6
42%
23.9
65%
17
6471.41.9
45%
12GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3438
24%
1.1
5453+1
3.1
85%
62%
47%
11.6
71%
3.5
39%
19.1
24%
22
9481.61.6
49%
13ExcelsiorExcelsior3438
29%
1.1
4356-13
2.9
82%
62%
29%
9.3
44%
3.3
40%
21.0
41%
16
7361.31.6
48%
14TelstarTelstar3437
26%
1.1
4955-6
3.1
88%
59%
38%
11.1
65%
3.5
41%
21.6
47%
8
3231.41.6
45%
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3437
26%
1.1
4471-27
3.4
85%
62%
44%
9.7
50%
3.5
47%
23.3
68%
21
84101.32.1
45%
16FC VolendamFC Volendam3432
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
85%
59%
18%
10.3
62%
3.8
50%
21.8
50%
6
2131.01.6
45%
17NAC BredaNAC Breda3532
20%
0.9
3758-21
2.7
71%
49%
26%
10.1
57%
3.8
50%
23.7
69%
10
4241.11.7
49%
18HeraclesHeracles3419
15%
0.6
3585-50
3.5
91%
71%
38%
10.5
50%
3.9
53%
24.8
74%
8
4131.02.5
45%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches