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HNK Cibalia vs Dubrava Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: 11/10/2024
Time: 13:30
Final 1-2
HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Vs
48%
27%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

HNK Cibalia win✗ Miss
47.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb win✓ Hit
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-515L20W40W11D02L11D12L50W11D33DH·VUK01/06H·RUD17/08A·BSK24/08H·JAR01/09A·VUK09/09H·ORI14/09A·SES18/09H·ZRI21/09A·DUG28/09H·CRO05/10
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.471.671.401.071.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.371.471.671.401.071.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W21W21W30W13L12L02L00D10W20WH·SOL01/06H·OPA16/08A·RUD25/08H·BSK31/08A·JAR07/09H·VUK13/09A·ORI18/09H·SES21/09A·ZRI28/09H·DUG05/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.171.471.070.801.27
vs Stronger (3)1.002.331.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.151.041.540.920.791.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.7%
Under 2.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
8.2%
1-2 ✓
6.4%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.1%
HNK Cibalia goals ↓
Dubrava Zagreb goals →
01234
08.2%6.3%4.1%1.5%0.4%
19.8%13%6.4%2.3%0.6%
28.7%9.4%5.1%1.8%0.5%
34.6%5.0%2.7%1.0%0.3%
41.8%2.0%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HNK Cibalia goals (down), columns = Dubrava Zagreb goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
2.18
Opatija
2.06
Orijent 1919
1.70
Sesvete
1.48
HNK Cibalia
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.21
Rudes
1.18
Jarun
1.12
Dugopolje
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.27
HNK Cibalia and Dubrava Zagreb are level in average points per game (both 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.67
Opatija
1.45
HNK Cibalia
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.21
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.06
Croatia Zmijavci
1.00
Jarun
1.00
Dugopolje
1.00
Rudes
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.45
HNK Cibalia is 0.36 goals better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.06).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.42
Opatija
0.61
Orijent 1919
0.94
Sesvete
0.97
Rudes
1.00
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
HNK Cibalia
1.18
Jarun
1.18
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Dugopolje
1.58
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.15
HNK Cibalia is 0.09 goals worse than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.09).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W10W01L00D00D11D10W10W02LH·VUK01/06H·RUD17/08A·BSK24/08H·JAR01/09A·VUK09/09H·ORI14/09A·SES18/09H·ZRI21/09A·DUG28/09H·CRO05/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.400.470.470.270.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.370.400.470.470.270.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W11D20W10W10W02L00D10W20WH·SOL01/06H·OPA16/08A·RUD25/08H·BSK31/08A·JAR07/09H·VUK13/09A·ORI18/09H·SES21/09A·ZRI28/09H·DUG05/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.500.870.470.330.53
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.500.500.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.630.520.920.460.360.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L10W30W10W02L11D01L40W01L31WH·VUK01/06H·RUD17/08A·BSK24/08H·JAR01/09A·VUK09/09H·ORI14/09A·SES18/09H·ZRI21/09A·DUG28/09H·CRO05/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.071.200.930.801.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.001.071.200.930.801.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W10W03L02L00D00D00D00DH·SOL01/06H·OPA16/08A·RUD25/08H·BSK31/08A·JAR07/09H·VUK13/09A·ORI18/09H·SES21/09A·ZRI28/09H·DUG05/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.600.600.470.73
vs Stronger (3)0.672.000.501.501.003.00
vs Similar (27)0.520.520.620.460.430.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
HNK Cibalia and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
HNK Cibalia and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HNK Cibalia and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
HNK Cibalia and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
HC wins
1
Draws
1
DZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HNK Cibalia vs Dubrava Zagreb · H/A from HC
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/24ADubrava Zagreb Vs HC1-2
04/11/23HHC Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-0
19/08/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs HC1-1
28/04/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs HC2-0
03/12/22HHC Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-0
18/09/22ADubrava Zagreb Vs HC0-2

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/24HHC Vs Croatia Zmijavci3-3
28/09/24ADugopolje Vs HC1-1
21/09/24HHC Vs Zrinski Jurjevac5-0
18/09/24ASesvete Vs HC2-1
14/09/24HHC Vs Orijent 19191-1
09/09/24AVukovar Vs HC2-0
01/09/24HHC Vs Jarun1-1
24/08/24ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs HC0-4
17/08/24HHC Vs Rudes2-0
01/06/24HHC Vs Vukovar1-5

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/24HDZ Vs Dugopolje2-0
28/09/24AZrinski Jurjevac Vs DZ0-1
21/09/24HDZ Vs Sesvete0-0
18/09/24AOrijent 1919 Vs DZ2-0
13/09/24HDZ Vs Vukovar1-2
07/09/24AJarun Vs DZ3-1
31/08/24HDZ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo3-0
25/08/24ARudes Vs DZ1-2
16/08/24HDZ Vs Opatija2-1
01/06/24HDZ Vs Solin3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDD1.24
HomeWDDWD1.60
AwayLWLLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals2.842.922.76
Over 1.5 %82%72%92%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %32%40%24%
Scored1.321.601.04
Conceded1.521.321.72
BTTS54%64%44%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW1.28
HomeWWLDW1.36
AwayLWLLW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.382.522.24
Over 1.5 %72%80%64%
Over 2.5 %46%56%36%
Over 3.5 %20%16%24%
Scored1.061.240.88
Conceded1.321.281.36
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3372
64%
2.2
5514+41
2.1
58%
30%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.4
-
2OpatijaOpatija3368
58%
2.1
4820+28
2.1
64%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.50.6
-
3Orijent 1919Orijent 19193356
42%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
76%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
4SesveteSesvete3349
42%
1.5
3632+4
2.1
52%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.0
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3346
36%
1.4
4739+8
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.2
-
6Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3346
42%
1.4
3536-1
2.2
61%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.1
-
7Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3346
39%
1.4
4042-2
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3340
30%
1.2
3343-10
2.3
58%
45%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
9RudesRudes3339
30%
1.2
3133-2
1.9
61%
30%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3110.91.0
-
10JarunJarun3337
27%
1.1
3339-6
2.2
70%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
11DugopoljeDugopolje3331
18%
0.9
3352-19
2.6
79%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.6
-
12Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac339
3%
0.3
1571-56
2.6
67%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.2
-
Croatia: First NL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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