This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MVV
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
1.67
3.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
2.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PEC Zwolle
2.24
Heracles
2.24
Almere City FC
1.84
Willem II
1.79
NAC Breda
1.55
MVV
1.55
FC Eindhoven
1.53
VVV Venlo
1.53
Telstar
1.39
De Graafschap
1.37
ADO Den Haag
1.34
Jong AZ
1.34
Jong Ajax
1.21
Jong PSV U21
1.18
Helmond Sport
1.13
Roda
1.13
FC OSS
0.97
Dordrecht
0.92
Den Bosch
0.92
Jong Utrecht
0.74
Heracles is 0.68 points better than MVV in terms of average points per game (2.24 vs 1.55).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Heracles
2.71
PEC Zwolle
2.61
Jong Ajax
1.82
Willem II
1.79
MVV
1.71
NAC Breda
1.68
De Graafschap
1.68
Jong AZ
1.58
Jong PSV U21
1.55
Almere City FC
1.53
FC Eindhoven
1.53
VVV Venlo
1.47
ADO Den Haag
1.34
Roda
1.29
Den Bosch
1.21
FC OSS
1.18
Dordrecht
1.08
Telstar
1.03
Helmond Sport
1.03
Jong Utrecht
0.87
Heracles is 1.00 goals better than MVV in terms of goals scored per game (2.71 vs 1.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Willem II
1.05
Almere City FC
1.08
Heracles
1.11
PEC Zwolle
1.13
VVV Venlo
1.34
Telstar
1.37
De Graafschap
1.42
FC Eindhoven
1.42
ADO Den Haag
1.50
Helmond Sport
1.50
Jong AZ
1.53
Roda
1.55
Jong PSV U21
1.66
NAC Breda
1.68
MVV
1.71
Jong Utrecht
1.71
Dordrecht
1.79
Jong Ajax
1.89
FC OSS
2.00
Den Bosch
2.24
Heracles is 0.61 goals better than MVV in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jong Ajax
61%
PEC Zwolle
59%
De Graafschap
55%
Roda
54%
Almere City FC
53%
Jong AZ
52%
Willem II
52%
Heracles
51%
Jong PSV U21
51%
NAC Breda
50%
MVV
48%
Jong Utrecht
48%
VVV Venlo
47%
Telstar
47%
Helmond Sport
47%
Den Bosch
47%
ADO Den Haag
46%
Dordrecht
46%
FC Eindhoven
45%
FC OSS
41%
Heracles is 3.1 percentage points better than MVV in terms of average possession (51% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Heracles
For 3.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 10.8 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
MVV
For 3.0 · Against 8.7 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 7.7 · Total 18.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heracles
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.2
8.6
2.8
2.8
2.9
20.4
19.2
21.7
vs Stronger (18)
8.1
8.9
7.2
3.2
3.2
3.2
20.5
19.2
21.8
vs Similar (31)
9.5
9.4
9.5
2.5
2.6
2.4
20.2
19.1
21.3
vs Weaker (1)
9.0
-
9.0
7.0
-
7.0
28.0
-
28.0
% over line
38%
36%
40%
32%
32%
32%
40%
28%
52%
% under line
62%
64%
60%
68%
68%
68%
60%
72%
48%
This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MVV
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (3)
11.7
11.0
13.0
4.0
4.5
3.0
18.7
18.5
19.0
vs Stronger (2)
13.0
13.0
13.0
4.0
5.0
3.0
18.5
18.0
19.0
vs Similar (1)
9.0
9.0
-
4.0
4.0
-
19.0
19.0
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
50%
100%
67%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
% under line
33%
50%
0%
33%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Eindhoven
13.2
Almere City FC
12.0
FC OSS
11.8
MVV
11.7
Jong AZ
11.5
Den Bosch
11.2
ADO Den Haag
10.8
NAC Breda
10.4
De Graafschap
9.9
PEC Zwolle
9.8
VVV Venlo
9.8
Roda
9.7
Helmond Sport
9.5
Dordrecht
9.5
Heracles
8.9
Willem II
8.9
Telstar
8.8
Jong Ajax
8.8
Jong PSV U21
7.0
Jong Utrecht
6.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Helmond Sport
5.0
Telstar
5.0
FC Eindhoven
4.8
Den Bosch
4.5
Almere City FC
4.5
MVV
4.0
Jong AZ
3.8
Jong Ajax
3.8
FC OSS
3.5
Dordrecht
3.5
Jong PSV U21
3.5
Jong Utrecht
3.3
De Graafschap
3.3
NAC Breda
3.1
Willem II
3.0
VVV Venlo
3.0
ADO Den Haag
3.0
Heracles
2.8
Roda
2.8
PEC Zwolle
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Jong Utrecht
28.7
Telstar
26.2
Dordrecht
26.0
Jong PSV U21
26.0
FC Eindhoven
23.8
De Graafschap
23.4
VVV Venlo
23.2
Almere City FC
22.8
Roda
22.5
Den Bosch
22.5
PEC Zwolle
22.5
NAC Breda
22.2
Helmond Sport
21.8
Jong Ajax
21.5
Jong AZ
21.0
Heracles
20.4
FC OSS
20.0
MVV
18.7
Willem II
18.5
ADO Den Haag
17.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.9%
Under 9.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.2%
Under 3.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.7%
Under 21.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Heracles
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.92
0.54
0.53
0.59
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.90
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.83
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.40
1.11
0.33
0.64
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MVV
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.67
2.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Heracles over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Heracles
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.73
0.54
0.54
0.35
0.88
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.80
0.25
0.25
0.17
1.17
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.70
0.67
0.67
0.45
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
MVV
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Heracles over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Heracles
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikolai Laursen41%
Emil Hansson36%
Samuel Armenteros35%
Rigino Cicilia30%
Lucas Schoofs24%
Abdenego Nankishi18%
Anas Ouahim17%
Antonio Satriano17%
Lasse Wehmeyer15%
Thomas Bruns11%
Ismail Azzaoui10%
Sylian Mokono10%
Marko Vejinović10%
Marco Rente10%
Justin Hoogma8%
Mateo Leš6%
Sem Scheperman5%
Sven Sonnenberg3%
Ruben Roosken3%
Kasper Lunding0%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou0%
Michael Brouwer0%
Navajo Bakboord0%
Heritier Deyonge0%
Melih Ibrahimoglu0%
Elias Sierra0%
Sava Arangel Čestić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou33%
Antonio Satriano33%
Sava Arangel Čestić25%
Ruben Roosken24%
Marco Rente23%
Thomas Bruns22%
Navajo Bakboord20%
Abdenego Nankishi18%
Mateo Leš18%
Rigino Cicilia15%
Justin Hoogma11%
Nikolai Laursen10%
Anas Ouahim10%
Marko Vejinović10%
Sven Sonnenberg9%
Emil Hansson6%
Lasse Wehmeyer5%
Samuel Armenteros3%
Michael Brouwer3%
Lucas Schoofs3%
Kasper Lunding0%
Ismail Azzaoui0%
Sylian Mokono0%
Heritier Deyonge0%
Melih Ibrahimoglu0%
Elias Sierra0%
Sem Scheperman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emil Hansson42%
Nikolai Laursen24%
Marko Vejinović19%
Anas Ouahim17%
Thomas Bruns16%
Ismail Azzaoui15%
Lucas Schoofs13%
Marco Rente13%
Sava Arangel Čestić12%
Samuel Armenteros12%
Ruben Roosken11%
Sylian Mokono10%
Abdenego Nankishi9%
Michael Brouwer5%
Sem Scheperman5%
Sven Sonnenberg3%
Justin Hoogma3%
Mateo Leš0%
Kasper Lunding0%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou0%
Rigino Cicilia0%
Navajo Bakboord0%
Heritier Deyonge0%
Melih Ibrahimoglu0%
Elias Sierra0%
Antonio Satriano0%
Lasse Wehmeyer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolai Laursen31%
Samuel Armenteros21%
Anas Ouahim17%
Antonio Satriano17%
Ismail Azzaoui15%
Emil Hansson14%
Thomas Bruns11%
Marco Rente6%
Justin Hoogma5%
Lucas Schoofs5%
Sem Scheperman5%
Marko Vejinović3%
Sven Sonnenberg3%
Mateo Leš0%
Kasper Lunding0%
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou0%
Michael Brouwer0%
Rigino Cicilia0%
Navajo Bakboord0%
Sylian Mokono0%
Ruben Roosken0%
Heritier Deyonge0%
Melih Ibrahimoglu0%
Elias Sierra0%
Abdenego Nankishi0%
Sava Arangel Čestić0%
Lasse Wehmeyer0%
MVV
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ruben van Bommel42%
Koen Kostons22%
Jarne Steuckers21%
Nicky Souren17%
Dailon Rocha Livramento17%
Mart Remans16%
Sven Blummel10%
Rayan El Azrak8%
Marko Kleinen8%
Rein Van Helden6%
Clint Essers5%
Orhan Dzepar3%
Matteo Waem3%
Leroy Labylle0%
Rico Zeegers0%
Tim Zeegers0%
Romain Matthys0%
Thomas van Bommel0%
Lars Schenk0%
Saul Penders0%
Nabil El Basri0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lars Schenk26%
Koen Kostons25%
Clint Essers24%
Rein Van Helden23%
Ruben van Bommel21%
Rayan El Azrak17%
Mart Remans16%
Dailon Rocha Livramento13%
Rico Zeegers13%
Orhan Dzepar12%
Thomas van Bommel12%
Marko Kleinen12%
Matteo Waem11%
Tim Zeegers9%
Nicky Souren9%
Sven Blummel8%
Leroy Labylle7%
Jarne Steuckers3%
Romain Matthys2%
Saul Penders0%
Nabil El Basri0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Koen Kostons42%
Jarne Steuckers21%
Sven Blummel13%
Nabil El Basri10%
Mart Remans10%
Orhan Dzepar9%
Ruben van Bommel9%
Lars Schenk5%
Tim Zeegers5%
Marko Kleinen4%
Dailon Rocha Livramento3%
Rein Van Helden3%
Clint Essers0%
Nicky Souren0%
Leroy Labylle0%
Rico Zeegers0%
Rayan El Azrak0%
Romain Matthys0%
Thomas van Bommel0%
Matteo Waem0%
Saul Penders0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Koen Kostons36%
Ruben van Bommel24%
Sven Blummel21%
Jarne Steuckers16%
Mart Remans13%
Dailon Rocha Livramento3%
Clint Essers0%
Nicky Souren0%
Leroy Labylle0%
Orhan Dzepar0%
Rico Zeegers0%
Tim Zeegers0%
Rayan El Azrak0%
Romain Matthys0%
Marko Kleinen0%
Thomas van Bommel0%
Matteo Waem0%
Lars Schenk0%
Saul Penders0%
Rein Van Helden0%
Nabil El Basri0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PZ (23)
€21m
JA (24)
€19m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
JPU (14)
€7m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
JA (19)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
JU (8)
€2m
Heracles's squad is €4m more valuable than MVV's (€8m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PZ (8)
€8m
ADH (11)
€7m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
JA (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
JA (7)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
JPU (4)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
Heracles's attack is €2m more valuable than MVV's (€4m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
JA (6)
€3m
JPU (3)
€3m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
JA (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Heracles and MVV have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
JPU (7)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
JA (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
Heracles's defence is €2m more valuable than MVV's (€3m vs €2m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →