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Heracles vs Excelsior Result & Analysis

Date: 20/03/2026
Time: 19:00
Final 1-1
Heracles
Heracles
Vs
41%
25%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Heracles win✗ Miss
40.7%
Avg Implied 36.3% · @ 2.56
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.0%
Avg Implied 28.6% · @ 3.25
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Excelsior win✗ Miss
34.4%
Avg Implied 35.1% · @ 2.65
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

HeraclesHeracles

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D02L24L21W14L01L04L13L00D04LA·GO 14/01H·TWE18/01A·FEY25/01H·FOR01/02A·NEC07/02H·NAC14/02A·GO 22/02H·PSV28/02H·UTR06/03A·AZ 15/03
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.402.431.792.071.062.75
vs Stronger (12)1.002.921.002.501.003.33
vs Similar (18)1.672.112.381.751.102.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D11D00D22D20W12L12L01L12L12LH·TEL17/01A·AZ 21/01A·TWE24/01H·AJA01/02A·NAC06/02H·AZ 14/02A·FOR20/02H·GO 01/03H·HEE07/03A·FEY15/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.601.271.271.001.93
vs Stronger (12)1.002.171.201.600.862.57
vs Similar (18)1.221.221.301.101.121.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.1%
@ 1.69+9.0%
Under 2.5
35.9%
@ 2.07-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.0%
Under 3.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.2%
No
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
0-1
4.8%
Heracles goals ↓
Excelsior goals →
01234
04.7%4.8%4.6%2.4%0.9%
15.4%11%7.9%4.1%1.6%
25.5%8.6%6.8%3.6%1.4%
33.2%5.0%3.9%2.1%0.8%
41.4%2.1%1.7%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Heracles goals (down), columns = Excelsior goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.47
Feyenoord
1.91
NEC Nijmegen
1.74
Twente
1.71
Ajax
1.67
Utrecht
1.58
AZ Alkmaar
1.53
Heerenveen
1.42
Groningen
1.37
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.12
Excelsior
1.12
PEC Zwolle
1.09
Telstar
1.09
FC Volendam
0.94
NAC Breda
0.91
Heracles
0.56
Heracles is 0.56 points worse than Excelsior in terms of average points per game (0.56 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.97
NEC Nijmegen
2.26
Feyenoord
2.06
Ajax
1.78
Twente
1.74
AZ Alkmaar
1.71
Heerenveen
1.64
Utrecht
1.61
GO Ahead Eagles
1.59
Fortuna Sittard
1.44
Telstar
1.44
Groningen
1.40
PEC Zwolle
1.29
Excelsior
1.26
Sparta Rotterdam
1.18
NAC Breda
1.06
FC Volendam
1.03
Heracles
1.03
Heracles is 0.24 goals worse than Excelsior in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.26).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ajax
1.14
Twente
1.18
Utrecht
1.22
Feyenoord
1.29
PSV Eindhoven
1.32
Groningen
1.34
AZ Alkmaar
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.56
Heerenveen
1.61
FC Volendam
1.62
Telstar
1.62
Excelsior
1.65
NAC Breda
1.66
Sparta Rotterdam
1.82
Fortuna Sittard
1.85
PEC Zwolle
2.09
Heracles
2.50
Heracles is 0.85 goals worse than Excelsior in terms of goals conceded per game (2.50 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
61%
NEC Nijmegen
57%
Ajax
56%
Twente
54%
AZ Alkmaar
53%
Feyenoord
53%
Heerenveen
51%
Groningen
50%
GO Ahead Eagles
49%
NAC Breda
49%
Excelsior
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Utrecht
47%
Telstar
45%
PEC Zwolle
45%
FC Volendam
45%
Fortuna Sittard
45%
Heracles
45%
Heracles is 2.9 percentage points worse than Excelsior in terms of average possession (45% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

HeraclesHeracles

For 4.3 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

19037412355443634518429101016897999619A·AZ H·UTRH·PSVA·GO H·NACA·NECH·FORA·FEYH·TWEA·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

70411213112232225114234125472A·AZ H·UTRH·PSVA·GO H·NACA·NECH·FORA·FEYH·TWEA·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 12.4 · Total 27.4

⚠️ Fouls

31019101317151413712121810171417121214141429302920242831292628A·AZ H·UTRH·PSVA·GO H·NACA·NECH·FORA·FEYH·TWEA·GO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ExcelsiorExcelsior

For 4.7 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

1605968633575384151154371414981211516910A·FEYH·HEEH·GO A·FORH·AZ A·NACH·AJAA·TWEA·AZ H·TEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

501311111112231111334222351243A·FEYH·HEEH·GO A·FORH·AZ A·NACH·AJAA·TWEA·AZ H·TEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 7.3 · Total 17.8

⚠️ Fouls

2201210471161577615612581010811822111722132117181819A·FEYH·HEEH·GO A·FORH·AZ A·NACH·AJAA·TWEA·AZ H·TEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

HeraclesHeracles

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.69.711.33.33.72.924.024.423.7
vs Stronger (20)9.910.09.93.33.72.823.524.022.9
vs Similar (30)11.09.512.03.33.73.024.424.824.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line49%36%60%42%50%35%66%64%68%
% under line51%64%40%58%50%65%34%36%32%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.810.32.92.92.922.021.622.4
vs Stronger (13)9.97.611.62.22.22.119.418.420.1
vs Similar (36)10.110.39.83.23.23.322.922.423.4
vs Weaker (1)12.012.0-1.01.0-23.023.0-
% over line50%52%48%34%28%40%50%48%52%
% under line50%48%52%66%72%60%50%52%48%
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
GO Ahead Eagles
10.9
PSV Eindhoven
10.9
Sparta Rotterdam
10.8
Fortuna Sittard
10.6
Heracles
10.5
FC Volendam
10.4
Telstar
10.3
Excelsior
10.1
NEC Nijmegen
10.1
Heerenveen
10.0
Groningen
9.9
NAC Breda
9.8
Feyenoord
9.7
AZ Alkmaar
9.6
Ajax
9.6
Utrecht
9.5
Twente
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.2
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Twente
3.9
NAC Breda
3.9
Feyenoord
3.8
Fortuna Sittard
3.8
Utrecht
3.8
Heracles
3.7
Ajax
3.7
Sparta Rotterdam
3.7
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
Groningen
3.5
GO Ahead Eagles
3.5
PEC Zwolle
3.5
FC Volendam
3.5
Telstar
3.2
Excelsior
3.2
Heerenveen
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Fortuna Sittard
24.4
Heracles
24.0
Utrecht
23.1
NEC Nijmegen
23.1
Telstar
23.0
FC Volendam
22.8
Feyenoord
22.6
AZ Alkmaar
22.3
PEC Zwolle
22.3
Excelsior
22.1
Ajax
21.9
NAC Breda
21.8
Twente
21.3
Heerenveen
21.2
Groningen
19.9
GO Ahead Eagles
19.6
Sparta Rotterdam
19.2
PSV Eindhoven
18.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.3%
Under 9.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.8%
Under 3.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.6%
Under 21.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HeraclesHeracles

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L12L21W12L00D01L03L00D02LA·GO 14/01H·TWE18/01A·FEY25/01H·FOR01/02A·NEC07/02H·NAC14/02A·GO 22/02H·PSV28/02H·UTR06/03A·AZ 15/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.100.791.000.501.19
vs Stronger (12)0.421.420.331.500.501.33
vs Similar (18)0.780.891.120.620.501.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D02L20W10W01L00D01L10WH·TEL17/01A·AZ 21/01A·TWE24/01H·AJA01/02A·NAC06/02H·AZ 14/02A·FOR20/02H·GO 01/03H·HEE07/03A·FEY15/03
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.600.400.600.80
vs Stronger (12)0.501.000.601.000.431.00
vs Similar (18)0.670.330.600.100.750.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Heracles over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HeraclesHeracles

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L12L00D02L01L03L10W00D02LA·GO 14/01H·TWE18/01A·FEY25/01H·FOR01/02A·NEC07/02H·NAC14/02A·GO 22/02H·PSV28/02H·UTR06/03A·AZ 15/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.331.001.070.561.56
vs Stronger (12)0.581.500.671.000.502.00
vs Similar (18)0.891.221.251.120.601.30
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D11D00D20W00D02L11D01L11D02LH·TEL17/01A·AZ 21/01A·TWE24/01H·AJA01/02A·NAC06/02H·AZ 14/02A·FOR20/02H·GO 01/03H·HEE07/03A·FEY15/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.000.670.870.401.13
vs Stronger (12)0.501.170.600.600.431.57
vs Similar (18)0.560.890.701.000.380.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Heracles over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards83.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners71.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards70.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Heracles
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jizz Hornkamp47%
Yvandro Borges Sanches25%
Luka Kulenović19%
Lequincio Zeefuik14%
Ajdin Hrustić13%
Tristan van Gilst10%
Mike te Wierik8%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck7%
Walid Ould-Chikh7%
Thomas Bruns7%
Sem Scheperman6%
Ivan Mesík6%
Damon Mirani6%
Bryan Limbombe4%
Mario Engels4%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Naci Ünüvar0%
Jannes Wieckhoff0%
Sava Arangel Čestić0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Rhys Bozinovski0%
Timo Jansink0%
Sil Blokhuis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lequincio Zeefuik36%
Jan Žambůrek24%
Mimeirhel Benita23%
Ivan Mesík21%
Ajdin Hrustić20%
Sem Scheperman19%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck19%
Damon Mirani17%
Jannes Wieckhoff14%
Jizz Hornkamp13%
Rhys Bozinovski12%
Mario Engels11%
Walid Ould-Chikh11%
Thomas Bruns11%
Tristan van Gilst10%
Naci Ünüvar10%
Djevencio van der Kust9%
Mike te Wierik8%
Luka Kulenović6%
Bryan Limbombe4%
Remko Pasveer0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Sava Arangel Čestić0%
Yvandro Borges Sanches0%
Timo Jansink0%
Sil Blokhuis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ajdin Hrustić20%
Walid Ould-Chikh19%
Bryan Limbombe16%
Djevencio van der Kust13%
Naci Ünüvar10%
Luka Kulenović9%
Yvandro Borges Sanches8%
Mario Engels7%
Jizz Hornkamp7%
Erik Ahlstrand7%
Sem Scheperman6%
Mimeirhel Benita4%
Jan Žambůrek3%
Ivan Mesík3%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Damon Mirani0%
Mike te Wierik0%
Thomas Bruns0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Jannes Wieckhoff0%
Sava Arangel Čestić0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Rhys Bozinovski0%
Timo Jansink0%
Tristan van Gilst0%
Sil Blokhuis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jizz Hornkamp40%
Lequincio Zeefuik36%
Luka Kulenović22%
Sava Arangel Čestić12%
Tristan van Gilst7%
Erik Ahlstrand7%
Sem Scheperman6%
Mike te Wierik4%
Bryan Limbombe4%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck4%
Thomas Bruns4%
Ajdin Hrustić3%
Ivan Mesík3%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Mario Engels0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Damon Mirani0%
Walid Ould-Chikh0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Naci Ünüvar0%
Jannes Wieckhoff0%
Yvandro Borges Sanches0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Rhys Bozinovski0%
Timo Jansink0%
Sil Blokhuis0%
Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Noah Naujoks29%
Miliano Jonathans22%
Irakli Yegoian16%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Szymon Włodarczyk13%
Arthur Zagre13%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Ilias Bronkhorst6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Lewis Schouten4%
Mike van Duinen3%
Casper Widell3%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Calvin Raatsie33%
Chris-Kévin Nadje29%
Arthur Zagre19%
Ilias Bronkhorst18%
Adam Carlén15%
Yoon Do-young14%
Rick Meissen12%
Miliano Jonathans11%
Noah Naujoks10%
Gyan de Regt9%
Emil Hansson8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Casper Widell6%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Lewis Schouten4%
Jerolldino Bergraaf4%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Nolan Martens0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gyan de Regt17%
Nolan Martens10%
Rick Meissen9%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes9%
Emil Hansson8%
Simon Janssen8%
Mike van Duinen7%
Arthur Zagre6%
Irakli Yegoian6%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Adam Carlén4%
Noah Naujoks3%
Stijn van Gassel3%
Casper Widell3%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Lennard Hartjes0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Jerolldino Bergraaf0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noah Naujoks26%
Irakli Yegoian19%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes15%
Jerolldino Bergraaf12%
Gyan de Regt9%
Lennard Hartjes5%
Szymon Włodarczyk4%
Casper Widell3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Emil Hansson0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Simon Janssen0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Adam Carlén0%
Calvin Raatsie0%
Stefan Mitrović0%
Rick Meissen0%
Chris-Kévin Nadje0%
Zach Booth0%
Mathijs Tielemans0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Lewis Schouten0%
Nolan Martens0%
Miliano Jonathans0%
Yoon Do-young0%
Stijn Middendorp0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
NB (23)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
FV (20)
€6m
Heracles's squad is €8m less valuable than Excelsior's (€8m vs €16m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
TEL (7)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
Heracles's attack is €4m less valuable than Excelsior's (€4m vs €7m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
Heracles's midfield is €1m less valuable than Excelsior's (€1m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
Heracles's defence is €3m less valuable than Excelsior's (€3m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
HER wins
2
Draws
2
EXC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Heracles vs Excelsior · H/A from HER
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25AExcelsior Vs HER1-2
12/05/24AExcelsior Vs HER4-0
02/09/23HHER Vs Excelsior3-1
12/05/19HHER Vs Excelsior4-5
22/12/18AExcelsior Vs HER0-3
18/04/18AExcelsior Vs HER2-2
26/08/17HHER Vs Excelsior2-2
18/02/17HHER Vs Excelsior4-0

HeraclesHeracles

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/26AAZ Alkmaar Vs HER4-0
06/03/26HHER Vs Utrecht0-0
28/02/26HHER Vs PSV Eindhoven1-3
22/02/26AGO Ahead Eagles Vs HER4-0
14/02/26HHER Vs NAC Breda0-1
07/02/26ANEC Nijmegen Vs HER4-1
01/02/26HHER Vs Fortuna Sittard2-1
25/01/26AFeyenoord Vs HER4-2
18/01/26HHER Vs Twente0-2
14/01/26AGO Ahead Eagles Vs HER2-2

ExcelsiorExcelsior

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/26AFeyenoord Vs EXC2-1
07/03/26HEXC Vs Heerenveen1-2
01/03/26HEXC Vs GO Ahead Eagles0-1
20/02/26AFortuna Sittard Vs EXC2-1
14/02/26HEXC Vs AZ Alkmaar1-2
06/02/26ANAC Breda Vs EXC0-2
01/02/26HEXC Vs Ajax2-2
24/01/26ATwente Vs EXC0-0
21/01/26AAZ Alkmaar Vs EXC1-1
17/01/26HEXC Vs Telstar2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Heracles
Heracles
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.10
HomeLWLLD1.46
AwayDLLLL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%19%
AVG goals3.503.673.35
Over 1.5 %90%88%92%
Over 2.5 %66%67%65%
Over 3.5 %44%42%46%
Scored1.421.831.04
Conceded2.081.832.31
BTTS60%67%54%
Clean Sheet14%17%12%
Corners10.579.7311.32
Cards3.734.193.30
Excelsior
Excelsior
Netherlands: Eredivisie
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.36
HomeDDLLL1.52
AwayDDWLL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.782.363.20
Over 1.5 %78%68%88%
Over 2.5 %60%48%72%
Over 3.5 %28%20%36%
Scored1.401.361.44
Conceded1.381.001.76
BTTS62%48%76%
Clean Sheet26%40%12%
Corners10.089.8410.35
Cards3.173.043.32

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven3484
79%
2.5
10145+56
4.3
97%
85%
59%
11.6
79%
3.4
29%
18.6
21%
280
106601153.01.3
61%
2FeyenoordFeyenoord3465
56%
1.9
7044+26
3.4
85%
59%
38%
10.6
56%
3.6
45%
21.6
50%
229
9343932.11.3
53%
3AjaxAjax3660
42%
1.7
6441+23
2.9
92%
56%
39%
10.0
53%
3.7
44%
22.4
58%
173
9515631.81.1
56%
4NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen3459
47%
1.7
7753+24
3.8
97%
74%
56%
10.1
53%
4.1
47%
24.1
65%
54
225262.31.6
57%
5TwenteTwente3458
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.9
85%
50%
32%
9.5
38%
3.6
38%
20.6
41%
87
3413391.71.2
54%
6UtrechtUtrecht3657
44%
1.6
5844+14
2.8
81%
50%
33%
9.9
58%
3.4
46%
21.9
47%
61
3314151.61.2
47%
7AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar3452
41%
1.5
5851+7
3.2
82%
65%
44%
10.3
56%
3.6
39%
21.6
50%
136
6121541.71.5
53%
8HeerenveenHeerenveen3651
39%
1.4
5958+1
3.2
94%
69%
39%
10.6
61%
3.1
37%
20.4
42%
50
246201.61.6
51%
9GroningenGroningen3548
40%
1.4
4947+2
2.7
89%
54%
23%
11.0
60%
3.5
45%
20.8
51%
32
126141.41.3
50%
10Sparta RotterdamSparta Rotterdam3443
35%
1.3
4062-22
3.0
76%
53%
38%
11.2
68%
4.1
68%
20.7
44%
28
142121.21.8
47%
11Fortuna SittardFortuna Sittard3439
32%
1.1
4963-14
3.3
88%
68%
38%
11.1
59%
3.6
42%
23.9
65%
17
6471.41.9
45%
12GO Ahead EaglesGO Ahead Eagles3438
24%
1.1
5453+1
3.1
85%
62%
47%
11.6
71%
3.5
39%
19.1
24%
22
9481.61.6
49%
13ExcelsiorExcelsior3438
29%
1.1
4356-13
2.9
82%
62%
29%
9.3
44%
3.3
40%
21.0
41%
16
7361.31.6
48%
14TelstarTelstar3437
26%
1.1
4955-6
3.1
88%
59%
38%
11.1
65%
3.5
41%
21.6
47%
8
3231.41.6
45%
15PEC ZwollePEC Zwolle3437
26%
1.1
4471-27
3.4
85%
62%
44%
9.7
50%
3.5
47%
23.3
68%
21
84101.32.1
45%
16FC VolendamFC Volendam3432
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
85%
59%
18%
10.3
62%
3.8
50%
21.8
50%
6
2131.01.6
45%
17NAC BredaNAC Breda3532
20%
0.9
3758-21
2.7
71%
49%
26%
10.1
57%
3.8
50%
23.7
69%
10
4241.11.7
49%
18HeraclesHeracles3419
15%
0.6
3585-50
3.5
91%
71%
38%
10.5
50%
3.9
53%
24.8
74%
8
4131.02.5
45%
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches