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HNK Cibalia vs Dugopolje Result & Analysis

Date: 22/02/2025
Time: 11:30
Final 2-1
HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Vs
52%
27%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dugopolje
Dugopolje
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

HNK Cibalia win✓ Hit
51.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje win✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D12L11D01L10W21W10W12L00D31WH·CRO05/10H·DUB11/10A·OPA18/10A·RUD26/10H·BSK02/11A·JAR08/11H·VUK16/11A·ORI23/11H·SES30/11A·ZRI18/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.271.671.271.201.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.431.271.671.271.201.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DugopoljeDugopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D00D21W11D00D05L11D13L33D01LH·OPA11/10H·CRO16/10A·RUD19/10H·BSK26/10H·JAR02/11A·VUK09/11H·ORI16/11A·SES22/11H·ZRI30/11A·CRO16/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.570.801.331.071.80
vs Stronger (3)0.332.330.001.000.503.00
vs Similar (27)1.001.480.861.361.151.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.7%
Under 1.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.8%
Under 2.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.4%
No
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1 ✓
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
HNK Cibalia goals ↓
Dugopolje goals →
01234
08.1%5.8%3.5%1.2%0.3%
110%13%5.8%1.9%0.5%
29.6%9.6%4.8%1.6%0.4%
35.4%5.4%2.7%0.9%0.2%
42.2%2.2%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = HNK Cibalia goals (down), columns = Dugopolje goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
2.18
Opatija
2.06
Orijent 1919
1.70
Sesvete
1.48
HNK Cibalia
1.39
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.21
Rudes
1.18
Jarun
1.12
Dugopolje
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.27
HNK Cibalia is 0.45 points better than Dugopolje in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 0.94).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.67
Opatija
1.45
HNK Cibalia
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.39
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.21
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.06
Croatia Zmijavci
1.00
Jarun
1.00
Dugopolje
1.00
Rudes
0.94
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.45
HNK Cibalia is 0.42 goals better than Dugopolje in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.42
Opatija
0.61
Orijent 1919
0.94
Sesvete
0.97
Rudes
1.00
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
HNK Cibalia
1.18
Jarun
1.18
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Dugopolje
1.58
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.15
HNK Cibalia is 0.39 goals better than Dugopolje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.58).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L00D00D00D00D00D00D00D21WH·CRO05/10H·DUB11/10A·OPA18/10A·RUD26/10H·BSK02/11A·JAR08/11H·VUK16/11A·ORI23/11H·SES30/11A·ZRI18/02
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.370.400.530.330.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.370.370.400.530.330.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DugopoljeDugopolje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L10W00D03L01L11D13L00DH·OPA11/10H·CRO16/10A·RUD19/10H·BSK26/10H·JAR02/11A·VUK09/11H·ORI16/11A·SES22/11H·ZRI30/11A·CRO16/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.830.200.670.471.00
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.370.740.210.640.540.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W11D11D01L10W21W10W12L00D10WH·CRO05/10H·DUB11/10A·OPA18/10A·RUD26/10H·BSK02/11A·JAR08/11H·VUK16/11A·ORI23/11H·SES30/11A·ZRI18/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.901.270.730.871.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.070.901.270.730.871.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DugopoljeDugopolje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D20W01L00D02L10W02L20W01LH·OPA11/10H·CRO16/10A·RUD19/10H·BSK26/10H·JAR02/11A·VUK09/11H·ORI16/11A·SES22/11H·ZRI30/11A·CRO16/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.600.670.600.80
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (27)0.630.740.640.710.620.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Cibalia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
HNK Cibalia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Cibalia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
HNK Cibalia and Dugopolje have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
HNK Cibalia and Dugopolje have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HNK Cibalia and Dugopolje have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
RUD (10)
€1m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
HNK Cibalia and Dugopolje have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
HC wins
3
Draws
1
DUG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

HNK Cibalia vs Dugopolje · H/A from HC
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24ADugopolje Vs HC1-1
11/05/24ADugopolje Vs HC1-2
15/03/24HHC Vs Dugopolje2-1
21/10/23ADugopolje Vs HC4-0
22/04/23HHC Vs Dugopolje0-0
11/03/23ADugopolje Vs HC0-2
15/10/22HHC Vs Dugopolje1-1

HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/25AZrinski Jurjevac Vs HC1-3
30/11/24HHC Vs Sesvete0-0
23/11/24AOrijent 1919 Vs HC2-1
16/11/24HHC Vs Vukovar1-0
08/11/24AJarun Vs HC1-2
02/11/24HHC Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-0
26/10/24ARudes Vs HC1-0
18/10/24AOpatija Vs HC1-1
11/10/24HHC Vs Dubrava Zagreb1-2
05/10/24HHC Vs Croatia Zmijavci3-3

DugopoljeDugopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/25ACroatia Zmijavci Vs DUG1-0
30/11/24HDUG Vs Zrinski Jurjevac3-3
22/11/24ASesvete Vs DUG3-1
16/11/24HDUG Vs Orijent 19191-1
09/11/24AVukovar Vs DUG5-0
02/11/24HDUG Vs Jarun0-0
26/10/24HDUG Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-1
19/10/24ARudes Vs DUG1-2
16/10/24HDUG Vs Croatia Zmijavci0-0
11/10/24HDUG Vs Opatija2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

HNK Cibalia
HNK Cibalia
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.22
HomeDLWWD1.50
AwayDLWLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%27%
AVG goals2.782.752.81
Over 1.5 %78%67%88%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %30%33%27%
Scored1.281.461.12
Conceded1.501.291.69
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet20%29%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Dugopolje
Dugopolje
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL1.00
HomeDDDDD0.88
AwayLWLLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%8%29%
AVG goals2.482.192.79
Over 1.5 %80%69%92%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %26%27%25%
Scored1.061.041.08
Conceded1.421.151.71
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet26%35%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3372
64%
2.2
5514+41
2.1
58%
30%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.4
-
2OpatijaOpatija3368
58%
2.1
4820+28
2.1
64%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.50.6
-
3Orijent 1919Orijent 19193356
42%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
76%
33%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
4SesveteSesvete3349
42%
1.5
3632+4
2.1
52%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.0
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3346
36%
1.4
4739+8
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.2
-
6Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3346
42%
1.4
3536-1
2.2
61%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.1
-
7Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3346
39%
1.4
4042-2
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3340
30%
1.2
3343-10
2.3
58%
45%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
9RudesRudes3339
30%
1.2
3133-2
1.9
61%
30%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3110.91.0
-
10JarunJarun3337
27%
1.1
3339-6
2.2
70%
39%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
11DugopoljeDugopolje3331
18%
0.9
3352-19
2.6
79%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.6
-
12Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac339
3%
0.3
1571-56
2.6
67%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.2
-
Croatia: First NL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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